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(19)  א‬h-8  K\:@%‫א‬+!$S‫&א‬، )7%‫א‬Z!7J!7-B‫א‬+‫א=א‬B‫א‬،YJB‫א‬Z!7J ‫א‬7-B‫א‬. : Résumé A travers cet article , nous avons essayé d’aborder la méthode de la mesure du changement structurel de l’économie algérienne et ce à partir du tableau inputoutput des années 1979- 1989, en les concernant comme les derniers tableaux publiés par la direction économique des comptes à l’office national des statistiques. Dans le premier axe, nous avons parlé des principes théoriques du changement structurel ,et nous avons mentionné à cet égard qu’il n y a pas une définition qui montre que notre analyse du changement structurel implique le changement dans les coefficients techniques et la demande finale . Comme nous avons aborder dans un deuxième axe les méthodes de mesure que nous avons utilisées et qui sont , la méthode de la consommation moyenne , la méthode de l’analyse structurelle et la méthode de l’établissement des importation , exportations. Après, nous les avons élaborées dans l’économie algérienne , comme nous avons vu d’après les résultats que la troisième méthode est plus détaillée que les deux précédentes , et que le changement général de la production revient au changement de cinq facteurs : la demande finale , exportations, importations destinées vers la consommation intermediaire, les importations destinées vers la consommation finale et les coefficients technique de la production. 255. ‫  א

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(85)  : H2-H*.  KA?7‫א‬%

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(87)  : H1-H* .A. ?7‫א‬%

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(95)  WG1-G*  KCf?7‫א‬%  #0–x(‫א‬-E3F‫א‬Z$i2∆X=H[(I-Cf2)Y2d-(I- ] +H2(E2-H1)+H2[(I-C1f)Y2d-(I-C1f)Y1d]+[ C1f)Y2d * * 1 1 (H2-H )+(H -H1)].[E +(I-C f)Y1d] ∆X= ∆X1+ ∆X2+ ∆X3+ ∆X4+ ∆X5  W#0VE.  K6L‫א‬4!‫א‬fg‫א‬+ ∆X †% J‫אא א‬- ?7 %  fg‫ א‬Z$ D2( K6L‫  א‬fg‫∆א‬X1  4k ‫א‬ ‫אא‬fgZ$D2(K6L‫א‬fg‫∆ א‬X2. 4k ‫א‬vB‫א‬fg‫א‬Z$D2(K6L‫א‬fg‫∆ א‬X3  SJ‫†א‬% J‫אאא‬-?7%Z$D2(K6L‫א‬fg‫∆ א‬X4. KK6y7‫?א‬7‫א‬%fgZ$D2(K6L‫א‬fg‫∆ א‬X5.  6 ‫א‬67 ‫א‬8! 89 '0‫ א‬:* -2 ‫*א‬+-،1989-1979~JC:k‫א‬b,‫ א‬%4!e‫א‬fg‫א‬I_J  KZ-`‫א‬B‫א‬+-~‫א‬F%=‫אא‬d

(96) B /0

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(102) <0 SJ‫† א‬% J% \ 2 - \26$ v2‫ אא‬K6L‫  א‬Ob,‫; א‬8 G  j.1989 54k ‫א‬vB‫א‬-،1979 2!N76/GJ 1989 5 W %UB ∆xa. ∆xa=xt2-xt1,t2=[(I-At2)-1Yt2-(I-At1)-1Yt2 7‫א‬%‫א‬fgZ$D2‫(א‬:*‫ א‬1989 JK6$fg‫אא‬U</. .1989 54k ‫א‬vB‫א‬/GJ، 1989 -1979 ~JCK6y. W %UB ∆xd. -1. ∆Xd= xt1,t2 -xt1+Yt1-Yt2=[(I-At1) Yt2-(I-At1)-1Yt1] C4k ‫א‬vB‫א‬fgZ$D2(:*‫א‬1989K6$ s‫א‬fg‫אא‬j-. .1989 -1979 ~J.  20  - KSJ‫† א‬% J‫   ( א‬d

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(104) B—k6C

(105) (E1FP /-2 P  i7‫א‬ 1 2 6-3 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16. 265. Xt1. Xt2. Xt1,t2. ∆Xa. ∆Xd. ∆X. 13.6 388.3 14274.3 1028.2 108.0 284.3 2885.9 2495.03 103.5 2474.9 9396.9 737.5 428.2. 322.6 2617.8 68461.2 9358.7 924.2 3498.9 53676.1 19406.1 1089.6 6372.1 3239.1 2690.7 1267.7. 78.4 1487.1 63197.7 3545.9 468.6 1100.9 14179.3 8459.4 402.6 5848.9 14906.3 2055.7 1175.9. 3244.2 1130.7 5263.5 5812.8 455.6 2398.0 39496.8 10946.7 687.0 478.2 11667.2635.0 91.8. 64.8 1098.8 48923.4 2517.7 360.6 816.6 11293.4 5964.37 299.1 3374 5509.4 1318.2 747.7. 3309.0 2229.5 54186.9 8330.5 816.2 3214.6 50790.2 16911.1 986.1 3852.2 6157.81953.2 839.5. ‫  א

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(108) 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40. 747.5 838.4 28.7 100.1 357.5 12990.1 1986.7 101104.4 64.7 0 295.9 318.05 1836.05 306.8 620.2 21.5 61.5 301.9 0 423.6 667.7 11.2 1320.3 783.5. ‫ر! اع‬ 43-41 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67. Xt1 1294.2 1158.3 1438.6 1755.1 1060.02 1371.6 622.07 64.9 407.07 1005.3 0 1472.5 1418.7 1133.03 434.9 90.9 373.2 407.1 69.4 250.6 1008.5 5943.8 231.9 366.2 43.4. ‫  א

(109) אא‬ 2006 ‫א א

(110) א‬. 5306.2 4630.04 110.1 187.8 933.9 35252.8 12266.5 39121.3 2865.5 0 863.2 2744.08 1183.1 5140.08 2791.0 72.2 12.8 42.8 100.8 2457.9 2458.6 1.2 6345.7 4060.9 Xt2 7051.0 6398.2 3201.1 14541.4 9850.2 7657.4 2658.1 368.04 2372.02 4104.8 556.2 28174.9 1340.4 42493.4 4573.08 47.8 10490.7 11526.3 680.7 1119.7 6917.4 15606.3 2154.3 1673.4 208.9. 2446.05 3012.3 97.6 496.8 1301.3 37903.4 6493.9 38083.2 193.2 0 977.0 1088.2 3544.5 1227.7 2601.8 92.4 264.5 1297.5 0 1926.4 2205.8 67.1 4485.8 2850.5 Xt1,t2 4304.8 4489.5 5945.2 6901.2 4445.7 5704.1 2018.8 240.3 1464.4 3790.5 0 5655.4 4074.6 4000.4 2357.03 486.3 1319.5 2086.6 256.7 1267.9 4194.2 24025.7 911.9 1733.06 207.2. 2860.15 1617.74 12.5 309367.42650.65772.6 1038.1 2663.3 0 113.81655.88 2361.43912.38 189.2 20.2251.71254.7100.8 531.5 252.8 65.91859.9 1210.4 ∆Xa 2746.2 1908.7 2744.17640.2 5404.5 1953.3 639.3 127.74 907.62 314.3 556.2 22519.5 2734.238493 2309.210004.4 10206.8 1405.9863 5649.5 11421.1 21871761.5 1524.112342.1. 1698.55 2173.9 68.9 396.7 943.8 24913.3 4507.2 63021.2128.5 0 681.1 770.15 1708.45 920.9 1981.6 70.9 203.0 995.6 0 1502.8 1538.1 55.9 3165.5 2067.0. 4558.7 3791.6 81.4 87.7 576.4 22262.7 10279.8 61983.12791.8 0 567.3 2426.0 653.04833.3 2170.8 50.7 48.7259.1100.8 2034.3 1790.9 10.05025.4 3277.4.  E1FP /-,‫א‬D ∆Xd 3040.6 3331.2 4506.6 5146.1 3385.68 4332.5 1396.73 175.4 1057.33 2785.2 0 4182.9 2655.9 2867.37 1922.13 395.4 946.3 1679.5 187.3 1017.3 3185.7 18081.9 680 1366.86 163.8. ∆X 5786.8 5239.9 1762.5 12786.3 8790.2 6285.8 2036.0 303.1 1965.0 3099.5 556.2 26702.4 78.341360.4 387.110399.8 1153.1 273.6 1050.3 6666.8 14597.8 3789.51441.5 157.312505.9. 266.

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(112) ‫<אא‬$W‫א‬. 2590.83.5 158 22397.9 902.11986 14705.2 1225.5525.55907.4 43828.5 7340.51315.8-. fg‫<א‬P2‫ א‬،K6L‫א‬fg‫<אא‬/( E1F/-,‫∆ א‬Xa G‫א‬ #0 ˜E%6 G‫*א א‬e h7- K 426L‫ א‬7‫  א‬fg‫ א‬:0 ،7‫ א‬%‫א‬ Wi-7‫א‬ -75)،14،20،21،22،27،29،32،33،34،38،45،55،57،60،64،66،68،72 K2!2‫ א‬mJ 94 - 80،93،(79. K6L‫א‬fg‫<אא‬6up ? d5‫א‬/-,‫א‬N76 ∆Xd G‫א‬0 i-? > #0 ˜E%6 ،G‫*א א‬e h7 - K 4k ‫ א‬vB‫  א‬fg‫ < א‬P2‫א‬ O=J ،4k ‫ א‬vB‫ א‬fg Z$ 2‫ א‬K6L‫ Œא  א‬E   j ‫א   א‬  KEk !‫א‬-!6!‫א‬،6‫א‬BJ‫א‬D5‫א‬i?F24P i7‫א‬.  s‫א‬4!‫א‬fg‫?<א‬/-,‫א‬f&`‫א‬G‫א‬0 -426L‫א‬7‫א‬fgZ$D2(:*‫א‬- 1989- 1979 ~JCK6L‫א‬ WP  i-7‫ א‬#0 n6 G‫*א א‬e h7 - K 4k ‫ א‬vB‫א‬  80،93،94(7975)14،24،29،33،34،38،55،57،64،66،68،72 KK6L‫א‬2‫ א‬mJ .(ROWSCALER). "#$‫א‬45'‫ )א‬:* 2-2. ' %&‫ א‬/-2 (B‫*) א‬+ G5 t —k6 Z$ /s‫ א‬20   ‫א‬6- K1979 JA :0،=‫ א‬J` 1989 6‫ א‬5 23‫א‬ 47!6،i? 94 #!‫א‬23‫ 'א‬%&‫א‬/-2GJ‫א‬5‫א‬ Ki?19‫א‬8B"6`‫א‬6-/GJ  W#0P6 267. ‫  א

(113) אא‬ 2006 ‫א א

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(115) :VEIi74!‫( א‬ROWSCALER) ]w+ RSit n ∑aijt2Xjt2+∑dijt2Yjt2 j=1 RSit = n ∑aijt1Xjt2+∑dijt1Yjt2 j=1 W#0VE42!‫א‬fg ROWSCALER ]w+ RSia n ∑aijt2Xjt2+∑dijt2Yjt2 j=1 RSia= n ∑aijt1Xjt2+∑dijt1Yjt2 j=1 : ‫*) أن‬+ ,-./0‫ ا‬123‫* ا‬45 ROWSCALER $%& '‫ ه‬RSid n ∑aijt2Xjt2+∑dijt2Yjt2 j=1 RSid= n ∑aijt1Xjt2+∑dijt1Yjt2 j=1.  W#0G< Kv‚‫א‬U< 1989 - 1979 ~5K6y7‫א‬%‫א‬4+ aijt1,aijt2 Kv‚‫א‬U< 1989 - 1979 ~54k ‫א‬vB‫א‬%4+ dijt1,dijt2 . 1989 -1979 ~J j i74!‫א‬K6L‫א‬+ Xjt1, Xjt2  W %‫א‬F%=‫]אא‬w‫א‬S 1–RSit= RSia+RSid. d

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(117) B—k6C

(118) (E2FP /-2. ‫  א

(119) אא‬ 2006 ‫א א

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(123) ‫אא‬ G‫א‬/g]`‫א‬-O

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(132) B—k6C

(133) (E3FP /-2 ‫اع‬. ∆x1. ∆x2. ∆x3. ∆x4. ∆x5. 1. 405.0-. 17.43. 350.53. 21.7-. 2 6-3 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14. 19.2920.25-202.9 121.4314.43.0236.58421 3.210.36-. 0.61.0211.9 6.54 14.55 21.17136.26 142.26 18.762.51-. 8.49110.68 226.34 95.1 108.79 5.59 57.3 19.64 5.96 35.76-. 123.5529.0118.194.7821.640.12.27 0.110.080.01-. 15 16 17. 0 6.1151.85-. 0 50.3630.86. 0 10.21 49.47. 0 16.46134.55-. 18 19 20 21. 20.7135.324.2887.39-. 2.24 9.1 47.982.31-. 215.24 14.94 21.06 0.08-. 182.75 4.963.5758.94-. 22 23 24. 18.17127.228.21-. 3.53 67.28 0.66. 4.26 44.02 12.7. 38.694.0470.44-. 25 26. 613.6486.0-. 22.54 0.01. 105.01 72.81. 65.82 0. 148.8 4 46.17 0.881.21 23.29 116.7 11.77 16.11 4.13 7.15 87.67 0 16.33 112.5 8 67.69 4.0431.960.26 0.9732.03 12.05 94.64 0. ‫  א

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(135) א‬. ∆x= ∆x1+ ∆x2 ∆x3+ ∆x4+ ∆x5 90.02. 105.7659.6 98.28 1.27966.93175.36 586.92 8.94126.310 46.396.51 447.21 20.2866.67208.9849.957897.34325.68413.21-. 270.

(136) 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34. .2306872.2646.22353955.754.290 821.3-. 8.97 31.51 16.39 21.94 1.7 58.32 0 620.5. 761.38 255.4533.81389.25 146.08 18.710 62.78-. 7.37 72.54 12.99 237.32 9.59 5.29 0 50.33. 35 36 37 38. 0 205.52.82204.28. 0 2.29 1.4 3.02. 0 335.99 56.36 223.08. 0 116.55 0.0680.06-. 39 40. 1.765.95-. 1.670.74. 54.1 58.92. 24.116.59. 6.9417.59 27.188.96 0.77 0.98 0 32.33 0 58.49 28.21 20.45 20.51 35.23. 1535.551006.08677.751615.95797.578.410 245.610 307.74 83.082 409.87 47.07 95.53.  E3FP /-,‫א‬D. ‫ر! اع‬. ∆x1. ∆x2. ∆x3. ∆x4. 43-41 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52. 4.95182.14 31.290 444.7457.9 74.45-2149.9 -381.41 1455.1 -4 -355.19 -283.29 -41.91 -171.13 613.54 -0.58 -358.53 -71.31 -204.48 -61.27 -29.3 -284.63 -295.43 -241.18 -330.56 -5.78 -52.66 -19.28 -20.81 -22.34. 0.08 19.23 17.88 0 3 7.22 18.06 -0.31 2.07 -0.95. 56.38 24.64 126.69 0 165.26 3.9 61.1 312.15 164.82 214.2. -0.56 -237.4 -25.93 0 -61.61 -137.16 -2.96 15.68 -16.76 -207.93. 1.07 38.39 -136.29 0 146.13 46.92 19.7 4.86 14.2 110.25. ∆x= ∆x1+ ∆x2+ ∆x3+ ∆x4+ ∆x5 52.02 27.8 -48.94 0 -191.96 -21.22 21.45 -1817.6 -217.08 -1339.57. -2.84 -0.95 -0.02 -0.48 59.63 -0.53 0 2.44 -2.33 0.12 -1.46 7.75 0.13 -1.88 3.5 1.13 0.29 0.12 6.1 0.92. 136.93 48.21 18.18 14.96 155.23 109.29 56.9 151.62 78.91 229.38 171.69 108.36 127.64 129.39 137.79 75.38 51.04 -48.95 54.28 83.74. -11.4 -57.02 -0.56 -278.4 -302.47 -0.08 -71.89 -2.94 -14.07 -1.26 -49.14 46.53 1.18 0.27 0.4 -126.37 -0.09 -0.16 -2.67 -151.4. 34.04 61.09 -19.83 205.11 136.76 -27.55 79.33 26.04 26.25 2.39 94.33 -55.54 5.76 -5.3 -0.25 25.01 0.75 0.81 -20.27 102.19. -198.46 -231.96 -44.14 -229.94 662.69 80.55 -294.19 105.85 -115.72 169.36 186.12 -177.53 -160.82 -118.7 -189.01 -30.63 -0.67 -28.9 16.63 13.11. 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72. 271. ∆x5. ‫  א

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(166) 2`‫א‬g 1 - H.B.chennery,paterns of industrialgrowth American Economic ,Revieuw.vol no 50. 1960. p 34. 2 - Jean Arrous,Analyse multisectorielle et croissance, Edition Economica, France 1987,p75. 3 - Lange,O.introduction to Econometrics,Pergamon press WN,warsaw,1965p223 4 - s.kuznets,modern economic growth,rate,structure and spread.yale university press.1966.p25. 5 - W.Léontief,structural change, in W.léontif and others, studies in the structure of Amirican Economy. New-york.oxford university press 1953.p85.  W@‫

(167) א‬$‫א‬ 1 ‫ ـ‬s.kuznets,modern economic growth,rate,structure and spread.yale university press.1966.p25. 2 ‫ ـ‬H.B.chennery,paterns of industrial growth.American Economic Revieuw.voln50.1960.p34. 3 ‫ ـ‬W.Léontief,structural change,in W.léontif and others,studies in the structure of American Economy.new york.oxford university press 1953.p85. 4- Jean Arrous,Analyse multisectorielle et croissance, Edition Economica, France 1987,p75. K85R،1983،k‫א‬b,‫א‬OPU،23‫א‬%&‫ א‬l،^(]_<'5  K85R،1983،k‫א‬b,‫א‬OPU،23‫א‬%&‫ א‬l،^(]_<'6 7 - Lange,O.introduction to Econometrics,Pergamon press WN,warsaw,1965p223 Kdh‫א‬2‫א‬i?946!‫א‬m‫א‬-B"6`‫א‬6-60'8. ‫  א

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