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Design and Exercise of Flexibility in the Boeing 787 Dreamliner

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DESIGN AND E)ERCISE OF FLE)IBILIT1 IN

THE BOEING 787 DREAMLINER

Lean Aerospace Initiative

LAI Plenary Conference

Enterprise ArchitecturesF Emerging Ideas

April 20, 2006

Joshua McConnell

Enterprise Dynamics and Models Group

LAI SupervisorsF Kirk Bozdogan and Joseph Sussman

(2)

Large Commercial Aircraft Enterprises as a

Complex System

Nested Complexity

F

F

Large system, large stakes

Time scales

F

Non-linear effects

F

Evaluative complexity

F Difficult to predict future

behavior

A

B

A

Physical Domain

F

Aircraft

F Manufacturing

F Airports

F etc.

Institutional Sphere

F Manufacturers

F Suppliers

F Airlines

F Governments

F etc.

LAI Case Study:

Market demand for aircraft

derivatives, focus on Boeing

787 Dreamliner

UnderstandF

F

Use technology and

architecture to create flexible 787

design

F Can existing Boeing enterprise

architecture utilize flexible 787S

(3)

Flexibility in the 787 Technical Architecture

and a Supporting Enterprise Architecture

Flexibility allows system configuration to

adapt to future circumstances, at a reduced

cost

Modular fuselage and wing design creates

flexibility to more quickly and inexpensively

create 787 derivatives

Increased flexibility in meeting changing

market demand

Boeing enterprise

architecture able to take

advantage of flexible 787

architectureT

To utilize flexible

architecture, need for:

F timely analysis of

market conditions and

customer needs

F supply chain capable of

changing assemblies

quickly

(4)

Research to Date (I)F

Life-Cycle Flexibility Framework

F OverviewF framework for activities needed to enable, design and support

flexible systems: both technically and within enterprise

(5)

Research to Date (II)F

Analysis of 787 Derivative Option

System Dynamics

Model OverviewF

evaluate benefits

and costs of

modular airframe

and faster 787

derivative

development and

manufacturing times

Real Options

Analysis

OverviewF

evaluate value of

option created by

787 modular

airframe

architecture

(6)

Research to Date (III)F

Analysis of Boeing Enterprise Architecture (EA)

Product Architecture

Enterprise Architecture

!"o$%"&S())"*&+h%in

787

Derivative

Product

Development

Product

Manufacturing

Customer

Responsiveness /

ID Changing

Environment

Life-cycle

planning

Design

coordination

Flexible

manufacturing

(7)

Applicability of Research to LAI Members

Areas of Interest to LAI

F Use real options to

cope with uncertainty

F Create and evaluate

(benefits and costs)

flexibility in technical

architectures

F Enterprise

architectures for

harnessing benefits of

flexibility

Research Focus

F Life-cycle flexibility

framework addresses issues

with flexibility throughout

life-cycle, at technical system

and enterprise levels

F Boeing 787 case study

provides real world

application at both the

technical system and

enterprise levels

(8)
(9)

Analysis of 787 Derivative Option

Complete System Dynamics Model

(10)

Analysis of 787 Derivative Option

Option benefit – reduced time and cost related to designing and manufacturing 787

derivative

Option cost – development of the composite and manufacturing technology

Uncertainty – future demand for 787 derivatives

Exercise Exercise cost – the actual cost of designing and manufacturing variant

Expiration time – technological and/or economic life of the aircraft family

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