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FOR PROGRESSIVE ENLARGEMENTS OF A POISSON FILTRATION

Anna Aksamit, Monique Jeanblanc, Marek Rutkowski

To cite this version:

Anna Aksamit, Monique Jeanblanc, Marek Rutkowski. PREDICTABLE REPRESENTATION

PROPERTY FOR PROGRESSIVE ENLARGEMENTS OF A POISSON FILTRATION. 2015. �hal-

01249662�

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FOR PROGRESSIVE ENLARGEMENTS OF A POISSON FILTRATION

Anna Aksamit Mathematical Institute,

University of Oxford,

Oxford OX2 6GG, United Kingdom Monique Jeanblanc

Laboratoire de Math´ematiques et Mod´elisation d’´ Evry (LaMME), Universit´e d’´ Evry-Val-d’Essonne, UMR CNRS 8071

91025 ´ Evry Cedex, France Marek Rutkowski

School of Mathematics and Statistics University of Sydney

Sydney, NSW 2006, Australia

10 December 2015

Abstract

We study problems related to the predictable representation property for a progressive en- largementGof a reference filtrationFthrough observation of a finite random timeτ. We focus on cases where the avoidance property and/or the continuity property forF-martingales do not hold and the reference filtration is generated by a Poisson process. Our goal is to find out whether the predictable representation property (PRP), which is known to hold in the Poisson filtration, remains valid for a progressively enlarged filtration G with respect to a judicious choice ofG-martingales.

Keywords: predictable representation property, Poisson process, random time, progressive enlargement

Mathematics Subjects Classification (2010): 60H99

Corresponding author: Monique Jeanblanc, postal address: Laboratoire de Math´ematiques et Mod´elisation d’´Evry, Universit´e d’´Evry-Val-d’Essonne, 91025 ´Evry Cedex, France, phone: (33) 1 6485 3488, e-mail:

monique.jeanblanc@univ-evry.fr.

1

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1 Introduction

We study various problems associated with a progressive enlargement G= (Gt)t∈R+ of a reference filtration F= (Ft)t∈R+ through observation of the occurrence of a finite random time τ. We focus on the cases where the so-calledavoidance propertyand/or the continuity property forF-martingales do not hold. Under the assumptions thatF is the Brownian filtration, the probability distribution of τ is continuous, and the filtrationF isimmersedin its progressive enlargementG, it was shown by Kusuoka [20] that any G-martingale can be decomposed as a stochastic integral with respect to the Brownian motion and a stochastic integral with respect to the compensated martingale of the indicator processHt:=1{τ≤t}. We are interested in various extensions of Kusuoka’s result, in particular, to the case where the filtrationFis generated by a Poisson processN. The main goal is to examine whether the predictable representation property (PRP), which is well known to hold for the Poisson process and its natural filtration, is also valid in the progressively enlarged filtration G with respect to judiciously chosen family ofG-martingales. In contrast to the classical versions of the predictable representation property in a Brownian filtration, we attempt here to derive explicit expressions for the integrands, rather than to establish the existence and uniqueness of integrands.

As a main input, we postulate the knowledge of the Az´ema supermartingale ofτ with respect to the filtration generated by a Poisson process.

The paper is structured as follows. In Section 2, we introduce the set-up and notation. We also review briefly the classic results regarding the G-semimartingale decomposition of F-martingales stopped atτ. It is worth noting that no general result on aG-semimartingale decomposition after τ of an F-martingale is available in the existing literature. Moreover, most papers in this area are devoted to either the case of honest times (see, for instance, Jeulin and Yor [18, 19]) or the case where thedensity hypothesis holds (see Jeanblanc and Le Cam [12]).

In Section 3.1, we examine the case of a general filtrationF. We postulate that the immersion property holds between F and G and thus the Az´ema supermartingale of a random time τ is a decreasing process, which is also assumed to beF-predictable. We derive several alternative integral representations for aG-martingale stopped atτ (see Propositions 3.2 and 3.3).

In Section 3.2, we maintain the assumption that the immersion property holds, but we no longer postulate that the Az´ema supermartingale of τ is F-predictable. Under the assumption that the reference filtration is generated by the Poisson process, we obtain an explicit integral representation for particular G-martingales stopped at τ in terms of the compensated martingale of the Poisson process and the compensated martingale of the indicator process ofτ (see Proposition 3.4).

In Section 4, the immersion property is relaxed, but we still assume that the filtration is generated by the Poisson process. Since we work with the Poisson filtration, all F-martingales are necessarily processes of finite variation and thus any F-martingale is manifestly aG-semi-martingale; in other words, the so-calledhypothesis (H) is satisfied. We examine the validity of the predictable repre- sentation property for the Poisson filtration without making any additional assumptions, except for the fact that we still consider G-martingales stopped at timeτ. We also attempt to identify cases where themultiplicity([6, 7]) of the enlarged filtration with respect to the class of allG-martingales stopped atτ equals two.

The main result of this work, Theorem 4.1, offers a general representation formula for any G-martingale stopped at τ in terms of the compensated martingale of the Poisson process, the compensated martingale of the indicator process of a random time and an additionalG-martingale, which can be seen as a “correction term”, which presence is due to the possibility of an overlap of jumps of the Poisson process and a single jump the indicator process H associated with a random timeτ. We also show that this additional term has a natural interpretation as an optional stochastic integral (as opposed to the usual predictable stochastic integrals). It is worth noting that the Az´ema supermartingale of a random time does not uniquely determine all the properties of τ with respect to a filtration F (see Jeanblanc and Song [13, 14] and Li and Rutkowski [21, 22]). In our context, due to only a partial information about the random time τ and possible joint jumps of the Poisson processN and the indicator processH, more explicit computations seem to be out of reach.

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2 Preliminaries

We first introduce the notation for an abstract set-up in which a reference filtrationFis progressively enlarged through observations of a random time. Let (Ω,G,F,P) be a probability space whereFis an arbitrary filtration satisfying the usual conditions and such thatF⊆ G. Letτ be arandom time, that is, a strictly positive, finite random variable on (Ω,G,F,P). Theindicator processH :=1[τ,∞[

is a raw increasing process. We denote byGtheprogressive enlargementof the filtrationFwith the random timeτ, that is, the smallest right-continuous andP-completed filtrationGsuch the inclusion F⊂Gholds and the processH isG-adapted, so that τ is a G-stopping time. In other words, the progressive enlargement is the smallest filtration satisfying the usual conditions that rendersτ a stopping time.

For a filtrationK=F orK=G, we denote byBp,K (resp.,Bo,K) the dualK-predictable (resp., the dualK-optional) projection of a processB of finite variation, whereasp,KU (resp.,o,KU) stands for theK-predictable (resp.,K-optional) projection of a processU. The K-predictable covariation process of two semi-martingalesX andY is denoted byhX, YiK. Recall thathX, YiK is defined as the dualK-predictable projection of the covariation process [X, Y], that is, hX, YiK := [X, Y]p,K. The c`adl`ag, boundedF-supermartingaleZ given by

Zt:=P(τ > t| Ft) =o,F 1[0,τ[

t

is called the Az´ema supermartingale (see Az´ema [4]) of the random time τ. Note that since τ is assumed to be finite, we have thatZ := limt→∞Zt = 0. The process Z admits a unique Doob- Meyer decompositionZ=µ−Apwhereµis anF-martingale andApis anF-predictable, increasing process. Specifically,Ap is the dualF-predictable projection of the processH, that is,Ap=Hp,F, whereas the positiveF-martingaleµis given by the equalityµt=E(Ap| Ft). It is well known (see, e.g., Jeulin [17, p. 64]) that for any bounded,G-predictable processU, the process (by convention, we denoteRt

s =R

]s,t])

UτHt− Z t∧τ

0

Us

Zs−

dAps (2.1)

is a uniformly integrableG-martingale. In particular, the processM(τ)given by Mt(τ):=Ht

Z t∧τ 0

dAps Zs−

(2.2) is a uniformly integrableG-martingale. Also, it is worth noting that

UτHt− Z t∧τ

0

Us Zs−

dAps= Z t

0

UsdMs(τ).

We shall also use theoptional decomposition Z =m−Ao whereAo :=Ho,F is the dualF-optional projection ofH and the positive F-martingalem is given by mt:=E(Ao| Ft). Sinceτ is strictly positive, we have thatµ0 =m0= 1. In the special case whereτ avoids allF-stopping times, that is,P(τ=σ) = 0 for anyF-stopping timeσ, the equalityAp=Ao holds and thus alsoµ=m.

Although most existing results regarding theG-semimartingale decomposition of anF-martingale are formulated in terms of the Az´ema supermartingaleZ, it is also possible to use for this purpose the supermartingaleZ, which is given bye

e

Zt:=P(τ ≥t| Ft) =o,F 1[0,τ]

t.

Note that the Az´ema supermartingaleZ is a c`adl`ag process, but the supermartingaleZefails to be c`adl`ag, in general. It is also worth mentioning (see Jeulin and Yor [18, p. 79]) thatZe=m−Ho,F= m−Ao and thusZe=Z+ ∆m.

It is known that the processesZ andZ=Ze do not vanish beforeτ. Specifically, the random sets{Ze= 0} and{Z= 0}={Ze= 0}are disjoint from ]]0, τ]], so that the set{Z= 0}is disjoint

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from ]]0, τ[[. Moreover, the sets{Z= 0},{Ze= 0}and{Z= 0}={Ze= 0}are known to have the same d´ebut, which is the F-predictable stopping timeRgiven by

R:= inf{t >0 :Zt= 0}= inf{t >0 :Zt−= 0}= inf{t >0 :Zet−= 0}

where the middle equality holds sinceZ is a non-negative, c`adl`ag supermartingale and the last one is obvious.

For the reader’s convenience, we first recall some results on progressive enlargement of a generic filtrationFand an arbitrary random timeτ. As was already mentioned, no general result furnishing a G-semimartingale decomposition afterτ of anF-martingale is available in the existing literature, although such results were established for particular classes of random times, such as: the honest times (see Jeulin and Yor [19]), the random times satisfying thedensity hypothesis (see Jeanblanc and Le Cam [12]), as well as for some classes of random times obtained through various extensions of the so-calledCox constructionof a random time (see, e.g., [9, 13, 14, 21, 22, 25]). In this work, we will focus on decomposition results forF-martingales stopped atτ and thus we first quote some classical results regarding this case. For part (i) in Proposition 2.1, the reader is referred to Jeulin [17, Proposition 4.16]; the second part is borrowed from Jeulin and Yor [18, Th´eor`eme 1, pp. 87–88]).

Proposition 2.1. (i) For any F-local martingale X, the process Xbt:=Xt∧τ

Z t∧τ 0

1 Zs−

dhX, miFs (2.3)

is aG-local martingale (stopped atτ).

(ii) For any F-local martingaleX, the processt:=Xt∧τ

Z t∧τ 0

1{Zs−<1}

1

Zs− dhX, µiFs+dJ¯s

(2.4) whereJ¯:= H∆Xτp,F

, is aG-local martingale (stopped at τ).

By comparing parts (i) and (ii) in Proposition 2.1, we obtain the following well known result, which will be used in the proof of the main result of this note (see Theorem 4.1).

Corollary 2.1. The following equality holds for anyF-local martingale X Z t∧τ

0

1 Zs−

dJ¯s= Z t∧τ

0

1 Zs−

dhX, m−µiFs. (2.5) Proof. For the sake of completeness, we provide the proof of the corollary. We note that the

processes Z ·∧τ

0

1

Zs− dhX, miFs

and Z ·∧τ

0

1{Zs−<1}

1 Zs−

dhX, µiFs+dJ¯s

are G-predictable. Hence equations (2.3) and (2.4) yield two Doob-Meyer decompositions of the special G-semi-martingale X·∧τ. The uniqueness of the Doob-Meyer decomposition leads to the equalityXb = ¯X, and thus also to

0 = Z t∧τ

0

1{Zs−<1}

1

Zs− dhX, µiFs+dJ¯s

− Z t∧τ

0

1

Zs−dhX, miFs

= Z t∧τ

0

1

Zs− dhX, µ−miFs+dJ¯s

− Z t∧τ

0 1{Zs−=1} dhX, µiFs+dJ¯s

= Z t∧τ

0

1 Zs−

dhX, µ−miFs+dJ¯s

where the last equality follows from Lemme 4(b) in Jeulin and Yor [18]. We conclude that (2.5) is

valid. 2

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3 The PRP under the Immersion Hypothesis

Let us introduce the following notation for the class ofG-martingales studied in this work M(G, τ) :=

Yth:=E(hτ| Gt) :h∈ Ho(F, τ)

where Ho(F, τ) :={h : his anF-optional process andE|hτ| <∞}. Note thatM(G, τ) is in fact the set of allG-martingales stopped at τ. We denote by Hp(F, τ) the set of all processes hfrom Ho(F, τ) that areF-predictable, rather than merelyF-optional.

Our main question reads as follows: under which assumptions any process Yh from the class M(G, τ) admits an integral representation with respect to some “fundamental”G-martingales?

Of course, a part of the problem is a judicious specification of the fundamentalG-martingales, which will serve as integrators in the representation results. Our goal is to characterize the dynamics of the processesYh∈ M(G, τ) and to obtain sufficient conditions for the PRP to hold in the filtration G with respect to the G-martingale M(τ) given by equation (2.2) and some auxiliary F- (or G-) martingales. Of course, the choice of these martingales depend on the set-up at hand. Somewhat surprisingly, it is not easy to obtain the dynamics of Yh by direct computations in a general set- up and thus we will first focus on the case when the immersion property holds. Recall that the immersion propertybetweenFandG, which is also known as the hypothesis (H), means that anyF- local martingale is aG-local martingale. Specifically, in Section 3.1 we will work under Assumption 3.1 and we will assume thatFis an arbitrary filtration. Next, in Section 3.2, we will examine some examples of representation theorems when the immersion holds for the filtration generated by a Poisson process and the Az´ema supermartingale is either an F-predictable process, or merely an F-optional process.

In Section 3.1, we will work under the following assumption.

Assumption 3.1. We postulate that the processhbelongs toHo(F, τ), the random timeτ is such that the filtrationF is immersed in its progressive enlargementG, and the Az´ema supermartingale Z is decreasing andF-predictable, so that Z= 1−Ap.

If the filtration F is immersed in G, then Z is a decreasing process. It is also known (see Lemma 6.3 in Nikeghbali [24]) that ifτ avoidsF-stopping times (respectively, if all F-martingales are continuous), then the processAo=Apis continuous (respectively, the processAoisF-predictable and thusAo=Ap).

Proposition 3.1. If either (i) the processhbelongs toHp(F, τ)or (ii) Assumption 3.1 holds, then theG-martingaleYh satisfies

Yth=1{τ≤t}hτ+1{t<τ}

1 Zt

E Z

t

hsdAps Ft

=Hthτ+ (1−Ht)Xth(Zt)−1 (3.1) where we denote

Xth:=E Z

t

hsdAps Ft

ht − Z t

0

hsdAps (3.2)

andµh stands for the following uniformly integrableF-martingale µht :=E

Z 0

hsdApsFt

. (3.3)

Proof. Under assumption (i), equality (3.2) was established in Elliott et al. [8]. They first show that (see Lemma 3.1 in [8]) for anF-optional processhwe have

Yth=1{τ≤t}hτ+1{t<τ}

1 Zt

E hτ1{t<τ}| Ft

. (3.4)

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Next, in Section 3.4, they show that the properties of the dualF-predictable projection imply that E hτ1{t<τ}| Ft

=E Z

t

hsdApsFt

. (3.5)

for any processh∈ Hp(F, τ). By combining (3.4) with (3.5), we obtain (3.1).

In the second part of the proof, we suppose that Assumption 3.1 is satisfied. We claim that Ho,F = o,FH = Ap. Indeed, under hypothesis (H), τ is a pseudo-stopping time and thus, by Theorem 1 in [25], the equalityHo,F =o,FH holds. Moreover, by our assumption

Z=o,F(1−H) = 1−o,FH = 1−Ap,

so that the equalityo,FH =Apis valid as well. Using the properties of the dualF-optional projection and the equalityHo,F=Ap, we obtain, for any processh∈ Ho(F, τ),

E hτ1{t<τ}| Ft

=E Z

t

hsdHso,FFt

=E Z

t

hsdApsFt

. (3.6)

By combining the last equality with (3.4), we conclude once again that (3.1) holds. 2 Remark 3.1. Let us observe that ifZ = 1−Ap (without assuming that the immersion property holds), then the equalityHp,F =p,FH is valid. Indeed, it is well known that the equalityp,F(o,FX) =

p,F

X holds for any bounded measurable process (see property (1.26) on p. 14 in Jacod [11]). From the equalityZ= 1−Ap, we obtaino,FH =Ap, and thus

p,F

(o,FH) =p,F(Ap) =Ap=Hp,F

where the second equality is obvious, sinceAp is anF-predictable process. We conclude that under Assumption 3.1, all four projections of H are identical (as classes of equivalences of measurable stochastic processes), that is,

o,F

H=Ho,F=Hp,F=p,FH.

It is well known that the immersion property implies that P(τ > t| Ft) =P(τ > t| F) for all t ∈ R+. Therefore, under immersion, the Az´ema supermartingale Z is an F-adapted, decreasing process and, obviously, the F-martingaleµh is also aG-martingale. Let us mention that ifZ is an F-predictable, decreasing process, then it is not necessarily true that the immersion property holds.

In fact, it was shown by Nikeghbali and Yor [25] (see Theorem 1 therein) that, if allF-martingales are continuous, then the property that Z is an F-predictable, decreasing process is equivalent to the property thatτ is anF-pseudo-stopping time (the latter property is weaker that the immersion property betweenF andG). Finally, it was recently shown by Aksamit and Li [3] thatZeis c`agl`ad and decreasing if and only ifτ is anF-pseudo-stopping time.

3.1 The PRP for the Enlargement of a General Filtration

In this subsection, we work with a general right-continuous and P-completed filtration F and we search for an integral representation ofYh in terms of theG-martingalesM(τ)and µh, which are given by equations (2.2) and (3.3), respectively. We start by noting that for any c`adl`agF-adapted process U, the jump ∆U = U −U process is a thin process, i.e., there exists a sequence of F- stopping timesSn such that{∆U 6= 0} ⊂S

n[[Sn]] (see Definition 7.39 in [10]). As a consequence, if Z is a finite variation process then

Z t 0

∆ Xsh

Zs

dZs Zs−

= X

0<s≤t

∆ Xsh

Zs

∆Zs

Zs−

, ∀t∈R+, (3.7)

for an arbitrary process h from the class Ho(F, τ) and the associated F-martingale µh given by equation (3.3) and the processXh given by (3.2).

We are in a position to prove the following result yielding an integral representation for any processYh fromM(G, τ).

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Proposition 3.2. If Assumption 3.1 holds, then Yh∈ M(G, τ)admits the following representation dYth=

ht−Xth Zt

dMt(τ)+1−Ht−

Zt−

ht. (3.8)

Proof. SinceZ = 1−Ap, it is clear thatdZt=−dApt. If we denoteY =YhandX =Xh, then the Itˆo formula yields

dYt=htdHt+ (1−Ht−)d Xt

Zt

−Xt−

Zt−

dHt−∆ Xt

Zt

∆Ht

=

ht−Xt−

Zt−

dHt+ (1−Ht−)d Xt

Zt

−∆ Xt

Zt

∆Ht

and thus, sinceµ= 0, d

Xt Zt

= 1 Zt−

dXt+Xt−

− 1

Zt−2 dZt+ 1

Zt−2 ∆Zt+ ∆ 1

Zt

+ ∆Xt∆ 1

Zt

.

From equation (3.2), we havedXt=dµht −htdApt and thus, usingdZt=−dApt, 1

Zt−

dXt−Xt−

Zt−2 dZt= 1 Zt−

ht

ht−Xt−

Zt−

dApt Zt−

, which leads to

dYt=

ht−Xt−

Zt−

dMt(τ)+1−Ht−

Zt−

ht +dLt (3.9)

where

dLt:= (1−Ht−) Xt−

Zt−2 ∆Zt+Xt−∆ 1

Zt

+ ∆Xt∆ 1

Zt

−∆ Xt

Zt

∆Ht

=−(1−Ht−)∆

Xt

Zt ∆Zt

Zt−

−∆ Xt

Zt

∆Ht

=−(1−Ht−)∆

Xt

Zt

dZt

Zt−

−∆ Xt

Zt

dHt=−∆

Xt

Zt

dMt(τ)

where the penultimate equality follows from (3.7) and the last one holds since dZt =−dApt. The

asserted equality (3.8) now easily follows from (3.9). 2

It is not obvious that the first term in the right-hand side of (3.8) is a G-martingale, since the integrand is not necessarily G-predictable. However, this is indeed true, since Yh is a G- martingale, the integrand in the second term in right-hand side of (3.8) isG-predictable and, due to the immersion property, theF-martingaleµhis also a G-martingale.

Remark 3.2. Assume thatZ is decreasing, but not necessarilyF-predictable, so thatZ=µ−Ap, where theF-martingaleµ is of finite variation (for an explicit example, see Lemma 3.2 below). A slight modification of the proof of Proposition 3.2 yields

dYth=

ht−Xth Zt

dMt(τ)+1−Ht−

Zt−

ht −(1−Ht−)Xth ZtZt−

t. (3.10)

It is unclear, however, whether the first and the last terms in the right-hand side of (3.10) are G-martingales, even though it is obvious that their sum is aG-martingale.

In the proof of the next result, we will need the following elementary lemma in which we implicitly assume that the integrals are well defined.

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Lemma 3.1. Let Assumption 3.1 be valid. If V is a process of finite variation Z t

0

∆µhsdVs= 0, ∀t∈R+, (3.11)

then Z t

0

hs−Xsh Zs

dVs=

Z t 0

Zs−

Zs

hs−Xs−h Zs−

dVs, ∀t∈R+.

Proof. We writeY =Yh andX=Xh. Noting that

∆Xt= ∆µht −ht∆Apt = ∆µht +ht∆Zt

and using (3.11), we obtain

ht−Xt

Zt

dVt=

ht−Xt−

Zt− −∆ Xt

Zt

dVt

=

ht−Xt−

Zt− −(Xt−+ ∆µht +ht∆Zt)Zt−−Xt−Zt

ZtZt−

dVt

=htZtZt−−(Xt−+ht∆Zt)Zt−

ZtZt−

dVt

= Zt−

Zt

ht−Xt−

Zt−

dVt,

which is the desired equality. 2

By combining Proposition 3.2 with Lemma 3.1, we obtain the following result yielding an alter- native representation for martingales from the classM(G, τ).

Corollary 3.1. Let Assumption 3.1 be valid. If Z t

0

∆µhsdMs(τ)= 0, ∀t∈R+, (3.12) thenYh∈ M(G, τ)admits the following representation

dYth= Zt−

Zt−−∆Apt

ht−Xt−h Zt−

dMt(τ)+1−Ht−

Zt−

ht. (3.13)

Proof. From Proposition 3.2, we know that (3.8) is valid. If, in addition, condition (3.12) is satisfied then, using Lemma 3.1, we obtain

ht−Xth Zt

dMt(τ)= Zt−

Zt

ht−Xt−h Zt−

dMt(τ)= Zt−

Zt−−∆Apt

ht−Xt−h Zt−

dMt(τ)

sinceM(τ)is a process of finite variation andZt=Zt−+ ∆Zt=Zt−−∆Apt. Hence representations (3.8) and (3.13) ofYh are equivalent under the present assumptions. 2 Remark 3.3. In view of (2.2), to establish (3.12), it suffices to show that

Z t 0

∆µhsdAps= 0 = Z t

0

∆µhsdHs, ∀t∈R+. (3.14) In fact, the first equality is true if the filtration F is quasi-left-continuous and the second one is satisfied under the avoidance property. It is also obvious that both equalities are satisfied when all F-martingales are continuous.

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Let us now assume, in addition, that there exists a d-dimensional F-martingale M, which has the predictable representation property with respect to the filtrationF. The following result, which is an immediate consequence of Proposition 3.2, shows that the (d+ 1)-dimensionalG-martingale (M(τ), M) generates any G-martingale stopped at time τ of the formE(hτ| Gt) for some process h∈ Ho(F, τ).

Proposition 3.3. Let Assumption 3.1 be valid. If an F-martingaleM has the PRP with respect to F, thenYh∈ M(G, τ)admits the following representation

dYth=

ht−Xth Zt

dMt(τ)+1−Ht−

Zt−

φhtdMt (3.15)

for someF-predictable process φh. If, in addition, condition (3.12)holds then also dYth= Zt−

Zt−−∆Apt

ht−Xt−h Zt−

dMt(τ)+1−Ht−

Zt−

φhtdMt. (3.16) Remark 3.4. Let us note that this framework was studied by Kusuoka [20] under the additional assumption that the filtrationFis generated by a Brownian motion. Note that ifF is a Brownian filtration, then allF-martingales (in particular, the martingaleµh defined by (3.3)) are continuous, so that condition (3.12) is trivially satisfied and thus Proposition 3.3 is valid when M = W is a Brownian motion.

Remark 3.5. It is also worth stressing that Proposition 3.3 is not covered by the recent results of Jeanblanc and Song [15], where the authors prove that if the hypothesis (H) holds betweenFand Gand the PRP for the filtrationF is valid with respect to anF-martingaleM, then the following conditions are equivalent:1

(i)Mτ∈ Fτ− and the immersion property betweenFandGholds,

(ii) the PRP with respect toM andM(τ)holds and the equalityGτ=Gτ− is satisfied.

For an example of the set-up when the immersion property betweenFandGholds and the property that Mτ is Fτ−-measurable is not valid, see the case of the filtration F generated by a Poisson process, which is examined in Section 3.2.

3.2 The PRP for the Enlargement of the Poisson Filtration

Let N be a standard Poisson process with the sequence of jump times denoted as (Tn)n=1 and the constant intensity λ. We take F to be the filtration generated by the Poisson process N and we assume, as usual, that F ⊆ G. We now denote by Mt := Nt−λt the compensated Poisson process, which is anF-martingale. From the well known predictable representation property of the compensated Poisson process (see, for instance, Proposition 8.3.5.1 in [16]), theF-martingalesµand µhadmit the integral representations

µt= 1 + Z t

0

φsdMs, µhth0 + Z t

0

φhsdMs (3.17)

for someF-predictable processesφandφh.

Remark 3.6. Observe that condition (3.12) is satisfied when the filtration F is generated by a Poisson processN and the random timeτis independent ofF, so that the immersion property holds and the Az´ema supermartingaleZ is a decreasing, deterministic function (hence an F-predictable process). Indeed, from (3.17), we deduce that

{∆µh6= 0} ⊂ {∆M >0}={∆N >0}. (3.18) Moreover,

Z t 0

∆NsdZs= X

0<s≤t

∆Ns∆Zs= 0 = Z t

0

∆NsdHs, ∀t∈R+, (3.19)

1Recall thatFτis theσ-field generated byF-predictable processes stopped atτ.

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where the second equality holds since the jumps ofZ occur at deterministic times. The last equality follows from the fact thatRt

0∆NsdHsis non-negative and that, due to the independence ofN and τ, we have

E Z

0

∆NsdHs

=E(∆Nτ) = Z

0

P(∆Nt= 1)dP(τ ≤t) = 0.

In the remaining part of this section, we work under the following postulate.

Assumption 3.2. The probability space (Ω,G,F,P) supports a random variable Θ with the unit exponential distribution and such that Θ is independent of the filtrationFgenerated by the Poisson processN. The random timeτ is given through theCox construction, that is, by the formula

τ= inf{t∈R+: Λt≥Θ} (3.20)

where Λ is an F-adapted, increasing process such that Λ0= 0 and Λ:= limt→∞Λt=∞.

Under Assumption 3.2, the immersion property holds for the filtrationsFandG. Furthermore, the Az´ema supermartingale Z equals Zt=P(τ > t| Ft) =e−Λt and thus it is a decreasing and an F-adapted (but not necessarilyF-predictable), process. It is also worth noting that it may happen, for instance, that {∆H >0} ⊂ {∆N >0} (see equation (3.21)), so that the validity of the second equality in (3.14) is not ensured, in general.

3.2.1 Predictable Az´ema’s Supermartingale

Let us first consider the situation where the process Λ in Assumption 3.2 is F-predictable. Then we have the following corollary to Proposition 3.3, which covers, in particular, the case whereτ is independent ofN (see Remark 3.6).

Corollary 3.2. Let Assumption 3.2 be valid with anF-predictable process Λ. Then for any process Yh∈ M(G, τ) representations (3.15) and (3.16) hold withMt=Nt−λt.

Proof. Under the present assumptions, the immersion property holds and the Az´ema supermartin- galeZ is decreasing andF-predictable, so thatZ = 1−Ap. It thus suffices to show that condition (3.12) holds for the F-martingale µh. Note that as Poisson filtration is quasi-left-continuous, the martingaleµh can only jump at totally inaccessible times. SinceZ is predictable, the processesµh andZ cannot jump together and thus the first equality in (3.14) holds.

It remains to show that the second equality in (3.14) holds for allt∈R+. We observe that E

Z 0

∆NsdHs

= Z

0

P(∆Nτ = 1|Θ =θ)dP(Θ≤θ) = 0

where the last equality holds since, for any fixedθ, the random timeτisF-predictable and the jump times of the Poisson process areF-totally inaccessible. SinceR

0 ∆NsdHsis non-negative and (3.18) is valid, we conclude that the equality Rt

0∆µhsdHs = 0 is satisfied for all t ∈R+. The statement

now follows from Proposition 3.3. 2

3.2.2 Non-Predictable Az´ema Supermartingale

We continue the study of the Poisson filtration and the Cox construction of a random time, but we no longer assume that the Az´ema supermartingale of τ isF-predictable. Hence condition (3.12) is not satisfied, in general, and thus Corollary 3.2 no longer applies. Despite the fact that we will still postulate the immersion property between F and G, it seems to us that a general representation result is rather hard to establish. Therefore, we postpone an attempt to derive a general result to the foregoing section, where we will work without postulating the immersion property.

Our immediate goal is merely to show that explicit representations are still available when the Az´ema supermartingale Z is not F-predictable, at least for some particular martingales from the

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classM(G, τ). In contrast to the preceding subsection, these representations are derived by means of direct computations, rather than through an application of the predictable representation property of the compensated Poisson process. Hence we will be able to compute explicitly the integrandφh arising in suitable variants of representation (3.15). For the sake of concreteness, we also specialize Assumption 3.2 by postulating that Λ =N.

Assumption 3.3. The probability space (Ω,G,F,P) supports a random variable Θ with the unit exponential distribution and such that Θ is independent of the filtrationFgenerated by the Poisson processN. The random time τ is given by the formula

τ= inf{t∈R+: Nt≥Θ}. (3.21)

Under Assumption 3.3, the Az´ema supermartingale equalsZt=e−Nt for allt∈R+ and thus it is decreasing, but notF-predictable. As in the preceding subsection, the filtrationFis immersed in Gand thus the compensated PoissonF-martingaleM is also aG-martingale. It is crucial to observe that the inclusion [[τ]]⊂ ∪n[[Tn]] holds, meaning that a jump of the processH may only occur when the Poisson processN has a jump, that is,{∆H >0} ⊂ {∆N >0}. We first compute explicitly the Doob-Meyer decomposition ofZ and we show that the compensator ofH is continuous.

Lemma 3.2. Let Z=e−N whereN is the Poisson process. Then the following assertions hold:

(i)Z admits the Doob-Meyer decomposition Z=µ−Ap where µt= 1−

Z t 0

γe−Ns−dMs, Apt = Z t

0

γλe−Nsds (3.22)

andγ= 1−1e >0;

(ii) the processMt(τ):=Ht−γλ(t∧τ)is aG-martingale and thus the random timeτ given by (3.21) is a totally inaccessibleG-stopping time.

Proof. The proof of part (i) is elementary, since it relies on the standard Stieltjes integration and thus is is omitted. For the second part, theG-martingale property of the processM(τ) is a consequence of (2.2), and the fact thatτ is a totally inaccessible follows from the continuity of the compensator

Ap ofH. 2

Recall that the processXh is defined by (3.2) and note that, due to the form ofAp,

{∆M(τ)>0}={∆H >0} ⊂ {∆N >0}={∆M >0}. (3.23) It is also worth stressing that here the equalityMτ =Mτ− is not satisfied (see Remark 3.5). The following result shows that whenFis the Poisson filtration, the immersion property holds, but the Az´ema supermartingaleZ is notF-predictable, then an extension of Proposition 3.3 is still feasible in some circumstances.

Proposition 3.4. Let Assumption 3.3 be valid. Consider the G-martingaleYh ∈ M(G, τ) where the process h∈ Hp(F, τ) is given by ht =h(Nt−) for some Borel function h: R → R. Then Yh admits the following representation

dYth= ht−eh(Nt−+ 1)

dMt(τ)+ (1−Ht−) eh(Nt−+ 1)−eh(Nt−)

dMt (3.24)

or, equivalently,

dYth= ht−eh(Nt−)

dMt(τ)+ (1−Ht−) eh(Nt−+ 1)−eh(Nt−)

dM¯t(τ) (3.25) where the processesMt(τ):=Ht−γλ(t∧τ)andt(τ):=Mt−Mt(τ) are orthogonal G-martingales and the functionehis given by (3.28)

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Proof. We writeX =Xh andY =Yh. In view of Lemma 3.2 and equation (3.1), we have Yt=

Z t 0

hsdHs+ (1−Ht) 1 ZtE

Z t

γλhse−NsdsFt

. (3.26)

Using the independence of increments of the Poisson process N, we obtain Xt=E

Z t

γλh(Ns)e−NsdsFt

=eh(Nt)e−Nt =eh(Nt)Zt (3.27) where

eh(x) :=E Z

0

γλh(Ns+x)e−Nsds

. (3.28)

Equations (3.26)–(3.27) yield

Yt= Z t

0

hsdHs+ (1−Ht)eh(Nt) and thus, since{∆H >0} ⊂ {∆N >0},

dYt= ht−eh(Nt−)

dHt+ (1−Ht−)deh(Nt)−∆Ht∆eh(Nt)

= ht−eh(Nt−)

dHt+ (1−Ht−) eh(Nt−+ 1)−eh(Nt−)

dNt− eh(Nt−+ 1)−eh(Nt−) dHt

= ht−eh(Nt−+ 1)

dHt+ (1−Ht−) eh(Nt−+ 1)−eh(Nt−) dNt.

Consequently,

dYt= ht−eh(Nt−+ 1)

dMt(τ)+ (1−Ht−) eh(Nt−+ 1)−eh(Nt−) dMt

+ (1−Ht)λγ h(Nt−)−eh(Nt−+ 1)

dt+ (1−Ht)λ eh(Nt−+ 1)−eh(Nt−) dt.

To complete the proof, it suffices to show that the following equality is satisfied for all x≥0 γh(x) + (1−γ)eh(x+ 1)−eh(x) = 0. (3.29) To establish (3.29), we first observe that

eh(x+ 1) =E Z

0

γλh(Ns+x+ 1)e−Nsds

=eE Z

0

γλh(Ns+x+ 1)e−(Ns+1)ds

.

If we denote byT1 the moment of the first jump ofN, then we obtain eh(x) =E

Z 0

h(Ns+x)e−Nsds

=E Z T1

0

γλh(x)ds

+E Z

T1

γλh(Ns+x)e−Nsds

=γh(x) +E Z

0

γλh(Ns+x+ 1)e−(Ns+1)ds

=γh(x) +e−1eh(x+ 1) =γh(x) + (1−γ)eh(x+ 1).

We conclude that (3.29) holds and thus the proof of (3.24) is completed. Representation (3.25) is an easy consequence of equation (3.24) and thus we omit the details. Let us finally observe that the orthogonality of M(τ)and ¯M(τ)follows from the fact thatM(τ)and N are pure jump martingales

with jumps of size 1. 2

Remark 3.7. Proposition 3.4 will be revisited in Section 4.2 (see Example 4.1), where we will re-derive representation (3.25) using the general representation formula.

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4 The PRP Beyond the Immersion Hypothesis

In this section, we work with the filtrationF generated by a Poisson processN, but we no longer postulate that the immersion property betweenFandGholds. Recall that the equalityZ=µ−Ap is the Doob-Meyer decomposition of the Az´ema supermartingaleZ associated with a random time τ. It is worth noting that the Az´ema supermartingale of any random timeτis necessarily a process of finite variation when the filtrationFis generated by a Poisson process.

We argue that the main difficulty in establishing the PRP for a progressive enlargement is due to the fact that the jumps ofF-martingales may overlap with the jump of the processH. It appears that even when the filtrationFis generated by a Poisson processN, the validity of the PRP for the progressive enlargement ofFwith a random time τ is a challenging problem for the part afterτ if no additional assumptions are made.

Since the inclusion{∆H >0} ⊂ {∆N >0} may fail to hold, in general, it is hard to control a possible overlap of jumps of processesN andH when the only information about theF-conditional distribution of the random timeτ is its Az´ema supermartingaleZ. Nevertheless, in the main result of this section (Theorem 4.1) we offer a general representation formula for aG-martingale stopped atτ. It is fair to acknowledge that we need to introduce for this purpose an additional martingale to compensate for a potential mismatch of jumps of H and N. Subsequently, we illustrate our general result by considering some special cases. We conclude this note by emphasizing the role of the optional stochastic integral in our general representation result and by obtaining in Corollary 4.1 an equivalent representation ofYh in terms of the optional and predictable stochastic integrals.

Remark 4.1. From part (i) in Proposition 2.1, we deduce that the compensated martingaleMt:=

Nt−λtstopped atτ admits the following semimartingale decomposition with respect toG Mct=Mt∧τ

Z t∧τ 0

dhM, miFs Zs−

. (4.1)

Note that the compensated Poisson processMt=Nt−λtis anF-adapted (hence alsoG-adapted) process of finite variation, so that it is manifestly aG-semimartingale for any choice of a random time τ. Consequently, due to the PRP of the compensated Poisson process with respect to its natural filtration, no additional assumptions regarding the random time τ are needed to ensure that the hypothesis (H) is satisfied, that is, anyF-martingale is always aG-semimartingale.

4.1 Main Result

We are in a position to prove the main result of this note. It should be stressed that theG-martingales M(τ)andMcin the statement of the following Theorem 4.1 are universal, in the sense that they do not depend on the choice of the processh∈ Hp(F, τ) (see equations (2.2) and (4.1)). By contrast, theG-martingaleMfh, which is defined by (4.3), is clearly dependent onh. In the next subsection, we present some special cases of representation established in Theorem 4.1 in which the processMfh does not appear, despite the fact that they are valid for any processh∈ Ho(F, τ).

In the statement of Theorem 4.1, we will use the following lemma, which extends a result quoted in Jeulin [17] (see Remark 4.5 therein or equation (2.1) withU = 1). Note that equation (2.2) can be obtained as a special case of (4.2) by settingξ=κ= 1.

Lemma 4.1. Let the process B be given by the formula B = ξH where ξ is an integrable and Gτ-measurable random variable. Then the processMf, which is given by the equality

Mft=Bt− Z t

0

1−Hs−

Zs−

dBsp,F, (4.2)

is a purely discontinuousG-martingale stopped atτ. Moreover, the dualF-predictable projection ofB satisfiesBtp,F =Rt

0κsdAps whereκis anF-predictable process such that the equalityκτ=E(ξ| Fτ−) holds.

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Proof. Let the process B be given by B = ξH, where the integrable random variable ξ is Gτ- measurable, and let Bp,F be its dualF-predictable projection. On the one hand, we have, for any u≥t,

E(Bu−Bt| Gt) =E(ξ1{u≥τ >t}| Gt) =1{τ >t}(Zt)−1E(ξ1{u≥τ >t}| Ft)

=1{τ >t}(Zt)−1E(Bp,uF−Btp,F| Ft).

On the other hand, we obtain E

Z u t

1−Hs−

Zs−

dBsp,FGt

=E

1{τ >t}

Z u∧τ t

1 Zs−

dBp,sFGt

=1{τ >t}

1 Zt

E

1{τ >t}

Z u∧τ t

1 Zs−

dBsp,F Ft

. We define theF-predictable process Λ by setting Λt=Rt

0 1

Zs−dBsp,F. Then we obtain E

1{τ >t}

Z u∧τ t

1 Zs−

dBsp,FFt

=E

1{τ >u}

Z u t

1 Zs−

dBsp,F+1{u≥τ >t}

Z τ t

1 Zs−

dBp,sFFt

=E

Zu

Z u t

1 Zs−

dBsp,F+ Z u

t

Z v t

1 Zs−

dBp,sFdApvFt

=E

Zuu−Λt) + Z u

t

s−Λt)dApsFt

=E

Zuu−Λt)− Z u

t

s−Λt)dZsFt

=E Bp,uF−Btp,F| Ft

where the last equality is a consequence of the following elementary computation Zuu−Λt)−

Z u t

s−Λt)dZs=Zuu−Λt) + Λt(Zu−Zt)− Z u

t

ΛsdZs

=ZuΛu−ΛtZt−ΛuZu+ ΛtZt+ Z u

t

Zs−s=Bup,F−Btp,F.

That completes the proof of the first statement in Lemma 4.1. For the second statement, we note that, from the definition of the σ-algebra Fτ−, the equality E(ξ| Fτ−) = κτ holds for some F- predictable processκ. Hence for any bounded,F-predictable processX, we obtain (note thatXτ is Fτ−-measurable)

E Z

0

XsdBp,sF

=E Z

0

XsdBs

=E Z

0

ξXsdHs

=E(ξXτ) =E XτE(ξ| Fτ−)

=E(Xτκτ) =E Z

0

XsκsdHs

=E Z

0

XsκsdAps

, sinceAp=Hp,F. We conclude that Btp,F =Rt

0κsdAps for allt∈R+. 2

The following theorem establishes the integral representation with predictable integrands for an arbitraryG-martingaleYh associated with a processhfrom the classHp(F, τ).

Theorem 4.1. If the process hbelongs to the classHp(F, τ), then theG-martingaleYh stopped at τ admits the following predictable representation

dYth= Zt−

Zt−−∆Apt

ht−Xt−h Zt−

dMt(τ)+ 1−Ht−

Zt−t

φht −φtXt−h Zt−

dcMt+ 1 Zt−t

dfMth

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