The control of local conflict : configuration analysis codebook

THE CONTROL OF L.O)CAL CCNFLICT

CONFIGURATION ANATYSIS CODEBOOK

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The Cuntrol of Lcal1 CLflict

Codebook

Contents

Coding Instructions ... .

Identification of Phases in the Conflict ... I

1. Cover Sheet Data on the Conflict in General

and the Relationship Between Antagonists...;... 2

2. Demographic Data for Antagonist . 6

3. Economic and Transportation Dati for Antagonist ... 11

4. Political System and Structure of Antagonist ... 17

5. Perceptions and Policies of Antagonist

with Respect to the Conflict ... 29

1

Foreign or External Relations of Antagonist

and Involvement by Third Parties in the Conflict ... 40

7. Military Capabilities of Antagonist ... 52

8. Status and Performance of Antagonist' s Military Capabilities , 64

75

9. L~c Due to the Conf lict for AntLagonist .. ... I.

SI i 1111i aI I i Ii a I I a a I I I I i I 1 1

CODING

IN.STRU TTCTI1ONS

For the purposes of this study of local conflicts two assumptions are to be made.

First, it is assumed that there are only two principal parties, "antagonists," or

"adversaries" involved in any given _{conflict; and, that all other direct or indirect}

participants therein are "third parties" to the.conflict, regardless of their effect upon its eventual development or outcome. The term "antagonist" is used throughout this codebook to designate the one principal party under consideration at a given moment, while the "adversary"' is used in this context to refer to the other.

An "antagonist" comprises, further, the sum of the ruling "regime" (i.e., government

or effective elite) of this principal party, plus whatCever "general population" is in its

political jurisdiction or effective control. These distinctions are adhered to

through-out the codebook, and specific items (or, questions) are phrased in terms of each.

For me conflicts, it depends very _{much upon one's interests or frame of reference,}

whom one designates as the principal parties or "antagonists" thereto, and whom as

in-volved "third parties.' For our purposes, however, it is the ori7nal two parties to

the local conflict, as they define themselves, which are to be defined as the

Thenceforth, any international, supra-national, regional, national, or autonomous

sub-ational force or organization _{that becomes involved in the conflict, directly or}

indirectly, in partial or neutral fashion, is to be regarded as a "third party" to the

conflict, for purposes of answering this codebook.

One special or exceptional case in this regard is that of a revolution, rebellion,

or uprising _{(etc.) against a colonial (or effectively colonial) government. In this case,}

-the colonial government itself and the _{rebel or revolutionary organization are -to be}

de-fined as the principal parties to _{the conflict; and the metropolitan country, as a "third}

party" with which the colonial government has formal security and economic alliances. While this requirement may seem both arbitrary and a gross distortion of reality, it is necessary to ensure the comparability of our data base, and will, it is expected, prove a fruitful, if novel, approach to the analysis of such conflicts.

The codebook proper _{is divided into nine sections. Section 1 is composed exclusively}

of questio:s that pertain either to the conflict in general or to the relationship between

the _{ntgnists, and that are to be answered as such. In sections-2 through 9, however,}

each antagonist is dealt with separately; each question therein is to be answered for each antagonist. Thus, at the top of page 6, you are asked to identify the antagonist or

adversary for whom you will answer the _{questions on that same colored sheet throughout the}

-iii-opposite sheets throughout; and which antagonist you choose to place on either side (or color)

is of no difference, so long as consistency is maintained.

The manner in which the questions are to be answered brings us to the second major assumption of this study.

It is assumed that, in their life-cycles, all conflicts pass variously through the following phase scheme:

Phase I: Pre-Military Phase--wherein the conflict is conceived in non-military terms;

Phase II: Military-But-Pre-Hostilities Phase--wherein the conflict is conceived by

the antagonists in military terms (deployment, mobilization,etc.) but no actual

hostilities, other than random or accidental, are being con4ucted:

Phase III: Hostilities Phase--wherein organized and systematic hostilities have been undertaken to resolve or settle the conflict;

Phase IV: Military-But-Post-Hostiltities Phase, or termination of hostilities

phase--wherein hostilities are broken off, but no settlement of the conflict has been achieved; thus, the conflict is as yet conceived in military terms, and

could precipitate renewed hostilities;

Phase X: Post-Military Phase, or, settlement phase--wherein the particular conflict

at hand ceases to be conceived of in military terms; this phase is, then, analogous to Phase I, and can occur but once in the life-cycle of a

par-ticular conflict.

It is to be noted that the life-cycle of any particular conflict may involve tran-sitions forward, backward, or in a feedback loop, with the result that there is no set

-iv-Further, within any Phase(s) III of a conflict, there may occur "escalations" or

"de-escalations" of the on-going hostilities. For our purposes, such occurrences are con-stituted by only a gross change, initiated by either side, in the existing "rules of the game' (explicit or tacit) governing the conduct and limitation of hostilities.

In simplified form, then, the dynamic model of conflict looks like this:

E D

The broken lines indicate possible "courses" that any given conflict may follow in going

from any one Phase (or, in P-III, from any one sub-phase) to another. It is to be expected,

then, that each conflict will follow its own idiosyncratic course through this model, and

-v-Thus, you are asked to identify, on page 1, the phases through which this particular

conflict _{has- passed. It may, for example, have followed such a course as this}

P I P1I - P III - R IV - P III - E*I - P IV - P V

if hostilities had broken out, terminated, broken out again, and escalated, before being

terminated, and a settlement finally reached.

In this particular case, with eight phases and sub-phases, there were seven "transitions" from one phase to another. It is the number of such transitions that have occurred in a par-ticular conflict which is indicated by the T's in the left hand column of page 1. And it

is _{at each of these T's that the great majority of the} questicxs _{in this codebook are to}

be answered.

Thus, each case undergoes a certain number of transitions, each of which occurs at the end of the preceding phase. Wherever the response structure to any given question indicates that it is to be answered at every T through which the conflict has passed, you are asked

to respond in terms of the conditions existing at the very end of the previous Phase or

sub-phase (ie., at the end of P I for T-1, at the end of P II for T-2, etc.) It is to be noted that if the particular conflict in question has passed, for example, through seven transitions, then T-8 through T-12 are to be ignored throughout. They are there simply to accomodate more complex conflicts.

v7i

-Wherever the response structure to a question does not specify responses. for every T

J.,where it is but a single column), the question is a single response item of a

general nature, applying throughout the history or course of the conflict, and may be answered as such.

Finally, it _{is asked that you fOrgiv2 the seeming complexity of these coding}

in-structions. _{They will, we feel, become obvious in their intent and menaing as you glance}

through the codebook. _{And lest you be intimidated before proceding, we would note that} the overwhelming majority of the questions herein are of a non-quantitative nature,

re-quiring for an answer only the thoughtful and sober judgment of an individual intimately

acquainted with this conflict. Only that thoughtful and sober judgment, and the -per-severance of you, the coder, can provide the conpleLe and reliable data on this conflict that is necessary to make this .study a success.

Appended to this codebook is a list of references containing pertinent quantitative data and - ich, hopefully, will be of use to you in locating specific pieces of information.

ie references are listed under substantive headings comparable to the questionnaire format, and are, within these headings, listed in order of their general utility or in-clusiveness in terms of that subject matter.

IDENTIFICATION OF PHASES

identify Phases (including escalation(s) and de-escalation(s) witin P III) through which

the conflict (has) passed:

(Note: identify Phases by P I, P II, etc. Within Phase(s) il, identify escalations

bY E I, E II, etc., and deescalations by D I, D II, etc. For our purposes, an escalation or

de-escalation is indicated by a gross change, initiated by either side, in the exisiLin.g

rules of the game"--explicit or tacit--governing _{the conduct and limitation of hostilities.)}

Phase P I T -1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T -12--Date Started

yr.)

Event Mark Beginning o hase

Initiator

2.

1. COVER SHEET DATA

(i.e., questions characterizing the conflict in general, or the relationship between the

antagonists thereto.)

1-1. Geographic Locus of Conflict

1. 2. .3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. North America Central America-Caribbean South America

West Europe (including Greece)

E ast Europe (including Yugoslavia)

Middle East or North Africa (including Cyprus and Afghanistan)

Africa South of the Sahara

South Asia (incl. Pakistan, India, Ceylon)

East Asia and Southeast Asia

1-2. Predominant natural environment of the conflict area (check one)

1. Flat-dry (less than 15 in. rain/year)

2. __Flat-moderate (15 -5Oin. rain/yr.)

3. 'Flat-wet (more than 50 in. rain/yr.)

4. Mountainous-dry

5. Mountainous-moderate

6. Mointainous-wet

(Ref.: Ch. 6 of S.J.Dietchnan, Limited War and American Defense Policy Cambridge, 1964)

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3.

SCharacterize e nature of the prevailing pol it ical relationship between the antago-nists within the past 20 years (previous to T-I)

. Cooperacive

Competitive

3. E:xploitive (i.e., colonial, etc.)

1-4. Characterize the nature of the prevailing military relationship between the

antagonists within the past 20 years (previous to T-1):

1. Peaceful

.2. Sporadic, random hostilities

3. Prolonged, organized hostilities

1-5. Classify the predominant nature of this conflict for these antagonists (check one)

1. Colonial

2. Interstate

3. Internal

4. Both interstate and internal

1-6. How long, in months, has this specific conflict (or, this particular recurrence

of this conflict) persisted since it went to Phase II (i.e., set T-1 equal to 0).

1.

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-1l T-12

1-7. Do there exist "ideological" differences between the antagonists (i.e., differences

between their policy-relevant views of the world and of the desireable) at this point

in the conflict?

1. Extreme differences 2. Mild differences 3. None

4.

8. Does the conftict at this pcinu- involve any specifiable piece of real estate (or, the

control of a piece of real estate)?

NT- T-2 T3 T-4 -5 - - T-8 T-9 T-10 T-ll T-12

1-9. Size of area involved (or at stake) in the conflict at this point in thousands of

square miles (indicate zero, if no real estate involved);

1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T-9 T-10T-ll T-1-2

1-10. Size of population in area involved (or at stake) in conflict at this point, in

thousands (indicate zero if no real estate involved):

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-5 -6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-li T-12

=

1-11. Has this conflict ever been brought before any agency of a rnational oraniza tion

-(as, Pan-American Union, OAS, OAU, etc.)?

1. Yes

2. No

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-l1 T-12

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1-12. Has this conflict ever been brought before any agency of an international or ization

(i.e., League of Nations or U.N.)?

1.

Yes

2.

No

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-11 T-12

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5.

S Who introduced this conflict to the n tentional

cons ider ation?

1. One of the antagonists in

the conflict

2. A "neutral" nation

3. A "Great Power"

4. Other party

5. NA (not before an

inter-national organization)

organ iation for its

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T8 T-9 T-10 T-11 T-12

1-14. On the basis of what principal complaint was this case brought before this

international organization (check onl one)?

1. Complaint of aggression, ntervention, occupation, or threats thereof

2. Demand for

self-determination

3. Claim to territory or

status

4. Denial of human rights

5. Claim of violation of

other rights under inter-national law or treaty

6. NA (not before an

inter-natioal organization)

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T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-ll T-12 T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4V T-5 -T--6

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6.

Identify this a ntagonist in the conflict

2. DNMOGRAPHIC DATA FOR ANTAGONIST

2-1. Characterize the single overriding ideal of the regime's cultural heritage, or of the

cultural heritage from which it comes:

1. Non-resistance, or renunciation

2. Rationality, or instrumental self-seeking within constitutional limits

3. 'Aggressiveness, or struggle (or competition) without limitaticn of means

4. Efficient administration, or the philosophy of "the bee is nothing, the hive is all."

2-2. Characterize the single overriding preferential mode of conflict resolution in

the cultural heritage of the regime, or in the cultural heritage from which it comes.

1. Renunciatory (yield to opposition)

2. Conciliatory (compromise with opposition)

3. Dictatorial (dominate opposition)

4. Adjudicatory (submit controversy to group decision)

2-3. Major racial grouping to which this antagonist is generally considered to belong.

1. white

2. brown

3. black

4.

yellow

7.

Does the regime belong to the same racial grouping as the general population? Yes

No

2-5.. Racial homogeneity (Caucasoid -- Mongoloid - Negroid) of this antagonist:

1. _{'Romogeneous (80%} or more of one race)

2.. Heterogeneous (less than 80%' of one race)

2-6. Linguistic homogeneity of this antagonist:

Homogeneous (mraj-ority of 85% or more; no single significant minority)

Mildly heterogeneous (majority of 85% or more; significant minority of 15% or less) Strongly heterogeneous (no group 85% or more)

2-7. Religious homogeneity of this antagonist:

1. Strongly homogeneous (90% or more of population of ore religion) 2. Mildly homogeneous (70-90% of population of orie re Ligion)

3. 1__Mildly heterogeneous (50-70% of population of cne religion)

4. Heterogeneous (no single religious group with 50% of the population)

2-8. Dominant religious group: indicate that religion with greater membership among

the antagonist than any other:

1.~~ Pate s tan 2. Catholic 3. -Eastern 0 4. induU 5. B_

ud dhis

t 6. Muslim 7. Jewi sh 8. Confucian 9. Other - S 10. -Other - d t r thodox ame as adversary

ifferent from adversary

1. 2. 1. 2., 3. U' OR W

-7.

2- Does he reg me belong :o the same racial gropinr g as he geneora I popuia

Yes

2,

2-5. Racial homogeneity (Caucasoid -- Mongoloid - Negroid) of this antagonist:

1. Homogeneous (80% or more of one race) 2. _{Heterogeneous (less than 80% of one race)}

2-6 _{Linguistic 1homogeneity of this antagonist:}

1. Homogeneous (majority of 85% or more; no sile significant mtiority)

2. Mildly _{heterogeneous (majority of 85% or more;. significant minority of 15% or less)}

3. Strongly heterogeneous (no group 85% or more)

2-7. Religious homogeneity of this antagonist:

1. Stronglyv homogeneous (90% or more of population of one religion)

2. Mildly homogeneous (70-90% of population of one religion)

3. Mildly heterogeneous (50-70% of population of one religion)

4. Heterogeneous (no single religious group with 50% of the population)

2-8. Dominant religious group: indicate that religion with greater membership amonlg

the antagonist than any other:

1. Protestan

2.

_ Catholic 3. Eastern 0 4. Hindu 5. Buddhist 6. Muslim 7. Jewish 8. Confucian 9. Other - s 10. Other - d t r thodox ame as adversary

83 *W Percent:ge of Ct population a 1 _La 7<:>j J. ,Q * ,, LLLe~rate) 1n3 Low (eoiw no genelc r more) ralI popuI:ationcii)

2109~ Daily nes paper circulation

2 3 4 U 2.-il. 1, -'2, a mm a per l000 ou La Lion:

ffigh (300 and over) Meduium (100 -2/99) Low (10-99) 17ery tOW ' NA

5j

., n clow 10) o general population)

Deths. from domestic groupio _{pa o Ln0 f}

1:-r CLis 3flLar-nD~c

-17 1o geeral -r DOl ation

2) :nze,~ or touLsan A 7u i reai in po t ical 0 In Si in political 7 -3(73 1.t 14 _{or actua} e-risdi-1e0i or1 1<3 3-4 ;t; 2.2 1<2 .- -a im op I ' ae a as a am 3 1 1-2 3 1- T 5 T T g

-9 Fercentage 4-o of total population able read(i~e. , iterate) in at least one language:

1 4igh,(80 or m

2 Medium(40-79

3 Lo (beow 0 )

3~ o W J OW 4

0-4 NA (no general pcpulation)

2-10. Daily newspaper Circ io, per 1000 population:

1. Hi gh (300 and over)

2. Medium (100 -299)

3. Low (10-99)

4 . Ver y -low(be l 10 )

5. NA (i.e., no general population)

2-il. Deaths from domestic group violence pcr 1000 population for this antagonist:

1.

2. NA (i.e., no general population)

2-12. Size of area in political jurisdiction or actual control of this antagonist, in

thousands of square miles:

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5

T6

T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-Ll T-12

2 :3. Total population in political jurisdiction or actual control of this antagonist

in thousands:

-3

a piece or rezal estat is in~volved in tis conf e i t,_ i

n m trritic1al

bounr-cartes e amed~ by ts

an~-zn

as _{ts own?}

'aI~ pne teritria boun--l 'AI

dar ie claimed b y this

an-tagonist as its own?

3 ot wti anld withou01-t theC

doundaies c laie d by this antagonist as its own?

(no) relall estate _involved)

L1 -2 T-3 T -4 - 3 T -6

1-7

_T-8

T-

_{9 T-10 T T 1I2}

f1o a ce of _{2nagnststotal} real estate is involved in this onflt, what perentg of this

cla.ied Land ,area does this re0resent? I

estate involved

T T-2 T-3 T -4 T - '5 6 T-I 1 7 >9 T-1. 0

If a _{ece of real estate is involve(d in}

tagonist s total claimed popil.ation ces

estate invo ved)

this con icfti wh'!Pat(perc ag th

this~~ rereen? n

I .

1-1 -2 1-3 T- T T-6 -- I

f a piee of real estate Is involved in 31is

arai coii 7 - 1re1! 1i -, - L e Sp o ra e a is in

thee specifte areaJ is cuiyctrl

- A -1 2

-v

'3 'em #*A -.7, L 3 2 7 - .--~ ->5 -- -- -, -~j I-w Ow

s actually controle by ths ntgos

9.

Tf a piece of real estate is involved in this cnflct, iS I t

S thin the territorial

bon-daries c'amed by this

an-tagonist as its own?

2. Outside the territorial boun-Caries claimied by this an-tagonist as its own?

3. Both within and without the boundaries claimed by this

antagcnfiLst as its own?

4. NA (no real estate involved) A_

T-1 T -2 T -3 T_-+T- T6T7T8 T-9 T-10' T-l 1 T-12

2-15. If a piece of real estate is involved in this conflict, what percentage of this

antagonist's total claimed land area does this represent? (Indicate NA if no real estate involved)

T T-3 T-4 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-Ll T-12

2-16. If a piece of real estate is involved in this conflict, what percentage of this an-tagonist 's total claimed populaion does this represent? (Indicate NA if no real

estate involved)

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-5

T~-7+

T-1T T-8 -T-9 T-10 T-ll T-1.2

2-17. If a piece of real estate is involved in this conflict, what percentage of that specific

area is actually controlled by this antagonist? (Indicatc NA if no real estate involved)

T-1 T-2 T-3 T- T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-ll T-1.2

2-18. If a piece of real estate is involved in this conflict, what percentage of the opulatin

in that specifc areC a is actuall- nyo e by this antagonistY

no real estate involved)

(lndicate NA If

1i)~

V~~t rc1i.atcn n, centag. cit tota l rcp -A --v li cJI i ~s crOUO

-)- CD I on) Til.T-2 +3 TV -5 T-67-7 T ~ h9 T-11C) I IV4 "t upLj ow liR owt 410 go tow a,

10.

2-19 Urbanization percentage of total population in cities over 20000

1. ig fmore rhan 353

2 _{Mdum (betvween 12 and 335%)}

Low (less than 12%)

4. T\A (ie. , no genera~

T-!J .

qw,

3 , )3 T S. C R NT O NCC IS T

sction, GNP1' is used to ) idicate eitr Tss nation a -product" or

"o F economic product,'" wcv i app licable it refers to The annuai ecoil

1-pro-'t or resources of the anaonist.;

2. Tn ray cases, the answers to marny of the foil wi ng qus Lions wil not vary

ficJ.t atly throughout the conflict. If such 3i the case, answer the quesi

at T-1, and indicate "the sam a hroughout. Wher gnificant changes area believed

5o h3vfe ocCurTEd in any item, answer the question at every such pnt.L

aw

SEconomic Develpment status of this antagonist:

SDevo loped (sei- sustaining; GNP/cap of $600) ntermed fate (near self-sustaining)

Uderdeveloped (sustained growth in 1 years)

very underceveloped (no such pros pc t)

NA (no economy as such)

3-2. Gross economic (or national) product in $ millions

economy as such): per y cl

('idicate NA

T--1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T-,3 T9 T-10 1 T12

3 Growt1h rate of GN--annual (indicate NA if no :onimny assuh)

Ti 1T-2 T 3 Ti T 5 6 T- T T-9T

3 Ra t of tnf i n the e4o7my o-- kh

pst-10 'I ---.1~ 2-2 r~3 I' --. 1- / -, - -A .1-I -~ 1. 2. 3. 1

5.

S a. S 1. 'p a S S Aw ao Ow am if

11.

3. ECONOMIC AND TRANSPORTATION DATA. OR ANTAGONIST

Note:

1. In this section, GNP is used to indicate either "gross national product" or

gross economic product," whichever is applicable; it refers to the annual. economic product or resources of the antagonist.

2. In many cases, the answers to many of the following questions will not vary

significantly throughout the. conflict. If such is the case, answer the question(s)

at T-1, and indicate "the same" throughout. Where significant changes are believed to have occurred in any item, answer the question at every such point.

3-1. Economic Development status of this antagonist:

1. Developed (self-sustaining; GNP/cap of $600)

2. Intermediate (near self-sustaining)

3. Underdeveloped (sustained growth in 10 years)

4. Very underdeveloped (no such prospect)

5. ._NA (no economy as such)

3-2. Gross economic (or national) product in $ millions per year (indicate NA if no

economy as such):

1.

I II

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-11 T-12

3-3. Growth rate of GNP--annual (indicate NA if no economy as such):

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-ll T-l2

3-4. Rate of inflation in the economy over the past year (indicate NA if no economy as such)

1. T

1 2

- '-' - .--

-(i S' 3

per

ye:) (iniat 9) sonomy as such)

3 6. 9L

, 6 tPer centae Uf GNP originatLig in (md lee La NA if no@ economy assh

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4T 5 T-6 r-7 T- T' 9 T-1 T

3 7x Pereuage af GNP (per year)

NA i no economy as such):

to du~ eel a n c emi Cal i.ndus t6 ries (indir 12k12

T-1 T-2 T-3 T+ T5T-6 T-7 T- T-9 T-10 T T 2

3-8 Total productin as such):

of steel in thousands of tons per yar (indicate :A if no econoy

T-1 T-2 T-3 T- T-5 T-6 T- 7 T-3 9 - TA11

3-9. What percentage

(indicate NA if

of this antagonst's no economy as such)

GNP is repcesented by its exoort trade?

41~I 3> 3 T- F- -6 v-7 s i) A

3I ~v~iCi _{aid receiveud (in}

; N S IC, 6 -7 8 I -~ 1 'N 711 7 :61(771 ut CViQThtC a Ic] r . C--' .4 -*- --~-i 1 r o X/eIvedI (in I, --- / -w 'ar I: -- ,1 -N "" 00 3-l t *0 04 C a S a 3-5. 13

12.

3- Per capita GNP (in

$

per ear) (indicate NA if o conomy as such)

T-1 T-, -' T-4 T-5 T- T- Tu8 9 T-9 T-1 d T-1E-21

3-6. Percentage of GNP originating in agriculture (indicate NA if no economy as such):

... ...

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T- T-8 T-9 T-TU T-ll T-12

3-7. Percentage of GNP (per year) in durable goods and chemical industries (indicate

NA if no economy as such):

1. . ~ ~ . L L

-T-1 T-2 T-3 T-T T-5 T-6 T-7 -T~~ T-9 T-10 T-ll T-12

3-8. Total production of steel in thousands of tons per year (indicate NA if no economy

as such):

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 C-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-l1 T-12

3-9. What percentage of this antagonist's GNP is represented by its export trade?

(indicate NA if no-economy as such)

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-ll T-12

3-10. Total foreign aid received (in $ millions per year)

T-l T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-ll T-12

3-11. Total foreign economic aid received (in $ millions per year):

13

ni gn aid receve a. s prc C 3e g N Sr f r iz ani ecea;id:

ii cate NA if , econmy Es sac

1 2 1 -3 ' -T5 T- T T8 T- T-1 T

e3 c-cs this party have what is genraly regarded as3 a rogressive" a sr uc1ur1?

3. .;'A (Jie no economy as

Revenue Of regime as * pexcen.iage oL G-NP (:nd cate NA if no economy as such):

2- T 3 T5 T-6 T-7 T8T9 -10 T, T I 2

3-. 5 Expend itures of r egime as percentoage Cf GNP (indicate NA tf no ccnomay as such)

16t t-z I-3 1>4 T-5 T- T'-7 T-8 T- T-10 T T 2

3-16. Expeditures for social welfare service n

n cl di; health, education, pubIc hous

no economy as such) : OR ON" *N Ow am Iw lo a* by this re-gi me a3 cn of - I t' I s -, .? Jng , wefr bnf QW,' 1 em ( ; ad .; -A--.-- .J.. 4---.-.-~ ~ $ --. I t - -"-It or

TOA t ~ 131 I '1 jtLEMJJ13 bnid-;1-; - 1-*... a WA -, v

-T 2- 6 T A. aw . * UA s;u ch T T3 T - -7 T-8 T9 T -10 T T 12

13.

3A21 Foreign aid received as percentage of party's o GP plus foreign aid receivd: (Indicate NA if no economy as such)

T-I

T-2

T-3 T~4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T11 T-12

3-13. Does this party have what is generally regarded as a "progressive" tax structure?

1. Yes

2. No

3. NA (i.e., no economy.as such)

t I I .I I a

T-1 T-2 3 T4 T-5 TT-8 T-10 T-l T-12

3-14 Revenue of regime as percentage of GNP (indicate NA if no economy as such):

T-1 T-2 T-3 T4T-5 T-6 T-7 T8T9T1 -1T1

3-15. Expenditures of regime as percentage of GNP (indicate NA if no economy as such).

3-16. _{Expenditures for social welfare services by this regime as percentage of its GNP,}

including health, education, public housing , welfare benefits, etc. (indicate

NA if no economy as such):

I. ___2T-3_T_6_T_7_-8_12

T7-1 T-2 T-3 7-4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-1l T-12

3-17l Total military defense budget (in

$

millions per y ar) (indicate NA if no econmy as such)

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-ll T-12

A

LUdlOrit..2 \ ').1:

T2 T' - 7 T -8

3-9. Trotal inta try

NA if: no ecn

deftense buLd ;t2

my a s

@1: Vt? forelgn aid rcei VeI

such): T 2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T4 T-7 T-h 8 -9 T-10 T-T t2 3-2() Agi§ Cultural 3-21. Emp l yment empioymeunt as iin JTfldci.:sttly pCL. QCT±L33~6 2 as prcentage o ' la t L 0 a es 15-64: (ind6ate age 15-64: indicate ow NA if no p NA i n G n9 )3 1-i 1 2 T-3 T4 Tr T 6 7 T 8 -9 T-1 T

3-22. Unemployed as percentage C population -ige 15 ~6' (incUr ci! a N if no o neral

T4 2 3 4 5 6 7 .8 9 T O

33. Unemocloyment ar Qalaemloymentt of

genral ppulationa: Is this a:

I - .1 U1J .xH;Lcn 1 1 -, IL .-c' .' I1 - . -...L ... Al 'rYoCem .-. -~.1 -- ... I- A.--... ) 2 -3 -. .4.,.. t: S . . & *1 V 1 9 - I Il c V ''"I S S V. W; UP .1 em 2-12 Sm iw of Ut ml 3 _{1 2 T-3 T-4 T- T} - T- T-83 T-9 T1 M Ti

14.

i. Total military dteese budge as percentage e GNP (iTdicate NA if no ;co ncy

3 -]L 9 Total military defense _{budget as percentage} of GNP us foreign _{aid received} (ind ck5e

NA if no economy as such):

T.1 T 2 T-3 T- T-5 T T-7 T- T-9 T-10 T-ll T-12

3-20. _{Agricultural employment as percentage of population ages 15-64: (indicate NA if no pop n}

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7T-8 T-9 T-10 T-11 T1~-12

3-21. _{E.mployment in industry as percentage of population age 15-64: (indicate NA if no pop'n.)}

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T~6 T-7 T T-9 1 T-10 T-_l -12

3-22. Unemployed as percentage of population age 15-64:(iodicate NA if no genleral popul'ation)

T-1 T-2 T-3 T- T-5 T- T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-1l T-12

3-23. Unemployment or mal-employment of local "intellectuals" in this antagonist's

general population: Is this a:

1. Marked problem 2. Mild problem

3. No, 'or negligible problem

4. NA e ,i no population,

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-il T-12 1 .

- LA

KS 7' ji~ A' it CT

3 , Nu e off pvd

0isposal t this antbTgoni:

estate3 is involxved):

f*~ £- 7 T-Si9I-OW-~L

hUghwayl (in Ctsans) Wich are controlle by n ' or a

stY in theA conflict area(s) (indicate NA if. no real

Vo

Tl T-2 T-3 -t4 T- 1 6 T-7 T4 T-9 T-10T 7..(7

Amber of 2iles Of ratJlroa (inthusnd)'I

7 t in

h n 11a y or at

(indicate NA if

-63

1-4

TV>

-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-I l - 2 Number of airports capable of handling heavy

are controlled by or at d.i' s posal o1 Cf Che (2

piston -ircraft _{(DC -3 or larger)}

ntagonist in the cofic t't area2I(s

1

C-1 1-2 T-3 Y-4 Tr- T-6 T-7 T- T-9 1-,O TLI T-2

N Ier of airports capabe

t '1e disposal of this an

of handl t ni t i e co 1 - a- / ) I, 3 A. . ~ U -, 7-3 T~-~ I-) ( A. . .t.. A I 1' 1 ,, I), -t 6) -~ 20 FOAl cs~--ite A L 3 8. a a S a a a a me

go

F! eo invoini) 3

15..

3-24 Nomads as percentage of pop ulaion: indicat NA if no gene ral population)

-L Il AL L- d.

3-25. Number of miles of paved highway (in thousands) which are controlled by or at the

disposal of this antagonist in the conflict area(s) (indicate NA if no real

estate is involved):

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T -5 TT-9 T-10 T-1l T-12

3-26. Numtber of miles of railroad (n thousands) which are controlled by or at the disposal

of this antagonist in the conflict area(s) (indicate NA if no real estate involved)

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-1 T-ll T-12

3-27. Number of airports capable of handling heavy piston aircraft (DC -3 or larger) which

are controlled by or at the disposal of the in Atagonist the conflict area(s)

T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-0 T-LL T-12

3-28, .aber of airports capable of handling jet transports ,which are controlled by or

the disoosal of this antagonist in the conflict area(s):

1. T

a

mama

mu#

mam

a

m

ahamaE

mui

mu

mmI

mai

i

4 CCc I 1

16.

3-29, Nber of seapoErts (or copaab fL elites) canable of handling ocesn-go-ng

1. '-4 C ,44 tn tin -'4 .4 . .7 i 4 4 I I .4 4 '4 '-4 4.) N . r s(

17.

4. POLITICAL SYSTEI_ AND STRUCTURE OF ANTAGONLST

4-1. Characterize this antagonist: (check. oe)

Independent national government

2 Colonial government

3. Internationally appointed trusteeship or interim government

4. Rebel or insurgent organization.

4-2. Date of independence of this antagonist as a nation:

1. Before 1800

2.

__ 1800-1913

3. 1914-1945

4. After 1945

5. NA (not an independent nation)

4-3. Modern colonial ruler (present or most recent) of this antagonist

1. Britain France Spain 4. Portugal 5. Netherlands 6. Belgium 7. ital~y

9. Nne in modern times

4-4 Exective stabiliy (i.e., nmbe of chief x or as of government

within previous ten years) (indicate NA if ree

rrganiz3tion)

1

-~ , ~ . ,..1 - -~ I - u. . u. E S*3G :-' ng , - -. -- -.. ... - r --C i:.C 4.. C C 72.. T c 1 1 1 3 LL -2...c~ ra pour~ in elieextem y'~~~r'-' *,r -- iL t a Sb-a AC L -0 , 2 -E r ~ .44m ,:J ~ ev 1 ~ i *1 Sae . r Ce .P: to7C1 zent 7//v .- -.L. 3 .3 .~A 3 3 i ~1 _ * )...1 1.., -. 1.. - .-- 3- .. I 2, .4. 3. c.: .1 S C I ap a6 lo a V a a 13 1 . - 4 so t" 1W a--ak C 1! EA Mail 71 -, -- - J- '. - , - 4 "

-18.

4-5. Characterize type of government or political structure: 1. Political democrac --autonomous

executive, legislature, and

courts as well as interest

groups, political parties,

and mass media __I

2. Tutelary

democracy--structur-al forms and norms of democracy present, but

concentration of power in executive and

bureau-cracy - democratic goals g

3. Modernizing oligarchy--dTmocratic constitution absent--power concentrat-ed in hands of military or bureaucracy - goal of modernization (especially economic) __ _ t* t 4. Totalitarian oligarchy--extreme concentration of power in elite, extreme penetration of society

by policy -- goals may be

nationalist or global

revolutionary

5. Traditional

oligarchy--usually monarchic or dynastic, based on custom rather

than statute;goals are

primarily maintenance goals _-A

6. NA(i.e., rebel or insurgent organization with no

gov-ernment as such) _I

a t anot a Ier {-5&-oTT -IT O - 37 T6i 7 T-8 T-..9 TAO T> 2-- . y . y . (i.e,, r,3 oranization) T 1 T2 T 3 T- T-5 T-6 T 7 T-8 T-9 T) T T 1 132

o 3 tuS;O f u.,dCiC ia-rv'

.1 C 0 ~1. .9 ,)[ J.s\ 1 (3 5 I '5 I .. s!&1 A~ 5. _.1. .3 5., ₄ .4 4 -. .1.. .4 , .4. a, S a U. a S a S -1 1 J 11, IS ow oS w a

- 19.

4-6. Current status of executive as opposed to other branches of government:

1. Doi-nant (throughout

govern-ment establishgovern-ment)

2. Strong (dominance limited to purely executive

functions)

3. Weak (dominated by another

branch of government, by

political party, etc.)

4. NA (i.e., rebel organization) a I a I

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 .T-10 T-Ll T-12

4-7. Current status of legislature:

1. Fully effective (co-equal

branch of government)

2. Partially effective

(vir-tually dominated by

executive)

3. Wholly ineffective (rubber stamp)

4. None -- no legislature

5. NA (i.e., rebel organization)

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-ll T-12

4-8. Curent status of judiciary:

I. Fully effective (co-equal

branch of government)

2. Partially effective

(vir-tually dominated by

executive)

3. Wholly ineffective (rubber stamp)

4. None -- n.o judiciary

5. NA (i.e., rebel organization)

a a

17~ -. 7 01 C 1- i W e oil a2 C) flt i a c h 2. S m.7 t2 a t al J, ifult1 . d a y rannal, adat-A o mmCh a 07 x. 12 0 -1-1 1 an.n7.

1

A A titan at L~.7 I ~ I ~ ~ ~ T~r- 2 T-.3 TA 1>5 1-6 §1>7 1>8 T--9 C-tO I I). 1'- L2

0iIO I DLd the present regime attaa power by e Lsb ish id cons ti tuio pr- -e odnr e

Yes 13 IA T e ree« organization) r-n1 to .7 , .7 .7 .-. r ec x .. I,- -T7 1 A iT3 T-4T T-6 T-7 7 I-8 T 9 T T 12

leader hip. Cara. Lri , the valest

functiona les 1 in? the polt icaI S Ltruc.it 7) a ure o2iaf t his regime:

i. wholl n'lv - 1J~ A - .7 11 - 11-1-- 1 . . . _ - " _ _ ---j , ' . F -7 .1 __J..__K I __A _ _-4 - A .1 V i .-.7 .- -.7 1' w on a" ap ab a S a a a S MI aNO so (A J..

20.

4-9. Character of bureaumra or administrative organs:

1. Modern (generally rational

and effective, recruitment

largely on basis of achievement) 2. Semi-modern (largely rational, limited ef ficienc y) 3. Transitional (ex-colonial,

largely rational,

adapt-ing to own social

institutions)

4. Traditional (largely non-rational, ascriptive re-cruitment)

5. NA (i.e.,rebel organization)

2 T 3 1

I Ia

T-1 T-T-3 T-4T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-lO T-11 T 12

4-10, Did the present regime attain power by established constitutional procedure? 1. Yes

2. No.

3. NA (i.e. rebel organization)

t i_-L -. A. .L

_--PiL T T- 7 T T - l T-12

4-11. Recruitment to leadership. Characterize the values dominant in recruitment of psonnel into functional roles in the political structure of this regime:

1. Elitist--recruitment wholly

according to ascriptive criteria (i.e. ,membership in a class, caste, pol.

party, etc.)

2. Moderate--recruitment largely but not wholly according to

ascriptive criteria

3. Non-elitist--achievement or

ability criteria dominate

recruitment process

a I 4L ~A ____£L ~

I A ~

T-1hYTJ~T~~3 T

6 TZ7

T

:

T-1 T-12

a

'* mm

g

mm

gg

ggg

m

m

mmml..i

mmmi

EU

-4 I -1 24 '.i 4.4 ~2 "N C)> A C-, 4-; 0 '(p 4-4444 'I I c- 0 2 -(1 cc' 4 f-i" On) 01~. 4~4 4 V-4 -4 ~0 '--4

-C

a-a~ .w. 1) F-'

it

F--' s-c jr-I tfl -4 -4. -4 I 1-4' 4 4 4 -4 I 4 F--4 0 11 Of2 44 ₃ ' "4 -r 44) .22? 4-i) (4.4 4.4 --4 -. 2;- & -'a Is 4 4 . * 4 4 4 C * -4j' ii-CU 4~2 '14'~ 0 445 4-A -'--4 I') 4-4-I I. C-'

4

CC w--C 7 0) -I--i 12 C 4~4~4 21 --'I It 44 -. 4-I 'I

21.

4-12. Ideological orientation of regime:

1. Left wing (Communist, etc.)

2. Moderate (Democratic,

Socialist, etc.)

3. Right wing (Military,

Fascist, etc.) _{- T}

T-l T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-l1 T-12

4-13. Political orientation of regime toward internal affairs:.

1. Traditionalist or reactionary.

2.. Moderate - pragmatic 3. Revolutionary

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T T-7 T-8- T-9 T-1O T-1l T-12

4-14. Character of international policy of this regime:

1. Doctrinaire-leftist 2. Doctrinaire-rightist 3. Pragmatic-moderate 4. None L -ai T-l T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-i1 T-12

4-15. Communist orientation of this regime: Commun.ist-Soviet oriented Communist-China oriented Communist-Independent Non-Communist Avowed anti-Communist -~-J-~______ I p I I I I B I ~ I I I I I I. i - I I I I T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-ll T-12 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.

.2

- 3 f 5 T- I

T3

T-- 9 10

Qua o S1 e of regille '101O rts made by re.ime t) Tmtob 1)4 r It ne _on7,IL

to ect -its esth eOd nn Q. M! . i ) S

7a 0 nl , s - e -2 3 4 T5 T6 T7 T8 T-9 T -10 T T 2I 4 8 o tc cn n po o gnI n 1: on or 7 oi i1I3-S 1o -S:m c Itd-ow e ) _{i -, Awn} 4 C .a. 1 2 n/ 4, 2

22.

4-16. Leadership charisma within regime: Pronounced

Negligible or none

T-1 T-2 T-3 'T-4' T-5 T-6 T T-8 T-9 T-10 T-ll T-12

4-17. Mobilizational style o-f r'egime (ef f orts made by regime to mobilize general

to meet its established .political goals):

1. Fully -mobilizational (all

population)

2. Limited mobilizational

(spe-cific segments of society)

3. Non-mobilizational (opposes

or suppresses popular

par-ticipation in political process)

4. NA (i.e. ,no general

population)

population

T-7 T-8 T-9 T-1 T-1 T 1

T- T T

T-l T-2 T-3 T~~~~~~- - - -. T8T9Tl -lT

4-18. Political integration of general population:

1. High (integrated polity, no extreme opposition to pol. system, or non-assimilated

groups) a a a

2. Medium (significant .minority

in opposition, or

non-assimilated) p a I

3. Low (non-integrated or

re-stricitve polity with majority in opposition or non-assim. 4. NA (i.e., no general population) I I T-l T-2 T-3 T 4 T-5 T-6 T 7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-l T-12 1. 2.

1

S.U

IUII

iaug

mg

gmgmggu

g

23.

4-19. Freedom of press allowed by this regime: 1. Complete (no censorship)

2. Intermittent (occasional

or selective)

3. Internally absent (domestic'

censorship, but none on newsgathering for foreign dissemination)

4. Internally and externally absent (strict domestic and foreign control)

5. NA (no press) _{T- -1 ~}

I -T7 _T__-4 _T _5 1- 9 T -9 T E0 T-41T- ~

4-20. Freedom of .group opposition allowed by this regime:

1. Autonomous groups free to

enter politics and oppose government

2. Autonomous groups free to or

-ganize; limited in capacity

to oppose government

3. Autonomous groups tolerated

only outside politics

4. No autonomous groups

tolerated 5. NA (no general

population)

~t St Si Si &J Si IiIiSfl 115111 SUIt '44 (4 (4 -i--4 -'-4 2-4 in 44-.44 ZN 41) -4 444 -t 1 v0 u-. 4 4 Lfl

t

'.4" 4 '-4 4'4 4-i (I 4'.- -0 ".4 C) .4) tiE 4-fl "--4 4-'.' 4 4 .4-' U' 4 (43 ~4'4 4.1 'r-'~ (4 -4 'U Cr-' ~ C.,-' I") -'4, 4.4.4'.. 443 ~ 4-, 4.4 @2 '.4) 4.,' .j~4 44-4 n" 4 4....-4,'.'.. 44 C 4 44 4 -r -4 4 44 4 C-i t ~ 9 4

K

4 4 44 4 :4 4..44r 4 44 4 4 4 .4'. 4 ' -4 .4 -A ~ 41 4:--' ~ :2 4-4 .4-I 4-s 4 '4 4.: 42 (3 -4 ---4 -ft 41 4"'-' "--i 4 . 4-" .4-I 4ff C 12 4-'. -4..' 4,4 .44-I 4$ '44.'. ~j44-.J F 4. 4.44 -4'44.4 -1--,-...44 4-fl (.4 4. '44-' 4'. -4. 4-4.4 -" 4 .44 4' ft 4--' ct-ti KG -44 -444-4 -4 -4 '--4 -~4 -y 4 (-4 * 444 -t -' 4.-4 Ic?' '44 --~ -4~'4 4 4 -14-4 '--4 -H .-. 4 -4.4.4 Q 4'.4 -4 r' 1"' -4-4 r' 4T-~ -'44 ('.4., 4 -4' 4.44 ft 4.4 --4 4 4 --4 44.4..44 'r'4 .g-~1 -C (4 'A tO 44-.-' 4 L$ r;~ '---' 'H I,.' r'' 2-4 4~4'.4 Cf .4., (4" '.42 ft 'I-.' ---4 C) 44'4 4 -4 4-v 44.4, 4... '---4 '4; 74 -A -44 A -4 4 '44.4~ '--.4 (.4 4 -.44 -4- 4 4 -4 4

--24.

4-.21. _{Interest articulation by anomic (spontaneous) groups (i.e., mobs demonstrators ,etc.)}

1. Frequent 2. Infrequent 3. None tolerated 4. NA (i.e.,no general population) TlT2T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T- -s- T-l T-l T-12

4-22. Interest articulation by associational groups (i.e., specialized structures of interest articulation--as, unions):

1. .Significant politically

2. Insignificant politically

3. NA.(i.e..,no general population

T -l_ T -2 T -3 T- T -5 TWTT8T9Tl T-lT-12

4-23. Interest articulation by institutional groups (i.e., institutions performing other social functions--as, church):

1. _{Significant politically}

2. Insignificant politically

3. NA(i.e. ,no _general

population)---T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-ll T-12 4-24. _{Interest articulation by political parties:}

1. Signficant politically

2. Insignificant politically

3. NA(i.e.,no general population

---4- 4- -- J -~- -~.-AJ ____

)

T-3 - T-9 T-lo T-lI T-12

AM. 9..

4-23. Constitutia statuS ofl rrol cal parties.:

.- ~C 11 -i

26 * - * '* , e

parti esallowed at all)

rno 0e7 r 'pulaLion

I-IP- - T' 3 TA 4 -5 T-6 T-7 T8 T-9 T-10 CIT 12 eS Tt i n a1 n. t t 1. L r V -. ItJ t y~ oa I t or0-1 a DO- o ) De:, t n I

(

0 1 - A ip 3r-

ty1-ST-6 e' e 1-Ssonah'-0

Iex-mAr g J, aA - -t k Cant r4-'fJD 20 '2 -J., 1~~ - -. ) i~4., I.-*1 -a--. A -.-""t a ma a S. a a a S a a a S a S a a a a a a a a a S a S

25.

4-.25 Constitutional status of political parties:

1. Compectitive (no party ban

at all)

2. Partially competitive

(se-lective outlawry of parties

3. Non-competitive (no oppositio

parties allowed at all) 4. NA (no general population)

in

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-ll T-12

4-26. Effective party system:

1. One-party (no opposition) _A

2. One-party dominant ( no

effective opposition) _-

-3. One and one-half party (oppo-sition significant but un-able to win majority)

4. Two-party (reasonable

ex-pectation of party rotation

5. Multi-party (coalition or

minority party gov't normally

mandatory)

6. NA (i.e., no general population)

T-1T- T- T4 T5 -6 -7T-8 T9 T-101T T-12

4-27 . Personalism within political parties (personality oriented):

1. Pronounced (all parties highly

personalistic)

2. Moderate (some personalism)

3. Negligible (no significant

personalism) 4. NA (i.e., no general population) I a a a a i a 1 ~ -4-: -8S=q- r-oLT _ T-1- T--2TII _-T

26

8 re) Centage tios ( ofj voting ite NA 2ge. if popnlaion; I C >7)1 no eH in> tC _d s eet oua o

1 - r r o L i

ECtc s rjc 1ece tctnno _{v e r ee ra ))pu' ,L L io)}

T~T _{. >7 1-8 -119}

1 T 1

tesC.-? b

-cie

ths r i n theJ

a pec!entage of the total vote cast t

cto xral ppulat ion):

m!ost racen: _{popular (oI n tiona)e lect us}

(indicate A if no elections ever held _{I uo}

1 T1 T2 T-3 T-T _{17 , 1 T-}

_t

_'

3ectons

as

cC'C'~~

2§C 'f LCtotl cLjs C:ast in r

ecton Wer4 e - a'v.1 ;_1

tCneld, Yor oel p pu I I Lefat

b et ci'd , 17 1 no g1 0x2 -? ;IC a - 1 ) )1 u 1

the mowt recenit 2 0bu

far n Ges 6idic a t e OW OW lo W lo a0 ao X- 3 1-4 _{T- T-6 T- T-8 T-9 1-10 1 !J} or noe a ~n y v .o 1] S -g £ -Cpr e A na tionalJ) eeC r

let. ions ever held , or no0

t ot - o e eat _{in Q}

geea populat ion):

r i: e"-'sL? Ok ms * _1< . _-. -*- -~ .9' 1 i. I-1 T-2 1-3 T4 T-5 T-6 T-7 1- T- T 3

i aTr g -ist exIC pe r f;y)ie 1- -n(d a 1.Edtrship- _{" r is 1 .1in}

N I-CCCCC C-A f-P _{a ~} .4 . .3 a , j 1) 'I C ~.. I 8 A -? .i r' ~C ~ ' C rFPF *NP A.. H 7>12 1- h . ho' A lo ft w to W NOW ao ow 'p I1 EG -A

26.

4-28. Percentage of voting age population voting in the most recent popular (or national)

elections (indicate NA if no elections ever held, or no general population):

T-l T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7T T- T-10 T-ll T-12

4-29, Votes received by this regime in the most recent popular (or national)elections, as

a percentage of the total vote cast (indicate NA if no elections ever held, or no

general population):

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-lO T-ll T-12

4-30. How many votes, as a percentage of the total votes cast in the most recent popular

(or national) elections, were received by all "Left Wing" parties? (Indicate NA if no elections ever held, or no general population):

1. I

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-ll T-12

4-31. How many votes, as a percentage of the total votes cast in the most recent popular

(or national) elections, were received by all "Right Wing" parties? (Indicate NA if

no elections ever held, or no general population):

T-1 T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6 T-7 T-8 T-9 T-10 T-l T-12

4-32. Has this antagonist experienced a leadership "crisis" during this Phase?

1. Yes

2. No _______

27

s. ed a chang i th e r a a 1. 1n

-egimes duing ' this phse

T-1T-2 T-3 T-4 T-5 T-6T-7 T0T-9 T-i0 Ti 2

3/ ''->~us ,Js ec wwxQe out~c ir, 0. t1 I ~~ ivV& e' s-- a. th~r LT~t r &?wtc~c~~kLUC s rc. s c otrra-t .-~,i. % t 'tIl ri ~~fel

it _ ;- L . -)C4th , I*-G 1d, M-.Ie , - w u1J I' - ,-; ,Ca t 0 -c

* V ,_

1-i~-T - UF T§~ 3 19 T> Pl )LI i

eneral public) to c-nsCitut th min . caaii tis of th s ;<>: ?~

2. o , it is seen as an

inde.pendent msovement or force)a

foA (i e., n eea

T-1 I'-2zT-3vT- T5T-6 T_{T- T-8 T-9 T-10 T1 T 1,2}

s the l-evel of genc ±ieCtives in this

al I popl ira suppor-IE, t (among

conflic t?

its: paopul ae) for the regrie .

eneallyJ 1 high .

-J .,i_ I J

~~~Ui1I~~~,- -A-- - ---.. _

eneral.y:now

- 2. AC al- DO3 .. ul ati.L'. 3.3

L~. A .,iL I £ 3 a _C) . .. 33~~) . . I. a' 'ij * I' ./ a, S a S S ha, S .7 ow W 1-~. a S ma, S a S