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Modelling the temporal dynamics o<em>f Culicoides</em> populations on Reunion Island (Indian Ocean) vectors of viruses of veterinary importance

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HAL Id: hal-02789059

https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-02789059

Submitted on 5 Jun 2020

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Modelling the temporal dynamics of Culicoides

populations on Reunion Island (Indian Ocean) vectors of

viruses of veterinary importance

Yannick Grimaud, Hélène Guis, Annelise Tran, Frédéric Chiroleu, Olivier

Esnault, Eric Cardinale, Claire Garros

To cite this version:

Yannick Grimaud, Hélène Guis, Annelise Tran, Frédéric Chiroleu, Olivier Esnault, et al.. Modelling the temporal dynamics of Culicoides populations on Reunion Island (Indian Ocean) vectors of viruses of veterinary importance. 7. International SOVE Congress, Oct 2017, Palma of Mallorca, Balearic Islands, Spain. 2017. �hal-02789059�

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Modelling the temporal dynamics of Culicoides populations on

Reunion Island (Indian Ocean) vectors of viruses of veterinary

importance

Yannick Grimaud1,2, Hélène Guis3,4, Annelise Tran2,3,5, Olivier Esnault1, Eric Cardinale2,3, Claire Garros2,3 Groupement de Défense Sanitaire, La Plaine des Cafres, La Réunion,

France1; UMR ASTRE, CIRAD-INRA, F-97491 Saint Clotilde, La Réunion, France2; UMR

ASTRE, CIRAD-INRA, F-34398 Montpellier, France3; Institut Pasteur de Madagascar,

Antananarivo, Madagascar4, UMR TETIS, CIRAD, F-34398 Montpellier, France5. yannick.grimaud@gds974.re

Reunion Island regularly faces outbreaks of epizootic haemorrhagic disease (EHD) and bluetongue (BT), two viral diseases transmitted by haematophagous midges of the genus Culicoides (Diptera: Ceratopogonidae). To date, only 5 species of Culicoides are recorded in Reunion Island: Culicoides

imicola, C. bolitinos, C. enderleini, C. grahamii, and C. kibatiensis. Among these, at least the first three

have been implicated in the transmission of BT and EHD viruses to ruminants. Since January 2016, biweekly monitoring using OVI traps have been set up in 10 sites to study the temporal dynamics of each species. A hurdle model (i.e. a logistic regression presence/ absence model combined with a zero-truncated negative binomial mixed effect abundance model) was developed for each species in order to obtain first insights regarding the climatic and environmental determinants driving presence/absence and abundance of Culicoides. Our first results show that temperature, wind speed, vegetation index and rain are main parameters affecting Culicoides abundance. This study is the first step to model Culicoides population dynamics in Reunion Island. In the absence of vaccination and vector control strategies, this could help farmers, stakeholders and veterinary services identify the high abundance period and potentially high risk periods for both viruses.

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