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Epidemics emergency: what role for research?
Pr Jean François Delfraissy Dr Bernadette Murgue
Institut of Microbiology & Infectious Diseases
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% of deaths 18%
15%
31%
36%
Pneumonia Diarrhoea
Other infections Non infectious
Infectious diseases account for 26% of all deaths worldwide
Leading cause of mortality in ressources limited countries
Two-thirds of worldwide deaths in children <5 years old
The Heavy Burden of Infectious Diseases
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Medical and Scientific challenges
• Emerging diseases; zoonosis, human ecology, biodiversity
•
Transmission of infection (mechanisms, nosocomial…)
•
Resistance : Tuberculosis, Bacteria, MDR…
•
Infectious agents and non infectious diseases: cancer, cardiovascular, obesity, allergy, inflammation,…
•
Vaccination: new vaccines, immunity, SHS…
•
The big 3 : HIV, Tuberculosis, Malaria
Emergence: a global threat
– Newly apparent in the human population e.g. AIDS, Ebola, SRAS, H5N1, H1N1
– Rapidly increasing in incidence or geographic range e.g.
dengue, chikungunya, West Nile
– Multiresistant pathogens e.g Tuberculosis NDM-1, E. Coli (O 104)
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Emergence: importance of zoonosis
Vectors
Hosts
Humans
Multidisciplinary approach
New pathogens and diseases: 1983-2010
Year Agent Disease
1983 HIV AIDS
1983 Helicobacter pylori Peptic ulcer disease 1985 Enterocytozoon bieneusi Microsporidiosis 1986 Cyclospora cayatenensis Cyclosporidiosis
1988 Human Herpes 6 Roseola infantum
1988 Hepatitis E virus Hepatitis E
1989 Ehrlichia chaffeensis Ehrlichiosis 1989 Hepatitis C virus Hepatitis C
1989 Guanarito virus Venezuelan hemorrhagic fever
1992 Bartonella henselae Cat scratch disease
1993 Sin nombre virus Hantavirus pulmonary syndrome
1 994 Sabia virus Brazilian hemorrhagic fever
1995 Human herpesvirus 8 Kaposi sarcoma
1997 H5N1
1999 Nipah virus Nipah virus disease
2003 SARS Coronavirus SARS
2009
A/H1N1v
Influenza pandemic Avian influenza
2010… NDM-1 Multiresistant bacteria
2…. ??? ???
Relative risk
of an emerging disease event
A: Pathogens from wild life B: Pathogens from non-wild life
C: Drug resistant pathogens D: Vector-borne pathogens
Jones et al, Nature, 451, p990, 2008
A B
C D
Epidemics/Pandemics: the main drivers
• Human ecology
–
deforestation
–urbanization…
• Human activities
–
mobility, transportation
–technology, economic
changes…
• Pathogen changes
–
mutation and adaptation
–inter-species transfer
Air Passengers, US carriers 1968 - 2007
0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 600000 700000 800000 900000
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Year
Passengers (thousands)
5-fold increase in passenger numbers in 40 years
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Microbiology and Infectious Diseases Key points: France 2011
•
Major Institutions : Institut Pasteur, Inserm, CNRS, IRD
•
Others : ANRS, CEA, CIRAD, INRA, INVS, Universities
•
12% of French research forces: 300 teams, 2000 Scientists &
Technical staff
•
18% of French biomedical publications: 5000 publications per year
•
Translationnal and clinical research: 35 clinical units involved, including HIV and hepatits
•
Network of vaccine research centers
•
Large research network in ressources limited countries
French International Research Network
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IMMI: main objectives
•
Improve organization and coordination
•
Implement research orientations
•
Strengthen specific fields, e.g. parasitology, mycology…
•
Develop and improve research with low and middle income countries
• Improve responsiveness to epidemic crises: e.g H1N1
Responsiveness to H1N1 pandemic in France
- Cohorts: households, infected - Case-control studies
- Serosurveys
- Vaccine trials and observational studies
- Severe disease: ARDS
- Social and Human Sciences - Diagnostics
- Basic research
Main funders:
Public: Inserm, Ministries Research and Health, ANRS Private: Roche, GSK, Fondation Mérieux
30 research projects
€13m Total funding
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Assessment: The strong points
– IMMI/AVIESAN, reactive, flexible and well recognized as chair and coordinator of scientific acitivities
– Interactions with Ministries (Research & Health) and Public Health Surveillance bodies
– Rapid implementation of multidisciplinary projects, including with ressources limited countries teams
– Effective and quick responses of the regulatory agencies – Data quickly reported to the French health authorities – More than forty international scientific publications
Assessment: The weak points
– Difficulties to implement and maintain the projects in the absence of proper funding
– Complexity of the financial process: several funders – Few social and human scientific teams involved
– No access to biological collections, nor to dedicated paltforms
– Few European and International collaboration
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Research: a key factor to be prepared
to respond to an epidemic threat
How to implement research to respond to an epidemic threat?
• Set up an Organisation
:– Decision-making body: rapid mobilisation and effective response – Linked to public health surveillance
– Dedicated and long-term funding
• Define a Strategy:
– Mock-up cohorts
– « Academic » Contract Research Organization
– Tools for detection and identification of new infectious agents
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How to implement research to respond to an epidemic threat?
• Implement Research Programme:
– Transdisciplinary and International research programmes based on platforms and networks
– Partnership with southern countries – Partnership with the private sector
• Improve Communication:
– Decision-making process: expertise and KABP studies
• In a European and International perspective
Discussion
• New emerging diseases to come
• Scientific approaches are essential to control them
• Challenges: integrating science and practice
• Dealing with the diseases we have…the best preparation for diseases we await
• What next ?
– New reassorted influenza viruses
– Further antibiotic resistant pathogens – New hospital-acquired infections
– Something entirely new!