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The Contentious Politics of Disruptive Innovation:

Vaping and Fracking in the European Union

Jacob Adam Hasselbalch Thèse présentée en vue de l’obtention du grade académique de Docteur en Sciences Politiques et Sociales (ULB) et Doctor of Philosophy in Politics and International Studies (University of Warwick), sous la direction de M. le Professeur Jean-Frédéric Morin (ULB), codirecteur, et M. le Professeur André Broome (University of Warwick), codirecteur

Année académique 2016-2017

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Contents

Part 1: Innovation governance: the politics of disruption

1. Introduction: disruptive innovation as a problem for politics p. 1

2. How disruptive innovations become political problems p. 31

3. Innovation politics versus the politics of innovation p. 57

4. Framing disruption p. 87

Part 2: Vaping and fracking in the European Union

5. The importance of first impressions: marking disruptiveness p. 116 6. Expertise and the framing of risk: cognitive framing strategies p. 151 7. The deep structure of policy debates: normative and relational

framing strategies

p. 181

8. Discourse as network: frame usage over time p. 218

9. Conclusion: harmony and dissonance in the governance of disruption

p. 273

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Expanded table of contents

List of tables and figures ... vii

List of abbreviations ... viii

Acknowledgements ... xi

Declaration ... xiv

Summary ... xv

PART 1: INNOVATION GOVERNANCE: THE POLITICS OF DISRUPTION Chapter 1: Introduction: disruptive innovation as a problem for politics 1.1 Introduction ... 1

1.2 The Napster precedent ... 4

1.3 Theoretical and methodological approach ... 8

1.3.1 Case selection ... 11

1.3.2 Methods and data ... 18

1.4 Plan of the dissertation ... 21

1.5 Original contributions ... 27

Chapter 2: How disruptive innovations become political problems 2.1 Introduction ... 31

2.2 Defining disruption ... 32

2.3 Political and market consequences of disruptive innovation ... 39

2.3.1 The importance of controversy ... 40

2.3.2 How disruptive innovations challenge regulators ... 44

2.4 The Collingridge dilemma ... 49

2.4.1 Studying the Collingridge dilemma in practice ... 51

2.5 Conclusion ... 54

Chapter 3: Innovation politics versus the politics of innovation 3.1 Introduction ... 57

3.2 Innovation politics: policy as viewed from innovation studies ... 58

3.3 The politics of innovation: innovation as viewed from political science ... 65

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3.3.1 The myth of the powerless state ... 65

3.3.2 The myth of the powerless bureaucracy ... 69

3.3.3 Experts, expertise and legitimacy in regulation ... 72

3.3.4 Transnational settings and the European Union ... 79

3.4 Conclusion ... 84

Chapter 4: Framing disruption 4.1 Introduction ... 87

4.2 Making sense of Collingridge dilemmas ... 88

4.2.1 Collingridge dilemmas are not given – they are constructed ... 90

4.2.2 Collingridge dilemmas are not solved – they are negotiated ... 92

4.3 Framing theory ... 95

4.3.1 Framing in political science and sociology ... 97

4.3.2 The mechanistic versus ecological views on framing ... 101

4.4 The sociology of disruption: punctuated cooperation... 105

4.5 Conclusion ... 111

PART 2: VAPING AND FRACKING IN THE EUROPEAN UNION Chapter 5: The importance of first impressions: marking disruptiveness 5.1 Introduction ... 116

5.2 First-mover advantages in framing ... 117

5.3 First impressions in the electronic cigarettes debate ... 122

5.3.1 Regulatory gaps and how to fill them... 123

5.3.2 Assessing the impact of the TPD... 127

5.3.3 The resilience of the pharmaceutical products frame ... 132

5.4 First impressions in the fracking debate ... 135

5.4.1 Gasland and the fracking controversy ... 136

5.4.2 Fracking encounters institutional complexity ... 140

5.4.3 First impressions and public sentiment ... 145

5.5 Conclusion ... 147

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Chapter 6: Expertise and the framing of risk: cognitive framing strategies

6.1 Introduction ... 151

6.2 Disruptive innovation as risk ... 153

6.3 Cognitive framing strategies: precaution ... 160

6.3.1 The uncertainty of e-cigarette science ... 161

6.3.2 Fracking as a novel risk ... 165

6.4 Cognitive framing strategies: prevention ... 170

6.4.1 The certainty of e-cigarette science ... 170

6.4.2 Fracking as a well-known risk ... 174

6.5 Conclusion: the limits of expertise ... 179

Chapter 7: The deep structure of policy debates: normative and relational framing strategies 7.1 Introduction ... 181

7.2 Normative framing strategies: avoidance ... 182

7.2.1 E-cigarettes: abstinence ... 183

7.2.2 Fracking: avoiding fossil fuel lock-in ... 186

7.3 Normative framing strategies: acceptance ... 188

7.3.1 E-cigarettes: harm reduction ... 188

7.3.2 Fracking: gas as a bridge fuel ... 192

7.3.3 The limits of normative frames ... 196

7.4 Relational framing strategies: trust ... 197

7.4.1 Trust in the e-cigarette case ... 199

7.4.2 Trust in the fracking case ... 202

7.5 Relational framing strategies: mistrust ... 206

7.5.1 Mistrust in the e-cigarette case ... 206

7.5.2 Mistrust in the fracking case ... 210

7.5.3 Relational tensions in framing contests ... 213

7.6 Conclusion ... 215

Chapter 8: Discourse as network: frame usage over time 8.1 Introduction ... 218

8.2 Creating the discourse networks on e-cigarettes and fracking ... 222 8.2.1 Discourse as network: the affiliation networks of e-cigarettes and fracking . 228

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8.3 Analyzing frame usage over time ... 233

8.3.1 Stage 1: actor networks ... 235

8.3.2 Stage 1: concept networks ... 242

8.3.3 Stage 2: actor networks ... 247

8.3.4 Stage 2: concept networks ... 252

8.3.5 Stage 3: actor networks ... 257

8.3.6 Stage 3: concept networks ... 263

8.4 Conclusion ... 268

Chapter 9: Conclusion: harmony and dissonance in the governance of disruption 9.1 Introduction ... 273

9.2 Theoretical implications ... 274

9.3 Practical implications ... 280

9.4 Opportunities for future research ... 288

9.5 Contributions and conclusion ... 292

REFERENCES ... 297

Appendix 1: Interviewees in the e-cigarettes case ... 330

Appendix 2: Interviewees in the fracking case ... 331

Appendix 3: General interviewees ... 332

Appendix 4: Frames used in the e-cigarettes policy debate ... 332

Appendix 5: Frames used in the fracking policy debate ... 334

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vii

List of tables and figures

Table 2-1. A typology of disruptive innovations p. 44

Table 2-2. The characteristics of disruptive innovation p. 47

Table 3-1. An overview of the innovation studies literature p. 60

Table 4-1. The mechanistic versus ecological logic p. 103

Table 4-2. Expectations and keys in the study of institutional change p. 111

Table 6-1. Framing strategies for coping with unknown risks p. 159

Figure 8-1. Networks of actors, affiliations and concepts p. 228

Figure 8-2a. The affiliation network of the e-cigarette policy debate p. 230 Figure 8-2b. The affiliation network of the fracking policy debate p. 231 Table 8-1. Overview of dates, article and statement numbers in each stage

of the policy debates

p. 235

Figure 8-3a. Stage 1 of the e-cigarette debate: actor congruence p. 238 Figure 8-3b. Stage 1 of the fracking debate: actor congruence p. 239 Figure 8-3c. Stage 1 of the e-cigarette debate: concept congruence p. 245 Figure 8-3d. Stage 1 of the fracking debate: concept congruence p. 246 Figure 8-4a. Stage 2 of the e-cigarette debate: actor congruence p. 248 Figure 8-4b. Stage 2 of the fracking debate: actor congruence p. 249 Figure 8-4c. Stage 2 of the e-cigarette debate: concept congruence p. 253 Figure 8-4d. Stage 2 of the fracking debate: concept congruence p. 254 Figure 8-5a. Stage 3 of the e-cigarette debate: actor congruence p. 258 Figure 8-5b. Stage 3 of the fracking debate: actor congruence p. 259 Figure 8-5c. Stage 3 of the e-cigarette debate: concept congruence p. 264 Figure 8-5d. Stage 3 of the fracking debate: concept congruence p. 265

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List of abbreviations

ALDE Alliance of Liberals and Democrats

ASH Action on Smoking and Health

CPE Comparative Political Economy

DNA Discourse Network Analyzer

DG Directorate General

EC European Commission

ECITA Electronic Cigarette Industry Trade Association

ECR European Conservatives and Reformists

EFA European Free Alliance

EFD Europe of Freedom and Direct Democracy

EHN European Heart Network

EIA Environmental Impact Assessment

ENSP European Network for Smoking Prevention

ENVI The European Parliament’s Committee for Environment, Public Health, and Food Safety

EP European Parliament

EPHA European Public Health Alliance

EPP European People’s Party

ERS European Respiratory Society

EU European Union

EUL/NGL European United Left/Nordic Green Left

FCTC Framework Convention on Tobacco Control

FoEE Friends of the Earth Europe

FWE Food and Water Europe

GPSD General Product Safety Directive

GWP Global warming potential

HEAL Health and Environment Alliance

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HVHF High volume hydraulic fracturing

IEA International Energy Agency

IG Innovation governance

IOGP International Organization of Oil and Gas Producers

IR International Relations

IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

IPE International Political Economy

ITRE The European Parliament’s Committee for Industry, Research and Energy

JRC European Commission’s Joint Research Centre

LNG Liquefied Natural Gas

MEP Member of the European Parliament

MDD Medical Devices Directive

MS European Union Member State(s)

NCP Nicotine-containing products

NGO Non-governmental organizations

NPM New Public Management

NRT Nicotine replacement therapies

P2P Peer-to-peer

PMI Philip Morris International

PPD Pharmaceutical Products Directive

R&D Research & Development

S&D Alliance of Socialists & Democrats

SCENIHR Scientific Committee on Emerging and Newly Identified Health Risks

SFP Smoke Free Partnership

SG The European Commission’s Secretariat General

SNA Social network analysis

STP Smokeless tobacco products

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x

STS Science and Technology Studies

TA Technology assessment

TPD Tobacco Products Directive

TRA Technical risk analysis

TVECA Tobacco Vapor Electronic Cigarette Association

TW Totally Wicked

UK United Kingdom

U.S. United States

WHO World Health Organization

WWF World Wide Fund for Nature

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