HAL Id: halshs-01181200
https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-01181200
Submitted on 30 Jul 2015
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How Can We Explain the Dynamics in Debt Maturities of Firms ?
Patrice Fontaine, Sujiao Zhao
To cite this version:
Patrice Fontaine, Sujiao Zhao. How Can We Explain the Dynamics in Debt Maturities of Firms ?.
2014, 46 p. �halshs-01181200�
How Can We Explain the Dynamics in Debt Maturities of Firms?
FONTAINE Patrice ZHAO Sujiao
CAHIER DE RECHERCHE n°2014-01 E2
Unité Mixte de Recherche CNRS / Université Pierre Mendès France Grenoble 2 150 rue de la Chimie – BP 47 – 38040 GRENOBLE cedex 9
Tél. : 04 76 63 53 84 Fax : 04 76 54 60 68
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How Can We Explain the Dynamics in Debt Maturities of Firms?
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Abstract
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Keywords: Ǣ Ǣ Ǣ Ǣ
JELClassification:͵
* ± ØǦǤ
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ȋ Ȍǡ ͵͵ͻͲǡ ǡ ͳͷͲ ǡ Ͷǡ ͵ͺͲͶͲ ǤǦǣ Ǥ̷ǤǡǤ̷ǤǤ
PatriceC.Fontaine SujiaoZhao ȋ Ȍ
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1. Introduction
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ȋʹȌdz ͳǦ ȋͳͻͻͳȌǡ
ȋͳͻͻͷȌǡ ȋͳͻͻȌǡ ȋͳͻͻȌǡ ȋʹͲͲͳȌǡ ǡ
ȋʹͲͲ͵Ȍǡ ȋʹͲͲ͵Ȍǡ Ǥ ȋʹͲͲͷȌǡ Ǥ ȋʹͲͲͷȌȌǡ Ǥ ȋʹͲͲȌǡ
ȋʹͲͳͳȌǡ ǤȋʹͲͳͳȌǤ
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2. Related Literature
2.1.TheoreticalImplications:ConventionalDeterminantsandOptimalDebt Maturity
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ǦȋȋͳͻȌǡǤȋʹͲͲͷȌǡ ǤȋʹͲͳͲȌǡ
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ȋǤǤǡ Ǥ ȋʹͲͳͳȌȌǡ ȋǤǤǡ Ǥ ȋʹͲͳͲȌǡ
ȋʹͲͳͲȌǡǤȋʹͲͳͲȌȌ ȋǤǤǡ
ȋʹͲͳʹȌǡ ȋʹͲͳʹȌȌǤ ǡ
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ȋͳͻͻȌȌǡȋǤǤǡȋͳͻͻͷȌ
ȋʹͲͲͲȌȌǡ ȋǤǤǡ ȋͳͻͺȌȌǤ
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ȋʹͲͲͳȌ ȋʹͲͲͶȌȌǡ
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ܻǡ௧െ ܻǡ௧ିଵൌ ߙ ߣ൫ܻǡ௧் െ ܻǡ௧൯ ߝǡ௧݅ ൌ ͳǡ ǥǡ ݊ݐ ൌ ͳǡ ǥ ǡ ܶሺͳሻ
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ȋͳͻͻͻȌǡ Ǥ ȋʹͲͲͳȌǡ ȋʹͲͲʹȌǡ ȋʹͲͲͷȌǡ
ȋʹͲͲȌǡȋʹͲͲȌǡȋʹͲͲȌǡǤȋʹͲͳͳȌǤ
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3.DataandVariables
3.1.Data ǤǤ Ǧ Ǧ ǡ
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ͳͻͺͲȋǤǤǡ ȋʹͲͳʹȌȌǤ
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Ͷͷͺͷͺʹͺ Ǥ 3.2.Variables
3.2.1.DebtMaturityStructure
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ǤȋʹͲͲ͵ȌǡȋʹͲͲ͵ȌǡǤȋʹͲͲͷȌǡǤȋʹͲͲȌȌ
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ܦܯܣܶ ൌ σହୀଵ்ௗ௧௧ ൈ ܦݑݎܽݐ݅݊ሺ்ௗ௧ିσ்ௗ௧ఱసభ௧ሻൈ ܦݑݎܽݐ݅݊ሺʹሻ
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ǡDurationiζͷǤ ǡ
ͳͲǡDurationrǤ
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3.2.2.ConventionalDeterminants
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3.2.3.TargetandTargetDeviation
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ǯǡǤ 3.3.DescriptiveStatistics
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4. How Can We Explain the Dynamics in Debt Maturities of Firms?
4.1.DebtMaturityEvolution
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4.2.ConventionalDeterminants
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ܦܯܣܶǡ௧െ ܦܯܣܶǡ௧ି௦ ൌ ߙ ߚଵοܵܫܼܧǡ௧ǡ௧ି௦ ߚଶοܣܯܣܶǡ௧ǡ௧ି௦ ߚଷοܮܧܸǡ௧ǡ௧ି௦ ߚସοܯܶܤǡ௧ǡ௧ି௦ ߚହοܴƬܦǡ௧ǡ௧ି௦ ߚοܣܥܥܧܵܵǡ௧ǡ௧ି௦ ߚܴܧܷܴܶܰǡ௧ǡ௧ି௦ ߚ଼ܸܱܮܣܶǡ௧ǡ௧ି௦ ߝǡ௧݅ ൌ ͳǡ ǥǡ ݊ݐ ൌ ͳǡ ǥ ǡ ܶሺ͵ሻ
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