ةيعماجلا ةنسلا
:
2018
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2019
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تايوتحلما سرهف
I I أ 01 01 04 10 12 12 15 19 28 30 30 34 39 40 40 47 57 65 68 68 75 83 97 99 99 99 103 107تايوتحلما سرهف
مــــــــــيدقت
1 I .
2 Freeman Robin Finshman II .
4 McCaw
Celluar, Cabevision, Barnes & Noble…
Financial Engineering
I .
5 Financial Engineering Don M Chance Smith
6
II .
7
.
Fisher Black & Rechard Roll
The
International Association of Financial Engineering (IAFE)
8 . . efficiency effectiveness
9
10 . . . 2007 . islamfin.go-forum.net/t2175-topic; le : 28/12/2018, à 22:39 . alnoor.se/article.asp?id=45134; le: 21/12/2018, à 00:21
6. David H. Gowland , Financial Innovation in Theory and
Practice, Surveys in Monetary Economics : (volume 2 : 1991, Oxford).
7. Don M. Chance , Robert Brooks, An lntroduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, (Thomson Higher Education by South-Western, Seventh Edition, Canada, 2006).
8. Franklin Allen, Glenn Yago, Financing the Future : Market-Based Innovations for growth, (series on Financial Innovation : 2010, Wharton school Publishing, Milken Institute, new Jersey).
9. Frederic Mishkin, The Economics of Money, Banking, and Financial Markets , (Addison Wesley, Boston, 7th edition, 2007).
10. Jean Marck Moulin, le droit de l’ingénierie financière, Gualino l’extenso éditions, 4° édition
11. Georges Legros, Ingénierie financière, fusions acquisitions et autres restructurations des fonds capitaux, Dunod
11
12. Peter Tufano, Financial Innovation, (June 16, 2002, Harvard Business School)
13. Yuh-Dauh Lyuu, Financial Engineering and Computation : Principles, Mathematics, Algorithms, (United Kingdom Cambridge University Press,USA, 2004).
14. Çigdem Izgi kogar, Financial Innovations and Monetary Control ,The Central Bank of the republic of Turkey, May 1995 ; sur le site :
12 I . 1 . 2 . أ . ب .
13 ج . د . ه . و . ز . 3 . أ .
14 ب . ج . II . I .
15
16
–
Taux de rendement réel
Taux d’inflation
RT
17
.
.
18
.
.
19 . P/E -. X
20
I .
21 𝑉 𝐶𝐹𝑡 II . g 10 5
22 D0 g 1 g D1 = D0 (g+1) D2 = D1 (g+1) D3 = D2 (g+1) = D1 (g+1) 2 D1 D2 D3 ... 𝑃0 = 𝐷1 1 + 𝑟 + 𝐷1(1 + 𝑔) (1 + 𝑟)2 + 𝐷1(1 + 𝑔)2 (1 + 𝑟)3 + ⋯ ∞ 1 . Zero-Growth Model
23
1 0 ) 1 ( k t t r D P t D D D D 3 2 1 1 1 0 ) 1 ( 1 t r t D P r D P 1 0 0 P 1 D t ke 𝑃0 = 5 0.05 = 100 2 . Constant-Growth Model 𝑃0 = 𝐷𝑖 (𝑟 − 𝑔)24 P0 Di r g 5 6 % 20 𝑃0 = 5 (1 + 0,06) (0,2 − 0,06) = 37,86 37.86 37.86 3 . Variable-Growth Model) . : 𝑃0 = 𝐷0 1 + 𝑔1 𝑡 (1 + 𝑟)𝑡 𝑛 𝑡=1 + 𝐷𝑛 1 + 𝑔2 𝑡−𝑛 (1 + 𝑟)𝑡 𝑡−𝑛 g1 g2
25 P0 D0 Dn r III . BATES BPA P PER BPA Price Earming 1 g n
1
,
0
1
1
1
1
1
,
0
1
1
0
n n ng
r
r
g
g
q
g
r
PER
PER
IV .26 1 . ) ( ) 1 ( ) 1 ( ) 1 ( 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 g r r g g D g r r g D P T T T 1 g 1 2 g 2 : T 2 . MOLODOVSKY 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 ) 1 ( ) ( ) 1 ( ) 1 ( ) ( ) 1 ( ) 1 ( 1 1 1 g r r j g g D r j g r g D r g g r D P N T N j T N t t t j T T T
27 1 g 2 g ) ( j g T N
28 1 . 2 . 3 . 4 . 5 . ) 2006 ( 6 . 7 . 8 . 2016 9 . 2010 10 . 2006 11 . 12 . 2010
29
13. Abdelkader beltas, , Marché des capitaux et la structure par échéance des
taux d’intérêt, )Edition LEGENDE, 2008, Alger(.
14. Valuation of Bonds and Stock
https://www.scranton.edu/faculty/hussain/teaching/mba503c/MBA503C03.pdf
15. Valuation of Financial Instruments: TheoreticalOverviewwith Applications in Bloomberg,
30 . 2 . أ . ب . ج .
31 د . ه . و . ز . ح . ط . ي . 3 . أ .
32 ب . ج . د . coupon
33 ه . LIBOR و . ز .
34 I . . n n n r F r C r C r C r C P ) 1 ( ) 1 ( ) 1 ( ) 1 ( 1 3 3 2 2 1 0 n C C C1 2
n
n n n r F r r r C P r F r r r C P ) 1 ( ) 1 ( ) 1 ( 1 ) 1 ( ) 1 ( ) 1 ( ) 1 ( ) 1 ( 1 1 1 0 2 1 0 -1 1+r 1 n n n r F r r r C P (1 ) ) 1 ( 1 ) 1 ( 1 ) 1 ( 1 1 0 n n r F r r C P 1 (1 ) (1 ) 0 r r FA r V n r n n r n ) 1 ( 1 ) 1 ( % , % , F V CFA P0 n,r% nr%35 P0 C r n F I . 𝑃0 = 𝐶1(1 + 𝑟)−1 ∞ 𝑖−1 P0 Ct r C 𝑃0 = 𝐶 (1 + 𝑟)−1 ∞ 𝑡=1
36 r C P r C r F r r C P n n n n n 0 (1 ) lim 0 ) 1 ( 1 lim lim 𝑃0 = 𝐶 𝑟 III . m i i i i m 1 1 m m r r r r m
37 mn mn mn n m m m m m m nxm m m n m m m r F m r m r m r m r C P m r F m r m r m r C P r F r r r C P 1 1 1 1 1 1 ' 1 1 1 1 ' ) 1 ( ) 1 ( ) 1 ( ) 1 ( ' 1 2 1 1 0 2 1 0 2 1 0 1 1 m r 1 m.n n m n m m r F m r m r C P . . 0 1 1 1 ' m C C % % 1 1 1 , , 0 . . 0 m r mn m r mn n m n m FV FA m C P m r F m r m r m C P III . m
38 1 1 1 1 lim lim 1 1 r r m m m m e r e m r r m r r
r r nr
nr r nr nr r r r n r n r r r r n n Fe e e e Ce P Fe e e e e C P e F e C e C e C e C P r F r C r C r C r C P 2 0 3 2 0 3 2 1 0 3 2 1 0 1 ) 1 1 ( ) 1 1 ( ) 1 1 ( ) 1 1 ( ) 1 1 ( ) 1 ( ) 1 ( ) 1 ( ) 1 ( ) 1 ( r e 1 n nr r nr Fe e e C P 1 1 039 . . . . . . ) 2006 ( . . . .
40
I .
41 . . K St Vt K -St St – K
42 10000 10200 200 II . 1 . حبر ةراسخ Vt St K 0 حبر ةراسخ Vt St K 0
43
First National Bank Rock Solid Insurance Company
2 .
44 III . . . . . . IV .
45
V .
. .
46 . . - . -. - . . . . OTC - . - . -. - . - . .
47 - . I . 15 % 1 . 2 .
48 3 . 4 . 5 . II . 1 . BNP Paribas 9 2011 10 10 x 100 = 1000 56,822 56822 BNP Paribas 10 x 100 = 1000 56,471 56471 2 .
49 900000 $ 950000 $ 50000 $ 500000 $ 420000 $ 410000 $ 413000 $ 398000 $ 7000 $ ( 420000 – 413000 ) ، 12000 $ ( 410000 -398000 ) 5000 $ ( 12000 -7000 ) 3 . DJIA
50 CAC40
4 .
51
LMM CME
16
52 0 008728 0 008758 0 008752 141491 141491 300 141094 IV . 1 . 2 .
53 3 . 1925 4 . 1 . Futures Commission Merchant
54 2 . ( )
55 V . . Contract size . Delivery Terms Burns Harbor Saint Louis
56 3 . Limit up Limit down 4 . 1000 VI . 1 . 5 % و 15 %
57 2012 10000 2012 100 100 10 % 100000 2 . 98 100 98 x 10000 20000 80000 . 75 80 80 80000 75 = 100000 x 75 % = 75000
58 80000 96 ( = 98 – 96 ) x 10000 = 20000 = 80000 – 20000 = 60000 40000 4 . 03 10000 ( 96 x 10000 = ) 960000 1000000 = 1000000 – 960000 = 40000 60000 – 40000 = 20000 20000 VII .
59 06 20 06 20 I .
60 Vt = Ft-1 - Ft Vt Ft-1 Ft II . T S0 F0 : 0 r : F0 = S0erT
F
0> S
0e
rTF
0 P61 F0 - S0e rT = P
F
0< S
0e
rTF
0 P S0e rT - F0 = P F= SerT F=1150 e0.11 1/12 = 1160 . F= (S – I)erT نأ ملعلا عم I62 . q F= Se(r-q)T F= 25 x e(0.1-0.0396)1 = 26,556 . أ . CAC40 10 % RENAULT € CAC40 € RENAULT %
63 RENAULT € € CAC40 F= 400000 x e(0,1)60/365– (200x20 e(0,1)45/365) = 402580 ب . q F F= Se(r-q)T CAC40 F= 4000e(0,06-0,01)x0,25 = 4050,3 . GBP S USD S GBP USD F F$ 1 £ (F$) . (1£) USD ـب r GBP وه rf
64 F= Se(r- rf)T F r rf r- rf ( rf ) ( r ) USD/EUR 1,1 F= 1.1e(0.03- 0.05)2 = 1.057
65 . . . . 2001 . . . . . . . .
66 13 . . . . . . . islamiccenter.kau.edu.sa/arabic/Hewar_Arbeaa/abs/219 ; le: 23/11/2012, à 23:55
20. Don M. Chance, Don M. Chance , Robert Brooks, An lntroduction to
Derivatives and Risk Management, (Thomson Higher Education by South-Western, Seventh Edition, Canada, 2006)
21. Frederic Mishkin, The Economics of Money, Banking, and Financial
Markets , (Addison Wesley, 7th edition, Boston, 2007)
22. John Hull, Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 9em, Pearson.
23. Lishang Jiang , Mathematical Modeling and Methods of Option Pricing,
(World Scientific Publishing, Singaphore, 2005)
24. Purcell Wayne, Koontz Stephen, Agricultural futures and options Principles
and Strategies, (Prentice Hall, 2’ed, États-Unis, 1998), p 257.
25. Rangarajan Sundaram, Sanjiv Das, Derivatives Principles and Practice,
(McGraw-Hill Education, New York, 2010)
26. Gaurav Dhingra, An Understanding Of Financial Derivatives, (Magazine
The chartered accountant, march 2004)
27. Forward and Futures Prices, September 11, 2006, p02, sur le site : www.uic.edu/cuppa/pa/academics/ABFM_database/Lectures/Prices.pdf,le: 18/02/2019,
67
28. Derivatives Market (Dealers) Module, NSE’s Certification in Financial
Markets, National Stock Exchange Of India Limited, 2010, sur le site :
www.nseindia.com/content/ncfm/DMDM_rev.pdf; le: 08/06/2018, à 23:05.
29. Ensuring efficient, safe and sound derivatives markets, Commission Of
The European Communities, Brussels, 03/07/2009, sur le site :
eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2009:0332:.le:6/04/2018, 30. How Stock Futures Work, Dave Roos, sur le site:
money.howstuffworks.com/personal-finance/financial-planning/stock-future1, le: 23/12/2018, à 19: 48
31. Le contrat à terme sur actions, sur le site:
comparabourse.fr/fiches-pratiques/contrat-a-terme-sur-actions., le: 23/121/2018, à 19: 51 32. Trading In Futures An Introduction, Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT),p
1, sur le site : www.cbot.com; le: 19/04/2019, à 22:48
68 أ . ب .
69 ج . أ . 100 30 60 $ 3 $ 64 1 1 63 0 0 61 2 2 60 3 3
70 59 3 3 64 $ 60 $ 64 $ 64 $ 60 $ 4 $ 4 $ 3 $ 1 $ 64 $ 64 63 1 $ 61 $ 3 $ 61 $ 63 61 2 $ 60 $ 3 $ 63 $ 63 $
71 60 $ 59 $ 60 $ 59 $ و 59 $ 60 $ 60 -3 -3 60
72 ب . 100 € 7 € € 90 3 3 93 0 0 94 1 1 100 7 7 120 7 7
73 1 . 90 € 10 7 3 3 € 90 7 100 3 € 3 € 90 € 3 € 2 . 93 € أ 7 7 0 93 7 100 0 93 € 3 . 120 € 0 7 7 € 7 € 7 €
74 100 7 100 7 € 120 € 4 . 94 € 6 7 1 € 1 € 1 € 94 7 100 1 € 94 € 93 94 1 € 5 . 1 100 € 100 € 0 7 7 € 100 7 100 7 € 100 € حابرلأا / رئاسخ ةدوذحم ريغ حابرلأا ةدوذحم رئاسخ مهسلل يقىسلا رعسلا 93 100 -7
75
I
.
VS E حابرلأا / رئاسخ مهسلل يقىسلا رعسلا 93 100 7 دوذحم حبر ريغ ةراسخ ةدوذحم76 VS < E VS > E VS = E 1 . أ . ب . . .
77 Vt = Max ( Vm- V0 ), 0 ……….(17-2) Vt Vm . أ . V0 = Max ( Vs- E ), 0
78 V0 Vs E 100 3 100 105 5 2 18 V0 = Max (Vs- E), 0 V0 = Max (105- 100), 0 = 5 2 100 200 6.5 $ 1.5 $ Vt = Max ( Vm- V0 ), 0 Vt = Max ( 6.5 - 5 ), 0 = 1.5 97 97
79 ب . V0 = Max (E - Vs ), 0 48 $ 44 $ 100 50 $ 2 $ 6 $ V0 = Max (E - Vs ), 0 V0 = Max (50 - 44 ), 0 = 6 6 $ 600 $ 200 $ 400 $
80 6.4 $ Vt = Max ( Vm- V0 ), 0 Vt = Max ( 6.4 - 6 ), 0 = 0.4 53 V0 = Max (50 - 53 ), 0 = 0 V . 1 .
81 2 . 3 . 4 . 5 .
82
6 .
7 .
83 Black-Scholes
I . The Binomial Model
William F.Sharpe 1978
Investments Cox, Ross & Rubinstein
1979
84 1 . 2 . أ . ب . ج . د .
85 3 . أ . C>=0 S E u d q 1-q Su Su = S (1 + u ) Sd Sd = S ( 1 + d ) d
86 C(u,d) = Max S(u,d) – E, 0
يأ : Cu = Max S(1+u) – E, 0 Cd = Max S(1+d) – E, 0 Cu Cd
Ca
Cu=} Max ]S(1+u) – E, 0[ { مهسلا رعس عفترا ارإ ءارشلا رايخ ةميق Cd =} Max ]S(1+d) – E, 0[ { مهسلا رعس ضفخنا ارإ ءارشلا رايخ ةميق
q
1-q
s
Su=S(1+u)
q
Sd=S(1+d)
(1-q)
q
(1-q)
87 Ca= qCu+(1-q)Cd / (1+rf) ب .
Su2=S (1+u) 2 Sud=S (1+u)(1+d) …………
Sd2=S (1+d) 288 Sdu=S (1+d)(1+u)
Cu2 = Max S(1+u)2 – E, 0
Cud= Max S(1+u)(1+d) – E, 0
89
Cu= [qCu2 +(1 - q) CUd]/ (1+ r )
Cd= [qCud +(1 - q) Cd2]/ (1+ r) (q) =(1+ r – d ) / ( u – d ) C= [q Cu +(1 - q) Cd]/ (1+ r ) Cu Cd C= [q2 Cu2 +2q (1 - q) Cud+ (1 – q)2Cd2 ] / (1+ r )2 أ .
90 224
C
Cu
Cd
Cu
2Cud
Cd
2Cu
3Cu
2d
Cud
2Cd
3………
………
………
………
………
n=0 n=1 n=2 n=3 n
S
Su
Sd
Su
2Sud
Sd
2Su
3Su
2d
Sud
2Sd
3………
………
………
………
………
n=0 n=1 n=2 n=3 n
91 𝑪𝒂 = 𝟏 (𝟏 + 𝒓)𝒏 𝒏! 𝒏 − 𝒌 ! 𝒌! 𝒒 𝒌(𝟏 − 𝒒)𝒏−𝒌 𝑴𝒂𝒙 𝑪𝒖𝒌𝒅𝒏−𝒌− 𝑬 , 𝟎 𝒏 𝒌=𝟎 Ca k n q q= (1+r-d)/(u-d) 1+q u d II . The Black-Scholes Model
92 ج . . . أ . ب .
93 ج . د . ه . و . . Ca = P[N(d1)] – E e-r t[N(d2)] d1 = [ln (P/E) + (r + 2 /2) t] / t d2 = d1 - t Ca P N(di) N(d1) ، N(d2) E e r ln (P/E) : P/E 2 Ca P E t
94 365 r N(d1) ، N(d2) 2
P = 20$ E = 20$ t = 3 mois (0,25 ans) r = 0,064 = 6,4% 2 = 0,16 = 40% d1 d2 d1 = [ln (20/20) + (0,064 + 0,16/2) 0,25] / 0,400,25 = 0,18 d2 = 0,18- 0,400,25 = - 0,02 N(d1) = N(0,18) N(d2) = N(-0,02) d1 = 0,18 0,5714 d2 = -0,02 0,4920 ( 2 -25 :) Ca = 20[N(0,18)] – 20 e- (0,064)(0,25)[N(-0,02)] = 1,74$ P E t r 2 Ca
95 20$ 20$ 0,25 6,4% 0,16 1,74$ 25 20 0,25 6,4 0,16 5,57 20 25 0,25 6,4 0,16 0,34 20 20 0,50 6,4 0,16 2,54 20 20 0,25 9 0,16 1,81 2 20 20 0,25 6,4 0,25 2,13 أ . $ $ $ $ $ ) 5 $ ب . $ ج . $ . د . $
96 E e-r t N(d1) N(d2) ه . $ . Pu = Ca + Pv (E) - P Pu : Ca : Pv (E) : P : Ca Pu e-r t[1- N(d2)] – P [1 - N(d1)] Pu e- 0,064(0,25)[1- 0,4920] – 20 [1 – 0,5714] Pu
97 . . . . . 6 . . . . . . .
98
. .
. ac.ly/vb/showthread.php?p=2316 ; le : 27-03-2019, à 14 :43
Don M. Chance , Robert Brooks, An lntroduction to Derivatives and Risk Management, (Thomson Higher Education by South-Western, Seventh Edition, Canada, 2006).
17. Mondher bellah, yves simon, Options, contrats à térme et gestion des risque,
(Economica edition, France, 2000)
18. Rainer Brosch, Portfolios of Real option, (Springer edition, Berlin, 2008) 19. Rangarajan Sundaram, Sanjiv Das, Derivatives Principles and Practice,
(McGraw-Hill Education, 2010).
20. Finance 100 Problem Set Options (Alternative Solutions), sur le site : finance.wharton.upenn.edu.pdf ; le : 20/ 02 / 2019, à 20 :59
99 . 5 5 I .
100 . LIBOR 3 12 3 2010 7 % 2012 7 % LIBOR 6 LIBOR 6 % LIBOR 1 6 % 6 7 1 % 10000 7 6 1 % 10000
101 2 3 4 8 % 7 % 9 % 8 7 1 % 10000 7 7 0 9 7 2 % 20000 7 8 1 % 10000 7 7 0 7 9 2 % 20000 II . BFt Bvt
𝐵
𝐹𝑡=
𝐶 (1+ 𝑅0 𝑡)𝑡 𝑛 𝑡=1+
𝐹 (1+ 𝑅0 𝑛)𝑛𝐵
𝑣𝑡=
𝐶 (1+ 𝑅0 𝑡)𝑡 𝑛 𝑡=1+
𝐹 (1+ 𝑅0 𝑛)𝑛 F102 C : C : t 0Rt : . St BFt Bvt ، St = BFt - Bvt LIBOR 8 % 100 3 9 15 10 % 10,5 % 11 % LIBOR 10,2 % C = 4 C = 5.1 𝐵𝐹𝑡 = 4 (1 + 0,10)123 + 4 (1 + 0,105)129 + 104 (1 + 0,11)1512 BFt = 98.79 millions 𝐵𝑣𝑡 = 5.1 (1 + 0,102)123 + 5.1 (1 + 0,102)129 + 105,1 (1 + 0,102)1512 Bvt = 102.806 millions St 4,016 St = BFt - Bvt = 98,79 – 102,806 = -4,016 millions
103 I . 2 3 6 2 2 2.10 . . . . rate Swap 2.10 2 0.10 . 70 78 8.5% 5% 10% 6% x 100 x 360 70 x 8,5 6 100 x 180 360 1,75 x 0,5 0,875 70 0,875 70,875 78 x 10 5 100 x 180 360 1,75 x 0,5 1,95
104 7 8 1,95 71,95 70 6 71,95 78 6 70,875 II .
The British Petroleum Company
105 Vswap Vswap = B$ – S0B£ B£ B$ S0 Vswap = 150.000.000$ – (1.5$)(100.000.000£) = 0 Vswap Vswap = S0B£ - B$ Vswap = (1.5$)(100.000.000£) – (150.000.000$) = 0
106 أ . S0 S0 F = 1/S01 ب . جاتحن ج .
107 . . . . . . . Don M. Chance , Robert Brooks, An lntroduction to Derivatives and Risk
Management, (Thomson Higher Education by South-Western, Seventh Edition, Canada, 2006).
9. Gerald Gay, Anand Venkateswaran, The Pricing and Valuation of Swaps,
(Jhon Wilson and sons, 2010, Canada)
John Hull, Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 9em, Pearson
11. Michel Jura, Technique financière internationale, Dunod, 2e edition, paris, 2003.
12. Understanding interest rate swap math and pricing, California Debt and
Investment Advisory Commission, January 2007
13. Currency Swaps, sur le site :
xavier.edu/williams/centers/trading-center/documents/research/edu_ppts/05_CurrencySwaps.ppt; le : 06/07/2019, à 00:09