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Agent-based modelling of canopy rate for the canton of Geneva

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Agent-based modelling of canopy rate for the canton of

Geneva

Flann Chambers

Agent-based modelling of canopy rate for the canton of

Geneva

Flann Chambers

© OSR, 2021

© stdl.ch

© cui.unige.ch

(2)

Heat islands Heat islands

Temperature > 21 °C : tropical night !

© SITG, 2021

© Ennos, 2015

(3)

© Wikipedia, 2021

Evapotranspiration Evapotranspiration

© Ennos, 2015

(4)

Canopy rate Canopy rate

Canopy rate : = 25%

 

(5)

Goals of our project Goals of our project

Tree growth modelling and canopy growth modelling.

Canopy rate prediction for the year 2050.

Quantifying the cooling effect of the canopy : now, and in 2050.

Using these predictions, check compatibility with goals set by policy-makers for the canton.

Tree growth modelling and canopy growth modelling.

Canopy rate prediction for the year 2050.

Quantifying the cooling effect of the canopy : now, and in 2050.

Using these predictions, check compatibility with goals set by policy-makers for the canton.

(6)

Strengths and limitations of ABM

A non exhaustive list

Strengths and limitations of ABM

A non exhaustive list

Strengths

Micro-level modelling of each individual.

Interaction with other agents and their environment.

Simple rules of evolution can lead to emergence of complex patterns at the macro level.

Limitations

Need for large amounts of data, of great quality.

Need for a deep understanding of the system.

Strong computational power may be required.

Strengths

Micro-level modelling of each individual.

Interaction with other agents and their environment.

Simple rules of evolution can lead to emergence of complex patterns at the macro level.

Limitations

Need for large amounts of data, of great quality.

Need for a deep understanding of the system.

Strong computational power may be required.

© Falcone et al., 2020

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Results

Canopy extent

Results

Canopy extent

© https://gama-platform.github.io/

2021

Model in active development process.

Not indicative of the final product.

(8)

Results

Temperature

Results

Temperature

© https://gama-platform.github.io/

2021

Model in active development process.

Not indicative of the final product.

(9)

Project initiated by Prof. Giovanna Di Marzo Serugendo (CUI), for Mr Bertrand Favre (OCAN).

Project initiated by Prof. Giovanna Di Marzo Serugendo (CUI), for Mr Bertrand Favre (OCAN).

Sources

Ennos R. (2015). Can Trees really cool our cities down ? The Conversation https://theconversation.com/can-trees-really-cool-our-cities-down-44099 Last visited 2021.

Falcone, J.-L., Chopard, B., Latt J., Malaspinas, O. (2020). MOOC : Simulation and modeling of natural processes.

https://www.coursera.org/learn/modeling-simulation-natural-processes /

OSR. Plaine de Plainpalais.

https://www.osr.ch/fr/concerts-billets/salles-de-concert/salle/salle/plaine-de-plainpalais Last visited 2021.

Wikipedia. Evapotranspiration.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evapotranspiration Last visited 2021.

Sources

Ennos R. (2015). Can Trees really cool our cities down ? The Conversation https://theconversation.com/can-trees-really-cool-our-cities-down-44099 Last visited 2021.

Falcone, J.-L., Chopard, B., Latt J., Malaspinas, O. (2020). MOOC : Simulation and modeling of natural processes.

https://www.coursera.org/learn/modeling-simulation-natural-processes /

OSR. Plaine de Plainpalais.

https://www.osr.ch/fr/concerts-billets/salles-de-concert/salle/salle/plaine-de-plainpalais Last visited 2021.

Wikipedia. Evapotranspiration.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evapotranspiration Last visited 2021.

© stdl.ch © cui.unige.ch

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