Choosing Models in Model-based Clustering and Discriminant Analysis
Texte intégral
(2) INSTITUT NATIONAL DE RECHERCHE EN INFORMATIQUE ET EN AUTOMATIQUE. Choosing Models in Model-based Clustering and Discriminant Analysis Christophe Biernacki, G´erard Govaert. No 3509 Octobre 1998 ` THEME 4. ISSN 0249-6399. apport de recherche.
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(33) fok p G « ³ªnG?[ ¥imv[mD[;fDsX1nMajhMdfohMacimk ¢ <ªZ4i p [;ecnO¤a¨hX G[Z fmk p '<ªZ1i p [+egnG¤ajhMX G £¤#fmnGnMajZ,decfohM[ p D1hMacZ1[;n;« W#X[4s imZ1lfmvM[ p s va¨h[+vacf¤[+v[ }ij}zMªÄ³}zM?´zMª! fok p ,«e9acmdv[;nª®fok p \ macm[DI¥iDvª[7fmsXBs+vMajhM[;vMacimkhX[1XacnrhMiDmvfoZ ioGhX[1vfohMaci®iowhX[4Z4ackacZ%dZ Z1agnMs+ecfDnMnMajµIs+fohMacimkQvfKh[ iDUhfmajk[ p ¤ajhMXimk[ªim!hMX[1;\,Z1i p [+egniKm[;vOhXacnZ1agnMs+ecfDnMnMa¨µ?s+fKhajiDk®vfKhM[imhfoack[ p ¤ajhMX hMX[]Z1i p [+e . &. 5. &. &. &. D. `. &. b &.&. D3d. å¥ìë!åçæ.
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(36) ( )+*,-/.%& 0+ ) 1#324 56&-. nMXfol?[;nfmk p imvaj[;kDhfKhajiDkn a i E d a d a E d a KN E K O>d a K E N4K EO d G Z { { { { { { T G Z { \ { \ \ { G Z § m D b \ V \ V \ b \ a I)E d T I G § m \b §©\V \V §©\V Wfoej[D± wfmvMagfokIs [}ZfKhvMags [7nwv[+egfKh[ p hMi%hMX[,+\nMajZ,degfKhM[ p Z1i p [+egn+« E agnGhMX[}µvnyh p agfomiDkfoehM[+vZ imhX[nrXIfol?[~Z1fohMva¨t(N E fok p E agn#hMX[fmkmec[ajk p [;mv[+[;nim hX[~vMimhfohMacimkZfohMva¨t K E « lviml?imvMhMacimkIn [ Vdfme T G. a d G. p >a `?[;vM[;kDh T G D imecdZ1[;n [ Vdfme I T aI d I p a>`?[;vM[;kVh I T. ap d.
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(40) %&#. L. AIC. 20. BIC. 20. 0.828 Nb situations (parmi 73). AIC3. 20. ICOMP. 20. 0.843. 20. 0.845. 0.841. 0.832. 15 (0.074). 15 (0.0648). 15 (0.07). 15 (0.0865). 15 (0.0779). 10. 10. 10. 10. 10. 5. 5. 5. 5. 5. 0 0 0 0.5 1 0 Relative performance NEC. 0.5. 1. 0. 0. 0.5. EC. 20. 1. 0. E. 20. 0.5. 1. 0. 0.5. 20. 0.621. 0.772. 0.738. 15 (0.163). 15 (0.145). 15 (0.149). 15 (0.107). 15 (0.122). 10. 10. 10. 10. 10. 5. 5. 5. 5. 5. 0. 0. 0.5. 1. 0. 0. 0.5. 1. 0. 0. 0.5. 1. 0. 1. C. 20. 0.629. 0. CLM. 20. 0.605. 0. 0. 0.5. 1. 0. 0. 0.5. 1. 9acmdv[}{U± 9imvG[7fmsXs vajhM[+vacimk!KXagnrhMimDvfmZoZ1[;fok4Kfoecd[mVfok p mack4lIfov[+kVhMX[7nr[7n+Dnyhfok p fmv p4p [;VagfKhajiDk imhX[#vfohMaciªimhMX[Z4ackacZ%dZ½Z1acns egfmnnrajµIs;fKhMacimk%vfohM[#iKm[;vhX[#Z4agns egfmnnrajµIs+fohMacimk,vfohM[iohX[Z1i p [+e sXiDnM[+kbqhMX[s+vMajhM[;vMacimk ¤a¨hX hX[nfoZ1lec[]nM\a =+[ G «. b &>&. Z4agn;«Gv;« ³}zM ³}zM ´zM zM¬Qu ¶}· ·# · : ¬ <b« m ;« m «j; <b«ÖL; <b«c; « ;V « o\ « m « ; 7« m « m Wfoej[]± 9imv)[;fDsXs va¨h[+vajiDk!ohX[Z4[7fok®kbdZ,I[;vOim!lfovfoZ1[ h[+vnG¥iDvwhMX[nM[+ec[;s hM[ p Z4i p [;eI¤ajhMXhMX[ nfoZ1lec[]nr\a =+[ G «GW#X[]Z4[7fokkbdZ%?[+v#iolfovfoZ1[+hM[+vn)¥imvhMX[ªhvMd[dk p [+vecqVack4Z1i p [+e¿agn«c+\« 5. &. Z1acn;«Gv;« ³}zM ³ zM ´zM zM¬ u ¶}· · · : ¬ « ;m ;«<m{ « \V « o\ <b« ;'< « D <b« D « \'; «Öo « ; < « \ < Wfoej[ª\]± 9imv)[;fDsXs va¨h[+vajiDk!ohX[Z4[7fok®kbdZ,I[;vOim!lfovfoZ1[ h[+vnG¥iDvwhMX[nM[+ec[;s hM[ p Z4i p [;eI¤ajhMXhMX[ nfoZ1lec[}nM>a =;[ G « W#X[}Z1[;fokkbdZ,I[;vwio¿lfmvfmZ1[ hM[;vn¥iDvGhMX[}hMvd[dk p [+vejqbackZ1i p [+eIacnO«c+\«. 5. b &>&. å¥ìë!åçæ.
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(47) %&#. L. AIC. Nb situations (among 37). 20. AIC3. 20 0.7499 (0.1099). 15. BIC. 20 0.7658 (0.0979). 15. 20 0.7841 (0.08705). 15. 15. 10. 10. 10. 10. 5. 5. 5. 5. 0. 0. 0 0.5 1 Performance relative. 0. 0.5. 1. 0. 0. 0.5. VC−. 0. 1. 0. 0.5. 1. VC+. 20. 20 0.8004 (0.08548). 15. 10. 5. 5. 0. 0.7871 (0.07569). 15. 10. 0. 0.7706 (0.09479). 0.5. 1. 0. 0. 0.5. 1. 9acmdv[± 9imvG[7fmsXs vajhM[+vacimk!KXagnrhMimDvfmZoZ1[;fok4Kfoecd[mVfok p mack4lIfov[+kVhMX[7nr[7n+Dnyhfok p fmv p4p [;VagfKhajiDk imhX[#vfohMaciªimhMX[Z4ackacZ%dZ½Z1acns egfmnnrajµIs;fKhMacimk%vfohM[#iKm[;vhX[#Z4agns egfmnnrajµIs+fohMacimk,vfohM[iohX[Z1i p [+e sXiDnM[+kbqhMX[s+vMajhM[;vMacimk ¤a¨hX hX[nfoZ1lec[]nM\a =+[ G Z «. &. Z1acn;«Gv;« ³}zM ³ zM ´zM <U« D 7« m <U« \V ;« <b« D{ ;«c; «c+\ Wfoej[ ±M9imv,[;fDsX¯s va¨h[+vajiDk!hX[Z1[7fok kbdZ%?[+v4iolfmvfmZ1[ hM[;vn~¥imvhX[ nM[+ec[;s hM[ p Z1i p [+eO¤ajhMX nfoZ1lec[~nra\=+[ G[Z «GW#X[]Z1[;fmkkbdZ,I[;violfovfoZ1[ h[+vn)¥imv#hMX[]hMvd[~Z1i p [+e¿agn4<b«ÖK\I« 5. D. `. D3d. &. Z1acn;«Gv;« ³}zM ³ zM ´zM «jD 7« m <U« m\ <b«Öo <b« \V <b« ; « o\ Wfoej[;±M9imv,[;fDsX¯s va¨h[+vajiDk!hX[Z1[7fok kbdZ%?[+v4iolfmvfmZ1[ hM[;vn~¥imvhX[ nM[+ec[;s hM[ p Z1i p [+eO¤ajhMX nfoZ1lec[~nra\=+[ G «GW#X[]Z1[;fmkkbdZ,I[;violfovfoZ1[ h[+vn)¥imv#hMX[]hMvd[~Z1i p [+e¿agn4<b«ÖK\I«. 5. D. `. D3d. &. å¥ìë!åçæ.
(48) 7.
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(50) ( )+*,-/.%& 0+ ) 1#324 56&-. L Nb situations (among 37). 20. 15. AIC. AIC3. 20 0.9485 (0.03224). BIC. 20 0.9555 (0.03361). 15. 20 0.9579 (0.03455). 15. 10. 10. 10. 10. 5. 5. 5. 5. 0. 0 0.5 1 Performance relative. 0. 0. 0.5. 0. 1. 0. VC−. 0.5. 1. 0. 0. 0.5. 1. VC+. 20. 20 0.9035 (0.05964). 15. 10. 5. 5. 0. 0.9303 (0.03531). 15. 10. 0. 0.9577 (0.03475). 15. 0.5. 0. 1. 0. 0.5. 1. 9acmdv[#\± 9imvG[7fmsXs vajhM[+vacimk!KXagnrhMimDvfmZoZ1[;fok4Kfoecd[mVfok p mack4lIfov[+kVhMX[7nr[7n+Dnyhfok p fmv p4p [;VagfKhajiDk imhX[#vfohMaciªimhMX[Z4ackacZ%dZ½Z1acns egfmnnrajµIs;fKhMacimk%vfohM[#iKm[;vhX[#Z4agns egfmnnrajµIs+fohMacimk,vfohM[iohX[Z1i p [+e sXiDnM[+kbqhMX[s+vMajhM[;vMacimk ¤a¨hX hX[nfoZ1lec[]nM\a =+[ G « Z4agn;«Gv;« ³}zM ³}zM ´zM lI[;vry« m« mD « <o{ « mV « D o\ « D ; « D' < « ' <m{ kb!«$lfmv;« ' <U« D ;D« m m« <o <L;« ;m <mU« \D <mU« m 7{m « m Wfoej[ <b±| fKhMaciiohX[)Z1ackacZ%dZ Z1agnMs+ecfDnMnMajµIs+fohMacimkvfKh[OiKm[;vhXagn Z1agnMs+ecfDnMnMajµIs+fohMacimkvfKh[Oimhfoack[ p ¤ajhMXBhMX[4nr[;ej[7sh[ p Z1i p [+e ¢ lI[;vry«Ö£Bfmk p Z1[;fmkQkbdZ%?[+viowlIfovfoZ1[ h[+vn#¥imvªhMXagnZ1i p [+e ¢ kb!«lfov7« £ ¤ajhMX nfoZ1lec[;n#ack p ajZ1[;knracimPk X G Z « Z1acn;«Gv7« ³}zM ³}zM ´zM l?[+vMy« m« mD « ;DD « <o{m « <mo « <mU « DD{ « <K D kb!«GlIfov7« <U«j7 7« m <U« D ;« m ;« <K « Y ; <b« <K Wfoej[#±| fKhMaciiohX[)Z1ackacZ%dZ Z1agnMs+ecfDnMnMajµIs+fohMacimkvfKh[OiKm[;vhXagn Z1agnMs+ecfDnMnMajµIs+fohMacimkvfKh[Oimhfoack[ p ¤ajhMXBhMX[4nr[;ej[7sh[ p Z1i p [+e ¢ lI[;vry«Ö£Bfmk p Z1[;fmkQkbdZ%?[+viowlIfovfoZ1[ h[+vn#¥imvªhMXagnZ1i p [+e ¢ kb!«lfov7« £ ¤ajhMXkiDkU§ ¡ fodnnragfoks egfmnn#nMfmZ4lej[7n#ioGnr\a =+[ G[Z « &. 5. D. `. D d. D. `. D d. &. 5. ë ë Ý3qrîþï. &.
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(52) %&#. 6 class 1 4. x2. 2. 0. class 2. class 1. class 2. −2. −4 class 1 −6 −6. −4. −2. 0. 2 x1. 4. 6. 8. 10. acmdv[BU±zynri p [;knMa¨hyq²s dvm[7n®fok p iDlUhMacZfoeªs+ecfDnMnMajµIs+fohMacimk²IiDdk p fmvMq ajk hX[s;fmnM[im]hMX[QkimkU§ ¡ fmdnnragfoks egfmnn+« 9. Z1acn;«Gv7« ³}zM ³}zM ´zM l?[+vMy« m« mD « DD{ « m « DD{ « Dm « ; « m D kb!«GlIfov7« ;« Y ; 7« m ;«<L; ;« {m ;«c; ;« \V <b«<; Wfoej[# ±| fKhMaciiohX[)Z1ackacZ%dZ Z1agnMs+ecfDnMnMajµIs+fohMacimkvfKh[OiKm[;vhXagn Z1agnMs+ecfDnMnMajµIs+fohMacimkvfKh[Oimhfoack[ p ¤ajhMXBhMX[4nr[;ej[7sh[ p Z1i p [+e ¢ lI[;vry«Ö£Bfmk p Z1[;fmkQkbdZ%?[+viowlIfovfoZ1[ h[+vn#¥imvªhMXagnZ1i p [+e ¢ kb!«lfov7« £ ¤ajhMXkiDkU§ ¡ fodnnragfoks egfmnn#nMfmZ4lej[7n#ioGnr\a =+[ G « 5. D. `. D d. &. å¥ìë!åçæ.
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