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Appendix 2. AICc tables for abundance modeling

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The abundance of Greater Sage-Grouse as a proxy for the abundance of sagebrush-associated songbirds in Wyoming, USA

Tables detailing the AICc model-selection results for the abundance-modeling stage of the analysis (stage 2). Generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) were fit to songbird data collected during 144 surveys in central Wyoming, USA, 2012–2013. The distribution assumed in the GLMM varied by model, but the same fixed and random effects were included in all models.

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estimate Brewer’s Sparrow abundance (N) in central Wyoming, USA, 2012–2013. All models included the probability of detection estimated in stage 1 of the analysis as an offset term to effectively model songbird density corrected for detectability.

Model Distribution K AICc§ ΔAICc| w

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) ZINB 7 777.52 0.00 1.00

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) NB 6 788.14 10.62 0.00

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) ZIP 6 798.53 21.02 0.00

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) P 5 842.37 64.85 0.00

Distribution assumed for the response variable. P = Poisson, NB = Negative Binomial, ZIP = zero-inflated Poisson, ZINB = zero-inflated Negative Binomial.

Number of parameters.

§Second-order variant of Akaike’s Information Criterion.

|Difference in AICc between the model and the top-ranked model in the set.

Model weight.

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estimate Sagebrush Sparrow abundance (N) in central Wyoming, USA, 2012–2013. All models included the probability of detection estimated in stage 1 of the analysis as an offset term to effectively model songbird density corrected for detectability.

Model Distribution K AICc§ ΔAICc| w

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) P 5 221.28 0.00 0.60

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) ZIP 6 223.44 2.16 0.20

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) NB 6 223.46 2.18 0.20

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) ZINB 7 N/A N/A N/A

Distribution assumed for the response variable. P = Poisson, NB = Negative Binomial, ZIP = zero-inflated Poisson, ZINB = zero-inflated Negative Binomial.

Number of parameters.

§Second-order variant of Akaike’s Information Criterion. N/A for models that did not converge.

|Difference in AICc between the model and the top-ranked model in the set. N/A for models that did not converge.

Model weight. N/A for models that did not converge.

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estimate Sage Thrasher abundance (N) in central Wyoming, USA, 2012–2013. All models included the probability of detection estimated in stage 1 of the analysis as an offset term to effectively model songbird density corrected for detectability.

Model Distribution K AICc§ ΔAICc| w

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) P 5 398.08 0.00 0.75

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) ZIP 6 400.26 2.18 0.25

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) NB 6 N/A N/A N/A

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) ZINB 7 N/A N/A N/A

Distribution assumed for the response variable. P = Poisson, NB = Negative Binomial, ZIP = zero-inflated Poisson, ZINB = zero-inflated Negative Binomial.

Number of parameters.

§Second-order variant of Akaike’s Information Criterion. N/A for models that did not converge.

|Difference in AICc between the model and the top-ranked model in the set. N/A for models that did not converge.

Model weight. N/A for models that did not converge.

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estimate Horned Lark abundance (N) in central Wyoming, USA, 2012–2013. All models included the probability of detection estimated in stage 1 of the analysis as an offset term to effectively model songbird density corrected for detectability.

Model Distribution K AICc§ ΔAICc| w

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) ZINB 7 864.48 0.00 1.00

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) NB 6 875.13 10.65 0.00

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) ZIP 6 936.75 72.27 0.00

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) P 5 990.57 126.09 0.00

Distribution assumed for the response variable. P = Poisson, NB = Negative Binomial, ZIP = zero-inflated Poisson, ZINB = zero-inflated Negative Binomial.

Number of parameters.

§Second-order variant of Akaike’s Information Criterion.

|Difference in AICc between the model and the top-ranked model in the set.

Model weight.

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estimate Vesper Sparrow abundance (N) in central Wyoming, USA, 2012–2013. All models included the probability of detection estimated in stage 1 of the analysis as an offset term to effectively model songbird density corrected for detectability.

Model Distribution K AICc§ ΔAICc| w

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) NB 6 607.39 0.00 0.75

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) ZINB 7 609.60 2.21 0.25

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) ZIP 6 690.92 83.53 0.00

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) P 5 755.89 148.50 0.00

Distribution assumed for the response variable. P = Poisson, NB = Negative Binomial, ZIP = zero-inflated Poisson, ZINB = zero-inflated Negative Binomial.

Number of parameters.

§Second-order variant of Akaike’s Information Criterion.

|Difference in AICc between the model and the top-ranked model in the set.

Model weight.

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estimate Western Meadowlark abundance (N) in central Wyoming, USA, 2012–2013. All models included the probability of detection estimated in stage 1 of the analysis as an offset term to effectively model songbird density corrected for detectability.

Model Distribution K AICc§ ΔAICc| w

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) P 5 196.61 0.00 0.55

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) NB 6 198.66 2.05 0.20

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) ZIP 6 198.78 2.18 0.19

N ~ PopulationIndex + PelletCount

+ Year + (1|Cluster) ZINB 7 200.87 4.26 0.07

Distribution assumed for the response variable. P = Poisson, NB = Negative Binomial, ZIP = zero-inflated Poisson, ZINB = zero-inflated Negative Binomial.

Number of parameters.

§Second-order variant of Akaike’s Information Criterion.

|Difference in AICc between the model and the top-ranked model in the set.

Model weight.

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