Also Libya's agriculture cannot be compared
either
interms of the size
of cultivable land or in the terms of yeild per unit of land. Her popula¬
tion was always very small and the standard of skills and
technical
know-how lagged behind that of the others. Thus we notice
this isolation of
Libya in most of the studies made on the questionof possible integra¬
tion. '
If the relatively developed industries in the other Maghreb
countries
have free access to the Libyan market it will be impossible for
Libya to
develop its own industries. Therefore special arrangements should have
to be made to protect the Libyan industries in their infancy. This question will be elaborated upon at a later stage.
Regarding the three other Maghreb countries, the study of the
ECA
Industrial Coordination Mission to Algeria, Libya,
Morocco
and Tunisialaid emphasis on resource endowment and suggested the location of
industries where the resources are abundant. Algeria, for instance, be¬
cause of its favourable conditions, especially in the field of
natural
resources
(oil
and naturalgas)
was suggested several times asthe best
economic location for several industries. Indeed, from the point of
view of economic optimum, and from the standpoint of maximising
returns
and minimizing costs, the locations which the
Mission recommended for
the different economic projects were the right ones.
But, in the sphere of economic integration
the principle of optimum
location of industries should be modified to take into account the problem
of equitable or semi-equitable distribution of gains between,the member
countries. If economic integration is a means to a higher rate of
economic development of all the countries of the group, small or large, relatively developed or less developed,than every country
should have
ashare in the industrial development. To be sure, the principle of
optimalisation is indispensableotherwise the resources of the integrated,
area would suffer a great waste if not allocated and located according to
this principle. On the other hand, any economic integration effort will
not be successful unless based on fair distribution of benefits and costs between the members.
IDEP/ET/2340
Page 77.
A further factor influencing the choice of location is the
historical factor of certain industries which are in existence. This
is certainly a justified approach. If we have to economize on the
Maghreb resources and avoid excess capacities, as we demonstrated
before,
and if we are to benefit from the experience already gained in the pro¬
duction and marketing of certain commodities,
together
with theskills
acquired, these existing industries should be considered as suitableareas of cooperation between the Maghreb countries. But here again one should be careful. Sometimes historical accident can be responsible for the establishment of certain industries in specific locations, but a country such as Libya would not easily accept this fact simply because
the Italians were less enterprising than the French, and the country was
left without significant industrial enterprises.
This theme of choosing the "integration industries" according to the existing industrial map of the Maghreb was pronounced by the CPCP report prepared by Giri, and most of the industries suggested to be agreed
upon by the .Maghreb Governments were distributed among the three tradi¬
tional Maghreb states. We find that Algeria has a relatively larger
share of existing industries, the reason being that the French used to
consider Algeria as an integrated part of the mainland of France and not just a colony or a protectorate like the other two territories, and thus
more industrial enterprises wire established there than in Tunisia and Morocco. The latter two would oppose a
100rfo
application of the de factorindustries in the area.
The Giri report has also been legitimately influenced by the factor
of resource endowment, and favoured Algeria with many important industries, and in this way it was similar to the ECA Mission Report especially in respect of the new Maghreb industries which the report proposed. But the Giri Report was much more aware of Libya's special situation, and therefore we find the following industries allocated to her.
(These
industries can be financed from Libyan capital resourcesobtaining from the oil revenue, and can utilize the petroleum products themselves as the basic inputs for the suggested
industries);
1. An ammcniac factory with a capacity between 1,000 and 1,500 tons per day
(1).
2. A production unit to extract and treat pottassium salts
to produce from 200,000
to300,000
tons per year(2)
3. A petro-chemical industry with one million tons capacity
per year
(3).
4. A unit to electrolize aluminium with a capacity of 100,000
tons per yqar.
How to distribute the benefits of integration
According to'our analysis, economic integration is a means to help
the Maghreb
(as
well as theAfrican)
countries to develop their national economies, in other words to help them industrialize. It follows thatany attempt to give each member country less than their fair share in
the industrialization process would f?.il, and would be refused as an unrea¬
listic approach. One can divide the means for distributing the gains in
the Mahreh integrated area into two broad categories, means to distribute
the short—run gains, and means to distribute the long-run gains we mean those which take the form of fiscal gains or fiscal compensations for
revenue losses, while by long-run gains we mean economic development and industrialization gains.
vl)
Por Ammoniac there is already a project presented by a foreign firm, but the Libyan government with capital funds available can start the project either as a completely public enterprise or as a mixed economy enterprise, i.e. with the participation of private capital.(2)
The potassium resources are on the borders between Libya and Tunisia so here cooperation between the two countries would be fruitful.(3)
The petro-chemical and aluminium industries need advanced techniques hence Libya should seek the aid and participationof the specialized industries.
Page 79»
Short-run "benefits
It is suggested that the less developed country in an integrated
area
(Lihya
in ourcase)
should he compensated for loss of revenuegained from import tax on goods originally imported from a third country, and which are now imported free of tax from a partner country.
It is said that the relatively developed country would obtain
revenue from the income tax and the excise duties charged on the
/ v
output of the enterprises that establish themselves in its
territory^/
Another measure is that if labour is to move freely across the borders of the countries constituting the integration scheme,
The "tax unique" applied in the Central African Economic and Customs Union is given as an example to solve this problem.
According to the system, the country which exports one of its pro¬
ducts to the regional market levies on it a tax equivalent to a consumption tax; the basic materials used for this product are exempted from any tax or duty in the country of manufacture.
In turn, while the regional partner country on which the goods
are exported does not levy any duty or tax on it, it can count
on the producing country's transferring to it the proceeds of the
tax levied, and the transfer is in proportion to the share of the production which the importing country consumes.
(See
K.E. Khalil,Economic Integration in Africa,
IDEP/ET/lXVII/971,
chapter 7;B.F. Massell, The distribution of gains in a common market i the
East African Case,
(Santa
Monica, Calif., RandCorporation 1964,
p.17 et seq.; Anguiie and David, l'Afrique sans frontières
(Monaco,
Paul Bory,
1965),
P.37 et seq.It will be recalled that these "static" or short term benefits have been the subject.of a long controversy between a number of
economic integration writers. Unfortunately they have hit the wrong
tree, as industrialization is the issue and not financial compensation
for the lost customs' revenue.
(See
A.J. Brown ; "Customs Union versus economic separatism in developing countries, Yorkshire Bulletin of Economic and Social Fe-searoh, May and November,1961;
D.P. Ghai "Territorial Distributionof the Benefits and Costs of tte East African Common Market" in Leys &
Robson
(ed.)
Federation in East Africa ; Opportunities andProblems,
Oxford University Press,
19655
W.T. Newlvn, "Gains and losses in theEast African Common Market", Yorkshire Bulletin, November
1965$
a. Hazlewood "The East African Common Market s Importance and Effectsj
Bulletin of the Oxford University Institute of Economic and Statistics
Feb. 1966 & May 1966. See also C. Robson, Economic Integration in Africa, op. cit. p.
130-148.
prises in the partner country to the home country
would provide the latter
with some benefits.
Applying these types of compensation on Libya,
it
seemsthat they
are not attractive to the Libyans. First, they are not decisive in
helping
the process of economic development5 secondly the Libyans
already
havetheir capital funds, and their problem is how to use these
to industrialize.
Libya also has no surplus labour, skilled or
non-skilled to emigrate to the
other three countries. Thus these short-run or static benefits which en¬
gaged many economists in the conventional tradition are not
welcomed by the
members of any economic community, especially by the less developed
members.
The second type of benefits may be more effective and more convincing.
(b)
The "Economic Development" benefits or the long-runbenefits
Itfet^akTrlbSFBtressed again and again that each member country should have
a fair share in the industrialization process. It is clear that all the
measures suggested here would contribute to the industrialization of the
weaker partner as well as the other partners. They would particularly
countervail the back-wash effects which the economic forces impose on the
least developed country.
There are, first, the trade measures. The less-developed country,
Libya, should be allowed to maintain, for a suitable period of time, barriers
to import, especially with regard to the insufficiently competitive items
which it is already producing and. it should be allowed to protect its
existing and planned infant industries. Also in order to promote industrial
activities in Libya, the other countries should grant its exports preferential
access to their markets without asking for the same treatment.
(ï)
Lihya should also he allowed., according to a general investment policy
for the Maghreb, to use more fiscal incentives and aids than the other three countries in order to attract investments to her territory. Among these
measures are tax incentives, the availability of free or low—rent industrial
estates or premises, and the granting of substantial financial aids in the
form of straight production or transport subsidies.
(2)
oN>*^\•rp,t\itfi r
(ï)
See K.H. Khalil, op.cit.Page 81.
3. Some other investment policy issues
A general investment policy for the whole area should he
drawn in order to create the most favourable conditions for the
success of the industrialization approach to integrate the Maghreb.
Priorities should be established so that resources are channelled towards those sectors which have a key importance for uhe develop¬
ment process.
(1)
We have seen that in the Maghreb there are mineral resources on the borders of two or more countries and there are already factories
to process them on the individual country's territory. These, and similar, areas which can be discovered are suitable for cooperation
whether the activity is industrial, agricultural, or
infrestructurai,
or whether it is a project comprising all these activities. Anotherexample from the Maghreb is the tramsmission of electric lines, which
can be repaired and joined between Algeria and Tunisia on the one
hand, and Algeria and Morocco on the other hand. We have already pointed out that the joining of these lines and the benefiting from
the cheap natural gas in Algeria u,s a fuel to generate electricity
would achieve a considerable economy in this field for the three
countries.
In the previous chapter where certain industries were suggested
as "integration industries" we noticed that they followed a strategy
based on the fructification of the already existing industries-, and
on the undertaking of new activities based on the availability of
resources. Certainly, the expansion of the existing industries in
(1)
Examples of these industries are : iron and steel, chemicals(petro-chemicals,
fertilizers and other heavy organic compoundchemical
products),
pulp and paper, heavy equipment, fuels,energy and infrastructure in general.