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Paradoxes in the logistic equation?

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Answer to Hui

Hui argues that the two paradoxes in the logistic equation discussed and solved in our paper rest on a misconception of the concept of carrying capacity.

If we agree with him about the lack of clarity with regard to this notion, we show here that the two para- doxes persist when Hui’s alternative notion of carrying capacity is integrated in our line of reasoning. Among the definitions of carrying capacity reviewed by Hui, the author focuses on two concepts. He claims that the “good” notion should be the “environment’s max- imal load” (thereafter notedC), which he opposes to the “classical” population equilibrium (notedKin the logistic equation). It is important to note that Cis a characteristic of the environment and is independent of the population dynamics, whileK, on the contrary, is a notion derived from a population dynamics model, without explicit reference to any particular environ- ment. According to Hui, if the population size exceeds this maximal load (C), then the whole population will crash to zero.

Obviously,KC, and if both notions are not equiv- alent, there must exist a situation in whichK=Cand thusK<C. In this case, it is therefore possible to choose K<N<C, a case where Levins’ and Ginzburg’s para- doxes persist.

Finally we would like to stress that, if we agree with Hui’s contention that carrying capacity (understood as C) is not affected by the introduction of an additional mortality factor in Ginzburg’s first equation (and that, therefore, Ginzburg’s intuition should not be hurt), we never saw any problem in this equation. We also dis- agree with the fact that the second equation of Ginzburg

possesses a “mechanistic problem”, nor did we attempt to avoid this problem by a mathematical “trick”. We explained this paradox with a clear mathematical argu- ment illustrated by a sound biological situation.

Hui’s contribution highlights the difficulty of giving a phenomenological interpretation to the parameters of the logistic equation, a problem that we will tackle in a forthcoming paper. We will attempt to explicitly link population dynamics and environmental condi- tions while remaining in the framework of the logistic equation.

Jean-Pierre Gabriel Department of Mathematics, University of Fribourg ch. du Mus´ee 23, CH-1700 Fribourg, Switzerland Francis Saucy Rue des Chˆateaux 49 CH-1633 Vuippens, Switzerland Louis-F´elix Bersier Zoological Institute, University of Neuchˆatel Rue Emile-Argand 11, C.P. 2 CH-2007 Neuchˆatel, Switzerland Chair of Statistics, Department of Mathematics Swiss Federal Institute of Technology CH-1015 Lausanne, Switzerland

Corresponding author. Tel.: +41 32 718 3006 fax: +41 32 718 3001 E-mail addresses:jean-pierre.gabriel@unifr.ch (J.-P. Gabriel), francis.saucy@bluewin.ch (F. Saucy) louis-felix.bersier@unine.ch (L.-F. Bersier)

14 June 2005

Hui, C. Carrying capacity, population equilibrium, and environment's maximal load. 2006. Ecological Modelling 192(1-2), 317-320 Published in "Ecological Modelling, 192: 321, 2006"

which should be cited to refer to this work.

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