'
- l
•
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'
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. ...
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.
'UNITED
~ATIONSREPRODUCTION/09/üQ:
AFRICAN INSTITUTE FOR ECONOMIC DEVELOPHENT AND PLANNING
D A
K
A RINDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT
A}IDTECH}TOLOGY
THECASE OF NIGERIA
BY
UKUWU I. UKWU
Distributed for:
!HIRD-MONTH PROGRAMME IN DEVELOPMENT AND PLANNING
FIRST TERM~ 13
NOV.
1981 -29 JANUt.iliY 1982
COURSE: EVALUATION OF NATIONAL lNDUSTRIALIZA.TlON. EXPERIENCES.
IN AFRICA
MA.RŒl 198%.
..
(REPRODUCTION/09/82 Page 1
Students· of the process of d·evelopment no"' e(o)~ i t in t.erms not 'of a dicho·tomy between less developed and developed countries but. o.f transition from one state to the other9 a transition marked by .a s.et of struciur'al changes in the GDP correlated ·. wi th the growth of per c·api
ta
:inc-ûme. Thus an observe& gene·ral trend ha·s beim a pro-gression in the a:Hocatïon of labour 'froni· prinïary to-:·secondary to tertiary eniployi:ilezi't in the· course of economie developme·nt9 and chenery and.:syrquiii
(1975)
have identified speëific shares of indu.stry in the Gross Domestic Product wi th levels . O"f · per tapi ta income. , . , .'While the.historic importance of ·industrialisat ion in the deve- lopment process is generally acknowledged9 there is no agreement as
to
what role and priority s. ould be assigned t o i t in the development strategy.of poor countriés. In a èlear if over-simplified s~atement of the-classical western economi st' s po si tion9 Bryce· (1966)
enumera tes what à:re consider-ed the impoi:-iant motives for industrializationg · ; to increase·s national income; to · improve stàbili ty of foreign·. exchange·earning through import substitution; to secur e full emplcy...'nent9 and t o
'expand the inarl{e-t for local raw materials. He goes on t o castîgate
às · urisou:n.a ·
'poiitically irtotivated' projects·aimed atachieving a t.ie;b level of self-sufficiency9 thereby con'flicting with "the more universel principl& that every country will gain if i t mal~es things on wb.ich i t has· a relative cost advantage and trades them internationally to pa.y -for products ·in which othe·r countries have a relative cost advant.age."P...:ccordingly ne sees
as
unrealistic any expectations of a predorninantly industri'al' future for many undeveloped countries, especially the small on es·•But' to 'focus the argument on the .maximization of .commercial benefi ts
unde:r t1f:é'-e'xïsting world order is to miss the c:d ti cal point about
developrrient• Tf ever we are to attain·standard of well-beine; comparable
1 ' • .
· to tho se oT'the' develôped countrièfJ 9 urider conditions of poli tic al
autonomy and quali ty, our output of goods and services must reaci:c. similar levels. We are therefore concerned with transforming our total capacity t o produce.
REPRODUCTION/09/82 Page 2
The basic ;limitation to this capaci ty is. technology. In physical reE;Jources ·many developing countries. are nm.ch_ better endewed than many developed countries. Population densities span the normal range. But the use of ma11power in production resolves itself into labour and
technology. Economiste who write of "labour-surplus" economies evidently regard the manpower of these economies as a source primarily of the
mechanical energy named labour. Manpower offers surplus labour because it does not have enough t.echnology- scientific knowledge and·technical skills. Yet it is only by more and better technology that we can
expand our range of choice on what to produce, and use energy in all its forms for the exploitation of physical resources for greater and more efficient output.
We do· not kno:w of any basic inferiori ty in the natural endovrment of learning ability in the populations of developing countries. The existent low level of knowledge and skills derives largely from limi- tations in the access to these resources and the incentives and
opportunities for their use. The critical operation is therefore the provision of access? resulting in the massive benefici~tion of ''surplus labour" low grade manpower into 'technological' skilled ar;td productive manpower. The critical question is bow to do this.
Countries at 'the sorne general level of economie a;nd technological development can well afford to make marginal adjustments among them- selves? based on relative factor proportionEq consider? for example 9
Belgium and the Netherlands. But no. one argues on the basis of relati~e
development between the US and the USSR over a number of technological fields that each should concentrate on those technologies in which it has more resources invested9 on the contrary, every nerve is strained
to bridge the gap in every lagging sector. P.,nd the economie history of the world would have been quite different if Japan bas stuck to the production of these goods for which it had a 'comparative advantage'
...
•
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in .. by . o . In
the its the
EEPRODUCTION/09/8~
Page
3
19th century9 or 9 for that matter9 Britain those indicated Neolitic factor proportions relative' t~ those- pharaonic Egypt . war against human inequalities, the battle against technological inequalitl.es cannot be compromised.
Industrialization should tberefore be regarded as a _Jro'cess of internalizing moder~ technology, of equippi'ng developfng countries
with
:th e
tool,s' forop ti~ising
the use of t heirresourte~
for the satisfa-ction of the needs of their pop.ttlations.1 . THE
STIUCTURE OF NIGERIAN:INDUSTRY.
1.1. Growth Patterns
Industriel production is not new to Nigeria. In the ure-colonial era craft industries were. hig ly organised9 usually. in specia.list
communi ti es and ofte.n under sta.te control. They wer.e associated-> wi th the evolution of a complex net\vorlt of rommercial~industrial centres and trede links and routes integra ting pot only the poli tie.s and socie- ties in the present geographical area 0f Nigeria but the entire West African region. (Eopkins
1973) .
The most important industriel products entering into international trade were textiles and leather goods, metal imp,lements9 gole and
jewellery. Centres for wood working~ pottery and food processing were more widespread and susteined more localized activity. Althouf:Sh craft
industries have been severely dainaged
by
imported ·mail:~Ifactures, sorne indication of the importance of this heritage is ~ive:n by the contimü nr;importance of
tœ
ir contribution to both GDP and einployment. Thus for 1950 Prest and Stewart (1953) valued theou t p1.-t' t
o.f c·ra:ft :lnd~otrie sat 1.Itz% of GDP. The 1963 census recorded 300,000 hand spiners, 70~000
blacls:smi ths, 38~ 000 glass and pottery workers, and· 26,000 shoe makers and lèather workers. An today~ tradi tiohal crafts amount fo'r a signi- ficant proportion of small scale industries.
REPRODUCTION/09/82 Page ~,
Up to the end of the !;jecond world war the dominance of European commercial interests inhibited the establishment of modern industry.
Only a small g:roup of agricul tural proces·sing and ;forestry products tri butary to rather than competitive vli.th British industry were
established, and modern manufacturinr~ - contributed in all less than _:1.•" 2,.
of GDP.. Imme~iately after the war, the entry o:f new classes of entre- preneurs, especially Levantines and indigenous traders, forced the
British compa,nies to begin local manufacturing to protect their consuawr markets, The new entrants pioneered develcpment in new field especially export processing (groundnuts, tin metal mannfacturing) and furniture. With the political developments of the mid-fifties, Governments,
increasin3ly under nationali·st control laid more emphasi:s on :indust-
'iall~&tion~ a development reflected in the increased share of the industriel sector in successive development plans,
The growth of output has 'been pa.rticularly ra.pid since
1960,
a eompound annual growth ate of 12.2% being achieved between 1962 and 1973. Today manufacturing contributes sorne 8~b of Nigeria non- oïlGDP. I n
relative terms9 this is quite low in West Africa9 beine;rather less than half the levels in Ivory Coast and Seriegal and below Upper Volta, Niger, Mali and Ghana.
(UNASY 19'75).
1.2. Industriel Structure
Nigeria's industrialization has focused on a. narrow range of consumer products to the point of self sp.f'ficiency. The leading industries are the low technology industries9 particularly food
processing and textiles. (Table III) l'letal and Engineering industries
. are very poorly represented and doing badly9 their contribution of
12.4% of manufacturing value added in 1972. was 2~~ below the performance
. '
for
1965 . ·
The manufacture of machinery and equipm.ent ha.s become S·ignificant ·Jnly .in the 70s. H.owever, wi th the planned investment of..
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R EPRODUCTION/09/82
Page 5
23% of the current plan industrial expenditure in the metals and
. .·.·. . . . -; . .
machinery indu'stries and in particular
if
'the iron and' steel project is cmn_ letedo ' n
schedule9 there- ~houl d
be rap:id development in th.ese sectors. Intermediate goods.9 • especialli inth ~
hit;h technology areas are also very weakly development9 basic industrial chemicals9fertilizer~
'and pesticides contrï butine' only 0.2% of value added by. . . .
manufacturing.
.1' • • •
On the basis of a cross sectional analysis of country profiles9
the a:uthor~ ·of the }rd Natio~al Deveiopment ;fil. an derive a number oi
' . '
'indu~tries v!hose shares
of
nroductA i on fall below no' rmative sharescon'é'istent.
wi
th Nigeria 1 s putative stageof:
development. The se:i..ric'ludè food products 9 footwear 9 indu s'trial chemicals 9 products of
. :' .. ,-, .. : ~ .-
c'oal and petroleum9 pottery9 chine9 earthwate9 iron and steel basic
' . . . . . . :. ;: ,. -'·
industry9 ri'ori-ferrous metal basic industries and trans:;;wrt equipment.
But the refereàce norm itself 'relatés necessarily to a b.istori- cally imposed structure of under development which i t is the task of th~
new
international economie order to transform. It does not there-·:fore.properly provide the strategie targets for the new order.
1.3.
Investmerit P~tternsFutur~ industriel. development depends very r:mch on. new inveE,~tmer,.i
decisions. Table IV shows the contrasts in the investment behaviour patterns of the major participants~ ti1e Government 9 the foreign investors and indigienous small-scale indust riali sts. Government is now .the P!,incipal investor in Nigerian Industry, accoun:tine for 62%
of the. Gross Fixed Capital Expendi ture for ind'!-lstry in 19.7~. Direct investment in industry acco~nts for- 87.4% of the Governments indu.strial programme du,ring the 3rd Plan. period (Table
V} .
The emphasis is on Petrophemicals and. Basic N:etals9 .. wi th Sue;ar,: Cement and Paper as tb.e other areas of .heavy. investment. Another 0.2% of the programme isI-ŒPRODUC TION
109182
Page6
for assistance to
private industry~with less than 1% earmarked
for small-scale
industry
. Research, devel
opment, traini ng a
nd extensio~services together
account for
only
~.5%.From
_t
he point of view
ofoverall
cleveloprnent,t
he mos
tt
ac
tic
alarea
ofgov
ernment investmen t i
n Basic .Hetalsand.
Engi
neer ing I
ndus
try, especial ly t
he Iron and Steel
complex~ a 1 milli
ontonn es
blastfurnace and two
direct reduc
ti
on process furnaces w
hich will
providet
he iron and steel for constru ction, n
achi
nery
andto
ols industries.
Rowever9
t
he total
planned c
apacity , at
2.5mtonnes
issho rt of t
he
..
estima te
d 'normative' demand
by30%
and woul
d be
er
ossly inade
quatefor
astr
ategy of to
taltransformati
on of economie stru ctu re.
Theinvestment in chemical products
, finan c
iallyt
he
mos
tmassive_
,i
nclude s oil re
fineries,fertilizer
plantsan
dLNG,
providing
basic input$ for transp ortation
9agricul ture and manufactur i
ng, Other areas
of heavy investmen t inclu d
ecement,
pulpand
paper
9sugar
refi
neries.
The Federal
Governmentis respon s
ible for
94%_oft
he Indu s
tri
alPro
gramme9and is solely
responsi~lefo
rt
he ma
jorsect
ors.Stat es
areinvolved in a wide variety
ofconsumer i
ndustrie s
9esp ecially i
n FoO(~Proc
essinŒ9Textiles and c
onstruction materi
als.
However9states
have greater responsibility f
orencouragi
ngsma ll-scal
eindu s
try-
credit schemes9e
statesand Layout
-and ar
eactive
ont
he
ground in attr
actincM and servicing.Federal Government and foreign investmento
A
frica has
not been a
priority tar
getof
forei
gn investment. In1971
9it account for only 12%
ofall MNC i
nvestmentin less
development countries.Am ong
African coun tries
9 ho-v.rever
9Ni
geria hastradi
ti
onallyb
eena
favouriteheaven of foreign i
nves
tment,acc
ountingfor
31% oft
het
otal(Eood 1975).
By
19739the
valuei
nvest
edamount ed t
o 54% olt
he total
for West
Africa
(Rood1976)
9 up from 4A%i
n 19)8(Franke
l1966). With the sh ift
'ofemphasis from trade a
ndtrans
port t omanufa c- turine and mining
9manufactur ing ac
counted f
or 23% of total forei
en. .
REPRODUCTION/09/82
Page
7
priva.te investment in
1973
9 up from 19.1~S in1966
(Ndiomu197lt ).
Relative to overall indus·trial':inves-tment :9attern's 9 foreign invcstment emphasies 'food9 drink and toba6co· (Table V)~
Foreign investment has been urider ·st::dct ref:;u_lation since
1973
whcm t:he Nigerian Enterprises Pt-omotion Decree ~Nas promulgatêd9
excluding foreigners from equity participation in· certain busineoses and restricting their share in others. This has drastically chaneed
·the owne·rship structure of Nigerian industry. · But the objectives and methods of foreign ..:. associated industry remain largely unaltered. '
Government i tself is no"' the major partner wi th foreign firmà in· a
; .. w ho m
range of industries - motor vèhicle assembly'9 .bre~eries9
textiles,cemen.t. But the r·ellii.tionship is so structüred. as to neutralise the Governments impact on policy and operations. In each of thè major industries, the Federal and State Gover~~ents directly or througb
· .parastatals and agencies ·are in separate, so'metimes competitive, partnership arrangements with multinations on à-plânt to plant basis.
lt/hile the multinationsls foruiulat e and co-ordinate their Nigerien .activifies in the l ight of their global corporate stratèe;y9 Nigerien
participation effectively ends at the Board levèl.of the individuel f irm, and by defaut, the individual firms profits become the ma1n pobH :of r~ference for Governmerit - involvement. The use of emin~nt p~~vatc
persans as Government directors and Chairman ensures th·at other links with Government policy remain tenuous and fraementary.
The modern Nigerian entrepreneur d'évelop.ëd ·at· th~ '·bàsè of the '
three-tiered hierarchy
of
economie poHer and control 9 at the a:!:Jex of which \.1as the NNC wi th entrepreneurs from the i:1iddle East and theIndian Subcontinent in the middle. The 'Nï geriari ·businessman oft en 'bege.::.1 as a factor or agent of foreign enterp:rises,- and \;,ere dependent on
them for credit 9 supplies and techni cal· support·.. The entry of Nie;eri-:1:::.
REPRODùr.TION/0 9/ 82
Page 8
businessman into industry is inhibited by a number of factors~ the lack of technological know how, poor ·access to foreign sources of inputs, the relative greater attractiveness of more profitable and quicker yielding trade, transport and construction sectors, weak f inancÎàl base for lone-term investments.
B y t965 ,
Nigerian private investment amounted t o 12% of Paid-up'capi tal in Nigerian Manufa.cturin.z industries (Schatz1968).
Indigenous activity tended to concentrate on low-capital, low- technology9 labour-intensive industries - textiles and clothing,
printing~ furniture, food milling, mechanical and electrical repairs.
Befor e indigenisation, only a few had broken into large-scale manufuc- turing. Under the indigeni~ation policy equity control or participa- tion in scheduled industries has now been acquired by Nir;erian share~
holders, thus extending the range of indigeneous involvement. But effective manage of many such industries remains Ï irmly in the hands of the foreign "technical· experts".
Today, between the Governmènt and the Nigerian private sector , Nigeria has assumed formal control of the industry. But deliberate polici es are required to restructure the objectiveé, procedures and relationsb.ips of industry to reflect Nigerian needs, t o make foreign involvement tributary to.rather than determinant of national industrial development.
1.4. Small-Scale Industries
hccording to official estimates for
1975 ,
in the non_.agricultnral sectors of the economy there were employed sorne 8.5 mi l l ion in small- scale establishments as against 1.4 million in medium and large scale(FNR
1975) .
It has also been estimated that small scale industriel establishments out~number medium and large scale establishments in the•
•
R EPRODÙCTION/09/82
Page9
ratio of 70g1 i n our urban centres (m{wu 1977) . Bein
gh i ghl y res ponsi ve
..
t o l oèal circumstances
9t he p atterns
ofihvestment
indicatedunder-li ne bo th the structur e
of common nèedsand the relative devel ôpment of
. ' . . . .
industriel tec~nology
among t he general
population.Tex tile and
clothine;lead
'with55 % esta
blishments and 23%of cap ital
investmentgmetal w or
kand Iilèchâ:nicai/electrical re pai.r s
aècourit . for~6t}b
.of-e~tablishments
and42%
of investment.The t h ird
majorarea is
\olOOd product~and _
·furni t~re.,
with 12% establi shments and
15%of investmen t
.Food
processingand
chemical products arev er y poorly
developed. Twopo i nts call for special
atten-tion.
Thehigh dev elo pment of the metal products an
mach inery sec to r
t~lativ~ tot
he med ium and lar ge-sc
aiees tab lis
hmenti ndi cates t he great
potEmtia·l
for upgra ding existi ng sk ills
for tl~ed evelopm ent
ofviable modern metal \o/ork i ng and
machineto o ls
industriesvvhile t
he. weakdeve
- lop•ent
offo od
processing
underliti~st he
general i nsulta tio n
dfthe agricultu r a l ec onomy fr
om moderritechn ol
ogy9and the need
fort h e de li-
. -·.
berate co-or dinatio n of industrial
andagricultural dev elo pment po liéieo
•2. REGIONAL DE\:JLOPHENT
2.1. Niaeria's
Geop~litical RelationshipsGeopoli
i:;icallyN'iger ia
_o~_<:_upie.~---~ _ ~:t:Ea:tesic~_PO.!~ :ti<!.al .PQ.$i ti.on. in
Africa.The
· areahas fr om hi- storie ti m es be en
the major
· c-ross-roads ofAf rica
9cul t ur ally and economically. The boun dari e· s of. seven of
the majorlangua ge s ub-famili es
ofA frica m eet
wi thi n
. i t; and ·t radi ti onal
politica:I an d econ omie
~·elationships linl-ci t
.with
thesur
-rounding
·areasand
t~crosst
he continent. While col onial
developnientfragment€cl
anddisttirbed t h ese
relationships
,the new an-d
growine;awa rertess
of anAfr ic
arc.identity and t
he
need forself-sustai-riing
9i n t ernall
y relevantd-eve l op - ment
callsfo r
thefor go ing of
newlinl.1: s an d
theèxp
ans ion
oft he
scope for int~raction and coop erati ort
amon~ African countriés.,,
REPRODVC~ION/09/82 Page 10
In Africa's regional grouping~ Nigeria belongs to the West African Region~ a region now reaching •ut for functional union under the Economie Organisation of West African States (ECOWAS). But the countries qn its Eastern borders although regarded as belonging to Middle Africa interact considerably with
it
9 a relationship already formalised in such regional organisation as the La~e Chad Basin Commission linking Chad9 Cameroon.t o Niger and Nigeria.Nie;eria contains 16% of .·the population of Africa and 54% that of its West African resi on9 its internai geography mirrors the general W~st African pattern9 with the succession of ecol ogical regions frog Southern coastal forests t o the Gehara9 the mul.tiplici ty of ethnie.
groups9 the concentration of modern ,qevelopment about the major ports and the export enclaves and corridors. The politicel division of th~
country into
19
federal states with a size range comparable to that of other West Dfrican countries continues the r.:'9.ttern9 underlining in much the same way the problems of regional development on a sub-conti- nental scale.2.2. Industrial Location and Internation üi West P..frica
Weak economie integration and strone regional inequaliti~s are two major problems of development in the Third World, both wi thin indivi- dual countries an.d among countries in the same regi onal group.. Dual_.
istic colonial development has left a heri te.ge in the continuing ·
Cleavage and dissociation between the urban centres and the rural:; areas9
and between the export-economy enclaves and the 1residual1 majority producing mainly for the domestic market. 'l'he location of industry reinforces tne spatial structure of economy9 the patterns reflecting the •patial requirements of the various industries in terms of access to inputs and markets. ~ sound industrial location ·policy can therefcre be a powerful instrument for accelerating regional integration and even development.
•
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REPRODUCTION/09/82 Page 11
A.l th
ough in. terms of indus trial shar e of GDP, Nigeri' a is less industriali
zed than many 't'lest Af:rican c
ountri_es,
-the country account
-for5l%
oft
he value
of indus trial out
put. _Ivory Coast, Ghana and
Senegal contribute anoth er
~4%(UN 1974) .
Fromthe s
pati
al point of view, the cap ital of
th~four leading
1c
ountries- Lagos
9 Abid
jan, Accra an
d Da]mr are the princi
pal pol es
:ofi
ndustr iel
growth. While Lagos owes its
position almost entirely toNi
gerian
intern~lec
onomy,
Abidj~n
an
dDakar
have developed considerable
tra~ewith other West Airican countri
es.24 other cities rec
orda fair concentration
ofindu stri
es. They include 8 nati
onal capi tals
~ PortoNovo
9Lomé, Cona! -:ry,
Mon~ovia, B~mako,
Niamey, Freetown, and Ou a
gadougouas well aè s
omesub~regiorial
centres such as Coton
ou in Beni
n9Sekon di-Ta
koradi9 Taoaloand
Kumasi in_ G
hana9Bouaké in Ivory C
oast9 Bobo Piolass
oin
UppQrVolta
9 Kaolac
kand St. Louis in Senegal
and Ibadan, Enugu; Benin; Port
Harcourt, Aba, Onitsha, and
Kaduna in Nigeri
a. In 3 state cap itale
~Ban
jul,
Bissau andNouachott
7indu stries are still
poorly develop e
d.
The distribution of these âla
jor in
dustriaJ
-·--ceri- tres underlines t
hedi~torted pat
tern of development.
La~ge areas o~West
Af~ica partic
u-larly in t
he middle
Belt Guinea Savannah
beine;remote fr
om and centresof indu si;rial activity, and isolated fr
omits ef
fects. Yet, t
he wealth of a
gricul tural and mineral output throughou t
\riest
: Africa
1incl
udingan abundance of industriel metals and
ener
gy1 provides aric
hmaterie
lbase f
ormore widespread and c
o-ordinated devel
opment.Table VI summaries t
he orientation
of12 West African countries for impo rts of manufactured goods in 1971 . Imports from Africa averaee
donly 4..2%
of the t
otal1but the range is
wide~from 2ü%
1H>% and 1 6 %
for the
poor land loc
ked sta tes
ofUpper V
olta 9 Mali and Niger res
pec- tively9 to
under2% for Nigeria and Li
beria.
Iri general, the
Anglo- phone co
untries remain isolated
.from one
another and t
herest
of Africaw
hile the Franco-phone count ries
bave str
onger link s reflectin
gt
heircl
oserpolitical ass
ociation. T
heIvory Coast and Sene
gal in
particularly function as industriel
' poles in
Franco-phone _West
Africa. Match in
gt
he
very low level of Ni
gerian impor ta
.of Africanmanufactures,
otherp
~!estREBRODUCTION/0 9/82 Page 12
African countr
iesrely on· Nigeria f
or on.ly 2
. 7% oftheir African manufacture
dimpor ts, elthough s
he pr
oduces sorne
51% of West Africanmanufacturing output
.Ho
wever, with the
creation
ofECOWAS
9step s
are bein
gtak en
tofoster
greaterindustrial c
o-operatio
n.Ni
geria· elrea
dy has a
number
''·'.'·of joint indus trial proj ects wi th
other c
ount
ries, notably i
n petr
o-lebm,
iron and
11teeland sugar
processine;. But Samir Ami
n 1s warn in
e;must
benotedg that t
he ECO\t/.!l.S-typ e
approach
toec
onomie devel
oprnent and inte
grationmay, if i t conti
nues t
he
outvH::J.rd-oriented, mar
ket- based indu striel strategy, a
ggravate existing structural imbalances and uneven
develop~ent(Schissel 1977 ).
Efforts
needto
be
directed tow·â~dsm
ore deli
berate
policies and
pr
ogrammes
onthe cho ice
of·
industries as well as their l
ocationand linka
gestructure
ona Sut
-continental scale.
2.
3. Nigerian ~atternsTh e 2,
600 industr-iel establishmentsirlith 10
ormore wor
kers
listedi
nt
he Industriel Directory for 197 5 are l
ocatedin 174 t
owns.
This
picture
.represents
aremarkable chan
ge over the last 10 years,
witha sha r
pincrease in the numb.er
of locations r
eflecting the
newimportance of
indigenous
businesses in indù· strial
decision-makin~ancl the stron
g attraction f
or them ofcentres servi
ng tbeir home communi- ties.
But the
pull of the
ports and ma
jor administrative/ commercial centres is very strong. The leadin
g7
metropo litan an
dre
gionalc
entresaccount for
62% of all establishments
(Tabl e
VII)~Geographically, fou
rclustres
ofma
jorcentres account lor 731b of t
he estab lishments
gMetropolitan Lagos
-I
badan - Abeol.r:utaEnugu - Onitsha
-Aba
-Port
Harc
ourtl~ano - Kaduna -
J
os Benin
-Sapele
-Warri
17
.0%
15.~%
9.~%
..
..
•
. REPRbDUCTION/09/82 Page 13
Lar-ge areas of the coun~ry. outside tb.~.se industr-ial polygons and a few isolated centres like Calabar and Naiduguri. lad: modern
indus,~rial establishments. And ther:e is little correlation between '.the size, of indus trial-ac ti vi ty in a ce.ntre end i ts popu}ation or that Gf d~s hinterland.
In terms of poli tical r·el?;ions9 ·the soüt:l1 accounts ·for 72%
df
the industrial centrë·s and·
73%
of the estabiish~ents9 the Middlè 'Bel t 16% arid 11f% rèspectively; the ·s·udan North 12% and 13%• An:d only ïnthe Soutb.et!:i States · are the various indus trial groups ··fairty represented. The structure of industrial location 'is yet poorly adjustëd· to' tb·e neêds of
the
space economy.Further analysis reveal's the different locational characteristics of various types of industry (Table IX). Of the 68 major fn.dU:stries listed9
9
were fourid only in one or two centres serving the needs of the entire country. The se included fish canninfh .. .su.g'ar· ref.Üiing9paper and pulp 9 .petroleum refining. and ·fertilizers. 30 otlxer industries includin,g most high-technology.andhigh-:-output .industries l ike breweries and tobac~o9 éement9. machinery and transport ec:uipment are each concen- traded. in ) to 8 regional centres. ;Tb.ese higher.-order industries account for 12.2% of all establishments. The general run of large-
·:scale consumer industries9 ac.coun"tiing for 34% of_ establishments. were
_more wi4ely dispersed each .between
9
and 26 centres. Industries.found in 27 or more locations included printine;~ ,saw mills9 vegetable oil.mills9 furni ture and textiles~ . But only bal~eries (1ûlJ: l ocations)
coul d be truly described as ubiquitous~ ·
Examining l ocations we fii1d that very f evr of them have a me.ture industrial structure9 with forward and backward linls:ages among the various establishments stimulating and sust&inin~ overall growth anê:
development.
. ,
. .
·'. REPRODUCTION/09/82 Page 1~
In marked contrast9 the locational pattern
of
small-scale industries demonstrates the immediacy of thei:r involvement in the!ife of the local communities. For example9 in Bornu-bauchi/Gongola.
states "'!1ere Maiduguri 9 Gombe and Bauchi ,,.ere the only centres wi th
5
or more medium and large scale industries9 there were 24 centreswi th 1;-,0 or more small-scale industries.. The three state capi tals
to~ether accounted for only 18% of all small-scale industries. hlhile l1aiduguri maintained i ts pre-eminence wi th 11%9 Bauchi and Yola. \;Jere ranked ~th and 8th among 100 centres. Other states also have v/ell-
spre~d, n(;)tworll:s of small-sca.le industriel centr'"s9 and surveys of
i ...
marketing flows show the strong orientation ?f rural communities to their local centres. It is on these centres9 already adopted by the people to serve their basic needs9 that we must focus our efforts at developing industrial growth poles at local levels.
:} • ON ENDS J:1ND ME ANS
We bave argued that industrialization in Africa should be assessed not merely for. its market-efficiency in raising per capita income vis-à-vis other economie activities under existing conditions, but, more fundamentally9 for its critica.l role in the development of modern scientific technology with which economies can build up their
over-all productivity and efficiency and maximise the use of their resources. From this perspective A number of instrumental obj~ctivoe
of industrial policy may be definedg to secure autonomy of control over industriel operations and attain greater equality in external relationships9 to rationalise the structure of industries in terme of the internal needs of the economy~ and to internalise and diffuse technoloe;y throuf!:hout the economy.
•
3.1. ·
.Autonomy of ControlREPRoruc~ION/Q9/87 Pe8e 15
· ~B~ d evelopm~nt
of the c6lonial ec6nomic~ystem
inAfri c~ · ha s
~volvéd within a hierrc~ical structure of power and control~ with African interests at the base and multinational corporate :Lnterests at the top.
The main reasons for foreign iïïvestmï3nt 'by'"fuül'tinat'iônal~ are now well knowng to protect or pre-empt markèts for .their products9
to protect home market position as sellers of final product~ ·by:
s~c~~ing sources of raw materiels or in~ermediate inputs~ ~nd .to
exploit cheap labour, tax aclvantages and other regulations f·br~ cheaper production or for access to'other protected markets. (Horst i973~ Mansfield
1975)
·~Studies have also documented·the· characteristics of MNC operations
· in developing countries. They t and to use se6ond-ha~d9 ~o~~time~
obsolete machinery9 whose book value is usualiy a legal fricti6h de'pendins on laws in the user and exporting countries 9. and to use
..
this equipment more intensively than local plànts. They employ less labo~r, ~ake as little us~ as possible of loc~l inputs and achleve lo~er valœadded than indigenous enterpriseè
6f
equivalent _size~(Cohen
1973) .
They are generally less reeponsive to local influences9the more so if they are foot-loose~ import dependent industries.
(Riedel,
1975 ).
When they are oblig~d ~~ develop linkages~ ihe result is often the importation of other units or associate of the same multi- nationals as their collaborators. Such lin~ages are illusory9 still havint?; little contact with the local economy they do not enlar&;e 11the internal roundaboutness of production"' 'I'Jhich sustains growth. (I,Jei t'~ .... 8 c~Vco-~ {'-'' -'--and \AJolff
1977 )
0 \<li th the current trends towàrd~ n:ationalization and.indigenisation of enterprises, formai controli ovèr much of the dominant foreign-linked sectors bas now passed to Go~er~men:t~ ehd indigenous enterprises. But only too often for man~i~cturing l.ndustries this
REPRODUCTION/ 09/8 2
Page 16
has meant control of buildings9 plant and labour9 technology remaining firmly in the hands of the foreigners 9 wi th '"'hom arrane;emaats have to be ~~de t o carry on existing operational relationships in the pursuit of continued cash profitabi l i ty.
Rationalization of Structure
Traditional development theory sees industrialization in developing countries as an orderly progress from primary processing9 through
production of consumer goods for import substitution9 to the production
'·
of intermediate and capital goods (Ewi~g
1968) .
During the f irst phase•J
manufacturing activity is minimal9 being limited to raw materiel benefi- ciation for more convenient supply of industriel users in the metropolitan countries. In the second phase9 the conspicuous consumption of imported luxury goods by the beneficiaries of the colonial economy - the export enclaves and the ruling political and commercial elites - has created a large enougb market .in these goods for the foreign vendors to protect their stakes by setting up l ocal plants based initially on assembly with very l i t tle l ocal value added. The move into intermediate and capital goods proceed ' mainly by backward integration from the structurally ~
biased consumer industry. h'ith a pool of cheap industrial labour establisbed9 and9 taking advantage of l ocal protectionism and interna- tional tax structurres9 the r1NCs may also move in with export-oriented manufacturing geared to their gl obal marketing strategy. (Horst
1973
9Mansfield
1975) .
As long as the structure of manufacturing is determined by narrow elitist and extraneous foreign interests9 the scope for industrializa~
tion and its impact on the African economy are severely limited. A comparison· of the structure. of the transport equipment industry in the United States and Nigeria is instructive of the untapped potentials in Nigeria. According to Chisholm
(1973)
the United States had130
vehicleRER)c-:WDUCTION/09/82 Page 17
assembly plants in 19~7.• . ,T~e_s_~_ ;wer~~ supp~~':~Cl. .. '!>Y.:.:.~J~
...
Y_iD:terl!'-·ediat(l output plants together contributing 40% of value added in the industry. Fo~llon-in.tegrated plant intermediate inputs contributed
69%
of total costs. By contra.st, while materiel inputs were rough.ly similar in Nigeriafor 1960, the country nad to import 91% of these from plants located abroad, at 68% of total costs. (FRN 1975) the pultiplier effects of ,the industry ate felt mainly by foreign pla~ts.
A
major source _ofindustriel srowth is the planned development of such intermediate plants by l~cal interests.
But even more important is the prcduction of .eoods for forward linkage to n ew industries designed for mass consumption and .f or
producine; ,capital goods geared to raising the productiv.i ty of _t he bu.Ur of t~e working population.
By
this process modern technologyq~ncease. to be the preserve of ci ti es and export-producing enclaves. P.
specifie objective should be to upgrade productivity in agriculture and small-scale industry to the levels already achieved by the large-scale industrial sector9 thereby achieving a balanced structure for future deyelo?ment .
The rationalization of structure also relates t o the !=Jpatial stru,ctUI:? of t he economy; it is necessary to ensure that industries ce.ntres are developed in such a wuy that they contribute to better integration and interdependence of various reeions rather than the, si.phoning_of the human and material resources of the peripher13,l areas for the enrichment of a few centres. In West Africa the plight of the interior states, is already well lmown and special. action
1?y
ECO\r/AS may ~e required to ensure that enough centres are created to bring these backwaters into the mainstream of industrial development.REPRO:OUCTION/09/82
Page 18
3.3.
Internalization and Diffusion of TechnologyIn theory9 the devel oping countries are fortunate in that there exists a large body of scientific information and technological kifow- ledge which can be acquired, applied, adapted and bui l t upon for our developmerit. But the optimum realization of the potentiels of this
..
situation poses ·peculiar problems. This basic resource has been accumulated mainly in the metropolitan countries under the stimulus of hi storical necessity, both economie and political. Its structure and development has been tailored to their l ocal needs and circumstances. To the extent that the transfer of tecbnolOG7 to developing countries h~; been initiated or mediated by institutions tribut ions tributary to them, the c·hoice of technology and the mode of i ts transf er have beer~
determined largely by metropolitan int erests. · A.nd even ' l iberal'
Western scholars, in their advocacy of 1efficiency' of industrializat ion in terms of marlret economies, stages of e;rowtb., and the orderly
transfer of 'appropriate' technology, are overly sensitive to the eguilibrium of the existing world economie order.
It has been estimated that only
5%
of modern technology used in Africa is under indi genous controlw the rest bains hel d by foreign interests (Thomas1976).
The existing modes of transfe~ ~f technology through tbese interests are restrictive9 expansive and superfic{al . They limit and distort the range and depth of technology that can be acquired by African countries. With mul tinational firms, technology is usually not sold outright but rented as prepackaged proprietaryinformation to subsidiaries or· joint ventures9 witb the forei gn interesto retaining full control over the t echnological 'secrets' . And the
training of l ocal staff is usually limited in scope and content9 with the headquarters of the foreign interest s retaining9 for a fee9 contr~c
tual responsibility for major maint enance and trouble-shooting as well as research and development. The importation of intermediate inputs is also controlled by the 'technical experts' of the forei gn interests, cutting off national interests from access to the range of sources and technology embodied in them.
.
..
..
REPRDDUC.TTON/ 09/02 Page 19
The fragmentation of local participation already referred to also me~ns tha:t there is little interaction amone; African engineers9 technologjs.ts .~nd managers operating in the same industry, no apprecia- tion of the oyerall situation, no exchange and co-ordination of
information and cross-fertilization of ideas on which a comrnunity builds up its technoloeical capital.
Tbus it ~s not surprising that twenty years after obtaining its first brewery and with twelve breweries functional, Nigeri~ still ras to resort to f(lreign turn-key contracts and management agreements· for the design;. construction and operation of new bre'«eries and even for expansion. programmes. Furthermore, inspi te of a s.t.rong indigenous tradition of brewing the modern Nigerian brevJin~ industry. s.ticlis to imported raw materia.ls and has done little to develop and.market neu br.ews based on local tradi tional grains. The internalization and diffusion of technology calls for deliberate and concerted ~ction by goverrunents at both national and international levels. The first requirements is the creation at the hiab.est, ministerial9 l evel of government agency, for the formulation and implementation of national
technolo~ical policy. Off the many tasks for such an agency, three
. stand out for special mention~ the promotion of industriel r~searcl:.9
development and training9 the promotion and support of technology-
cre.ating industry, and the regulation of indus trial b.ehaviour tc ensu:. e
technologi~al growth.
Industrial research and development in the .African context
includes the systematic collection from all over the world of available information about technological processes for study, imitation, adapta- tion and application as necessary. There should al so be investment in strate~ic industries even at commercial loss» for the purpose of training manpower and improvine: technological productivity in the same
RE~RODUCTION/09/82 Page 20
or related fields. Infrastructural support and training facilities for small-scale industries can also play a very important .role. The regulation·of industrial behaviour is o:f critical importance for carree- ting the technological sterili ty of foreig'n ·associated industry. Ti::~ere is rieed to adopt an industry wide rather than project approach to
government invol vement in industrilÙ proa;rammine; end control.
Tbus in our Nigerian examples9 if all breweries or all vehicle- assembly plants relate to one Government agency9 it would become a viable proposition both tactically and economically 'to secure b~tter
terms of technological cooperation with the UNCs to make adequate provision for industrial traininG and develop local opportunities for
industriel linkage. The chances are better still i f West lHrican countries, who all deal with much the same group of multinationals, coordinated their operations in each industriel area to take advantae;e of their combined weight.
Finally, poor countries ·ev·ery\ihere need to recognise more clearly the identity of their interests in industrialization for development 9
and to .help and cooperate with one another for the ':full realizatï'on of its potentiel. And the rich countries need not fear such a develop~
ment. For in the light of historical experience the industrialization of developing countries by raising their prodrrctive and absorption capacity will in the long run lead not to any diminutiorf and loss of of trade benefits but to a higher leve! of profitable inter dependence in a more prosperous and more equal world order.
..
•
..
TABLE I
L EPHODUCTION / 09/ 82
Page 21Structure of Small ScalG Industries
1971*
Cateeory
&
Industries Food Drink&
TobaccoGrain r1illing Brewing
Bakery
Textile
&
Clothing Tailoring Sho ema!.dng Weaving LeatherHorks Dyeine;~fuit tine;
Wood & v·Jood Produce Ind. Furni ture Carpentery
Furniture Making Saw Milling Wood Carving Boat l·1aking
Paper3 Printing
&
Publishing Prin tine;Chemical Products Rubber Processing
Non-Metallic Mineral Products Brick t1aking
Pottery
Metals1 Metal Products
&
Machinery Bicycle RepairingIvlotor Vehicle Black Smithing Gold Gmithing Electrical Works Wa.tcè. 1-:.epairing lr'Jeldine;
Other Mat Making
2. 9
0.8
o. :,:, 0 . 3
9. 9
0.8
o.~t:
0 .4
0.21.2
0.1
1.3 o. 6
7. 2
Lr..63. 6 3. 3 2. 9 2. . 6 1. 6
Pere en tage Share of Establishments
*
Unweighted average of figures from surveys of 12 states) See JHuko et al 1972 & 19739 Iwuji et al 19759 Lewis 1974).TABLE I I
Growtll of lrianufacturing Establishments
Bef ore
1950 1955 1960 19:&5 1970
to to to to to
1950 1954 1959 1964:
1969 1974
CATEGORY
Food~ Drink & Tobacco 22o3
39 . 1
29.627 . 6 19. 3
22. 5Textile cr. 0 Clotb.ing
t6 . 5 9. 1
15.011± . 5
19.8 21.6 Wood Product & Furniture16 . 5
14.5 19.4 14.).13 . 1
8.lr,Paper9 Prin ting & Publishing
19 . 8 13. 6
10.29 . 3
6.lr,5. 3
Cb.emice,l JP'roducts 13.2: 8.2 13.1 1L 3 13.1
8 . 7
Non-Metallic Mineral Product
) . 6 1. 9
l!t.) 4:.1 10.7Basic 'Metals
0. 9
1.00. 5
0.3Hetal Manufacture &
Engineering Products
9. 9 10 . 9 9. 7
13.0 20.3 18.5Other Industries 1.7 1.0
1 . 5
). ]3. 9
Weights (She,re of Each Period in Total Number
of Units)
5 .
~-'
-5. 0 9. 3
18.1 19.0 16.1{Units established in each category as percentage at the total nunber of industrial units established in each period)/
Based on FOS 1975.
EE:PEODUCTION/09/82 Pat;e 2.2;
ua te
A.ll ::.ctGiveD. Periods
}6 . 5
28.11)..9
16 .
If.:22.2
15 . 9 ,.,
[,(J. -=
8 . 7
~.5 10.1
3. 0 L 5
0
.
7 _,.'·0 . 5
10.2 13.0
1. D
2 .. 027. l 100
TABL E III
REPRODUCTION/09/02 Page 23
Structure of Medium and Large Scale Establishments in Nigeria
1972
Industry Group
Food~ Drinks
&
Tobacco Textile&
Clothing Wood and Wood products Paper9 Printing&
Publishing
Chemical Products Non-Metallic Mineral Products
Basic Metals, Metal Products
&
Machinery OtherEsteblish- mants
27 •. 6
15.
q,19 . 9
8.8 10.4
'-*·7
11.5
1. 7
(Based on Fl{N 1975).
funploy- ment
21.
4
30 . 4 8 . 9
7 .8
12-.7
i±.9
12 . 7 l.2
Pere en tage share cf Waf5es Gross Value
& out- added
sala- put :ries value
22.2 32.0 }4.0
25 . 6
19.817 . 7
6. 3 2.7 ::- . 2
11.3
5. 3
!::.516 . 3
20.7 22.8Î!:. 6 4:.2
4. 5
12.6
14 . 7
12.41.1
o. 6 0 . 5
_ _ _______
....-....--...-- -
l'Tot capitnl
E~r.pendi·-
ture
22 . 7
30.0
~ i. 7
t . 7 1'7 .
~Î:6. ' :::
... ,-,
.... ). J
o. r-,
REPRODUCTION/
09/ 82 Pag e 24t
TABLE IV
St ru
cture of Industriel Investment
Ca
te go
ry
Food
,DriL:.r s &
Toba.cc o Textiles
&Cloth
in
gWood & W ood
ProductsIndu
stry Furniture
Pa per, Printin
g& Pub lish ine;
C
he
mica l Produ cts Non- M eta ll ic Mineral Pro
ducts
Basicmetals metal
produ cts
& Hac
hi
neryOther
Sourceg (1) ( 2) (3)
(Percenta
ges)
A
llm edium Foreign Cap ital Governmcnt
& l
arge Priva te
Investte In I
nvestment
s
c ale Indus- Invest- Smal l Indu s
-3rd Plan tries Net
ment tries
inSix Programœe Cap ital selecte
dStates
Exp enditure
1972
19731975- 80
(
1) (2 ) 72* (3)
22.7 26.l.l: 8.1
9. 9
38.0 19.
1
23.00. 7
1. 7 4.1 15
.1
10.~
0.03
6.
4 0.43 6 . 0
8.0
0.4
5. 0
1.24o.
:l_A
nnu
al A
bstractof Sta t is
tics 1973
p.45
Central
Bank of Ni
geriaEconomie and Financial
1 eviet·JVo
l. 14N° 1 Ma
rch
1976.FRN
}rd N
ationa
lDevelo
pment Plan* Date from Western
&Nort,_. Ea st
ern States 1972 comb i
nod( A
luko 1972, Lew is
197~)...
R EPRODUCTION/09/82
Page 25
TABLE V
Structure of Industrial Programme in Nigeria's Jrd National Development Plan
PROJECTS
A. (Leading Industries)
Products of Petroleum and Coal Iron and Steel Basic
Pet roleum Refineries
Basic Industrial Chemicals~
Fertilizers
&
PesticidesSuger~ Chocolabe and Confectioneries Pulp, Paper
&
Paper ProductsCement, Lime
&
Plaster(Otber
Industries)B. Industriel Research Development and Training
C. Industriel Estates2 Areas and Layouts Do Finanoial Assistance to Private lndustry
(Loans
&
Equity Participation in Medium and Lerge-Scale Industries)(Small-Scale Industriel Credit )
(Bas ed on
FD~1975)
Percentage Sgares of Capital
Programme
(75 .55) 24.56 19. 63 13 .75
7.20
6 .38 6 .2 5
11.81
87.37
TABLE VI
REPRODUCTIGN/09/82 Pace 26
Imports of Manufactured Gcods by West African Countries By Principal Sources and Value (US Dollarê,) 191.!
Importing Country
Benin
Ghana
Total importe
35397
116191
Liberia 58817
Mali 13631
Pauritania
Nige:r
Nie;eria
12817
18306 546177
Senegal
57544
Sierra Leone
43648
Togo 26847
Upper Volta 13866
From A.frica
3501
3189
1027
1050
2459
1625
285710214
6670
1600
1764
2837
From Nigeria
507
226
19
16
10
110
23
(UNSEIBA
1975)
Leading Countries with first 90% of total A.frican imports in rank order (value in brackets)T og o
(1718)~ Ivory Coast(678)~ Nigeria
(507 )9
Senegal(384).
Egypt (1753) Botswana
l
479l;
Nigeria (226); Zaire196
9 Morocco(162 ) ; Tog o 136 •
Senegal (4100); Cameroon
(22~8) Mali
(416); Ecypt (300 ).
3enegal
(341);
Morocco (282); Sierra Leone(17 9 ) ;
Ivory Coast (99)~ Gabon (73~ . Seneial (824); Ivory Coant(746 9 Ghena
(478);
Eg7; t (205 •Senegal
1472
Ivorr Coast
(1652) ?
Senegal(6 55) 9
Egypt(147 ) .
Egypt (58~8); Zaire (15~7)~
Ghana
(596)9
Senegal (578)?Morocco (5~4)9
Alger i a (11; ) .
Ivory Coast ~5020) Horocco
(72 t)? Mali ,279).
Senegal
(6 01) 9 Egypt (356)9
Gabon (220)9 Ivory Coast (~~~~ .
Ivori
Coast (~51)9 Benin (3T?·9 Egypt (356) Gl::.ana (30~ 9 Senegal(113).
Ivo~f Coast (21~6)9 ,Dali
(225)9
Senegal (167)9 Gbana {1l.l:7).
TABLE VII
R EPR ODUCTION/09/82
Page 27
R EGIONAL DISTRIBUTION OF INDUSTRIES
197~Food, Beverages and T0bacco Textiles
&
ClothineWood, Wood Products
&
Furr..iture
Paper, Printing
&
Publishing
Cheaical Products Non-î1etallic Mineral Products
Basic Hetals Fabricated l1etal ProduoXG & 1'-iach.inery Other ~-1anufactures
All Industriel Locations
Percentage of Industrial Locations
Percentage of Industrial Establishment
Sudan States (Solwto, Kaduna
Kano, Bauchi
1.7
10
5
26
8 1 21
12.1
12.8
!1iddle Bell States
(Ni~er,
X wara
Plateau Benue&
Gone;ola )
17
9
9
5
2
5 1
·~
27
(Based on
F OS 197 5)
Southern Sta·L .. ~s
(Loyo, · Ogun, Ondo, Lagos Ben.del9 Anambra, Imo Cross Eivex
&
Ri vers
18
23
20