• Aucun résultat trouvé

Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling of Extremes from Regional Climate Model Simulations

N/A
N/A
Info
Télécharger
Protected

Academic year: 2022

Partager "Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling of Extremes from Regional Climate Model Simulations"

Copied!
25
0
0

Chargement.... (Voir le texte intégral maintenant)

Texte intégral

(1)

Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling of Extremes from Regional Climate Model Simulations

Dan Cooley1 Stephan Sain2

1Department of Statistics, Colorado State University

2Geophysical Statistics Project,

National Center for Atmospheric Research

(2)

Climate and Weather

“Climate is what you expect, weather is what you get”

Instead: Climate is the distribution from which weather is drawn (not just the expected value).

General goal: To characterize the upper tail of the climate distribution for precipitation.

Complication: Any data is a combination of climate and weather effects.

(3)

Climate Models

Tools for simulating weather under different climate condi- tions. Discretized series of differential equations.

General Circulation Models

• model large-scale processes over entire globe

• grid boxes on scale of 100’s of km’s

Regional Climate Models

• try to resolve smaller-scale processes over a region

• grid boxes on scale of 10’s of km’s

• driven by GCM’s

• better for studying local impacts

Références

Télécharger maintenant ( PDF - 25 Page - 4.01 MB )

Documents relatifs

Les bains romains de Karnak, entre fleuve et sanctuaire. Étude architecturale et mise en contexte

Dans le secteur ouest et nord-ouest des bains, une seule construction semble pouvoir être associée à cette phase n°2 : il s’agit de la citerne 41 appuyée contre

About the behaviour of regular Navier-Stokes solutions near the blow-up

[r]

Design of an electrocardiogram machine using a personal computer

BEGIN DISPLAY TEXT LEAD SELECTOR- SAVE DATA SETUP OF SERIAL COMMUNICATION GRAPHIC INTERFACE CLOSE SERIAL COMMUNICATION CAPTURE DATA PLOT -- +- GRAPH PRINT GRAPHS. Figure 5.1

Développement d'un dosimètre diamant pour une mesure de la dose absorbée dans les mini-faisceaux utilisés en radiothérapie stéréotaxique.

plusieurs fois pour chaque valeur de dose `a l’aide d’un ´electrom`etre PTW UNIDOS, avant de calculer la moyenne de ces mesures. 2 mesures de charge sont effectu´ees pour les

Identification de systèmes non linéaires représentés en séries de Volterra: applications aux systèmes sonores

Puis une méthode d’estimation des paramètres de représentation d’état à non-linéarités polynomiales est développée à partir de la connaissance des contributions par

The Documentary History of the Ratification of the Constitution, vol 19-23, Ratification of the Constitution by the States. New York (Book Review)

Volume XXI has a long appendix with documents on New York City’s massive celebration of the Constitution’s ratification on July 23, 1788, two days before the New York convention

Chromium bioavailability in aquatic systems impacted by tannery wastewaters. Part 2: New insights from laboratory and in situ testing with Chironomus riparius Meigen (Diptera, Chironomidae)

performed in situ (Maniowy Bay, June 2007) and in the laboratory using sand and field collected sediment..

All-Metallic Vertical Transistors Based on Stacked Dirac Materials

Dirac material vertical structures can have an extraordinary on/off current ratio of over 10 4 due to a large transport gap as long as the Dirac cones of different layers