.
.
.
.
.
.
:
2008
/
2009
:
"
"
.
"
"
.
.
.
.
...
..
..
....
.
..
.
1
:
...
.
6
:
...
..
...
...
.
..
..
.
..
...
....
7
:
...
...
...
...
..
...
7
:
...
...
....
...
.
..
..
...
9
:
...
...
...
...
.
....
....
..
.
...
...
9
:
...
...
.
...
...
...
....
..
..
....
..
10
:
...
...
...
...
....
10
:
...
...
...
...
...
11
:
...
...
...
.
...
12
:
...
...
...
....
...
14
:
...
...
...
....
...
14
:
...
...
...
...
..
...
16
:
...
...
...
...
...
16
:
...
...
...
..
...
...
.
16
:
....
....
...
...
22
:
...
....
...
...
...
.
...
22
:
...
...
...
...
.
..
..
22
:
.
...
...
..
...
...
.
24
:
....
...
.
..
...
....
...
25
:
...
...
...
.
...
.
..
...
.
...
...
25
:
...
....
.
...
.
...
.
....
....
26
:
...
...
..
...
...
.
...
26
:
...
...
...
...
.
....
27
:
...
..
...
...
...
28
:
...
....
.
...
...
...
...
...
...
35
:
...
...
...
.
...
..
..
.
35
:
.
...
...
.
...
...
...
36
:
...
...
.
....
...
.
....
....
..
37
:
...
...
..
...
...
39
:
...
...
.
...
..
...
...
39
:
...
.
...
..
.
...
....
40
:
...
...
.
...
...
41
:
...
...
.
..
..
.
...
41
:
...
...
.
...
...
.
..
..
...
43
:
...
.
..
...
...
...
..
.
..
..
43
:
...
...
...
.
...
..
.
...
45
:
...
...
...
..
..
....
..
....
46
:
...
..
...
...
..
..
.
...
47
:
...
.
...
...
...
.
..
.
....
47
:
...
..
...
...
..
..
.
...
47
:
...
...
...
..
.
....
.
48
:
..
...
.
...
..
..
.
....
48
:
...
...
....
..
...
48
:
...
...
...
...
..
.
..
...
48
:
...
...
.
...
51
:
...
...
....
....
...
..
..
...
..
52
:
...
...
...
...
..
...
....
52
:
...
.
....
..
...
54
:
...
....
...
.
...
.
..
....
54
:
...
...
...
.
..
...
.
..
..
...
55
:
...
...
...
.
...
.
...
...
56
:
...
....
.
...
...
...
56
:
...
..
...
...
...
57
:
...
...
57
:
...
...
.
...
...
.
57
:
.
..
..
..
...
...
58
:
...
...
...
....
.
...
....
...
59
:
...
.
...
...
...
.
...
..
..
59
:
...
...
...
...
...
..
..
...
63
:
...
...
...
...
...
..
...
64
:
...
..
...
...
...
..
..
...
65
:
...
....
.
...
.
...
67
:
...
...
...
...
..
..
..
....
68
:
DSS
...
...
...
..
.
...
...
...
.
....
70
:
...
...
...
...
...
.
....
70
:
...
...
...
...
...
...
72
:
...
...
...
.
...
..
...
.
..
...
74
:
...
...
...
..
...
..
.
78
:
...
...
.
...
...
.
..
..
79
:
..
.
...
..
.
81
:
...
...
...
...
..
..
..
...
...
81
:
...
...
..
...
.
..
.
..
...
83
:
..
...
...
...
...
.
...
....
84
:
...
.
....
...
...
...
..
85
:
...
...
..
....
..
..
..
...
87
:
-..
..
.
...
93
:
...
...
...
...
..
..
.
...
..
...
....
.
93
:
...
....
..
.
...
..
93
:
...
...
..
...
...
...
.
95
:
...
....
...
...
..
..
.
...
.
..
96
:
...
...
.
...
...
.
....
...
...
....
...
96
:
...
...
...
..
....
...
.
...
96
:
ERP
....
.
..
..
..
....
.
....
....
98
:
ERP
...
..
...
.
...
...
..
...
.
...
...
98
:
ERP
...
...
...
.
....
.
..
.
...
....
98
:
ERP
...
...
...
..
...
...
.
100
:
...
...
...
..
...
....
...
...
101
:
...
...
...
....
..
....
102
:
ERP
...
...
..
...
..
...
102
:
ERP
...
...
.
...
..
.
...
..
...
103
:
.
...
...
.
...
...
..
...
106
:
..
...
...
.
...
..
..
...
106
:
...
.
...
..
106
:
...
...
...
..
.
..
....
.
106
:
...
...
...
...
..
...
....
107
:
...
..
...
....
...
.
107
:
...
....
...
..
...
...
108
:
...
...
...
...
.
..
...
111
:
...
..
...
...
..
...
118
...
....
....
...
...
...
.
...
124
...
.
...
...
...
...
127
...
....
...
...
..
...
131
1 42 2 62 3 66 4 101 5 108 6 109
7
109 8 110 9 110 10 111 11)
11
18
-(
112 12)
11
18
-(
113 13)
11
18
-(
113 14)
12
19
-(
114 15)
12
19
-(
114 16)
12 19-(
115 17)
13–
20(
116 18)
14
21
-(
116 19)
14
21
-(
117 20)
13
–
22
(
117 21)
16
23
(
1181
21
2
61
3
76
4
SAP R/3
89
5
SAP R/3
89
6
SAP R/3
90
7
98
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
"
"
.
.
:
:
1
.
2
.
:
1
.
.
2
.
.
:
1
.
.
2
.
.
3
.
.
4
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
:
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
1.
2
.
.
31
-–
)
:
2000(
.
53.
2-)
:
2000(
.
28.
3.
53.
.
.
.
:
Herbert Simon
1.
.
.
.
:
taking decision
making decision
.
.
Stephen P. Fitzgerald
1
:
–
)
:
1989(
.
98.
.
1.
"
."
2.
"
."
3.
"
."
4.
"
.
."
5.
"
.
."
6.
"
."
7.
1
-
Stephen P. Fitzgerald, Decision making, (London: Capstone Publishing, 2002), p. 9.2
-–
)
:
2001(
.
263.
3-–
)
:
(
.
9.
4-)
:
1984(
.
157.
5-–
)
:
2002(
.
.
128–
129.
6.
129.
7-.
.
.
.
:
.
.
.
.
.
:
.
.
.
.
1.
.
1-)
:
2001(
.
212.
.
.
1:
.
.
.
John Dewey
"
."
2.
3.
.
.
4:
:
.
5.
.
.
.
1
.
.
161–
163.
2-)
:
1991(
.
166.
3-.
113.
4-.
.
136–
138.
5.
138.
.
1.
.
:
.
2.
.
.
.
3.
4:
.
.
.
.
.
5.
1
-–
)
:
2006(
.
313.
2.
139.
3-.
214.
4-–
)
:
(
.
119.
5.
170.
.
1:
2:
.
:
.
.
.
.
3.
:
.
.
.
4:
5:
.
1.
218.
2.
120.
3-.
4.
.
140–
141.
5.
.
141–
142.
:
.
:
.
.
.
.
:
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
Intel
,
IBM
,
Sony
,
Sharp
…
...
10
8
3
4
...
.
.
.
1 1.
.
129–
266.
.
.
.
.
1:
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
2:
.
34
.
1
.
121.
2.
.
117–
118.
3.
315.
4.
.
269–
270.
.
1.
2:
.
.
.
3:
41
.
:
2
.
:
3
.
:
4
.
:
.
.
.
.
1-–
)
:
2005(
.
265.
2-"
"
:
:
3 1990.
.
217.
3-.
4:
)
:
2006(
.
.
565–
566.
:
.
.
1.
:
.
.
.
2:
31
.
2
.
3
.
.
.
:
.
4"
1.
160.
2.
120.
3.
.
265–
266.
4:
–
)
:
2000(
.
449.
"
1.
2.
3:
41
.
.
2
.
.
3
.
.
4
.
.
:
51
.
.
2
.
.
3
.
.
4
.
1
.
160.
2.
449.
3.
266.
4.
.
160–
161.
450.
266.
5.
161.
.
450–
451.
.
.
.
"
."
1.
1
–
Brain Storming
Alex Osborn
1939
"
."
2.
.
:
31
.
.
.
2
.
.
3
.
.
4
.
.
5
.
40
.
6
.
6
12
1
.
451.
2- Yaella Depietri, Alessandra Sgobbi, "Capacity Building Workshop on problem Analysis and creative system modelling", Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, 2° Netsymod, 24 – 25 October 2007, p. 2.
http://www.feem.it. 3
.
.
266–
267.
& George A. Steiner, John B. Miner, Edmund R. Gray,Management Policy and Strategy – Tests, Readings, and Cases, second edition, (New York: Macmillan
.
.
.
12
–
Nominal Groups Technique
Delbec
Van de Van
.
2.
.
.
.
3.
.
4–
.
5
.
1
- Scott G. Isaksen, "Creative research Unit", Creative Problem Solving Group – Buffalo, (New York, Creative Problem Solving Group – Buffalo, 1998), p. 5.
2
.
451.
3-267
–
270.
4-)
:
2001(
.
.
71–
72.
5:
.
.
:
.
451 , Op.Cit., p. 9. Sgobbi Depietri,.
3
–
.
.
.
14
–
.
.
.
.
.
.
25
–
Survey
.
3:
41
.
.
2
.
.
1.
.
72–
73.
2.
73.
3.
.
270–
272.
452.
4.
.
.
270–
271.
3
.
.
.
.
4
.
.
.
.
.
1
.
.
.
.
.
11
:
–
)
:
2005
(
.
269
.
1.
71.
/.
1.
.
.
.
:
.
2.
.
:
:
:
.
.
3.
4 1.
445.
2:
–
)
:
2002(
.
190.
3.
246.
4.
.
58–
59.
Generic
.
1.
2.
3.
4.
.
...
.
5.
.
6.
7.
.
1
.
272.
2.
110.
3-)
:
2002(
.
143.
272.
4.
247.
5.
272.
143.
6-.
272.
7.
247.
"
"
"
."
1.
:
:
1
-:
.
2.
.
3.
Mintzberg
Henry
"
"
.
4.
.
52
-:
.
.
6.
7 1-
S. Garlatti, Multimédia et systèmes interactifs d'aide à la décision en situation complexe, Laboratoire IASC,Ecole Nationale Supérieure des Télécommunications de Bretagne, ZI de Kernevent, BP 832, 29285 Brest
Cédex, p. 5. 2
.
.
143–
144.
3.
274.
4-
Paul Mark Wilson, "Strategic decision-making in professional service firm", Bristol, BSI 5QT, UK, p. 11.www.arcom.ac.UK/workshops/04-Edinburgh/05-Wilson.pdf. 5
-–
)
:
2007.(
.
.
23 – 24.
6.
274.
7.
246.
3
–
:
.
.
1.
.
2.
.
:
.
.
.
3.
:
.
.
.
.
.
4 1.
144.
2.
246.
3.
.
247–
248.
4.
248.
:
.
.
:
1.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
:
.
.
.
.
2.
:
1.
153.
2.
149.
:
1
–
.
.
.
12
–
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
23
.
.
3.
4.
.
...
5 1.
.
133–
134.
2.
134.
3.
.
149–
150.
4.
135.
5.
150.
.
.
1...
2.
.
:
.
.
.
3.
1
.
.
1
.
1
.
Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT)
.
PERT
.
4.
:
5 1.
129.
2.
151.
3.
.
127 -129.
4-)
:
2004(
197 ChristianMarmuse, Les Aides à la Décision - techniques quantitatives de gestion, 2ème édition, (paris: Nathan, 1992), p. 183. 5
.
197.
:
)
.(
:
)
.(
:
)
.(
)
(
:
=
+
4
+
6
:
1-.
-.
-.
.
...
2.
.
.
:
3-.
-.
-.
-)
(
...
1.
.
285 -286.
2-Marmuse, Op. Cit., p. 184. Ibid., p. 185.
-3
100
.
.
1:
2-.
-.
-.
3.
PERT
2
.1
.
:
Critical Path Method (CPM)
:
PERT
.
4PERT
.
.
.
5.
6:
71
.
.
.
Ibid., p. 184.
-1 2
-
Ibid., p. 187. 3-
N. L. Enric, La Recherche Opérationnelle – base de votre gestion, (paris: les éditions d'organisation, 1970), p. 150.
4
-
Gilbert J. B. Probest, et autres, Organisation et Management, 3ème édition, (paris: édition d'organisation, 2000), p. 124.
5.
286.
6.
232.
7-)
:
2004(
.
231.
2
.
.
.
1.
1
.
3
.
.
.
.
.
2.
3.
4 5.
.
6.
7:
81
.
.
1.
243.
2:
)
2002(
.
698.
3.
417.
4.
138.
5.
709.
6.
406.
7.
710.
8.
138.
2
.
.
3
.
.
4
.
.
5
.
.
1.
2.
.
.
1
.
4
.
)
(
.
3.
4.
5.
.
6:
.
.
.
7.
72
.
1.
710.
2.
286.
3-)
2005(
.
.
255 -256.
Marmuse, Op. Cit., p. 41.-4 5
.
287.
Marmuse, Op. Cit., p. 43 -6Ibid., p. 42.
.
.
.
1.
.
2:
2
.
1
.
3.
.
4.
.
.
5.
.
6.
72
-2
-1
.
.
129 -131.
2.
132.
3.
175.
4.
611.
5.
.
176-177
.
6-)
1993(
.
56.
N. l. enric, op. cit., p. 89..
1.
.
2.
3.
.
4.
5.
62
-3
-Simulation
.
7.
.
.
.
1.
421.
2.
180.
3.
776.
4.
.
422 -421.
5.
777.
6.
189.
7.
455.
.
1-.
.
.
.
:
.
.
.
.
:
1.
222.
.
.
.
12
.
.
3.
.
.
.
4.
:
.
.
5.
6"
"
.
1.
132.
2.
:
.
120.
3- Steiner, miner and Gray, Op. Cit., P. 233. 4
-
Ibid., p. 234. 5-)
:
2005(
.
42.
6.
.
1.
:
.
.
2Robert N.
Anthony
.
Armen A.
Alchian
.
3"
"
"
"
.
4James March
"
"
.
5.
.
1
.
.
100 -101.
2.
112.
3-
Steiner, Miner, Gray, Op. Cit., P. 235.4
.
105.
5.
43.
"
."
.
.
.
1.
2Mudding
through
.
.
3.
4.
1
.
106.
.
seeJ. F. Short Jr.," Garbage Can Model of Behavior", International Encyclopedia of the Social & Behavioral
Sciences, Elsevier Science Ltd, 2001, p. 5883. & Michael D. Cohen, James G. March, and Johan P. Olsen "A
Garbage Can Model of Organizational Choice", Administrative Science Quarterly, Vol. 17, No. 1. (Mar., 1972), p.p. 1-2. 2
-.
106.
3.
109.
4-.
.
.
1.
.
.
"
...
."
2.
.
.
:
.
.
)
(
(prescriptive)
)
(
/
)
.(
3.
:
:
4 1.
110.
2.
.
109 -111.
3-
Stephen P. Fitzgerald, Decision Making, (London: Oxford, Capstone Publishing, 2002), p. 12.
1
.
"
"
.
2
.
.
.
3
.
.
.
4
.
.
5
.
.
.
:
1-)
(
.
.
.
.
)
(
.
2 - Ibid., p. 13 1 2-
Ibid., p.13.
:
1"
.
."
2"
."
.
.
3:
James March
.
.
:
.
"
"
.
.
4–
–
.
–
–
.
by
product
.
5:
.
1 -1978
.
:
Fitzgerald, Op. Cit.,p.13
.
2- Fitzgerald, Op. Cit., p. 13. 3
-
Ibid., p.14 4 - Ibid. 5-Ibid
.
.
.
1Henry Mintzberg
Frances Westley
"
"
"Thinking first"
"
"
"seeing first"
"
"
"doing
first"
.
2"
"
.
"
"
.
.
"
"
3:
1
.
.
.
Source
:
Mark Chun-hsueh Chen, Chu-ching Wang and Shen-yeh Yu, "A Comparative Study on Decision Making Approach in a Dilemma between Taiwanese and Italian Business Managers ", p. 7.www.hicbusiness.org/biz2003proceedings/Mark%20Chun-hsueh.pdf
.
.
.
4 1 - Ibid., p. 15. 2-
Mark Chun-hsueh Chen, Chu-ching Wang and Shen-yeh Yu, "A Comparative Study on Decision Making Approach in a Dilemma between Taiwanese and Italian Business Managers ", p. 7.www.hicbusiness.org/biz2003proceedings/Mark%20Chun-hsueh.pdf 3
.
.
.
.
:
Henry Mintzberg & Kunal Bazu, "Analysis: Framing and Frame Breaking", p. 2.
www.impm.org.
4
.
.
.
.
1.
2:
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
:
3:
1 - Ibid., p.16. 2-
Ibid., p. 16. 3.
.
272–
273.
:
1
.
.
1.
2.
3.
2
.
sunk cost
.
4.
5.
1.
273.
2.
224.
3-–
)
:
2005(
.
.
287–
288.
4-"
–
"
)
:
(
.
121.
www.unpanl.un.org/intradoc/groups/2ublic/documents/ARADO/UNPAN006265.pdf 5.
273.
.
3
.
.
1.
.
2.
4
.
.
.
.
...
.
3.
1.
274.
2.
121.
3-.
.
:
.
.
.
1:
.
.
.
:
21
.
.
2
.
.
3
.
.
4
.
.
5
.
.
1.
274.
2.
.
275–
276.
6
.
.
7
.
.
8
.
.
.
:
.
.
.
1:
2:
.
.
.
3.
1-–
)
:
1988(
.
.
12–
13.
2.
.
213–
217.
3-
Bruno Martinet et Yves Michel Mari, L'intelligence économique – comment donner de la valeur:
.
.
.
1.
:
.
.
2.
:
.
.
.
.
3.
4:
.
1
.
.
213–
215.
2.
215.
3-
Philippe Girard, "Analyse des décisions en conception", L'entreprise industrielle, AG 1, 1999.
4
.
217
.
.
.
1.
:
.
.
.
2.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
1-.
2-.
:
.
.
.
1.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
1- Ronald Maier, Knowledge Management Systems - Information and Communication Technologies for
:
.
.
:
Robert Reix
"
:
)
(...
."
1.
"
)
(
."
2.
"
."
3Lesca
"
."
4Laudon
"
".
5Laudon
1
-
Robert Reix, Systèmes d'information et management des organisations, 4ème édition, (Paris: Vuibert, 2002), p. 75.2
- Camille Rosenthal-Sabroux, Michel Grundstein, "Un modèle de management de système d'information transposé d'un modèle de knowledge management "2.
www.lamsade.dauphine.fr/FILES/publi819.pdf
3
-
Ibid.
4-
Humbet Lesca, Elizabeth Lesca, Gestion de l'information – qualité de l'information et performance del'entreprise, (Paris: Litec, 1995), p. 11
.
5"
."
1Steven Alter
'
'
2"
:
."
3Alter
.
"
".
4..."
."
5.
.
"
)
(
1
-)
:
2004(
.
11.
2-"
"
Alter Reix, Op. Cit., p. 78.
3
-
Reix, Op. Cit., p. 78.4
-
D.J. Power, "A Brief History of Decision Support Systems", DSSResources.COM, World Wide Web, version 2.8, May 31, 2003. http://DSSResources.COM/history/dsshistory.html 5-–
_
_
)
:
.
.
.(
.
185.
."
1.
.
2.
3.
:
.
.
4.
5:
Reix
"
"
"
"
"
)
"
"
"
"
"
"
"
"
"
.("
6.
1.
.
186–
187.
2-
Introduction to Management Information Systems3
-
Josef Basl, "Application of IS/IT, process and constraint management in optimization of business processes",Applied Computer Science and Production management, Vol. 1, No 1, 2005, p. p. 93 – 114.(p. p. 93 – 94).
4
-
B. Pradeep Kumar, et al., Op., Cit.5
-
Josef Basl, Op., Cit., p. 94.6
:
"
"
"
"
.
.
.
.
(The UK Academy of Information Systems –
UKAIS)
"
."
1.
.
Dell
.
2"
"
applications"
"
.
:
31
.
.
2
.
.
1 -
John Ward and Joe Peppard, Strategic Planning for Information Systems, Third Edition, (England; Chichester, John Wiley & Sons Ltd, 2002), p. 3.2-
Ibid. 3ERP
.
.
)
(
)
.(
.
.
1:
Scott
Morton & A. Gorry
"
."
2:
"
.
/
".
3.
"
1
-
Ibid., p. 5.
2-
Pascal Vidal et al., Systèmes d'information Organisationnels, (Paris: Pearson Education, 2005), p. 175.3
-
Ibid.."
1)
(
.
:
.
:
(Transaction Processing
Systems - TPS)
(Management Information Systems – MIS)
.
1980
(Decision Support Systems – DSS)
)
DSS
.(
2:
31
.
2
.
3
.
TPS
.
:
"
"
"
"
(goal-seeking)
.
.
1
-
Ibid., p. 182.Sean B. Eom, , "Decision Support Systems," International Encyclopedia of Business and Management, 2nd Edition, ( London: Edited by Malcolm Warner, International Thomson Business Publishing Co., 2001)
-2 3
.
optimal solutions
.
.
.
1.
:
2)
(...
.
-.
-.
-.
"feedback"
.
.
.
.
:
3
.
1-Ibid. 2 - Ibid. 3
-
Slawomir Klos, "The Method of Effective Reengineering of Business Processes in Projectdriven Enterprise -Reengineering, business processes", Applied Computer Science and Production Management, vol. 1, no. 1, 2005, p. 7 ..
.
.
1:
2
.management support system (MSS)
.
3.
.
:
:
Accounting Information System
:
.
1
-)
:
2004(
.
27.
2
.
50.
3
-27.
.
1.
.
2(EDP) Electronic Data Processing
Data Processing (DP)
Transation Processing System
(TPS)
3.
4
.
1
.
1.
.
491 -492.
2
.
35.
3
.
84.
4
.
)
:
2003.(
.
50.
2
:
:
)
:
2006
.(
.
493
.
.
.
...
.
.
.
1.
2.
2
:
)
:
2002
(
.
50
.
:
31
.
)
batch
(
)
(...
2
.
)
(
Online
.
1
.
496.
2
)
:
2002(
.
49.
3-)
:
.
.
.(
.
191.
/
/
.
.
1.
2.
:
Management Information Systems (MIS)
.
3.
.
4.
5.
.
61
-.
51 . 2 . 518 . 3- I. A. Ajayi & Fadekemi F. Omirin, "The Use of Management Information Systems (MIS) in Decision Making in South- West Nigerian Universities", Educational Research and Review, Vol. 2, May 2007, p. 7.
4 . 194 . 5
.
51.
6.
528.
.
1.
.
2.
.
.
.
.
.
:
Decision Support Systems (DSS)
.
1971
MIT
G. Antony Gorry
Micheal Scott
Morton
3"
"
4 1.
53.
2.
196.
3.
566.
4 - Vidal et al, p. 175..
1)
(
)
.(
2.
:
3
.
.
4)
(.
"
."
:
5-.
-.
-.
-.
-.
-.
.
1.
137.
2.
21.
3.
50.
4.
49.
5.
138.
Alter
(EDP)
:
3
DSS
EDP
)
(
:
:
–
)
:
2000
(
.
138
.
DSS
:
1-.
-.
-.
.
:
21
.
:
2
.
:
1.
.
138–
139.
2.
139.
3
.
:
.
DSS
.
:
1:
Bonczek et al
.
Keen & Scott-Morton
Sprague & Carlson
-.
.
.
.
2(DBMS)
.
(MBMS)
.
.
3:
DSS
DSS
1
-
Eom, Op. Cit., 2- Ibid
.
3.
.
1:
21
.
.
DSS
.
2
.
/
.
.
3
.
.
:
DSS
:
31
.
:
DSS
.
EDP
MIS
.
2
.
.
3
.
.
4
.
.
1.
56.
2- Eom, Op. Cit
.
3
.
.
141–
142.
5
.
:
.
6
.
.
7
.
DSS
.
.
.
8
.
.
9
.
.
DSS
)
(
)
.(
10
.
:
.
.
DSS
.
11
.
DSS
.
12
.
:
DSS
.
13
.
:
.
.
14
.
.
.
"
"
.
:
DSS
)
MIT
(
:
1-)
.(
-.
.
.
:
.
.
2
:
3-.
1.
.
570–
571.
2.
165.
3-.
-.
-.
-.
:
1-.
-.
-.
:
2)
.(
.
-.
-...
.
.
.
...
.
1.
579.
2.
.
582 -583.
1975
:
11
.
:
...
2
.
:
...
3
.
:
.
4
.
:
)
(
.
.
.
:
Expert Systems (ES)
.
2.
.
3:
4-.
1- Reix, Op. Cit., p. 208. 2
-
Ibid. 3.
170.
4:
.
:
.
.
:
1-.
.
-.
-.
.
.
.
2.
.
1
-
Ibid. 2-
Ibid., p. 217..
1.
2.
:
.
.
.
.
3.
41
-.
5.
6.
7.
.
1.
175.
2-
Reix, Op. Cit., p. 217.3
.
874.
4.
.
875–
876.
5-Z Solutions, " A Manager’s Guide to Neural Networks", Z Solutions Inc, 2004, p. 1.
www.zsolutions.com/pdfs/amanager.pdf 6
.
169.
7.
:
.
.
.
nucleus
dendrites
.
axon
synapse
.
1)
(
.
.
2.
3.
(model free
estimators)
.
.
4 1.
877.
2.
878.
3.
879.
4.
169.
2
.
.
1.
.
.
2.
3:
3:
–
:
)
:
2000(
.
880.
:
1.
174.
2.
879.
3- Z Solutions, Op. Cit., p. 2. W1 X1 W2 X2 W3 X3 X4 W4
1
.
(x
i)
:
.
1.
22
.
(w
ix
i)
:
.
(w
i)
.
3xi
wi
n
:
Y=
x
iw
i:
Y
i= x
iwji
.
.
4:
5Yt = __1__
1+e
-y3
.
:
.
6.
7.
81
.
881.
2.
174.
3.
882.
4.
175.
5.
883.
6.
174.
7.
902.
8.
178.
.
1.
2.
3.
3:
Fuzzy logic systems
.
.
4.
0
1
.
.
5Lofti Zadeh
1964
.
6/
/
/
....
7.
8:
:
9 1.
.
904–
905.
2- Z Solutions, Op. Cit., p. 2. 3
-
Reix, Op. Cit., p. 222.4
-
Yarob Adnan Istitieh, " Employing Fuzzy Logic for Enhancing Administration SystemPerformance", IJCSNS International Journal of Computer Science and Network Security, VOL.7 No.11, November 2007, p. 212.
5
- Martin Helmann, "Fuzzy Logic Introduction", Laboratoire Antennes Radar Telecom, F.R.E CNRS 2272, Equipe Radar Polarimetrie, Université de Rennes 1, Cedex, France, 2001. P. 1.
www.epsilon.nought.de/tutorials/fuzzy/fuzzy.pdf 6
.
179.
7- Helmann, Op. Cit., p. 1. 8
- Istitieh, Op. Cit., p. 212.
9