• Aucun résultat trouvé

What counts is the price of exploitation

N/A
N/A
Protected

Academic year: 2022

Partager "What counts is the price of exploitation"

Copied!
16
0
0

Texte intégral

(1)

Sustainable Water Management

Examples from Sahara, Xinjiang(China) and Okawango (Botswana) regions

Wolfgang Kinzelbach, Tobias Siegfried, Philip Brunner, Peter Bauer, Fritz Stauffer

Institute for Hydromechanics and Water Resources Management ETH Zurich, Switzerland

(2)

Algeria

Tunisia

Libya Recharge through

precipitation

Pumping

Evaporation from Chotts

~80 m3/s

~10 m3/s

~30 m3/s

~5 m3/s

Outflow to sea

N

~ 100 km

Overexploitation of the North-West Sahara Aquifer System (SASS)

PhD thesis Tobias Siegfried (2004)

(3)

What counts is the price of exploitation

Investment cost and operational costs

– Energy for pumping and conveyance

– Lift of more than 200 m not economically feasible

Deterioration of water quality

– Brine back flow from Chotts (gradient reversal ) – Saline intrusion from underlying aquifer

– Saline intrusion from the Mediterranean Sea

At present pumping, the Nefzawa oases are doomed

(4)

Oasis

Backflow of brine from Chotts …

... leads to die-off of oases

(5)

What can be done ?

Continue present exploitation

– Economically infeasible drawdown and unacceptable deterioration of water quality before 2050.

Rational exploitation over limited time

– Minimizing the price of the resource under quality constraints over a given time horizon.

– Gaining time for real solutions.

Real solutions

– Alternative water sources: e.g. desalination.

– Structural change: water saving and decrease of irrigated perimeters.

Tool: Model to predict consequence of strategies

(6)

Strategies for exploitation

One big well field in vicinity of users

Low transport cost, high pumping cost, early exhaustion due to local

drawdown

Spread-out well fields at distance from the users

High transport cost, low pumping cost, well-distributed drawdown

1 2 3

5 4 6

Pumping from IC requires larger capital investment than pumping from TC

IC contra TC Alternating between well fields

Actively pumping Recovering

TC IC

(7)

Conclusions Example 1

Minimize costs of water over given time period and fulfill constraints, gain time.

Provision cost is growing in time (while wells spread areally and to IC and alternating).

International cooperation in utilizing the resource brings slight advantages.

Real long-term solution yet to be found.

Main problem is of social and political nature.

Conservation of oases culture at present level is in the long run only possible through high subsidies.

(8)

Causes

Water, Salts

Water vapor

Without drainage: Salt accumulation

natural

irrigated

Groundwater table rise, capillary rise, high evaporation, salt deposition

Water, Salts

Relevant mechanism in Yanqi

Soil salinization and ecological water demand in Yanqi Basin, Xinjiang(China)

PhD thesis Philip Brunner (ongoing)

(9)

First Control Point

Kaidu River

Bostan Lake

Kongque River Qing Shui River

Second

Control Point Huang Shui River

Decline of water level in lake

Die-off of fish

Increase of salinity in lake

(due to doubling of population over the last 50 years)

Soil salinization

Groundwater table rise due to irrigation

Drying up of ”Green Corridor“

Yanqi Basin and its problems

(10)

Kaidu River:

100 m3/s

Kongque River:

30 m3/s 5 m3/s Bostan Lake

40 m3/s

Irrigation: 35 m3/s

ET crop: 20 m3/s ET fallow: 10 m3/s

Water balance

Groundwater Soil

(11)

Reduction of irrigated area

• Change to alternative crops

Increase efficiency of irrigation

Deep drainage and other drainage measures

Replace river water by groundwater in irrigation

Lowering of lake level

- Increase of outflow (Salinity control of lake water and power generation)

- Diversion of water around lake (to feed “Green corridor“)

Possible measures

Tool: Model to predict impact of measures

(12)

Conclusions Example 2

Solutions for the salinization problem in Yanqi without production loss exist.

• They imply increased production cost.

• For the single farmer there is no incentive to change behavior if water supply is not limited.

• A solution for the whole system requires regulation by the state.

Prediction of ecological consequences of lake

manipulation and monetarization of “Green Corridor”

are the most difficult tasks in cost-benefit analysis.

(13)

Management of the wetlands of the Okavango Delta (Botswana)

The upstream-

downstream problem The local resource allocation problem

tourism

households industry

mining

and nature ...

Angola Zambia

Namibia

Botswana

Zimbabwe

Mohembo

PhD thesis Peter Bauer (2004)

(14)

Goal of modeling

Model to predict size and dynamics of the delta for alternative scenarios

Water

300 m3/s

10 m3/s

Dissolved solids

300 000 t/a

30 000 t/a

• Water balance components

• Area of flooding

• Temporal distribution of flooding

• Fate of dissolved solids

(15)

Water abstraction of above 30 m3/s upstream of Mohembo seems critical.

Main impact: Increase of years with extremely small flooded area.

Dams result in a downstream redistribution of flooded areas.

Some major impacts cannot be influenced by the riparians (climate and tectonics).

Solution by upstream-downstream compromise seems possible through transfer payments.

Conclusions Example 3

(16)

Concluding remarks

New techniques: Remote Sensing, modeling, environmental tracers, geophysics, DGPS, DTM.

Water management in arid regions is inseparably coupled to salt management.

• All problems have an economic and political dimension, purely technical solutions are rare.

Water saving in agriculture presents the largest potential resource, at higher price of food.

Long-term management methods are in high demand.

Références

Documents relatifs

63 ... فدته تيلاو ةيفرصلما ةرادلإا ابه موقت تيلا تاسايسلاو تاءارجلإا انهأب اضيأ كونبلا في رطاخلما ةرادإ فرعتو ةرطيسلا وأ اهبنجتل اتهرادإو اهسايقو رطاخلما عقاوم

لك يرثأت يأ ةطسوتلماو ةيرغصلا تاسسؤلما ءادأ ىلع يداصتقلاا ءاكذلل ةیئاصحإ ةللاد وذ يرثأت دوجو لىإ ةساردلا تلصوت امك ،ةطسوتلماو ةيرغصلا تاسسؤلما ءادأ

Analysis of soil and water conservation measures: case of contour bench ridge in Central Tunisia and small hill dams in the upper valley of Medjerda (Abstract).. PhD thesis

[r]

Since the results (see Chapter 3) suggested that ILK protein is involved in regulation of trophoblast migration and the pattern of expression in human placenta

As water tariff schedules are often complex, with increasing or decreasing block rates and fixed charges, an important issue discussed in the literature is the

Specifically, the thesis explicitly recognises that any test of the APT is a joint hypothesis between the properties of the APT and first, the structure of the return

In the aim of modeling, spatiotemporal monitoring and assessment of top soil and sub soil salinity (in terms of soil electrical conductivity (ECs)) over two seasons in El Outaya