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Appendix 3 . A priori candidate models describing herbicide treatment and air temperature

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Appendix 3 . A priori candidate models describing herbicide treatment and air temperature

effects on House Wren nest survival, number of offspring produced, and nestling body condition in the Oregon Coast Range, US, 2014

Model name Parameters Description

Nest survival Null*

Elevation + mean nest age

Documented variation in nest survival with elevation and nest age

Temperature Tmax

Daily maximum temperature influences nest survival directly via inducing nestling metabolic stress and decreased nest survival

Temperature² Tmax²

Daily maximum temperature influences nest survival directly via inducing nestling metabolic stress and decreased nest survival and may exhibit a quadratic relationship

Herbicide intensity Herbicide treatment†

Herbicide treatment influences nest survival via altered vegetative abundance, structure, and composition and thus decreased food availability

Temperature + Herbicide intensity

Tmax + herbicide treatment†

Herbicide treatment influences nest survival but this effect is compounded daily maximum temperatures

Temperature² + Herbicide intensity

Tmax² + herbicide treatment†

Herbicide treatment influences nest survival but this effect is compounded daily maximum temperatures and may exhibit a quadratic relationship

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Number of offspring produced

Null*

Elevation +

Maximum brood size

Null model accounts for documented variation in fledgling brood size with elevation and the number of nestlings present in each nest able to survive to fledging

Temperature Tmax

Daily maximum temperature influences fledgling brood size directly via inducing nestling metabolic stress and decreased nestling survival

Temperature² Tmax²

Daily maximum temperature influences fledgling brood size directly via inducing nestling metabolic stress and decreased nestling survival and may exhibit a quadratic relationship

Herbicide intensity Herbicide treatment†

Herbicide treatment influences fledgling brood size via decreased food availability and thus fewer nestlings survive to fledging

Temperature + Herbicide intensity

Tmax + herbicide treatment†

Herbicide treatment influences fledging brood size but this effect is compounded by daily maximum

temperatures Temperature² +

Herbicide intensity (Global model)

Tmax² + herbicide treatment†

Herbicide treatment influences nest survival but this effect is compounded daily maximum temperatures and may exhibit a quadratic relationship

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Nestling body condition

Null*

Elevation + Mean tarsus length + Mean nestling age

Null model accounts for documented variation in songbird nestling mass with elevation with a factor to correct for nestling size

Temperature Tmax

Daily maximum temperature influences nestling mass directly via inducing nestling metabolic stress and thus influencing growth

Temperature² Tmax²

Daily maximum temperature influences nestling mass directly via inducing nestling metabolic stress and thus influencing growth and may exhibit a quadratic relationship

Herbicide intensity Herbicide treatment†

Herbicide treatment influences nestling mass via decreased food availability and thus slower nestling growth and lower mass

Temperature + Herbicide intensity

Tmax + herbicide treatment

Herbicide treatment influences nestling mass but this effect is compounded by daily maximum temperatures Temperature² +

Herbicide intensity (Global model)

Tmax² + herbicide treatment†

Herbicide treatment influences nest survival but this effect is compounded daily maximum temperatures and may exhibit a quadratic relationship

* All terms in the null model were included in the candidate set.

† Herbicide treatment includes four levels of intensity (i.e., control, light, moderate, intensive)

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