HAL Id: hal-00651239
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00651239
Preprint submitted on 13 Dec 2011
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application to stable risk-neutral density recovery
Jean-Baptiste Monnier
To cite this version:
Jean-Baptiste Monnier. Spectral analysis of restricted call and put operators and application to stable
risk-neutral density recovery. 2011. �hal-00651239�
DENSITYRECOVERY
JEAN-BAPTISTE MONNIER
∗
Abstra t. Inthispaper,weproposeanewmethodforestimatingthe onditionalrisk-neutral
density(RND)dire tlyfroma ross-se tionofputoptionbid-askquotes. Morepre isely,wepropose
to view the RND re overy problem as an inverse problem. Werst show that it is possible to
denerestri tedputand alloperatorsthatadmitasingularvaluede omposition(SVD),whi hwe
omputeexpli itly.Wesubsequentlyshowthatthisnewframeworkallowstodeviseasimpleandfast
quadrati programmingmethodtore overthe smoothestRNDwhose orrespondingputpri eslie
insidethebid-askquotes. Thismethodistermedthespe tralre overymethod(SRM).Interestingly,
theSVDoftherestri tedputand alloperatorsshedssomenewlightontheRNDre overyproblem.
TheSRMimproveson otherRNDre overy methodsinthe sense that1) it isfast and simpleto
implementsin eit requiresto solveone singlequadrati program, yet being fullynonparametri ;
2)ittakesthebidaskquotesassoleinputanddoesnotrequireanysortof alibration,smoothingor
prepro essingofthedata;3)itisrobusttothepau ityofpri equotes;4)itreturnsthesmoothest
densitygiving risetopri esthat lieinsidethebidaskquotes. TheestimatedRNDisthereforeas
well-behavedas anbe;5)itreturnsa losedformestimateoftheRNDontheinterval
[0, B]
ofthepositiverealline,where
B
isapositive onstantthat anbe hosenarbitrarily. WethusobtainboththemiddlepartoftheRNDtogetherwithitsfulllefttailandpartofitsrighttail. We onfrontthis
methodtobothrealandsimulateddataandobservethatitfareswellinpra ti e. TheSRMisthus
foundtobeapromisingalternativetootherRNDre overymethods.
Key words. Risk-neutral density; Nonparametri estimation;Singularvalue de omposition;
Spe tralanalysis;Quadrati programming.
AMSsubje t lassi ations.91G70,91G80,45Q05,62G05
1. Introdu tion.
1.1. The setting. Overthelast fourde ades,theno-arbitrageassumptionhas
proved to be a fruitful starting point that paved the way for the elaboration of a
ri h theoreti al framework for derivatives pri ing known today asarbitrage pri ing
∗
O e 5B01, LPMA, Université Paris 7, 175 rue du Chevaleret, 75013, Paris, Fran e. Tel:
theory. Amongitsnumerousa hievements,thearbitragepri ingtheoryhassetforth
twofundamental theorems. The FirstFundamental Theorem of Asset Pri ing (see
[21,p.72℄)provesthatamarketisarbitrage-freeifandonlyifthere existsameasure
Q
equivalentto thehistori al (orstatisti al) measureP
,whi hturns theunderlyingpri epro ess into amartingale.
Q
is thereforereferred toas amartingalemeasure.TheSe ondFundamentalTheoremofAssetPri ing(see[21,p.73℄)provesinturnthat
thismartingalemeasureisuniqueifandonlyifthemarketis omplete(see[21,p.300℄
forterminology). Letusdenoteby
S
τ
thepositivevaluedpri eoftheunderlyingatadeterministi futuredate
τ
andbyπ(S
τ
)
thepayoofa ontingent laimmaturingattime
τ
. Letusmoreoverdenotebyq
themarginaldensityofS
τ
underQ
withrespe ttotheLebesguemeasureonthepositiverealline,assumingthatitexists. Asinitially
provedin [10℄, thearbitragepri eof thisderivativese urity writesasitsdis ounted
expe tedpayounder
Q
,that is,e
−rτ
E
Q
π(S
τ
) = e
−rτ
Z
x≥0
π(x)Q(S
τ
∈ dx) = e
−rτ
Z
x≥0
π(x)q(x)dx,
where
r
standsforthe ontinuously ompoundedrisk-freerate. Itisawidelya knowl-edgedfa tthat nan ialmarketsarein omplete,shallitonlybeduetothepresen e
ofjumps in theunderlying pri epro ess. Insu h asetting, and asdes ribedabove,
thereexisteventuallyverymany
q
s,andtherefore,verymany orrespondingsystemsof arbitrage-freepri es. Letus denoteby
Q
the orresponding set ofvalid densitiesq
. The elementsq
ofQ
are mostoften referredto asrisk-neutraldensities(RNDs)andwewillsti ktothis terminologyin thesequel.
RNDs are of ru ial interest for Central Banks and, in fa t, most institutions and
people on erned with nan ial markets sin e they representthe market sentiment
aboutagivenunderlying pri epro ess at afuture pointin time (see[3℄). They are
also of ru ial interest to the nan ial derivatives industry sin e the knowledge of
tionisveryextensive,thebulkofitdatingba ktothelate90'sand early2k's. Itis
notourpurposeheretopresentanexhaustivereviewofthisliterature. Ex ellentand
up-to-datereviews anin fa t befound in[14,17℄. Olderbutstill relevantones an
befoundin [9,3℄.
Among derivative se urities, all and put options play a very parti ular role sin e
theyarea tivelytradedin themarketandthusbelievedtobee ientlypri ed. Let
us re all that a allof strike
ξ
andmaturityτ
givesitsholder the rightto buy theunderlying se urity at maturity time
τ
at pri eξ
. It is an insuran e againsta risein the pri e of the underlying. Its payo writes
π(S
τ
, ξ) = θ(S
τ
, ξ) = (S
τ
− ξ)
+
,
where wehavewritten
(x)
+
= max(x, 0)
for
x
∈ R
. Conversely, aput option givestheright to sellthe underlying se urity. It is aninsuran eagainst afall in the
un-derlyingpri eanditspayowrites
θ
∗
(S
τ
, ξ) = (ξ
− S
τ
)
+
. Here andin whatfollows,wedenotethestrikepri eby
ξ
andnotbyk
,whi hwillstandforarunningindexinN
.A ording to the elebratedBreeden-Litzenberger formula, the se ond derivativeof
put and allpri eswithrespe tto theirstrikepri ebothequalthedis ountedRND
e
−rτ
q
(see [6℄). Therefore, ifa ontinuum of putor allpri es were available in the
market,wewouldhavedire ta esstotheRNDbythelatterformula. However,this
isnotthe aseandonlyafewstrikepri esaroundtheforwardpri earequotedand
a tivelytraded at ea h maturitydate. Depending onthe market,weoverall re kon
from
5
to50
quotesatagivenmaturitydateτ
. To ompli atethematterevenmore,quotesdonotappearasasinglepri e. Dealersquoteinfa tabidpri e,atwhi hthey
oertobuythese urity,andanaskpri e,atwhi htheyoertosellthese urity. The
dieren ebetweenbothpri esisreferredtoasthebid-askspread. Foraninteresting
insight into the nature of option quotesand sour esof error in them, the readeris
referredto, say,[16, p.786℄.
1.2. The problemand briefliteraturereview. Asdetailedabove,iftraded
puts and alls at agivenmaturity
τ
are arbitragefree,they mustwrite astheirthepau ityof quotedoptionpri esatagivenmaturity
τ
and thepresen eofabid-askspread,itis learthatmanyRNDs ouldinfa tbehiddenbehindquotedoption
pri es. Therefore, theRND questis notthat mu haboutestimatingthe trueRND
thatisusedbythemarketforpri ingpurpose,sin ethenatureofthequotesdoesnot
allowtoidentifyituniquely. Itisrathermoreaboutre overingavalidRND,meaning
ana tualdensityfun tion,to be hosena ordingtoa riterion typi allyrelatedto
itssmoothnessorinformation ontent. Histori ally,threemainrouteshavebeenused
to re over a RND from quoted option pri es: parametri methods, nonparametri
methods and models of theunderlying pri epro ess. Ea h of them havetheir pros
and ons. Parametri methodsarewelladaptedtosmalldatasetsandalwaysre over
adensity. However,they onstraintheRND tobelongtoagivenparametri family.
Onthe otherhand,modelsofthe underlyingpri epro esshavebeentherstgreat
su ess of arbitrage pri ing theory with the elebrated geometri Brownian motion
(see [4, 20℄). However, the limitation of the log-normal distribution is now widely
a knowledged and nosatisfying sto hasti pro esshas yet been proposed that both
reprodu ea uratelythedynami softheunderlyingpri epro essandbeanalyti ally
tra table. Nonparametri methods ir umventboth of these problems in the sense
thattheydonotrequireanystringentassumptiononthepro essgeneratingthedata
(they are model-free) and an re over all possible densities. As a main drawba k,
thesemethodsareoftendataintensive.
Letusbriey omeba konsome ontributionstothenonparametri literaturewhi h
arerelevanttothepresentpaper. We an lassifynonparametri methodsasfollows.
•
The expansion methods. It in ludes the Edgeworth (see [19℄) andumu-lantexpansions(see [22℄), whi h allowto estimatea nite numberof RND
umulants. Italsoin ludesorthonormalbasismethodssu hasHermite
poly-nomials(see[1℄),whi hrelyonwellknownHilbertspa ete hniquesandgive
a esstothemiddlepartoftheRND.
performsestimationontheaveragequotedpri es(thatis,theaverageofthe
bid-askquotes)and requiresthereforeto pre-pro essthem in ordertomake
them arbitrage-free. Moreover, the returned RND depends on the kernel
hosenand itis not learhowitrelatesto theother validRNDs in termof
information ontentorsmoothness.
•
Themaximumentropymethod. Itisintrodu edin[8,23℄,wheretheRNDq
isobtainedviathemaximizationofanentropy riterion. A ordingto[9,p.19℄,
this method oftengivesbumpy(multimodals)estimatessin eit imposes no
smoothnessrestri tionontheestimateddensity. Inaddition,itissaidin[18,
p.1620℄,thatthismethod presents onvergen eissues.
•
Other methods, whi h do not belong to any of the three ategories above.Amongthem,we anrefertothepositive onvolutionapproximation(PCA)
of [5℄. In pra ti e, it ts a nite (but large) onvex linear ombination of
normaldensitiestotheaveragequotedputpri esandapproximatestheRND
by theweights of thelinear ombination. It thus presents similarities with
[18℄,sin eitultimatelytsadis retesetofprobabilitiestotheaveragequoted
pri es. We analso refer to the smoothedimplied volatility smile method
(SML)asin[14℄. ThismethodusestheBla k-S holesformulaasanon-linear
transform. It onsistsin ttingapolynomialthroughtheimpliedvolatilities
obtainedfromaveragequotedpri es,andusingthe ontinuumofoptionpri es
obtainedinthat wayto gettheRNDviatheBreeden-Litzenbergerformula.
[14℄ renes this method by taking the bid-ask quotes into a ount at the
impliedvolatilitytstage. TheSMLmethodgivesa esstothemiddlepart
of the RND. [14℄ proposes in addition a method for appending generalized
extremevalue(GEV)taildistributionstoit. TheSMLmethodis umbersome
and an seema bit odd sin e it requires going from pri e spa e to implied
volatilityspa e,ba kandforth. Itis laimedthatitisoutperformedinterm
ofa ura yandstabilitybysimplerparametri methodsin [7℄.
alloperators that admit asingularvaluede omposition (SVD), whi hwe ompute
expli itly. Wesubsequentlyshowthat thisnew framework allowsto deviseasimple
andfastquadrati programmingmethodto re overthesmoothestRND that is
on-sistentwithmarketbid-askquotes.
Tobemorepre ise,letusdenoteby
I
thesegment[0, B]
ofthepositiverealline. Wedenetherestri tedputand alloperators,denotedby
γ
∗
and
γ
,fromL
2
I
intoitself(seeeq.(2.1)andeq.(2.2)below)andshowthattheyare onjugatesofoneanother.
Weprovethat theresultingself-adjointoperator
γ
∗
γ
is ompa t. Asa onsequen e
of the spe tral theorem (see [15℄),
γ
∗
admits a singular value de omposition with
positivede reasingsingularvalues. Weprovethat the orrespondingsingularbases
are ompletein
L
2
I
(seeTheorem3.1,item3))and omputethemexpli itlytogetherwiththeirsingularvalues(seeFigure1.1). Toxnotations,wewillwrite
(ϕ
k
)
k≥0
and(ψ
k
)
k≥0
thetwoorthonormalfamiliesofL
2
I
su hthatγ
∗
γϕ
k
= λ
2
k
ϕ
k
,γγ
∗
ψ
k
= λ
2
k
ψ
k
,where
(λ
k
)
k≥0
isapositivede reasingsequen eofsingularvalues. Pre isely,weobtainexpli itly,
λ
k
=
B
ρ
k
2
,
whereρ
k
=
π
2
+ kπ + (
−1)
k
β
k
,
k
∈ N,
and, for all
k
∈ N
,β
k
is the smallest positive solution of the following xed pointequationin
u
,exp(π/2 + kπ + (
−1)
k
u) =
1 + cos(u)
sin(u)
.
Interestingly, thepositivesequen e
(β
k
)
de reases exponentially fasttowardzeroasdetailed in Lemma 6.8. Therefore, the sequen e of singular values
(λ
k
)
k≥0
tendsasymptoti ally toward zero at a rate of order
k
−2
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
−0.2
−0.15
−0.1
−0.05
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
phi0
phi1
phi2
phi3
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
−0.2
−0.15
−0.1
−0.05
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
psi0
psi1
psi2
psi3
Figure 1.1. Here,we plottherstfourelementsof bothsingular bases. At thetopwe plot
thereforesaidtobemildlyill-posedwithadegreeofill-posednessequalto
2
(see[13,p.40℄). Furthermore,forall
ξ
∈ I
,weobtain,ϕ
k
(ξ) =
a
k,1
e
ρ
k
ξ/B
+ a
k,2
e
−ρ
k
ξ/B
+
a
k,3
cos(ρ
k
t/B) + a
k,4
sin(ρ
k
ξ/B)
,
ψ
k
(ξ) =
a
k,1
e
ρ
k
ξ/B
+ a
k,2
e
−ρ
k
ξ/B
−
a
k,3
cos(ρ
k
t/B) + a
k,4
sin(ρ
k
ξ/B)
.
wherethe oe ients
a
k,i
, i = 1, . . . , 4
aresu hthat,a
k,1
=
1
√
B
(
−1)
k
e
ρ
k
+ (
−1)
k
,
a
k,2
= (
−1)
k
e
ρ
k
a
k,1
=
1
√
B
1
1 + (
−1)
k
e
−ρ
k
,
a
k,3
=
−
√
1
B
,
a
k,4
=
√
1
B
1
− (−1)
k
e
−ρ
k
1 + (
−1)
k
e
−ρ
k
.
Basedon this newframework,wepropose aspe tralapproa h to RND re overy. It
is fully nonparametri and an re overtherestri tion of any density to the interval
I
. To that end, we noti e that thesingular bases fun tionsϕ
k
andψ
k
are in fa tos illations
h
k,2
atfrequen yρ
k
/B
arriedbytheexponentialtrendh
k,1
(seeeq.(6.2)andeq.(6.1)for notations). Conveniently,smoothdensities arethereforeessentially
apturedbylowsingularspa es. Theideaofre overingthesmoothestdensityamong
thevalidoneswasinitiallysuggestedin[18℄. Subsequently,[9℄rightfullypointedout
that thesmoothness riterion anbedebated asitis di ulttogiveit ane onomi
oreveninformationtheoreti meaning. Ourspe tralapproa hshedssomenewlight
onthisissueand makesit learthatthesmoothness riterionisjustiedbythefa t
that therestri ted all andput operatorsbehaveaslow-passfrequen ylters. Itis
therefore illusoryto look for high frequen yinformation aboutthe RND in aset of
quoted optionspri es,sin e thisinformation hasbeendrasti ally attenuatedby the
operator. The smoothness riterion arises thereforeasa by-produ t of thespe tral
bynonparametri means.
Inwhat follows,weexploit theri hframeworkoered bytheSVD ofthe restri ted
putand alloperatorstore overthesmoothestRND thatis ompatiblewithmarket
quotes. Asdetailedineq.(7.1)below,thedis ountedrestri tedputoperator oin ides
withthe putpri efun tion (as afun tion ofthestrike)on
I
. Wethereforeproposeto re overthesmoothest RND su h that itsimage bythe dis ountedrestri tedput
operator
e
−rτ
γ
∗
liesin-betweenthebid-askquotes (seeeq.(7.1)). Conveniently,the
singularbasespresentthepropertyofbeingimageofoneanotherbyse ondderivation
moduloamultipli ationbythe orrespondingsingularvalueof
γ
∗
(seeTheorem6.1).
Thisallowsusto hara terizethesmoothness oftheestimatedRNDdire tlyin term
of a quadrati form of the oe ients of the estimated put pri e fun tion, whi h
depends onthe singular valuesof the restri ted put operator (see Proposition 7.1).
This ru ialfeatureallowstore overthesmoothestRND asthesolutionof asimple
quadrati program, whi h takes the bid ask quotes as sole input. Our estimation
methodimprovesonexistingonesin severalways,whi hwesumuphere.
•
Itisfastandsimpletoimplementsin eitrequirestosolveonesinglequadratiprogram,yetbeingfullynonparametri .
•
It is robust to the pau ity of pri e quotes sin e the smaller the numberofquotes, the less onstrained the quadrati program and thus the easier to
solve.
•
It takes the bid ask quotes as sole input and does not require any sort ofsmoothingorprepro essingofthedata.
•
Itreturnsthesmoothestdensitygivingrisetopri equotesthatlieinsidethebidaskquotes. TheestimatedRNDisthereforeaswell-behavedas anbe.
•
It returns a losed form estimate of the RND onI
. We thus obtain boththe middle partof the RND together with its left tailand part of itsright
tail. Interestingly, the left tail ontains ru ial information about market
sentimentsrelativetoapotentialforth omingmarket rash.
singularvalue
λ
0
ofγ
andγ
∗
lookthemselvesverymu hlike rossse tionsofputand
allpri es,respe tively(see Figure 1.1). Inthat sense,they willbeable to apture
the bulk of the shape of a ross se tion of option pri es, while thesubsequent
sin-gular ve torswill add orre tions tothis general behavior. Thisis a ru ial feature
of this SVD that leadsus to think that the singular bases of the restri ted pri ing
operatorsareappropriatetoolstore overtheRND
q
. Interestingly,theperforman eofourquadrati programmingalgorithmonreal dataisindeedquite onvin ing(see
Se tion8fordetails).
Readersinterested in appending afullrighttailto this estimatedRND arereferred
to [14℄, who proposes asimple method for smooth pastingof parametri GEV tail
distributionsto anestimated RND.
Here isthe paperlayout. Weintrodu etherestri ted alland putoperators,
γ
andγ
∗
, andoperatorsderivedthereofinSe tion 2. Wedetailthepropertiesofoperators
γ
∗
γ
and
γγ
∗
on the one hand, and
γ
andγ
∗
on the other hand, in Se tion 3and
Se tion 4,respe tively. Otherresultsrelativetothese fouroperatorsare reportedin
Se tion5. Se tion6givesexpli itexpressionsforthe
(λ
k
)
,(ϕ
k
)
and(ψ
k
)
. TheSRMisdetailedinSe tion7. Finally,werunasimulationstudyinSe tion8. AnAppendix
regroupssomeadditionalusefulresults.
2. Denitions and setting. Let us dene the restri ted all operator on the
interval
I = [0, B]
astheoperatorγ
fromL
2
I
intoL
2
I
su h that,(γf )(ξ) =
Z
I
θ(ξ, x)f (x)dx,
ξ
∈ I, f ∈ L
2
I,
(2.1)θ(ξ, x) = (x
− ξ)
+
.
Itisatrivialfa tthat
γf
belongsindeedtoL
2
I
. Let'sdenotebyh., .i
theusuals alarprodu ton
L
2
I
andbyk.k
L
forall
ξ, x
∈ I
,|θ(ξ, x)| ≤ B
and applyCau hy-S hwartzinequalitytoobtain,kγfk
2
L
2
I
≤
Z
I
dξ
Z
I
dx
|θ(ξ, x)||f(x)|
2
≤ B
4
kfk
2
L
2
I
<
∞.
Theadjointoperator
γ
∗
of
γ
issu hthat,forallf, g
∈ L
2
I
,hγ
∗
f, g
i = hf, γgi
=
Z
I
duf (u)
Z
I
dxθ(u, x)g(x)
=
Z
I
dxg(x)
Z
I
duθ(u, x)f (u).
Hen eγ
∗
f (ξ) =
Z
I
θ
∗
(ξ, x)f (x)dx,
ξ
∈ I, f ∈ L
2
I,
(2.2)θ
∗
(ξ, x) = θ(x, ξ).
Sothatγ
∗
isnothingbuttherestri tedput operatorontheinterval
I
. Inparti ular,we anwrite
γ
∗
γf (ξ) =
Z
I
ϑ
1
(ξ, x)f (x)dx,
ξ
∈ I, f ∈ L
2
I,
(2.3)γγ
∗
f (ξ) =
Z
I
ϑ
2
(ξ, x)f (x)dx,
ξ
∈ I, f ∈ L
2
I,
(2.4) whereϑ
1
(ξ, x) =
Z
I
duθ
∗
(ξ, u)θ(u, x)
=
Z
I
du(ξ
− u)
+
(x
− u)
+
=
Z
ξ∧x
0
du(ξ
− u)(x − u)
= ξx(ξ
∧ x) − (ξ + x)(ξ ∧ x)
2
/2 + (ξ
∧ x)
3
/3,
and
ϑ
2
(ξ, x) =
Z
I
duθ(ξ, u)θ
∗
(u, x)
=
Z
I
du(u
− ξ)
+
(u
− x)
+
=
Z
B
ξ∨x
du(u
− ξ)(u − x)
= ξx(B
− ξ ∨ x) − (ξ + x)(B − ξ ∨ x)
2
/2 + (B
− ξ ∨ x)
3
/3.
Letusnowturnto thedetailed inspe tionoftheseoperators.
3. Results relative to
γ
∗
γ
and
γγ
∗
. Let us denote by
R(κ)
the range ofan operator
κ
ofL
2
I
and byN (κ)
its null spa e (see [12, p.23℄). Obviously bothγ
∗
γ
and
γγ
∗
are self-adjoint. This translates into the fa t that their kernels are
symmetri (meaning
ϑ
i
(ξ, x) = ϑ
i
(x, ξ)
). Inaddition,bothϑ
1
andϑ
2
are ontinuousontheboundedsquare
I×I
. Therefore,theasso iatedoperatorsare ompa t(see[12,Ex.4.8.4,p.172℄). Assu h,theyverifythespe traltheorem(see[12,Th.4.10.1,4.10.2,
p.187-189℄).
Theorem 3.1. Given the operators
γ
∗
γ
and
γγ
∗
dened in eq. (2.3) and eq. (2.4)
above,wehave thefollowing results.
1) The operators
γ
∗
γ
and
γγ
∗
are ompa t and self-adjoint. As su h, they admit
ountable families of orthonormal eigenve tors
(ϕ
k
)
and(ψ
k
)
asso iated to thesamepositive de reasingsequen eofeigenvalues
λ
2
k
,whi hare ompleteinR(γ
∗
γ)
andR(γγ
∗
)
, respe tively. 2) Besides, wehaveR(γ
∗
γ)
⊂ L
2
I ∩ C
4
I,
R(γ
∗
γ)
⊂ L
2
I ∩ C
4
I,
whereC
4
I
stands forthe set offour timesdierentiablefun tionsonI
.other words, theyareboth orthonormalbases of
L
2
I
. Infa t, we an writeL
2
I = R(γ
∗
γ) =
Span{ϕ
k
, k
∈ N},
=
R(γγ
∗
) =
Span{ψ
k
, k
∈ N},
whereR(γ
∗
γ)
standsforthe losureof
R(γ
∗
γ)
in
L
2
I
(see[12,p.16℄)andSpan{ϕ
k
, k
∈
N
}
for theset of(potentiallyinnite) linear ombinations ofelementsϕ
k
.4) Therefore,
γ
∗
γ
and
γγ
∗
arebothinvertibleandadmit the fourthorderdierential
operator
∂
4
ξ
as an inverse (see [12, p.155℄ for terminology). More pre isely, wehave got
∂
ξ
4
γ
∗
γf = f,
∀f ∈ L
2
I,
γ
∗
γ∂
ξ
4
f = f,
∀f ∈ R(γ
∗
γ),
andidem for
γγ
∗
.
5) Finally, wehave the following spe tral de ompositions,
f =
X
k≥0
hf, ϕ
k
iϕ
k
,
f
∈ L
2
I,
γ
∗
γf =
X
k≥0
λ
2
k
hf, ϕ
k
iϕ
k
,
f
∈ L
2
I,
andf =
X
k≥0
hf, ψ
k
iψ
k
,
f
∈ L
2
I,
γγ
∗
f =
X
k≥0
λ
2
k
hf, ψ
k
iψ
k
,
f
∈ L
2
I.
Proof. As detailed above,1) follows dire tlyfrom the spe tral theorem. 2)follows
dire tly from the kernel representations in eq. (2.3) and eq. (2.4). It an also be
seenfrom the fa t that, for any
f
∈ L
2
I
, bothγf
andγ
∗
f
whi hfollowsbysimpleinspe tionof eq.(2.1)andeq.(2.2). 3)followsdire tlyfrom
Proposition 5.1 below. 4)is adire t onsequen eof Lemma 8.3 below. Finally, 5)
followsdire tly from1)and3).
4. Resultsrelative to
γ
andγ
∗
. Thefollowingtheoremdetailstheproperties
oftherestri tedput and alloperators. ItbuildsuponTheorem3.1above.
Theorem4.1. Givenoperators
γ
andγ
∗
denedineq. (2.1)andeq. (2.2)above,we
havethe following results.
1) Considerthesequen eofpositivede reasingsingularvalues
λ
k
andsingularve tors(ϕ
k
)
and(ψ
k
)
denedinTheorem 3.1above. Therestri tedputand alloperatorsγ
∗
and
γ
aresu hthat,for allk
≥ 0
,γϕ
k
= λ
k
ψ
k
,
γ
∗
ψ
k
= λ
k
ϕ
k
.
2) Besides, wehaveR(γ
∗
)
⊂ L
2
I ∩ C
2
I,
R(γ) ⊂ L
2
I ∩ C
2
I,
whereC
2
I
stands forthe set oftwotimesdierentiablefun tionsonI
.3) Inaddition,wehave
L
2
I = R(γ
∗
) =
R(γ)
. Sothatboth
γ
andγ
∗
areinvertibleand
admitthese ondorderpartialdierentialoperator
∂
2
ξ
asaninverse. Inparti ular,weobtain
∂
ξ
2
γf (ξ) = ∂
ξ
2
γ
∗
f (ξ) = f (ξ),
∀f ∈ L
2
I.
(4.1)So that the knowledge of
γf
or/andγ
∗
f
allows tore over
f
dire tly astheirse -ond derivative. This is nothing but the so- alled Breeden-Litzenberger formula
4) Wehave furthermorethe following spe tralde ompositions,
f =
X
k≥0
hf, ϕ
k
iϕ
k
,
f
∈ L
2
I,
γf =
X
k≥0
λ
k
hf, ϕ
k
iψ
k
,
f
∈ L
2
I,
andf =
X
k≥0
hf, ψ
k
iψ
k
,
f
∈ L
2
I,
γ
∗
f =
X
k≥0
λ
k
hf, ψ
k
iϕ
k
,
f
∈ L
2
I.
5) Finally, wehave aput- allparityonthe interval that anbewritten asfollows
(γ
− γ
∗
)f (ξ) = ¯
m
1
(f )
− ξ ¯
m
0
(f ),
wherewe havedened
m
¯
k
(f ) :=
R
I
x
k
f (x)dx
.
Proof. Theproofof1)followsdire tlyfrom[13,p.37℄. 2)followsbysimpleinspe tion
ofeq.(2.2)andeq.(2.1). Therstpartof3)followsfromthefa tsthat
R(γ) = R(γγ
∗
)
and
R(γ
∗
) =
R(γ
∗
γ)
(see1)above) and Theorem 3.1, item 3). These ond partof
3)followspartlyfrom Lemma8.3below(seeAppendix)andpartlyfromtheobvious
fa t that
f = γ
∗
∂
2
ξ
f
for allf
∈ R(γ
∗
)
(idem for
γ
). 4)followsdire tly from 1)and3). Finally,5)followsimmediatelyfrom thefollowingobvious omputations,
(γ
− γ
∗
)f (ξ) = γf (ξ)
− γ
∗
f (ξ)
=
Z
I
[θ(ξ, x)
− θ
∗
(ξ, x)]f (x)dx
=
Z
I
(x
− ξ)f(x)dx
= ¯
m
1
(f )
− ξ ¯
m
0
(f ).
Weregroupotherresultsrelativetotheaboveoperatorsinthefollowingse tion.
5. Other results relative to
γ
∗
γ
,
γγ
∗
,
γ
∗
and
γ
. We proveherethat bothorthonormalfamilies
(ϕ
k
)
and(ψ
k
)
are ompleteinL
2
I
. Otherinterestingresultsareto befound in theAppendix. Someof themare purelyte hni al,while someothers
areofmoregeneralinterest.
Proposition5.1. Wehave got,
L
2
I = R(γ
∗
γ) =
Span{ϕ
k
, k
≥ 0},
=
R(γγ
∗
) =
Span
{ψ
k
, k
≥ 0},
where
R(γ
∗
γ)
standsforthe losureof
R(γ
∗
γ)
in
L
2
I
(see[12,p.16℄)andSpan{ϕ
k
, k
∈
N
}
for theset of(potentiallyinnite) linear ombinations ofelementsϕ
k
.Proof. Weknowfrom [13,2.3.℄ that,
L
2
I = R(γ
∗
γ)
⊕
⊥
N (γ
∗
γ),
=
R(γγ
∗
)
⊕
⊥
N (γγ
∗
).
Therefore,itisenoughtoshowthatbothnull-spa esredu etothezeroelement. The
kernel
N (γ
∗
γ)
of
γ
∗
γ
is onstitutedbythefun tions
f
∈ L
2
I
that aresolutionsof0 = γ
∗
γf (ξ),
∀ξ ∈ I.
Derivingfourtimeswith respe tto
ξ
andapplyingLemma8.3 (seeAppendix)leadsto
f (ξ) = 0, ξ
∈ I
. SothatN (γ
∗
γ) =
{0}
. Nowitisenoughtonoti ethatN (γ
∗
γ) =
N (γ)
. However,weknowfrom Lemma 8.4 thatf
∈ N (γ)
if andonly iff
˘
∈ N (γ
∗
)
(see eq.(8.1) for notation). Therefore
N (γγ
∗
) =
N (γ
∗
) = ˘
N (γ) = ˘
N (γ
∗
γ) =
{0}
,whereby
N
˘
,wemean{ ˘
f , f
∈ N }
.6. Expli it omputationof
(λ
k
)
,(ϕ
k
)
and(ψ
k
)
.gatheredbelowinTheorem6.1. Letuswrite
f
k,1
(ξ) = e
ρ
k
ξ/B
,
f
k,2
(ξ) = e
−ρ
k
ξ/B
,
f
k,3
(ξ) = cos(ρ
k
t/B),
f
k,4
(ξ) = sin(ρ
k
ξ/B),
whereρ
k
=
π
2
+ kπ + (
−1)
k
β
k
,
k
∈ N,
(6.1)and, for all
k
∈ N
,β
k
is the smallest positive solution of the following xed pointequationin
u
,exp(π/2 + kπ + (
−1)
k
u) =
1 + cos(u)
sin(u)
.
Interestingly, thepositivesequen e
(β
k
)
de reases exponentially fasttowardzeroasdetailed inLemma6.8. Inaddition,wewrite,
h
k,1
= a
k,1
f
k,1
+ a
k,2
f
k,2
,
h
k,2
= a
k,3
f
k,3
+ a
k,4
f
k,4
,
(6.2)wherethe oe ients
a
k,i
, i = 1, . . . , 4
aresu hthat,a
k,1
=
√
1
B
(
−1)
k
e
ρ
k
+ (
−1)
k
,
a
k,2
= (
−1)
k
e
ρ
k
a
k,1
=
1
√
B
1
1 + (
−1)
k
e
−ρ
k
,
a
k,3
=
−
1
√
B
,
a
k,4
=
1
√
B
1
− (−1)
k
e
−ρ
k
1 + (
−1)
k
e
−ρ
k
.
Then,wehavethefollowingtheorem.
Theorem 6.1. The eigenve tors
(ϕ
k
)
ofγ
∗
γ
and
(ψ
k
)
ofγγ
∗
aresu hthat
They arerelatedby thefollowing relationships,
γϕ
k
= λ
k
ψ
k
,
γ
∗
ψ
k
= λ
k
ϕ
k
,
(6.4)wherewehave written
λ
k
=
B
ρ
k
2
,
(6.5)and
ρ
k
is dened in eq. (6.1). They verifykϕ
k
k
L
2
I
=
kψ
k
k
L
2
I
= 1
. Moreover, we haveψ
k
(B) = ψ
k
′
(B) = 0,
ϕ
k
(0) = ϕ
′
k
(0) = 0,
(6.6) together with˘
ψ
k
= (
−1)
k
ϕ
k
,
ϕ
˘
k
= (
−1)
k
ψ
k
,
(6.7)wherewe have written
ψ
˘
k
(ξ) = ψ
k
(B
− ξ)
. Andnally, weobtain asa dire tonse-quen eof eq. (4.1)above that
λ
k
∂
ξ
2
ψ
k
= ∂
ξ
2
γϕ
k
= ϕ
k
,
λ
k
∂
ξ
2
ϕ
k
= ∂
ξ
2
γ
∗
ψ
k
= ψ
k
.
Proof. Noti e readilythat eq.(6.6), eq.(6.7)and thefa t that both
ϕ
k
andψ
k
areunit normedarestraightforward onsequen esofeq.(6.3). Inaddition,eq.(6.4)isa
repetition ofTheorem4.1, item1). Sothat wearein fa tleft withprovingeq.(6.3)
andeq.(6.5). Ea heigenve tor
f
ofγ
∗
γ
asso iatedtotheeigenvalue
r
4
issolutionof
theproblem,
r
4
f = γ
∗
γf,
for some
r
6= 0
andf
∈ L
2
I
. After dierentiating four times the latter equationwithrespe tto
ξ
(assumingthatf
∈ L
2
I ∩ C
4
I
)andapplyingLemma8.3,weobtainthatthesolutionsofeq.(6.8)arealsosolutionsofthefollowingfourthorderordinary
dierentialequation,
r
4
d
4
ξ
f
− f = 0,
where
d
4
ξ
standsforthefourth orderordinarydierentialoperator. Its hara teristipolynomialadmits four roots
±r
−1
and
±ir
−1
. Consequently, the real solutionsof
theaboveordinarydierentialequationareoftheform
f (ξ) = b
1
e
ξ/r
+ b
2
e
−ξ/r
+ b
3
cos(ξ/r) + b
4
sin(ξ/r).
(6.9)The
ϕ
k
sarethusofthisform. Pluggingthisgeneri solutionba kintoeq.(6.8)leadsinturn, aftertediousbutstraightforward omputations, to
M b = 0,
(6.10)where
b
isa4
× 1
ve torsu hthatb
T
=
b
1
b
2
b
3
b
4
and
M
isthe4
× 4
matrixdenedby
M (r, B) =
r
−1
e
B/r
−r
−1
e
−B/r
r
−1
sin (B/r)
−r
−1
cos (B/r)
−r
−2
e
B/r
−r
−2
e
−B/r
r
−2
cos (B/r)
r
−2
sin (B/r)
r
−3
−r
−3
0
r
−3
r
−4
r
−4
r
−4
0
.
(6.11)There exists a non-trivial solution to eq. (6.10) if and only if
r
is su h that thedeterminantof
M
an els,that isDet(r, M ) = 0
. Asdetailed inProposition 6.2,therootsofDet
(r, M ) = 0
areexa tlyther
m
= B/ν
m
whereν
m
isdened ineq.(6.16).Inaddition, weprovein Proposition 6.3that thesystem
M (r
m
, B)b = 0
admits theunique solution
b
m
. Reading o eq. (6.9), we obtain that the eigenve tor ofγ
asso iatedtoeigenvalue
r
4
m
writesasα
m
= η
m,1
+ η
m
2
wherebothη
m,1
andη
m,2
aredened in eq. (6.15). Now, it is enoughto noti e that, given the properties of the
sequen e
(ν
m
)
detailedin Proposition6.5,r
4
2k+1
= r
4
2k
andr
4
2k+2
< r
4
2k+1
,k
∈ N
. Inaddition,weknowfromLemma6.4that
α
2k+1
= α
2k
. Thisallowsusto on ludethatthe eigenvaluesof
γ
∗
γ
are, withoutredundan y, the
λ
2
k
,k
∈ N
, dened in eq. (6.5)andtheasso iatedeigenspa esareunit-dimensionalandrespe tivelyspannedbythe
eigenve tors
ϕ
k
,k
∈ N
,dened ineq.(6.3).Computing
ψ
k
= λ
−1
k
γϕ
k
leads, after tedious but straightforward omputations toψ
k
= h
k,1
− h
k,2
and on ludes theproof.6.2. Additionalresults. Thisse tion ontainsaseriesofresultsthat areused
throughouttheproofof Theorem6.1above. Inthisse tionwemakeuseofthemap
E : N
7→ N
su hthatE(2k + 1) = E(2k) = k
forallk
∈ N
.Proposition 6.2. Let
M (r, B)
be the4
× 4
matrix dened in eq. (6.11). The setof solutions
r
to the problem DetM (r, B) = 0
is ountable. Let us denote them byr
m
, m
∈ N
. Foranym
∈ N
,the solutionr
m
anbe writtenasr
m
=
B
ν
m
,
where
ν
m
isdenedineq. (6.16). Weobtainin fa tthat,Det
M (r
m
, B) = 0
⇔
e
ν
m
=
−
1 + (
−1)
E(m)
sin(ν
m
)
cos(ν
m
)
.
Besides, the following relationships hold true
cos ν
m
:=
−
2
e
ν
m
+ e
−ν
m
=
−
1
cosh ν
m
,
(6.12)sin ν
m
:=
−(−1)
E(m)
+ (
−1)
E(m)
2
1 + e
−2ν
m
.
Proof. Itfollowsfromstraightforward omputationsthat,
Det
M (r, B) = 2e
−B/r
cos (B/r)
e
B/r
2
+ 2e
B/r
+ cos (B/r)
.
(6.14)
Let us write
ν := B/r
and noti e that ifcos(ν) = 0
, then DetM (r, B) = 2
6= 0
sothatwemusthave
cos ν
6= 0
foreq.(6.10)toadmitanon-trivialsolution. Tobemorespe i Det
M (r, B) = 0
redu estoP (e
ν
) = 0
where
P (x) := cos (ν) x
2
+ 2x + cos (ν)
.
Howevertherootsof
P
aregivenbyδ
±
(ν) :=
−1 ± sin(ν)
cos(ν)
.
Hen eforth,
r = B/ν
an elsDetM (r, B)
ifandonlyifν
issolutionofanyoneofthetwofollowingxedpointequations,
e
ν
=
−1 + sin(ν)
cos(ν)
,
e
ν
=
−1 − sin(ν)
cos(ν)
.
Theprooffollowsnowdire tlyfrom Proposition6.5.
Proposition6.3. Forany
r
m
solutionoftheequationDetM (r
m
, B) = 0
(seePropo-sition6.2above),the nullspa eof
M (r
m
, B)
isofdimension1
andisspannedbytheve tor
b
T
m
=
b
m,1
b
m,2
b
m,3
b
m
4
,
wherewehave written,
b
m,1
=
1
√
B
(
−1)
E(m)
e
ν
m
+ (
−1)
E(m)
,
b
m,2
= (
−1)
E(m)
e
ν
m
a
m,1
=
√
1
B
1
1 + (
−1)
E(m)
e
−ν
m
,
b
m,3
=
−
√
1
B
,
b
m,4
=
1
√
B
1
− (−1)
E(m)
e
−ν
m
1 + (
−1)
E(m)
e
−ν
m
,
and
ν
m
isdenedineq. (6.16).Proof. It is a matter of straightforward linear algebra and thus left to the reader.
Noti ehowever,that itreliesontheuseofbotheq.(6.12)andeq.(6.13).
Lemma 6.4. Letuswrite
ζ
m,1
(ξ) = e
ν
m
ξ/B
,
ζ
m,2
(ξ) = e
−ν
m
ξ/B
,
ζ
m,3
(ξ) = cos(ν
m
ξ/B),
ζ
m,4
(ξ) = sin(ν
m
ξ/B),
where
ν
m
isdenedineq. (6.16). In addition, wewrite,η
m,1
= b
m,1
ζ
m,1
+ b
m,2
ζ
m,2
,
η
m,2
= b
m,3
ζ
m,3
+ b
m,4
ζ
m,4
,
(6.15)wherethe oe ients
b
m,i
, i = 1, . . . , 4
are denedin Proposition6.3. Forallk
∈ N
,wehave thefollowing relationships
η
2k+1,1
= η
2k,1
,
η
2k+1,2
= η
2k,2
Proof. It follows from straightforward omputations using the fa t that
ν
2m+1
=
−ν
2m
.Proposition6.5. Letusdenethemap
E : N
7→ N
su hthatE(2k) = E(2k +1) = k
for
k
∈ N
. Letus writeg(ν) =
−1 + sin ν
cos ν
,
h(ν) =
−1 − sin ν
cos ν
,
and onsider the xed point equations
e
ν
= g(ν)
and
e
ν
= h(ν)
. The set of
orre-sponding solutionsis exhaustedbythe sequen e
ν
m
= (
−1)
m
π
2
+ E(m)π + (
−1)
E(m)
β
E(m)
,
m
∈ N.
(6.16)where
(β
m
)
is dened in Lemma 6.8. In parti ular, noti e thatν
2k+1
=
−ν
2k
and|ν
m
1
| < |ν
m
2
|
for allm
1
, m
2
∈ N
su hthatE(m
1
) < E(m
2
)
. Noti einaddition that,by onstru tion,
ν
m
is solutionofe
ν
m
=
−
1 + (
−1)
E(m)
sin ν
m
cos ν
m
.
This latter result, together with the fa t that Det
M (B/ν
m
, B) = 0
(see eq. (6.14)),leads straightforwardlytothe following relationships,
cos ν
m
:=
−
2
e
ν
m
+ e
−ν
m
=
−
1
cosh ν
m
,
sin ν
m
:=
−(−1)
E(m)
+ (
−1)
E(m)
2
1 + e
−2ν
m
.
Proof. Considerthexedpointequation
g(ν) = e
ν
. Giventhepropertiesof
g
detailedin Proposition 6.6, two ases arise depending whether
ν
is positiveor negative. Inthe ase where
ν
is positive, the exponential map meetsg
at points of the formp
m
=
3π
2
+ 2mπ
− u
m
form
∈ N = {0, 1, 2, . . .}
and somesmall but positiveu
m
s.A dire tappli ation ofLemma 6.7showsthat thenegativesolutionsareexa tlythe
−p
m
, m
∈ N
.The se ond xed point equation
h(ν) = e
ν
an be rewritten as
g(
−ν) = e
ν
. The
positivesolutionsareoftheform
q
m
=
π
2
+ 2mπ + v
m
, m
∈ N
. And,fromLemma6.7again,the orrespondingnegativesolutionsarethe
−q
m
, m
∈ N
.Letuswrite
t
m
=
π
2
+ mπ + (
−1)
m
β
m
, m
∈ N
. Itis learthatt
2k
= q
k
andt
2k+1
= p
k
for
k
∈ N
. Inparti ular,t
m
issolutionofe
t
m
=
−
1 + (
−1)
m
sin t
m
cos t
m
(6.17)Let us denethe map
E : N
7→ N
su h thatE(2k + 1) = E(2k) = k
for allk
∈ N
.Wedene
ν
m
, m
∈ N
su h thatν
m
= (
−1)
m
t
E(m)
,thatisν
2k
= t
k
andν
2k+1
=
−t
k
,e
ν
= g(ν)
ande
ν
= h(ν)
. Infa t,ν
m
issolutionofe
ν
m
=
−
1 + (
−1)
E(m)
sin ν
m
cos ν
m
Proposition6.6. Noti ereadilythat
h(ν) = g(
−ν)
,sothatitisenoughtostudythepropertiesof
g
alone. Wehave thefollowing results,1.
g
isdenedon the domainD
g
= R
\{
3π
2
+ 2mπ, m
∈ Z}
;2.
g
is2π
periodi andsu hthat,forallν
∈ S
g
= (
−
π
2
,
3π
2
)
,g(ν + 2mπ) = g(ν)
;3. Finally,
g
isstri tlyin reasing onS
g
andsu hthat,lim
ν→
⊕
−
π
2
g(ν) =
−∞,
g(
π
2
) = 0,
ν→
lim
⊖
3π
2
g(ν) = +
∞.
where we write
→
⊕
(resp.→
⊖
) to mean the limit from the above (resp.below).
4. Noti ethat
R
\D
g
(resp.R
\D
h
) orrespondsexa tlytothe setofallthezerosof
h
(resp.g
). ThusD
g
∩ D
h
is the subset ofR
ontaining all the pointswhereboth
g
andh
arewelldenedanddierent fromzero.Proof. Letus rst fo uson thedomain of
g
. Itis dened onR
\{
π
2
+ mπ, m
∈ Z}
.However,
g
anbeextendedby ontinuitytobeworthzeroatpointsπ
2
+ 2mπ, m
∈ Z
.Noti eindeedthat foranysmallpositive
u
andℓ
∈ N
,onehasgotg(
π
2
+ (
−1)
ℓ
u) =
−1 + cos u
−(−1)
ℓ
sin u
=
−
u
2
2
+ O(u
4
)
−(−1)
ℓ
u + O(u
3
)
= (
−1)
ℓ
u
2
+ O(u
3
).
With a slight abuseof notations, wedenote the latterextension by
g
. So thatg
isa tuallydenedon
R
\{
3π
2
+ 2mπ, m
∈ Z}
. Theotherpropertiesarestraightforward.Lemma 6.7. Re allthat
D
g
andD
h
aredened inProposition 6.6. Noti e rstthatν
∈ D
g
∩ D
h
,wehavethe following results,1. If
ν
is solution of the xed point equatione
ν
= g(ν)
, then
−ν
is also asolution.
2. If
ν
is solution of the xed point equatione
ν
= h(ν)
, then
−ν
is also asolution.
Proof. Noti e rstthat wehavetheidentity
h(ν)g(ν) = 1
foranyν
∈ D
g
∩ D
h
. Itsproof is immediate. And therefore, for any
ν
∈ D
g
∩ D
h
solution ofe
ν
= g(ν)
, we
obtain
g(
−ν) = h(ν) = g(ν)
−1
= e
−ν
. Andidemforthesolutionsof
e
ν
= h(ν)
.
Lemma6.8. Thesequen e
(β
k
)
issu hthat,forallk
∈ N
,β
k
isthe smallestpositivesolution ofthe following xedpointequationin
u
,exp(π/2 + kπ + (
−1)
k
u) =
1 + cos(u)
sin(u)
.
In addition, the approximation
β
k
≈ 2e
−
π
2
−kπ
holdstruewith alargedegree ofa u-ra yfrom
k = 1
onward.Proof. Letuswrite
t
k
=
π
2
+ kπ + (
−1)
k
u
,forsomesmallbut positive
u
su hthatt
k
issolutionof eq.(6.17). Noti ethat
cos
π
2
+ kπ + (
−1)
k
u
=
− sin(u) = −u + O(u
3
),
sin
π
2
+ kπ + (
−1)
k
u
= (
−1)
k
cos(u) = (
−1)
k
+ O(u
2
),
exp
π
2
+ kπ + (
−1)
k
u
= e
π
2
+kπ
(1 + (
−1)
k
u + O(u
2
)).
Sothateq.(6.17)redu esto
exp(π/2 + kπ + (
−1)
k
u) =
1 + cos(u)
sin(u)
.
Plugging-intheTaylorexpansionsabove,weobtain
e
π
2
+kπ
(1 + (
−1)
k
u + O(u
2
)) =
2 + O(u
2
)
u + O(u
3
)
=
1
u
(2 + O(u
2
)),
whi h anberewrittenas
u = e
−
π
2
−kπ
(2 + O(u)).
(6.18)
It an be veriednumeri ally that
2e
−
π
2
−kπ
is averygood approximationof
β
k
assoon as
k
≥ 1
in the sense that eq. (6.17) holds true with a very large degree ofa ura y.
7. The spe tral re overymethod(SRM). InthisSe tion,werstdes ribe
how
γ
andγ
∗
relate to the bid-ask quotes. We then show that the SVD of the
restri tedpri ingoperatorsdes ribedabove anbeusedtodesignasimplequadrati
programthatre oversthesmoothestRND ompatiblewithmarketquotes.
7.1. From
γ
andγ
∗
to alland putpri es. Letusdenoteby
P (ξ)
andC(ξ)
the put and all pri es at strike
ξ
and byq
the orresponding riskneutral density.Letusfurthermorewrite
I = R
¯
+
\I = (B, ∞)
. Weassumethat therestri tionq
|I
totheinterval
I
ofq
isinL
2
I
. Forallξ
∈ I
,thefollowingrelationshipsareimmediate.e
rτ
P (ξ) = γ
∗
q(ξ),
(7.1)e
rτ
C(ξ) = γq(ξ) +
Z
∞
B
(x
− ξ)q(x)dx
= γq(ξ) + m
1
(q)
− ξm
0
(q),
(7.2)wherewehavedened,
m
k
(f ) =
Z
¯
I
x
k
f (x)dx.
Noti einparti ularthat
m
0
(q) = Q(S
τ
≥ B) = 1 − ¯
m
0
(q),
Eq.(7.1)showsthatputpri esdire tlyrelatetotherestri tedputoperator.Froman
estimationperspe tive,thisisa ru ialfeature thatwillallowustore overtheRND
dire tlyfrommarket putquotes. Unfortunately,thesituationisslightlydierentfor
allpri es. As shown fromeq. (7.2), all pri esrelatetotherestri ted alloperator
via
m
1
(q)
andm
0
(q)
, whi h arebothunknown. Although, they ouldbeestimatedandgiverisetoanestimatoroftheRNDbasedonquoted allpri es,wewontpursue
thisroutehere,butratherfo usonthesimplerrelationgivenbyeq.(7.1).
7.2. Arefresheronno-arbitrage onstraints. Foradetailedreviewof
model-freeno-arbitrage onstraints,thereaderisreferredto[21,p.32,1.8℄and[11℄. Letus
denoteby
S
0
thepri etodayoftheunderlyingsto k. Letusmoreoverassumethatitpaysa ontinuousdividendyield
δ
. Letusdenotebyr
the ontinuously ompoundedshortrateandby
τ
thetimetomaturity. Letusre allrstthat,byno-arbitrage,putand allpri esarerelatedbytheput- allparity.
C(ξ)
− P (ξ) = S
0
e
−δτ
− ξe
−rτ
.
(7.3)Besides
C(0) = S
0
andP (0) = 0
. Letus nowfo usonputpri es. Wehave,max(0, ξe
−rτ
− S
0
e
−δτ
)
≤ P (ξ) ≤ ξe
−rτ
,
(7.4)0
≤ ∂
ξ
P (ξ)
≤ e
−rτ
,
(7.5)0
≤ ∂
2
ξ
P (ξ).
(7.6)Assumewearegivenanin reasingsequen eof
n
strikesξ
1
< ξ
2
< ... < ξ
n
and asetof orrespondingput pri es
m
1
, . . . , m
n
. Asdes ribedin [2℄, theaboveno-arbitragerelationshipstranslateinto a nite set ofane onstraintson thelatter put pri es.
These onstraints aninfa tbewrittenin matrixform as
Am
≤ b
p
, whereA
standsfora
2n
× n
matrix,m
isthen
× 1
ve torsu hthatm
T
=
m
1
. . . m
n
and
b
p
isa
2n
× 1
ve tor. Morepre isely,eq.(7.6)translatesinton
− 2
onstraintsas,[Am]
i
:=
m
i+1
− m
i
ξ
i+1
− ξ
i
−
m
i+2
− m
i+1
Moreover, the left-hand-side of eq. (7.4) is fully aptured in-sample by adding the
followingadditional
n
onstraints,[Am]
i+n−2
:=
−m
i
≤ − max(0, ξ
i
e
−rτ
− S
0
e
−δτ
) := [b
p
]
i+n−2
,
i = 1, . . . , n
(7.7)The right-hand-side of eq. (7.4) neednot betaken into a ount at this stage. It is
indeed less stringent than the upper-bound onstraints we will impose in the next
se tion. Finally, giventherst
n
− 2
onstraints,eq.(7.5)redu esto twoadditionalonstraints,
[Am]
2n−1
:=
m
n
− m
n−1
ξ
n
− ξ
n−1
≤ e
−rT
:= [b
p
]
2n−1
,
[Am]
2n
:= m
1
− m
2
≤ 0 := [b
p
]
2n
.
Finally,letusre allthatiftheforwardpri e
F
0
oftheunderlyingsto kisobservabletoday,then,byno-arbitrage,itmustbeequalto
S
0
e
(r−δ)τ
.
7.3. Bid-ask spread onstraints. Letus assumethat themarketprovidesus
with an in reasing sequen e of strike pri es
ξ
1
< ξ
2
< . . . < ξ
s
, wheres
is small.Typi ally
s
rangesfrom5
to50
dependingontheunderlying. Inaddition,themarketprovidesus witha orrespondingsequen e ofbidask quotesforput options. Letus
denotethemby
y
Ask
1
, . . . , y
s
Ask
andy
Bid
1
, . . . , y
Bid
s
. Wewantthe orrespondingttedputpri es
(m
i
)
tolieinsidethebidaskquotes. This orrespondstothefollowing2s
ane onstraints,
m
i
≤ y
Ask
i
,
−m
i
≤ −y
i
Bid
,
i = 1, . . . s.
(7.8)The quoted strikesmighteventuallyspan averysmall portion of thesegment
I
onwhi hwewanttore overtheRND.Inordertoimprovethequalityofourestimator,
we an onstrain it to verify the above no-arbitrage onstraints on a denser set of
strikes than thequoted ones. Letus denote by
ξ
1
< ξ
2
< . . . < ξ
n
this new set ofξ
P (ξ)
S
0
e
−δτ
y
Ask
i
y
Bid
i
ξ
n
= B
(ξ
i
e
−
rτ
−
S
0
e
−
δτ
)
+
y
Ask
1
ξ
0
= 0
y
Ask
n
Figure7.1. Thisgraphsumsupthesetof onstraintsveried byestimated putpri es,whi h
are solutions of the quadrati optimization problem des ribed in eq. (P1). Estimated put pri es
m
1
, . . . , m
n
on thedense gridξ
1
, . . . , ξ
n
are displayed asbla k dots. Theymust lie in-betweenthebid-askquotes,whi harerepresented bythi kred dotsrangingoverquotedstrikes
ξ
i
1
, . . . , ξ
i
s
,whi h orrespond toasparse subset of theunderlyingdense grid
ξ
1
, . . . , ξ
n
. Inaddition, extremeput pri es
m
1
andm
n
are bounded above byy
Ask
1
= 0
andy
Ask
n
, respe tively, where the valueof
y
Ask
n
is givenin Se tion 7.3. Bothy
Ask
1
andy
Ask
n
appearasthi kblue dotsatstrikesξ
1
= 0
and
ξ
n
= B
, respe tively.m
1
, . . . , m
n
mustalso verifythein-sample onstraints des ribedby thelhs ofeq.(7.4). Inparti ular, thelhs of eq.(7.4) ensures thatthe
m
i
s arelower-bounded by the(ξ
i
e
−rτ
− S
0
e
−δτ
)
+
s,whi happearasthi kbluedots. Sin ethislower-boundisworth0
fori = 1
,this,togetherwith theupper-bound
y
Ask
1
= 0
a tuallyimposem
1
= 0
. Finally,m
1
, . . . , m
n
verifybotheq.(7.5)andeq.(7.6)above. Thelatter onstraintimposesin-sample onvexity.
laterreferen e, we denoteby
I =
{i
1
, . . . , i
s
}
thesubset of{1, . . . , n}
orrespondingto the indexes of the initial quoted strikes. We know that, in any ase, we must
have
0 = P (0) = m
1
, so that we andeney
Ask
1
= 0
. Furthermore, weknowfromeq.(7.5)that
P (ξ)
annotgrowataratefasterthane
−rτ
,sothatwe andene
y
Ask
n
to be the orresponding linear extrapolation of the right-most market quote
y
Ask
i
s
, meaningy
Ask
n
= y
i
Ask
s
+ e
−rτ
(ξ
n
− ξ
i
s
)
. Insummary,therequirementthatthem
i
sfallin-betweenthebid-askquotestranslatesinto
2s + 2
additional onstraints,whi hweanwrite asfollows