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ings.^,000 SSlffi for co-operative societies and 20,000 private dwellings

with investment as follows: ' A r ' \ '■

^^K^

Page 6?

This has called for 15 per^cent'of total'*pl$A investment and was realized during ^1962-64. In 1965 , however, tnis pace could not "be kept up "because as other national priorities arose, Tims investment in 1965

declined to lO^'per dent, : "/

Flans and Projects

In agriculture, projects are worked out for, the integrated development of.. Gehtral-5!unis.;/.for..^ell drilling, ^oas-is development in-the southern re

gions; for surface irrigation programmes as well as the completion of the

,1JJ.ebaBa.,Dam.,Cfinan-ced.,partly..by. USAIDj 12,5-^milli-on US dallars);«for the completion of the Owed Chiba, Owed Lakimes and Owed Masu Dams (financed by..,Germaruaid;. .-^-..million US dollars)? for-the Ichkenl .Dam (financed with bilateral Russian help* 4 million US ■dollars.).; and for a group of smaller dams in the Horth-Western region*. „ ■;=:'■-_; '.■ \ , v _. .

''■-' In power, there are plans for a i6Jmiilion dollars, 50, 'MW nuclear power, station,, :.--;::■■ . ^;* '"-C ".i ■ ■■• '::■ :; ■" ■.-■■' ■■ '*.,'-..:

.,-■ ,r.f,;Xn industry, a PVC factory is under construction, and a gas pipeline crossi;ng from Tunisia to Europe, and a 150 ::k¥ line connecting the Tunisian and Algerian grids are planned*

■ In education, the four-year plan will try ^o answer the need for 4*000

classrooms in primary schools, for 19 buildings in secondary schools, as s for six projects for high and university schools..

Plans in Transport and Communications

Tunisia has a relatively good and, extensive ,hi^iway-network, four major seaports, railways covering the riortEernali^ "central part of the country and a few domestic air connexions, substantially adequate to meet the country's development needs., 0n£y marginal: or .incremental improvements are needed..

Public attitudes, are more favourable to roads than to railways*

While railway equipment is wearing out, roads tend to "be rebuilt. The

construction costs are relatively low ilii§. to physical bbnditions and imple

mentation ilirough the establisHed^departmental force had stimulated to build

and; improve roads intensively. : . :

The 1965-68 plan foresees 55 million net investment in,; transport and communications, a great part ofwhich will be roads and bridgeso : The latter are related for their justificatioVi to projects in other sebiors of the economy (agriculture, tourism, industry)., ■

E/CNo14/lM/l63

Page 68

The commeaceial,.port Jprojec-t, La Gouleijtej. ^

'th&-ifizjauclal:--^ielp of the IBRD., Air tjhe satft£.plac§yT.ia;.new ^i^tii-Hig port planned with'European help. Another .:importattt. por^,;prpjeQ,t;,:i0:paJbes as a part of the proposed chemical complex in the neighbourhood.. ;:.^h-e;-terminal building complex is at the Tunis El Aouina Airport* Extensive projects for hotels are planned.. ::"^ '■• ■■.■'*■.' ■*■■'■ =

-■.■. ■■■■:>j .--■■■ ■■-■-■ ■-■■■.■;. ■■■=.>f,+ ■:- ■■ ■. ..::.■!■■:•/-<■■: yrr :Ji:> .■ ,-,.-:;■=■■ ■; .r. ■ ■'}. is^r.■■-..,-.. r:l

?elQ ' : ■ HirrfiwaS' investment.programme,:; :1965^19.68 ;

000

Dinars-(a) Continuation of road oonstructiori

started before 1965 (286 km) ■ 2,000

(b.) New roads-(about 270 km) : : 4,150

(o) Construction of 20 new bridges l(800

(d): Urban development. ,. ; .; . 2y.5OO

Total net investment .. 10,450

Replacement of road construction and

■^ maintenance equipment - :-!■ . 4»000

'"Six-ferries' '■ "' " .""" J":;-;' ' ' ""'" . : 600

nc"J ■' ■ ■ ■■ " ■ ■ ■■ " '■' -■ ■■ 4,600 j.v .Total gross investment ; 15»O5O

Source! 1965-68 Four-year Plan, Tunisia.

. Projection - Tunisia ~; ' ' _"■ r;.; ' Share of Construction in GDFCF

.-: Construction investment during the last six years fluctuated between

■63*9 and 72 per cent of GDFC$V-:::In, our: base, year for projection (15*64) we

shall use this actual figure of approximately 64 per cent• This percentage is expected to rise a little during the first plan year owing to extensive

infrastructure investment (in.fact tjie 1965 figure has been,to J2 per cent already)-but towards .1980, as.: the;.;.percentage, of GDFCF in GDP increases signi ficantly (expected 27«& per cent) the; percentage of construction in GDFCF is due to decline* We have,, ^he.r-efore, .,$aken for projection in 1970 the

figure of 68 per cent for construction but in 1975 only && Per cen* s^1^ in 1980 back to 64 per cent, on the assumption that investment in equipment will

grow.

E/CNO14/UJR/163

Page 69..

Share of Dwelling in GDFCF

In 1964 the sha-^j^'Jtff^|!M^-iftt(^^^^sii.114«5 per cent. The final draf^fc.:o,f the plan-.triennal i962'-i§64 has tVied to reduce housing investment

,. to-.^>^er-cent-j ^^^in.:±eSIl:feljy;':.i:t;remained along the .previous .forecast of

- It -was foni^-'iri 1965 .-vtha-t it 'reached., the 10=5" percentage-,.

■..-.■■; ^;,.-It?.is assuiHedv.that^.-d'espite'/its^iow: priority -housing will npt get-under .$his-:las-t figure* ;■■.-, On the-^dhtrary, "pa'rallel. to infrastructujral and. ^u^lic

utilities investment, we may expect even a slight rais.e, especiallX'in the private and co-operative dwellings« Therefore we might expect a higher share than-4&j5 J.965 one but less than the first planned 15 per cent>h-..thirteen per cenVwill be a fair estimate which would not go far from the "real 'figureo

,.,.«...,■ rVv's.

Few statistics are availably,.which distinguish between the' varip^ civil

engineering, works and non—residential buildings. 'The statistics of*.I^iilding

permits,vjc)^not, as a rule, include all the governmental .buildings (which are mainly h6nV?residential)o Th:ex also do not include buildings, in rur;a;i,.areas,

the moder^.part of^wMch ,4s :fe|,inl;yAnQn^resi(ientialo .,..§o.lwe_.,must make an intelligent "estimate". ' " " ■. . ."■.—.—. --

-In the latest report on this subject l/f the non-residential "new

building work" normally exceeds the housing "new work" by some 20 per cento In the case of Tunisia^ housing has been deliberately omitted from the first national priorities against planned investment in industry, education, trans port, commerce and tourism, all sectors which share a high construction content of non-residential buildingo Thus, it would be appropriate to allow some

40-50 per cent higher investment for non-residential building than for housing,.

So we could use the following internal division for the investment in con struction;

Housing 20 per cent

Non-res idential

building 30 per cent

Civil engineering . 50 per cent 100 per cent'

As mentioned, towards 1980, some decline in construction is expected, owing to larger investment in equipment. This will be reflected in the civil engineering part of investment, which share is described in Table T.8.

1/ The Place of Construction in Economic Development. Report prepared by

Professor BoAe Turin for the United Nations Centre for Housing, Building

and Planningo