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© Leroux L, Cirad, 2018

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© Leroux L, Cirad, 2018

© Data//Wax, 2019

S

USTAINABILITY

E

QUITY

R

ESILIENCE

(4)

Félix et al.,

Agron Sustain Dev, 2018

Cumulative number of publications : trees vs soil fertility and crop yields in West Africa

(5)

Félix et al.,

Agron Sustain Dev, 2018

Cumulative number of publications : trees vs soil fertility and crop yields in West Africa

P

ROVISIONING

SERVICES

R

EGULATING

SERVICES

S

UPPORTING

SERVICES

Ex. Increasing of SOC

Ex. Increasing of cereal

yields under F.albida

Ex. Microclimate

modification

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Félix et al.,

Agron Sustain Dev, 2018

Cumulative number of publications : trees vs soil fertility and crop yields in West Africa

P

ROVISIONING

SERVICES

R

EGULATING

SERVICES

S

UPPORTING

SERVICES

Ex. Increasing of SOC

Ex. Increasing of cereal

yields under F.albida

Ex. Microclimate

modification

1 – Most of studies are conducted

at tree scale

2 – Limited knowledge on the impacts of

parklands pattern

(composition / structuring)

on agricultural performance of farming system

at landscape scale

3 –

Models

(crop process-based or statistical) accounting for trees in agricultural

landscape remain scarce

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A agricultural landscape dominated by rainfed crops …

*Sudanian climate

*Annual rainfall : 500-650 mm *Rainy season : July to Oct.

* Agriculture dominated by: -Millet (on-farm consumption) -Groundnut (cash crop)

-Livestock * Low input

C

LIMATE

F

ARMINGSYSTEM © Leroux L, Cirad, 2019

Diohine site

(4km x 3 km)

Ndao et al., 2019

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A agricultural landscape dominated by rainfed crops …

C

LIMATE

F

ARMINGSYSTEM

… And a F.albida parkland

*Leguminous nitrogen-fixing specie * ’reverse phenology’

*’fertility hotspot’ at tree level *And various other tree species

© Leroux L, Cirad, 2019

Ndao et al., 2019

*Sudanian climate

*Annual rainfall : 500-650 mm *Rainy season : July to Oct.

* Agriculture dominated by: -Millet (on-farm consumption) -Groundnut (cash crop)

-Livestock * Low input

Diohine site

(4km x 3 km)

(11)

M

ETHODSANDOUTPUTS

D

ATA 1.Agricultural practices 2.Tree inventory 3.Yield components

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M

ETHODSANDOUTPUTS

D

ATA

Linear Mixed model

1.Agricultural practices 2.Tree inventory 3.Yield components

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M

ETHODSANDOUTPUTS

D

ATA 1.Agricultural practices 2.Tree inventory 3.Yield components 1.Parkland structuring proxies 2.Vegetation productivity proxies *Nbs of trees *Woody cover *Tree density *Phenological metrics *Vegetation indices *Water stress index *Nutrient stress index

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M

ETHODSANDOUTPUTS

D

ATA

Linear Mixed model

1.Agricultural practices 2.Tree inventory 3.Yield components 1.Parkland structuring proxies 2.Vegetation productivity proxies *Nbs of trees *Woody cover *Tree density *Phenological metrics *Vegetation indices *Water stress index *Nutrient stress index

W

ITHTREE

W

ITHOUT

TREE

Linear Regression model

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M

ETHODSANDOUTPUTS

D

ATA

*Phenological metrics *Vegetation indices *Water stress index *Nutrient stress index

Linear Mixed model

Gradient Boosting

Regression tree model

*Plot level 1.Agricultural practices 2.Tree inventory 3.Yield components 1.Parkland structuring proxies 2.Vegetation productivity proxies *Nbs of trees *Woody cover *Tree density *Phenological metrics *Vegetation indices *Water stress index *Nutrient stress index

W

ITHTREE

W

ITHOUT

TREE

Linear Regression model

3.Soil information

*Texture

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Type II Anova with Kenward-Roger ddf

approximation for small sample

*Significant effects of parkland on millet yields

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Type II Anova with Kenward-Roger ddf

approximation for small sample

*Significant effects of parkland on millet yields

*The well-known ‘fertility hotspot’ of F.albiba can be mitigated at landscape scale by the

tree species richness and proportion of F.albida within fields

Landscape class Tree species richness F.albida proportion Millet grain yield Class.1 2.5 18 629 Class.4 4 4 911 Class.2 5.6 21 827 Class.3 1.7 60 1334 pvalue 0.02 0.11 0.09

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1~Sensitivity to vegetation productivity

proxy and tree information

5 fold CV Coefficient of Determination 5 fold CV RRMSE

*Integrating parklands structuring information improves millet yield model

*Best model : GDVI x Nb of trees (R² 0.70 & RRMSE = 0.28)

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1~Sensitivity to vegetation productivity

proxy and tree information

2~Sensitivity to phenological

development for GDVI

5 fold CV Coefficient of Determination 5 fold CV RRMSE

Start of the integration period (Day after emergence)

En d of th e integ ra tion p er iod (D a y a fter em er g ence )

*Integrating parklands structuring information improves millet yield model

*Best model : GDVI x Nb of trees (R² 0.70 & RRMSE = 0.28)

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*Median millet yield estimates = 730 kg/ha with high variability (coef.var = 61%)

*High spatial heterogeneity, with a clear spatial pattern

H

ETEROGENITY IN

2018

* Comparison with

the 95th percentile

* 95th.p > 1912 kg/ha

(21)

R²=0.77***

*Parkland structuring information and soil fertility as drivers of spatial heterogeneity

Yield heterogeneity drivers : soil fertility, parklands structuring & crop health

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P

ARTIAL

V

ARIABLE

D

EPENDANCEPLOT Influence of woody cover in surroundig landscape

*Parkland structuring information and soil fertility as drivers of spatial heterogeneity

* Woody cover in field surrounding landscape decreases the YH till a certain level

Yield heterogeneity drivers : soil fertility, parklands structuring & crop health

V

ARIABLE IMPORTANCE FORTHE

G

RADIENTBOOSTINGTREE

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© Leroux L, Cirad, 2019

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© Leroux L, Cirad, 2019

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© Leroux L, Cirad, 2019

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Thanks for your attention

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M

EDIAN

Y

IELDIN

2018

785 730

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