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2002 Éditions scientifiques et médicales Elsevier SAS. All rights reserved S0246-0203(02)01126-3/FLA

INFERENCE ON THE VARIANCE AND SMOOTHING OF THE PATHS OF DIFFUSIONS

STATISTIQUE SUR LA VARIANCE ET RÉGULARISATION DES TRAJECTOIRES DE DIFFUSIONS

Gonzalo PERERA, Mario WSCHEBOR

Universidad de la República, Montevideo, Uruguay Received 31 July 2001, revised 2 February 2002

ABSTRACT. – We give a hypothesis testing method to fit the diffusion coefficientσ of ad- dimensional stochastic differential equation on the basis of the observation of certain functionals of regularizations of the solution.

2002 Éditions scientifiques et médicales Elsevier SAS MSC: 62G10; 62M02; 60F05; 60J60

Keywords: Inference on the variance; Central limit theorems; Diffusion coefficient

RÉSUMÉ. – Dans cet article, nous donnons une méthode permettant de faire des tests d’hypothèse sur le coefficient de diffusion d’une equation differentielle stochastique en dimension d, sur la base de l’observation de certaines fonctionnelles de régularisées des solutions, obtenues par convolution avec un noyau deterministe. Les méthodes exposées s’appliquent aussi a une classe plus générale de semimartingales continues.

2002 Éditions scientifiques et médicales Elsevier SAS

1. Introduction

Let

Xt=x0+ t 0

asdWs+Vt (1)

be an Itô semimartingale with values inRd,da positive integer.

We use the following notation:

This work has received support from ECOS program U97E02.

E-mail addresses: gperera@fing.edu.uy (G. Perera), wscheb@fcien.edu.uy (M. Wschebor).

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W= {Ws: s0} = {(Ws1, . . . , Wsd)T: s0}is Brownian motion inRd,(.)Tdenotes transposition,x0Rd,F = {Fs: s0}is the filtration generated byW.

as=aj,ks j,k=1,...,d, Vs=Vsjj=1,...,d, s0,

are stochastic processes with continuous paths adapted toF, the first one taking values in the real matrices ofd×delements and the second one inRd. We assume throughout this paper that for j =1, . . . , d, the function s Vsj has bounded variation in each bounded interval [0, T] and denote |V|j(T ) its total variation on this interval. We denote a= {as: s0},V = {Vs: s 0},X = {Xt: t0},.is Euclidean norm and sg(y)=yy(yRd, y=0).

Our purpose is to study inference methods on the noise part in (1) from the observation of a functional of a regularization of the actual pathXt during a time interval 0. This is done in Examples B and C below for diffusions that verify some additional requirements. A specially interesting case is to test the hypothesis that the noise is purely Brownian, in which explicit formulae are obtained. A well-known difficulty for this problem is that if one considers different values of a the induced measures on the space of trajectories become mutually singular, so that there is no straightforward method based on likelihood.

2. Related results

Several estimation methods for the diffusion coefficient and related problems have been studied in the literature after the pionner work by Dacunha-Castelle and Florens- Zmirou [4]. An example of this approach is the following [5]. Consider a solution of the one-dimensional SDE

dXs =σ (Xs) dWs+b(Xs) ds

(bandσ satisfy certain regularity conditions and 0< kσ (x)Kfor some constants k, K). Let us denote byTx the hitting time ofx, i.e.Tx=inf{s∈ [0,1]: Xs =x}and Lt(x)the local timeLt(x)=limδ0+ 1

t

01{|Xsx|}ds,and pick a sequence hn such thatnhn→ ∞andnh3n→0.Based on the observation of(Xi

n)in(what we will call in the sequel discrete sampling), when the trajectory of the diffusion visits x(i.e.Tx<1), σ (x)is estimated by

Sn(x)= n1

i=11{|Xi

nx|<hn}n(Xi+1

nXi

n)2 n1

i=11{|Xi

nx|<hn} .

More precisely, Florens-Zmirou has shown that, conditionally on the event {Tx<1},

nhn((Sn(x)/σ2(x)) − 1) converges in distribution to(L1(x))1/2Z, where Z is a standard normal random variable independent ofL1(x).

Other related results and refinements can be found in the literature. See for instance [6, 7,9]. These papers deal with discrete sampling and are based on various approximations of the local time. Azaïs [1] and Jacod [8] have obtained approximation methods for local

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times, including, in the second reference, the speed of convergence. More precisely, ifX is a Brownian motion andh(x, y)satisfies certain boundedness conditions andθ (h)is a suitable centering constant, Jacod [8] has shown that

n1/4

n1/2

[nt]

i=1

h

nX(i−1)

nx,

nXi

nX(i−1)

nθ (h)Lt(x)

converges to a conditionally Gaussian martingale. This result extends to diffusion processes and it is used in [9] for non-parametric kernel estimation of the diffusion coefficient.

Despite the considerable amount of results on the estimation of the diffussion coefficient, two statistical problems remained, to the best of our knowledge, without satisfactory solutions: (a) Testing hypothesis on the diffusion coefficient function σ. (b) Instead of discrete sampling, using functionals defined on regularization of the diffusion.

In this paper we present a method for hypothesis testing on the diffusion coefficient, that is based upon the observation of functionals defined on regularizations of the path of the underlying process X instead of the discrete sampling framework. The same results can be applied to make inference on the variance in a continuous time regression model but we will not pursue the subject here. Our approach is based on certain integral functionals related to the occupation measure. Theorem 3.1 below is the key result in order to obtain the asymptotic distribution of our estimates. In [11] a similar statement to that of Theorem 3.1 has been proved in dimension 1. A first result in the spirit of Theorem 3.1, valid whenX is a one-dimensional Brownian Motion, was given in [3].

On the other hand, and more important from the standpoint of applications, the statement of Theorem 3.2 is more adequate for statistical purposes, since Theorem 3.1 explicitly involves the values of the (unknown) processX.

3. Main results

We assume the following additional hypotheses on the process{as: s0}:

(i) (Strong ellipticity) For eachs0>0, there exists a positive constant Cs0 such that for everyvRdone hasvTasaTsvCs0v2for alls∈ [0, s0].

(ii) For eachj, k=1, . . . , d, s0, ε >0:

ε1/2asj,k+εaj,ks =aj,ks TZs,εj,k+rs,εj,k (2) whereaj,ks , Zs,εj,k are random vectors with values inRd. We also put forj, k=1, . . . , d, Zi,j,ks,ε (respectivelyai,j,ks ) for theith coordinate ofZs,εj,k (respectivelyaj,ks )i=1, . . . , d, and

Zs,ε=Zi,j,ks,ε i,j,k=1,...,d, as=asi,j,ki,j,k=1,...,d.

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rs,εj,k is a random variable with values in R1, aj,ks is Fs-measurable and Zs,εj,k, rs,εj,k are Fs+ε-measurable, and verify for almost every pairs, t, s=t:

Zs,ε, Zt,ε, W.ε,s, W.ε,tZs, Zt,W.s,W.t=ζ (s, t) asε→0 (3) where⇒denotes weak convergence of probability measures in the space

Rd3×Rd3×C[0,+∞),Rd×C[0,+∞),Rd

and, for eachε >0, t0,W.ε,t is a new Brownian motion with values inRddefined as Wuε,t=ε1/2(Wt+εuWt), u0;

{W.t: t 0} is a collection of independent Brownian motions with values in Rd; the distribution of ζ (s, t) is symmetric, that is, ζ (s, t) and −ζ (s, t) have the same law, ζ (s, t) is independent of F and for {s, t} ∩ {s, t} =φ one has ζ (s, t)and ζ (s, t) are independent.

(iii) Finally, we assume the following boundedness properties.

First:

sup

s∈[0,T] sup

j,k=1,...,d

Ers,εj,kp→0 asε→0 for everyp >0

and second, for everyT , ε0>0 and everyp >0 theLp())-norms of the coordinates of:

as, as, Zs,ε

are uniformly bounded as 0sT , 0< εε0.

Let us check that solutions of SDE with sufficiently regular coefficients satisfy the above hypotheses. There exist also some other general examples that we will not consider here, as semimartingales of the form (1) such that a.s. sas is Holder- continuous with exponent greater than 1/2, and non-Markovian Itô integrals described in [10, p. 106].

With the above notations, letas=σ (s, Xs)andV(.)absolutely continuous, Vt=

t 0

bsds withbs=b(s, Xs), where

σ (s, x)=σj,k(s, x)j,k=1,...,d; b(s, x)=bj(s, x)j=1,...,d, s0, x∈Rd satisfy the usual hypotheses to ensure the existence and uniqueness of strong solution of the system of stochastic differential equations

dXt=σ (t, Xt) dWt+b(t, Xt) dt, X0=x0

such as Lipshitz local behaviour and degree one polynomial bound at∞.

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Furthermore we assume thatσ is of classCb2 (that is C2 with bounded derivatives) and satisfies the strong ellipticity assumption vTσ (s, x)σT(s, x)vCs0v2 for some Cs0>0 and alls∈ [0, s0], x, v∈Rd.

It is easy to check that (2) and the subsequent conditions hold true and more precisely, that

ε−1/2asj,k+εasj,k=Dxσj,k)(s, Xs

.σ (s, Xs).ε−1/2(Ws+εWs)+oLp(1) which means that we have (2) with:

asj,kT=Dxσj,k(s, Xs).σ (s, Xs), Zj,ks,ε=ε1/2(Ws+εWs)=W1ε,s. The notationAj,k(s, ε)=oLp(1)means that

sup

j,k=1,...,d

E sup

0sT

Aj,k(s, ε)p→0 asε↓0.

for eachT >0.

(3) is easily verified.

Let us now turn to the description of the general procedure that we will follow, that is, smoothing of the paths and CLT results. Instead of observing the path of the underlying stochastic process {Xt: 0t τ} during a time interval, which generally speaking is not feasible from physical point of view, we will observe a regularization

Xε(t)= +∞

−∞

ψε(ts)Xsds,

where X has been extended by Xs = x0 for s <0, ε > 0, and for each xR, ψ(x)=j,k(x))j,k=1,...,d is a deterministic matrix kernel, each function ψj,k(x)being Creal-valued, support contained in the interval[−1,1],

+∞

−∞

ψ(x) dx= +∞

−∞

ψj,k(x) dx

j,k=1,...,d

=I

(I denotes the identity matrixd×d)andψε(t)=ε1ψ(ε1t).

We also add the following technical condition. Denoteλ(x) (respectively λ(x)) the¯ minimal (respectively maximal) eigenvalue of ψ(x)ψT(x). We will assume that there exists a positive constantLψsuch thatλ(x)¯ Lψλ(x)for allxR. This condition plays some role only ifd >1 and limits the anisotropy that is allowed for the regularization.

In fact we do not observe the complete smoothed path but only a functional defined on it having the general form:

θε,τ=θε,τ(f, g)= τ

0

fXε(t)g

εXε(t)dt (4)

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denotes differentiation with respect tot,f:RdRis of classCb2andg:R+Ris of classC2,|g(r)|Cg(1+rm)for somem1, some constantCgand all rR+.

Our aim is to give a Central Limit Theorem forθε,τ as a first step to statistical inference ona.

Two interesting functionals are: 1) (Normalized curve length) Letg(r)=r and f (.) a Cb2- approximation of1B the indicator function of a subset inRd with a sectionally smooth boundary. In this case, the functional θε,τ is an approximation of√

ε.lε;B), lε;B) denoting the length of the part of the curve t Xε(t) (0t τ ) that is contained in the “observation window” B, a subset of the state space. In the relevant situations lε;B)→ +∞ asε ↓0 andε1/2 is the appropriate renormalization of the length to have a non-trivial limiting behaviour. 2) (Normalized kinetic energy) Let g(r)=r2andf (.)is as in the previous example, in which caseθε,τ is an approximation ofε.Eε;B), Eε;B) denoting the kinetic energy of the same part of the smoothed path.

THEOREM 3.1. – With the hypotheses above

Wτ, ε1/2

θε,ττ 0

f (Xt)Eg(3t1/2ξ)/F dt

(Wτ, Wσ¯2(τ )) (5)

asε0 where

• ⇒denotes weak convergence of probability measures in the spaceC([0,+∞),Rd)

×C([0,+∞),R),

Wdenotes a new one-dimensional Wiener process independent ofF,

foruR,3u=11ψ(v)auauTψT(v) dv,

ξ is a Gaussian standard random variable with values inRd, independent ofF,

• ¯σ2(τ )=0τ du11s(u, v, v) dv dvwhere

s(u, v, v)=Ef2(Xu)gu,v)gu,v).sg(ηu,v)T

×ψ(v)auaTuψT(v)sg(ηu,v )/F

and the conditional distribution of the pair of Rd-valued random variables u,v, ηu,v)given theσ-algebraFis centered Gaussian and

Eηu,vηu,vT /F

=Eηu,vηu,vT/F

=3u, Eηu,vηu,vT/F=

vv

1

ψ(−w)auaTuψT(−w+ |vv|) dw.

Remark 1. – It is not possible to use for statistical purposes the above theorem as it has been stated, since its application requires the knowledge of the path{Xt (0tτ )} which can not be observed. The next theorem points to solve this problem.

Remark 2. – Note that the driftV does not appear in the statement of Theorem 3.1, either in the centering term or in the asymptotic probability distribution. The same happens in the statistical version below. This is of course useful to make inference ona.

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For the next theorem we will add a certain number of restrictions to the preceeding framework. We only consider the case of diffusions with coefficients that do not depend on time, that is as =σ (Xs), bs =b(Xs)whereσ and b satisfy the hypotheses stated above. We will also assume that ψ(x) =ψ(x).I where ψ is real-valued (isotropic regularization). Then, we may replaceXt byXε(t)in the centering term which becomes:

mε(τ )= τ 0

fXε(t)Egψ2σTXε(t)/F dt

(ψ2denotes theL2-norm ot the functionψ) and the asymptotic law ofWσ¯2

ε(τ )is the same as the one ofWσ¯2(τ ), where

¯ σε2(τ )=

τ 0

f2Xε(u)du 1

1

ψ(−v)ψ(−v) dv dv

×Egu,v)gu,v ).sg(ηu,v)TXε(u)TXε(u).sg(ηu,v)/F , 3u is replaced by ψ2σ (Xε(u)).σT(Xε(u)) and E{ηu,vu,v)T/F} by K(v, v).

σ (Xε(u)).σT(Xε(u))with

K(v, v)=

vv

1

ψ(w)ψ(w+ |vv|) dw. (6)

THEOREM 3.2. – Under the above conditions,

Wτ, ε1/2[θε,τmε(τ )]Wτ, Wσ¯2(τ )

asε↓0 and

¯

σε2(τ )σ¯2(τ ),

where weak convergence,ξ,Wandσ¯2(τ )are as in Theorem 3.1.

4. Examples

Example A. – In Theorem 3.1 let us put d = 1 and g(r) =r. We have: 3u =

|au|2ψ22, θε,τ =0τf (Xε(t))

ε|Xε(t)|dt =√

ε−∞+∞f (u)NuXε([0, τ]) du where for F:IR,NuF(I )denotes the number of roots of the equation F (t)=uin the interval I.In this case, the centering term becomes

τ 0

f (Xt)|at2

2 πdt=

2 πψ2

+∞

−∞

f (u)LXu([0, τ]) du.

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HereLXu([0, τ])stands for the local time of the processX for the mesure having density

|at| with respect to Lebesgue measure λ. That is, if µτ(B)=0τ1{XtB}|at|dt, then LXu([0, τ])=τ(u).

The asymptotic variance is given by

¯ σ2(τ )=

τ 0

f2(Xu)|au|2du 1

1

ψ(−v)ψ(−v)2.P (ηvηv >0)−1dv dv,

where the distribution of the random variable v, ηv)TinR2is centered Gaussian with covariance matrix

ψ22 v1vψ(−w)ψ(−w+ |v−v|) dw

vv

1 ψ(w)ψ(w+ |vv|) dw ψ22

. Summing up, the statement of Theorem 3.1 takes the form:

ε1/2

ε +∞

−∞

f (u)NuXε([0, τ]) du

2 πψ2

+∞

−∞

f (u)LXu([0, τ]) du

Wσ¯2(τ )

whenε↓0, the convergence taking place in the spaceC([0,+∞),R).

It is known that if X is a continuous semimartingale, as ε ↓0 the expression in brackets tends to zero almost surely (this is essentially the result in [2]). The convergence above is a result on the fluctuations.

Example B. – Suppose that we are in the conditions of Theorem 3.2, withd=1 and g(r)=r. We also assume that infx∈Rσ (x) >0. Suppose that we want to test the null hypothesis

H0: σ (x)=σ0(x) for allxR against the alternative

Hε: σ (x)=σε(x)=σ0(x)+√

εσ1(x)+γ (x, ε) for allxR where γ (x, ε)=o(√

ε ) and Dxγ (x, ε)=o(√

ε ) asε↓0, uniformly on xR.Here σ0(.), σ1(.) and γ (., ε) are given functions of class Cb2 with at most degree one polynomial growth at∞.

The application of Theorems 3.1 and 3.2 is not straightforward under the present conditions, since the process Xt depends now on ε. However, one can check that the same proofs remain valid, replacingXt by the processXεt, which is the solution of

dXεt =σε

XεtdWt+bXεtdt, X0ε=x0

and settingXε(t)=εXε)(t), under the hypothesisHε, one has:

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ε1/2

ε

+∞

−∞

f (u)NuXεε([0, τ]) du

2 πψ2

τ 0

fXε(t)σ0

Xε(t)dt

2 πψ2

τ 0

fXε(t)σ1

Xε(t)dt+Wσ¯2

ε(τ ). (7)

One should interpret (7) in the following way:

Asε↓0 the law of the left-hand member converges inC([0,+∞),R)to the law of the random process

2 πψ2

τ 0

fX(t)σ1

X(t)dt+Wσ¯2 0(τ )

and furthermore the right-hand member in (7) converges to this process asε↓0. Note that this is well adapted to statistical purposes since both the centering term and the asymptotic distribution in (7) can be computed from the hypotheses and from functionals defined on the smooth path{Xε(t): 0tτ}.

Example C. – Suppose again that we are in the conditions of Theorem 3.2,g(r)=r andd >1.

Suppose that we want to test the null hypothesis

H0: >(x)=σ (x).σT(x)=>0(x) for allxRd against the alternative

Hε:>(x)=>0(x)+√

ε>1(x)+>2(x, ε) for allxRd, where >2(x, ε)d×d =o(√

ε ) and Dx>2(x, ε) =o(√

ε ) as ε →0, uniformly on xRd. >0(.)and >1(.)are positive semidefinite d×d matrices having elements that are functions of classC2band at most degree two polynomial growth at∞and.d×dis any norm ond×d matrices. Furthermore, assume that>0(.)satisfies a strong ellipticity condition of the typeyT>0(x)yδy2for someδ >0 and anyx, yRd.

The result takes the form that underHε: ε1/2

τ 0

fXε(t)

εXε(t)ψ2.J0

>0(Xε(t))dt

≈1 2ψ2

τ 0

fXε(t).J1

>0

Xε(t), >1

Xε(t)dt+Wσ¯2 ε(τ ),

¯ σε2(τ )

τ 0

f2Xε(u)du 1

1

ψ(v)ψ(v)J2

>0

Xε(u),K(v, v )dv dv,

where forApositive definite andB, Cpositive semidefinited×dmatrices,ξ a standard normal random vector inRd andka real number|k|1,we put:

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J0(A)=EξT1/2, J1(A, B)=E

ξT TAξ )12

, J2(C, k)=E

ηT ηη

,

where η, η are normal centered random vectors in Rd, E{η.η} =k.C, E{η.ηT} = E{ηT} =CandK(v, v )=K(v,vψ2)

2

(see (6)).

An important case in whichJ0, J1, J2can be computed by means of closed formulae is>0=I, i.e. pure Brownian noise under the null hypothesis. One obtains:

J0(I )=

(2p)!

(2pp!)2

√8π p ifd=2p, (2pp!)2

(2p)!

√1

2π ifd=2p+1, J1(I, B)=J0(I )

d tr(B), J2(I, k)= 1

π2d21>(d21)

+∞

−∞

xId(x)e

1 2(xk

1−k2)2

dx,

Id(x)=

+∞

0

ρd2

x2+ρ2e12ρ2dρ .

5. Proofs

Proof of Theorem 3.1. – We do not perform here the detailed computations of the proof.

Notice first that it suffices to consider convolution kernels such that supp(ψ)lies in {t0}. In fact,

Xε(t)=

+1

1

ψ(u)Xtεudu= 0

2

ψ(u+1)Xtεεudu=Xε(tε)

whereXεis the regularization that corresponds to the kernelψ(u) =ψ(u+1)wich has support contained in[−2,0]. It follows that

τ+ε

ε

fXε(t)g

εXε(t)dt= τ 0

f Xε(t)g

εXε(t)dt

and the study of the asymptotic behaviour of θε,τ can be reduced to the case when the support of ψ lies in {t0} if one knows that the integrals over [0, ε] and [τ, τ +ε] can be neglected. This is easy to prove. With no loss of generality, we can assume that supp(ψ)⊂ [−1,0].

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A localization argument shows that it suffices to prove the theorem when the components ofa,aandV are bounded by a non-random constant.

We introduce the following additional notation: Forγ ∈ [0,1], x, yRdwe put Gt(y, γ )=

Rd

gwnAt(γ )(yw) dw=Egy+At(γ )1/2ξF ,

where At(γ ) =γ1ψ(u)atatTψT(u) du; n3(.) is the normal density in Rd with mean 0 and variance matrix 3 and ξ is a random vector inRd with standard normal distribution, ξ independent ofF. One easily checks that

∂Gt

∂γ =1

2trA´t(γ )(DyyGt); lim

γ1Gt(y, γ )=g(y),

where A´t(γ ) denotes the derivative with respect to γ. We put Xε(t) = ε1/2× 1

0 ψ(−u) duXε,tu where

Xuε,t=ε1/2(Xt+εuXt)= u 0

at+εvdvWvε,t +ε1/2(Vt+εuVt), u0 and Yγε,t = 0γψ(u) duXuε,t. Apply Itô’s formula to the random process ηγε,t = Gt(Yγε,t, γ ), 0γ 1:

ηε,t1ηε,t0 =g

εXε(t)EgAt(0)1/2ξF

= 1 0

(DyGt)Yγε,t, γdγYγε,t+ 1

0

(DγGt)Yγε,t, γ

+1 2

1 0

dγYγε,tT(DyyGt)Yγε,t, γdγYγε,t. (8)

We write the left-hand side of (5) as ε1/2

θε,τ

τ 0

f (Xt)Eg3t1/2ξFdt

=oε(1)+ε1/2 τ 0

dt 1 0

f (Xt)(DyGt)Yγε,t, γψ(γ )atdγWγε,t, (9) where the notation oε(1)means weak convergence to 0 inC([0,+∞),R)asε→0.

To prove (9) we proceed in two steps:

First, we show that ε1/2 τ 0

f (Xε(t))f (Xt)g

εXε(t)dt=oε(1). (10)

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This can be done on the basis of computations that are similar to those in [11], Step 1 and Lemma 3, c), which correspond tod=1, g(y)=y and V absolutely continuous, and can be adapted to our present context with some further work.

Second, inε1/20τf (Xt)g(

εXε(t)) dt substituteg(

εXε(t))using (8).

Then, at the cost of adding a new error term Rε(τ ) we can replace dγYγε,t by ψ(γ )atdγWγε,t and

dγYγε,tT(DyyGt)Yγε,t, γdγYγε,t by

trA´t(γ )DyyGt(Yγε,t, γ )dt.

One has:Rε(τ )=A1ε(τ )+A2ε(τ )+A3ε(τ )with A1ε(τ )=

τ 0

f (Xt) dt 1 0

(DyGt)Yγε,t, γψ(γ )ε1/2(at+εγat) dγWγε,t,

A2ε(τ )=1 2 τ

0

f (Xt) dt 1 0

trε1/2at+εγatT+εγatatT

×ψT(γ )(DyyGt)Yγε,t, γψ(γ )dγ , A3ε(τ )=ε1

τ 0

f (Xt) dt 1 0

(DyGt)Yγε,t, γψ(γ ) dγVt+εγ.

Tightness ofA1ε(τ )inC([0,+∞),R)follows from the hypotheses and the fact that (DyGt)(Yγε,t, γ )is bounded inLpfor allp >0.

For A2ε(τ ) proceed as follows: let H (y, 3) =Rdg(w)n3(yw) dw so that Gt(y, γ )=H (y, At(γ )). Check that under the hypothesis we have done ong, the matrix 31/2(DyyH ) has elements that are polynomially bounded functions of y. Then, using the strong ellipticity hypothesis on asasT, plus the control on the relation between the maximal and minimal eigenvalues ofψ(x)ψT(x)and the conditions ona, one can prove that the trace in the integrand that appears in A2ε(τ ) is bounded by a random variable with boundedLp-norm, times the function[γ1λ(u) du¯ ]1/2λ(γ ). Tightness follows now¯ using standard bounds on the moments of the increments ofA2ε(τ ).

For A3ε(τ ) assume that τ ∈ [0, s0], 0< ε <1 and |V|t =dj=1|Vj|t v¯ for t ∈ [0, s0+1],v¯ a non-random constant. The equicontinuity in probability ofA3ε(τ )follows from the equicontinuity of

A3ε(τ )=ε−1 τ 0

|V|t+ε− |V|t

dt.

Letη, 0< η <1, be given and 0< τ < τ< s0. Ifε >τητ, thenA3ε)A3ε(τ )v.η. If¯ τ−τ < ετητ, thenA3ε)A3ε(τ )ω|V|(τητ)f denotes the continuity modulus of the functionf). If 0< ε < ττ we have

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