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GRADE table: What ARV regimen to start in children younger than 3 years old?

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WHO/HIV/2013.31 © World Health Organization 2013

GRADE table: What ARV regimen to start in children younger than 3 years old?

Author(s): Penazzato M.

Date: 2012-11-30

Question: Should Induction with a four-drug (containing three NRTIs) NNRTI-based regimen versus standard NNRTI-based regimen be used among infants and young children living with HIV younger than three years old?

Settings: Low- and middle-income countries Bibliography: ARROW team 2012

Quality assessment No. of patients Effect

Quality Importance No. of

studies Design Risk of

bias Inconsistency Indirectness Imprecision Other considerations

Induction with four-drug (containing three

NRTIs) NNRTI- based regimen

Standard NNRTI-

based regimen

Relative

(95% CI) Absolute

Change in CD4% at 36 weeks (follow-up median four years; better indicated by lower values)

1 randomized trials1

no serious risk of bias

no serious inconsistency

serious2 no serious imprecision

none 390 375 - mean 1.70

higher (0.61 to 2.79 higher)

⊕⊕⊕Ο MODERATE

CRITICAL

Change in CD4% at 72 weeks (follow-up median four years; better indicated by lower values)

1 randomized trials

no serious risk of bias

no serious inconsistency

serious2 no serious imprecision

none 388 374 - mean

difference 0.70 higher (0.51 lower to 1.91

higher)

⊕⊕⊕Ο MODERATE

CRITICAL

Change in CD4% at 144 weeks (follow-up median four years; better indicated by lower values)

1 randomized trials

no serious risk of bias

no serious inconsistency

serious2 no serious imprecision

none 388 373 - mean

difference 0.20 lower (1.48 lower to 1.08

higher)

⊕⊕⊕Ο MODERATE

CRITICAL

(2)

WHO/HIV/2013.31 © World Health Organization 2013

Mortality (follow-up median four years)

1 randomized trials

no serious risk of bias

no serious inconsistency

no serious indirectness2

serious3 none - - HR 0.68

(0.34 to 1.34)4

- ⊕⊕⊕Ο

MODERATE

CRITICAL

0% -

Mortality or new WHO stage 3 or 4 HIV disease (follow-up median four years)

1 randomized trials

no serious risk of bias

no serious inconsistency

no serious indirectness2

serious3 none - - HR 0.90

(0.54 to 1.51)4

- ⊕⊕⊕Ο

MODERATE

CRITICAL

0% -

Mortality or new WHO stage 3 or 4 HIV disease or death (follow-up median four years)

1 randomized trials

no serious risk of bias

no serious inconsistency

no serious indirectness2

serious3 none - - HR 0.82

(0.56 to 1.21)4

- ⊕⊕⊕Ο

MODERATE

CRITICAL

0% -

1 Induction phase with four drugs was maintained for the first 36 weeks.

2 Children enrolled in the trial had a median age of six years (interquartile range 3 months to 17 years), particularly relevant for immunological outcomes.

3 Small number of events in all arms.

4 Over the follow-up time there was very weak evidence of a difference in mortality and WHO stage 3 or 4 HIV disease between arms (P = 0.43).

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