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Choosing Models in Model-based Clustering and Discriminant Analysis

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(1)Choosing Models in Model-based Clustering and Discriminant Analysis Christophe Biernacki, Gérard Govaert. To cite this version: Christophe Biernacki, Gérard Govaert. Choosing Models in Model-based Clustering and Discriminant Analysis. RR-3509, INRIA. 1998. �inria-00073175�. HAL Id: inria-00073175 https://hal.inria.fr/inria-00073175 Submitted on 24 May 2006. HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access archive for the deposit and dissemination of scientific research documents, whether they are published or not. The documents may come from teaching and research institutions in France or abroad, or from public or private research centers.. L’archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, émanant des établissements d’enseignement et de recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires publics ou privés..

(2) INSTITUT NATIONAL DE RECHERCHE EN INFORMATIQUE ET EN AUTOMATIQUE. Choosing Models in Model-based Clustering and Discriminant Analysis Christophe Biernacki, G´erard Govaert. No 3509 Octobre 1998 ` THEME 4. ISSN 0249-6399. apport de recherche.

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(38) . & . ". a Ed. ". ". ". ". & k. G. ". & . W”fo‹ec[{U±Guwviml?imvMhMacimkIn)v[+egfKh[ p hMi4hMXŽ[nracZ%degfKh[ p Z1i p [+egn+« L. AIC. nb. of situations (among 73). 20. AIC3. 20. BIC. 20. 0.654. ICOMP. 20. 0.645. 20. 0.635. 0.621. 0.647. 15 (0.0853). 15 (0.0873). 15 (0.0949). 15 (0.102). 15 (0.0808). 10. 10. 10. 10. 10. 5. 5. 5. 5. 5. 0 0 0 0.5 1 0 Relative performance NEC. 0.5. 1. 0. 0. 0.5. EC. 20. 1. 0. E. 20. 0.5. 1. 0. 0.5. 20. 0.578. 0.645. 0.634. 15 (0.116). 15 (0.12). 15 (0.121). 15 (0.0893). 15 (0.0921). 10. 10. 10. 10. 10. 5. 5. 5. 5. 5. 0. 0. 0.5. 1. 0. 0. 0.5. 1. 0. 0. 0.5. 1. 0. 1. C. 20. 0.583. 0. CLM. 20. 0.577. 0. 0. 0.5. 1. 0. 0. 0.5. 1. 9”acmdv[]Œm± 9imvG[7fmsXs vajhM[+vacimk!žKXagnrhMimDvfmZžoZ1[;fok4œKfoecd[mžVfok p žmack4lIfov[+kVhMX[7nr[7n+žDnyhfok p fmv p4p [;œVagfKhajiDk imŽhX[#vfohMaciªimŽhMXŽ[Z4ackacZ%dZ½Z1acns egfmnnrajµIs;fKhMacimk%vfohM[#iKœm[;vhX[#Z4agns egfmnnrajµIs+fohMacimk,vfohM[­ioŽhX[Z1i p [+e sXŽiDnM[+k’‹bq’hMX[s+vMajhM[;vMacimk ¤a¨hX hX[nfoZ1lec[]nM\a =+[ G «. ë ë Ý3qrŠîŠþŠï. &.

(39) Œ7„.  %&-&#$S  %& )Y.L %b%B  

(40) %&#. L. AIC. 20. BIC. 20. 0.828 Nb situations (parmi 73). AIC3. 20. ICOMP. 20. 0.843. 20. 0.845. 0.841. 0.832. 15 (0.074). 15 (0.0648). 15 (0.07). 15 (0.0865). 15 (0.0779). 10. 10. 10. 10. 10. 5. 5. 5. 5. 5. 0 0 0 0.5 1 0 Relative performance NEC. 0.5. 1. 0. 0. 0.5. EC. 20. 1. 0. E. 20. 0.5. 1. 0. 0.5. 20. 0.621. 0.772. 0.738. 15 (0.163). 15 (0.145). 15 (0.149). 15 (0.107). 15 (0.122). 10. 10. 10. 10. 10. 5. 5. 5. 5. 5. 0. 0. 0.5. 1. 0. 0. 0.5. 1. 0. 0. 0.5. 1. 0. 1. C. 20. 0.629. 0. CLM. 20. 0.605. 0. 0. 0.5. 1. 0. 0. 0.5. 1. 9”acmdv[}{U± 9imvG[7fmsXs vajhM[+vacimk!žKXagnrhMimDvfmZžoZ1[;fok4œKfoecd[mžVfok p žmack4lIfov[+kVhMX[7nr[7n+žDnyhfok p fmv p4p [;œVagfKhajiDk imŽhX[#vfohMaciªimŽhMXŽ[Z4ackacZ%dZ½Z1acns egfmnnrajµIs;fKhMacimk%vfohM[#iKœm[;vhX[#Z4agns egfmnnrajµIs+fohMacimk,vfohM[­ioŽhX[Z1i p [+e sXŽiDnM[+k’‹bq’hMX[s+vMajhM[;vMacimk ¤a¨hX hX[nfoZ1lec[]nM\a =+[ G «. b &>&. Z4agn;«Gv;« ³}zMŸ ³}zMŸ­‚ ´­zMŸ zMŸ‡‰¬Qu ¶}·­Ÿ ·#Ÿ · Ÿ : ¬ Ÿ <b« m„ Œ;„Ž« ƒm Ž«jŒ; <b«ÖƒL; <b«cŒ; Ž« ;Vƒ « ‚o\ Ž« ƒm « ;Œ Œ7„« „m‚ « m W”fo‹Žej[‰‚]± 9imv)[;fDsX’s va¨h[+vajiDk!žohX[‰Z4[7fok®kbdZ,‹I[;vOim!lŽfovfoZ1[ h[+vnG¥iDvwhMXŽ[‰nM[+ec[;s hM[ p Z4i p [;eI¤ajhMX’hMX[ nfoZ1lec[]nr\a =+[ G  «GW#X[]Z4[7fokkbdZ%‹?[+v#io”lŽfovfoZ1[+hM[+vn)¥imv­hMXŽ[ªhvMdŽ[‰dŽk p [+vecqVack4Z1i p [+e¿agn«cŒ+\Ž« 5. &. Z1acn;«Gv;« ³}zMŸ ³ zMŸ­‚ ´­zMŸ zMŸ‡‰¬ u ¶}·­Ÿ ·­Ÿ · Ÿ : ¬ Ÿ « ;m„ Œ;„Ž«<m{ Ž« \V„ « „o\ <b« ;'< Ž« „D <b« Dƒ Ž« \'; «Öƒo„ Ž« ; < « \ < W”fo‹Žej[ª\Ž]± 9imv)[;fDsX’s va¨h[+vajiDk!žohX[‰Z4[7fok®kbdZ,‹I[;vOim!lŽfovfoZ1[ h[+vnG¥iDvwhMXŽ[‰nM[+ec[;s hM[ p Z4i p [;eI¤ajhMX’hMX[ nfoZ1lec[}nM>a =;[ G « W#XŽ[}Z1[;fokkbdZ,‹I[;vwio¿lŽfmvfmZ1[ hM[;vn”¥iDvGhMXŽ[}hMvd[dk p [+vejqbackZ1i p [+eIacnO«cŒ+\Ž«. 5. b &>&. å¥ì”ë!åçæ.

(41) ŒDŒ.  

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(43) ( )+*,-/.%& 0+ ) 1#324 56&-. sXŽiDnM[+k‹bq®hMXŽ[,s vajhM[+vacimk!«#W#Xagn}vfKhMaci4hfAm[;n}œ=fmejdŽ[‹I[+hy¤)[;[+km=;[+vi®fok p iDk[mž?fok p ajhnªa p [7foe!œKfmejd[%acn iDk[m«GW”fo‹ec[;n}ƒ4fmk p ;4nMdZ1Zfova>=;[‰hMX[~v[;nMdejhn#ack’hX[nMfmZ1[‰¤#f=q’fDnW fm‹ej[7n‚1fok p \Ž« W#XiVnr[ªnracZ%degfKhajiDk[ tUl?[+vajZ1[+kVhnOnMXiK¤²hMXŽfohO¥imvOhMX[ªœm[;vMq1nrZfmeje?nMfmZ4lŽej[ nMa\=+[ G[Z hMXŽ[ªs viDnnr§ œKfmeja p fKhajiDk s va¨h[+vacf s;fok ‹?[Qlv[ ¥[+vv[ p hMi¯ackU¥iDvMZfKhajiDk s va¨h[+vacfŽ« ¬ iDvM[;iKœm[;v;žOhMX[†lŽfovnracZ1imkacimdIn s+vMiVnMnr§©œ=fmeja p fohMacimk’nrhMvfKh[+mq Ÿ ºiDdUhMl?[+vM¥imvZn­hMX[nrhMvfKh[+mq Ÿ ,« 9Žimv G žoackU¥iDvMZfKhajiDks va¨h[+vacf‰kiK¤²imdUhlI[;vr¥iDvMZhMX[#hy¤­is viDnnr§CœKfoeca p fKhajiDk,nrhMvfKhM[;mac[;n;« W#X[ ‹?[;nrhwv[;nMde¨hnGfov[)iD‹UhfmajkŽ[ p ¤a¨hX1³ zMŸ­‚]fok p hMX[}nfoZ1[#v[+ZfoBv As iDkŽs [;vMkackªhMX[egfm s A~imDxydInyha¨µIs;fKhajiDk imŽhXacnOs va¨h[+vajiDk%agnGajk4imv p [;v;«;«+«M¬Bf=qV‹?[)hMX[´­zMŸ¯s+vMajhM[;vMacimk4s+fmk,‹?[lv[ ¥[+vv[ p nMackŽs [#ajhnGl?[+vM¥imvZfokŽs+[ agn#xydŽnrh,‹?[+XŽajk p ³ zMŸ­‚Qfok p a¨hn#xydŽnrhMajµIs+fohMacimk XiDe p n%ajk¼hXagn%s iDkVhM[ tbh7«¬ iDvM[;iKœm[;v;ž!fmejeOhMX[’s+vMajhM[;vMagfž [+ts [+lh žUlvM[+¥[+vf,Z4iDvM[]s iDZ1lej[+t®Z1i p [+eÄajks iDZ1lŽfovacnMimk®hMi,hMX[~nMZ1fmejec[+vnfoZ1lec[‰nM\a =+[ G Z «”z©h agnackVhM[+v[;nrhMackfoegnMi%hikioh[]hMXŽfohhMX[nrhMvfKh[+mqŸ ,žU¤XagsX nr[;ej[7sŠhn DdŽa¨h[s imZ1lec[ t Z4i p [;ecn;žDajœD[ ‹?[;nrh}l?[+vM¥imvZ1fmkŽs [ªhMXIfKhhMXŽ[~Z4iDvM[]lŽfmvnMacZ4iDkacimdŽn­s va¨h[+vajiDk Ÿ ~« g°[nracZ%dŽecfohM[ p foegnri1‚m„4nfoZ1lec[;n­io$nr\a =+[ G ¥vimZhy¤­i VdajhM[]iKœD[+vecfmllack,s+ejdŽnrhM[;vn­ack XŽajDX p ajZ1[+kInracimk ¢ X@G Z £Š±. D. `. &. D d. &. B5. D. &. &.     .   

(44)              . &. . D3d. `. . % "# ! " # " !    !  & $ #  !  "  #  "  !   ! ( '& !" # " !    !  "  *  + ) "  #  "  !  ! " # !(,& #" !      ! ! "  #  "  !  ! " # ! " ( -& !   "  #  !  "  #  (  / .  ! !  " "# #! !" "# #" "1 !0#  .  . . .  . |}fohMaci]io?hMX[#Z1ajkŽajZ,dZZ1agnMs+ecfDnMnMa¨µ?s+fKhajiDk%vfKh[­iKœD[+v hMXagnGZ1agnMs+ecfDnMnMa¨µ?s+fKhajiDk%vfKh[)iD‹Uhfmajk[ p ¤ajhMX hX[ªnM[+ec[;s hM[ p Z1i p [+e¿fok p fmecnMi%Z1[7fokkbdZ%‹?[+v­io!lIfovfoZ1[ h[+vnwio¿hXagnOZ1i p [+eÄfov[ p ajlegf=qm[ p ajk W fm‹ej[ <°¥imvlvM[;œbajiDdŽn’s+vMajhM[;vMagf«W#XŽ[Bmibi p ‹?[+XŽf=œbacimdv io4Ÿ /agn nrhMv[+kŽohMXŽ[+k[ p ‹bq hXagn’kbdZ1[+vags+foe [+tUlI[;vMacZ1[+kVh]fmk p hMX[1ackU¥imvZfKhMacimk†s va¨h[+vacffok p hMX[´­zMŸ€s+vMajhM[;vMagf’s+imkUµIvMZ'f mibi p l?[+vM¥imvZfokŽs+[ fDn#¤)[;ejeC« g°[s imkInra p [+v[ p foegnri‰f Z1i p [+eb¤ajhMX1f kŽimkU§ ¡ fodŽnnMacfmk%s egfmnnack p ajZ1[+kInracimk,hy¤)iI« W#X[)µŽvnyhGs egfmnn acn ¡ fmdŽnnragfok,¤a¨hXZ4ajtUajkŽ‰lŽvMiDlIiDvrhajiDk,„«ÖƒUžDs [+kVh[+v SW O fmk p œKfmvMagfokŽs+[)ZfohMva¨t4a p [;kVhMajhyq¤X[+v[;fDn”hMX[ nM[;s+imk p s egfmnn#agn}f1Z1a¨tbhMdŽvM[~im hy¤­i ¡ fodŽnnragfok p agnyhvMac‹dUhajiDkŽn;«wuGfovfoZ1[ h[+vn#io”hMXagn#hy¤­i1s+imZ1l?imk[;kDh Z1ajtbhMdv[’fov[m±1[ DdIfoeOZ1ajtUajkBlvMiDlIiDvrhajiDkŽn;ž”nfoZ1[’s+[+kVhM[;v,fKh W O žGœKfmvMagfokŽs+[ZfKhMvags [;n%[ VdŽfmewhMi p acfm  W  ,fok p p agfo W Š« 9”ajDdv[Bƒ p acnMlegf=qUn1acnMi p [+kŽnMajhyq s dŽvMœD[ io‰hMX[ hXv[+[ ¡ fodInMnMacfmk p acnrhMvaj‹ŽdUhMacimkŽn fok p hX[imlhMacZ1fmes egfmnnMa¨µIs;fKhajiDk‹?imdŽk p fovq’fDn¤)[;ejeC«}‡ªœm[+vegfollack1io$hX[ ¡ fodInMnMacfmk fmk p hMX[~kiDkU§ ¡ fodŽnnragfoks egfmnn#acn#Z1i p [;vfohM[m« ³ªn)‹?[ ¥iDvM[DžU‚m„%nfoZ1lec[;n)io”nr\a =+[ G[Z fok p ‚m„%nfoZ1lec[;n)io”nr\a =+[ G fov[ m[;k[+vfKh[ p fmk p fmeje hX[ªs+vMajhM[;vMagffmvM[ s+imZ1ldUh[ p iDk[;fDsX®nMfmZ4lŽej[ ¥imvwhX[%Œ;\Z1i p [+egn+«G|[7nrdŽe¨hn)fmvM[ p acnMlegf=qm[ p ack W”fo‹ec[;n 1fmk p 1ack hMX[nfoZ1[]¤­f=q fmn#W fm‹ec[ <b« W#X[BŸ .s vajhM[+vacimk¯iDdUhMl?[+vM¥imvZn4fmejeimhMX[;vs va¨h[+vacfQ¥imv1‹IimhMX nMfmZ1lej[ nM>a =;[;n;«²Ÿ)imkVhvfmvMq°hMi lŽvM[;œVacimdIn~nracZ%degfKhajiDkŽn;ž!Z1[;fok¼kbdZ,‹I[;vio#lŽfovfoZ1[+hM[+vnª¥imv]hX[’nM[+ec[;sŠh[ p Z1i p [+egn]¥imvackU¥iDvMZfKhajiDk s+vMajhM[;vMagf4fok p ´­zMŸ p [7s v[;fDnr[7n)¤ajhMXhX[nMfmZ1lej[~nM>a =;[m« D.  b. . . ë ë Ý3qrŠîŠþŠï. `. & .

(45) . &  b >. D. & . '&. . '&  b. `. &. &.

(46) Œ={.  %&-&#$S  %& )Y.L %b%B  

(47) %&#. L. AIC. Nb situations (among 37). 20. AIC3. 20 0.7499 (0.1099). 15. BIC. 20 0.7658 (0.0979). 15. 20 0.7841 (0.08705). 15. 15. 10. 10. 10. 10. 5. 5. 5. 5. 0. 0. 0 0.5 1 Performance relative. 0. 0.5. 1. 0. 0. 0.5. VC−. 0. 1. 0. 0.5. 1. VC+. 20. 20 0.8004 (0.08548). 15. 10. 5. 5. 0. 0.7871 (0.07569). 15. 10. 0. 0.7706 (0.09479). 0.5. 1. 0. 0. 0.5. 1. 9”acmdv[‚± 9imvG[7fmsXs vajhM[+vacimk!žKXagnrhMimDvfmZžoZ1[;fok4œKfoecd[mžVfok p žmack4lIfov[+kVhMX[7nr[7n+žDnyhfok p fmv p4p [;œVagfKhajiDk imŽhX[#vfohMaciªimŽhMXŽ[Z4ackacZ%dZ½Z1acns egfmnnrajµIs;fKhMacimk%vfohM[#iKœm[;vhX[#Z4agns egfmnnrajµIs+fohMacimk,vfohM[­ioŽhX[Z1i p [+e sXŽiDnM[+k’‹bq’hMX[s+vMajhM[;vMacimk ¤a¨hX hX[nfoZ1lec[]nM\a =+[ G Z «. &. Z1acn;«Gv;« ³}zMŸ ³ zMŸ­‚ ´­zMŸ Ÿ Ÿ <U« ‚D‚ Œ7„« „m„ <U« \V ;« Œ <b« ‚D{ ;«cŒ;„ «cŒ+\ W”fo‹Žej[ ƒ±M9imv,[;fDsX¯s va¨h[+vajiDk!žhX[’Z1[7fok kbdZ%‹?[+v4iolŽfmvfmZ1[ hM[;vn~¥imvhX[ nM[+ec[;s hM[ p Z1i p [+eO¤ajhMX nfoZ1lec[~nra\=+[ G[Z «GW#X[]Z1[;fmkkbdZ,‹I[;vio”lŽfovfoZ1[ h[+vn)¥imv#hMXŽ[]hMvd[~Z1i p [+e¿agn4<b«ÖƒK\I« 5. D. `. D3d. &. Z1acn;«Gv;« ³}zMŸ ³ zMŸ­‚ ´­zMŸ Ÿ Ÿ Ž«jŒDŒ Œ7„« „m„ <U« m\ <b«Öƒo <b« \Vƒ <b« „; « o\ W”fo‹Žej[;Ž±M9imv,[;fDsX¯s va¨h[+vajiDk!žhX[’Z1[7fok kbdZ%‹?[+v4iolŽfmvfmZ1[ hM[;vn~¥imvhX[ nM[+ec[;s hM[ p Z1i p [+eO¤ajhMX nfoZ1lec[~nra\=+[ G «GW#X[]Z1[;fmkkbdZ,‹I[;vio”lŽfovfoZ1[ h[+vn)¥imv#hMXŽ[]hMvd[~Z1i p [+e¿agn4<b«ÖƒK\I«. 5. D. `. D3d. &. å¥ì”ë!åçæ.

(48) Œ7‚.  

(49)     "!  #$%& '

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(104).

(105).  T. d. =  O

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(107) d. ««. . d. O. G &V  T  . 10. O . .  O

(108)  T    O

(109)  T  _T.  O  d. . .  .  V. . QTSU]O V. ‹?[;s+fmdŽnM[ ?>;

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(116) #

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(120).

(121)

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(124) 

(125) 

(126)  _T. Gj` G . `. . . 0. .

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(128)  T   O

(129)  <T. ]Y[SUKU \ O V2J TQTS U ORV.  . . . . . ««. Z. ««« . Z. . «««. .

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