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The relationship between glycaemic variability and cardiovascular autonomic dysfunction in patients with type 1 diabetes : a systematic review

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The relationship between glycaemic variability and cardiovascular autonomic dysfunction in patients with type 1 diabetes: a systematic review

S. Helleputte1 ∙ T. De Backer2 ∙ B. Lapauw3 ∙ S. Shadid3 ∙ B. Celie1 ∙ B. Van Eetvelde1 ∙ K. Vanden Wyngaert1 ∙ P. Calders1

1 Department of Rehabilitation Sciences, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Ghent University, Belgium.

2 Department of Cardiology, Ghent University Hospital, Belgium.

3 Department of Endocrinology, Ghent University Hospital, Belgium.

Corresponding author:

Helleputte Simon Ghent University

Corneel Heymanslaan 10, Ghent 9000, Belgium

Telephone: +32 (0) 9 332 36 27 E-mail: [email protected]

ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3281-1679

Word count: 4174 (Introduction + Methods + Results + Discussion – excluding Tables and References)

Systematic review registration number – PROSPERO: CRD42019117863.

Protocol accessible via the following URL:

http://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/display_record.php?ID=CRD42019117863

The PROSPERO protocol is also added as supplementary material alongside this submission.

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ABSTRACT

Rigorous glycaemic control – reflected by low HbA1c goals – is of utmost importance in the prevention and management of complications in patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM). However, previous studies suggested that short-term glycaemic variability (GV) is important to consider as well, as excessive glucose fluctuations may have an additional impact on the development of diabetic complications. The potential relationship between GV and the risk for cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy (CAN), a clinical expression of cardiovascular autonomic dysfunction, is of increasing interest. This systematic review aimed to summarize existing evidence concerning the relationship between GV and cardiovascular autonomic dysfunction in T1DM.

Electronic database search of Medline (Pubmed), Web of Science and Embase was performed, up to October 2019. There were no limits concerning year of publication. Methodological quality was evaluated with the Newcastle Ottawa Scale for observational studies. Six studies (four cross-sectional and two prospective cohorts) were included. Methodological quality of the studies varied from level C to A2. Two studies examined the association between GV and heart rate variability (HRV) and both found significant negative correlations.

Regarding cardiovascular autonomic reflex tests (CARTs), two studies did not while two other studies did find significant associations between GV parameters and CART-scores. However, associations were attenuated after adjusting for covariates such as HbA1c, age and disease duration. In conclusion, this systematic review found some preliminary evidence supporting an association between GV and cardiovascular autonomic dysfunction in T1DM. Hence, uncertainty remains whether high GV can independently contribute to the onset or progression of CAN. The heterogeneity in methodological approach made it difficult to compare different studies. Future studies should therefore use uniformly evaluated CGM-derived parameters of GV, while standardised assessment of HRV, CARTs and other potential cardiac autonomic function parameters is needed for an unambiguous definition of CAN.

KEYWORDS Type 1 diabetes ∙ Complications ∙ Glycaemic variability ∙ Cardiovascular autonomic dysfunction ∙ Cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy ∙ Cardiovascular reflex tests ∙ Heart rate variability

ABBREVIATIONS

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BRS Baroreflex sensitivity

CAN Cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy CART Cardiovascular autonomic reflex test CGM Continuous glucose monitoring

CONGA Continuous overlap net glycaemic action COV Coefficient of variation

DAN Diabetic autonomic neuropathy

DCCT Diabetes Control and Complications Trial GV Glycaemic variability

HBGI High blood glucose index HRV Heart rate variability LBGI Low blood glucose index MBG Mean blood glucose

MAG Mean absolute glucose difference MAGE Mean amplitude of glycaemic excursions MODD Mean of daily differences

SDT Total standard deviation of glucose values T1DM Type 1 diabetes mellitus

RESEARCH IN CONTEXT BOX

What is already known?

Short-term glycaemic variability (GV) is an integral component of glucose homeostasis in patients with type 1 diabetes (T1DM), next to HbA1c as a long-term measure of glycaemic control.

• In-depth assessment of these blood glucose fluctuations is of increasing interest in latest years since previous research suggested a role in the development of diabetic complications.

• Cardiac autonomic neuropathy is associated with higher morbidity and increased CVD mortality in type 1 diabetes and assessment of heart rate variability and cardiovascular autonomic reflex function can be used as early screening strategies.

What is the key question?

• Does higher glycaemic variability independently contribute to the development of cardiovascular autonomic dysfunction in type 1 diabetes?

What are the new findings?

• High short-term GV might negatively affect heart rate variability (HRV).

• The impact of GV on cardiovascular autonomic reflex function is less certain.

Possible impact on clinical practice in the future?

• Increasing attention should be pointed towards a glycaemic management that goes beyond HbA1c, aiming at a stable glucose homeostasis with less glycaemic fluctuations as it could be crucial in avoiding the vicious circle of deteriorating autonomic function, recurrent hypoglycaemia and its consequences.

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However, there is an urgent need of more research concerning this matter, preferably long-term prospective studies.

INTRODUCTION

Strict glycaemic follow-up is of utmost importance in type 1 diabetes (T1DM) management to prevent or delay the onset of diabetic complications. Since chronic hyperglycaemia remains the main determinant of these complications, as proven by the Diabetes Control and Complications Trial (DCCT)1, HbA1c is still considered as the gold-standard measure of glycaemic control with a primary target to lower HbA1c as much as safely possible2. However, even if patients display similar HbA1c values and mean blood glucose, their glucose profiles may greatly differ3. The importance of these short-term fluctuations is of increasing interest in the past decade, which has led to a new concept: glycaemic variability (GV), a term referring to intra- and inter-day glycaemic fluctuations3-6.

Concerning the methods to assess GV, older studies used 7-point capillary blood glucose profiles.

Nowadays, continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) is considered as the number one method for the determination of short-term GV, with numerous metrics that have been established yet3,7. GV is generally subdivided in within- day and inter-day variability3,7,8. To reflect within-day GV, total standard deviation (SDT), coefficient of variation (COV%) and mean amplitude of glucose excursions (MAGE) are recommended and most widely used, while the mean of daily differences (MODD) has been suggested to reflect between-day variability7,8. Besides, these measures can be complemented with the high and low blood glucose index (HBGI, LBGI), taking separately into

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account the risk for hypo- and hyperglycaemic events9. Other metrics have also been proposed but are rarely used7,10-14.

The role of GV in the development of diabetic complications is of increasing interest and should not be underestimated15-18, as some studies indicated that GV could independently contribute to microvascular complications19-21. A well-known complication is diabetic autonomic neuropathy (DAN), which affects the autonomic nervous system. Regarding the latter, damage to autonomic nerve fibres innervating heart and blood vessels can result in cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy (CAN), an important yet still underestimated problem22,23. Pathogenesis of CAN is complex, multifactorial and still under debate. Prevalence was reported to be between 15-35%23,24 and the most important risk factors include diabetes duration, high HbA1c and the conventional CV risk factors (hypertension, hyperlipidaemia and smoking)23-25. Clinical manifestations of CAN may range from latent signs such as nocturnal hypertension with non-dipping 26 to signs of resting tachycardia, exercise intolerance and more severe signs such as orthostatic hypotension, ECG abnormalities or even silent myocardial infarction 22,24,27. Detection of CAN is crucial as it is associated with high morbidity and mortality27-29, and can be evaluated by simple non-invasive methods: analysis of heart rate variability (HRV), cardiovascular reflex tests (CARTs) or baroreflex sensitivity (BRS)22,23,27,30.

Some researchers suggested that GV may independently contribute to neuronal damage leading to the development of CAN. While studies in T2DM have already indicated that GV might influence cardiovascular autonomic function31-34, the evidence in T1DM is scarce. Given the previous research and gaps in existing literature, the purpose of this systematic review was to review the current evidence on the relationship between existing parameters of GV and cardiovascular autonomic dysfunction in patients with T1DM.

METHODS

This review was written according to the international PRISMA guidelines for reporting systematic reviews35. Eligibility criteria

All studies that examined the association between parameters of GV and cardiovascular autonomic function in patients with T1DM were included (PICOS format). No restrictions were applied for age or disease duration of the patient population. All parameters used in current literature to express a degree of GV were accepted3,6. Considering cardiovascular autonomic function, several outcomes could be reported (HRV, CARTs,…). Articles could be written in English, French or Dutch and no limits were used concerning publication year of eligible studies.

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Information sources and search strategy

Studies were identified by electronic database search of Medline (PubMed), Web of Science and Embase. No filters were applied to these initial search strategies. Final searches on these databases were carried out on November 6th, 2018. The three searches were combined and duplicates removed. Additionally, a hand-searching was performed by checking the reference lists of obtained articles and an automatic search alert feed on PubMed and WoS notified whether new articles were published based on our search strategy, up to October 21, 2019. An overview of MeSH terms, keywords and final search strategies can be found in Appendix 1 (Table S1.)

Study selection

The screening team consisted out of four researchers and was divided into two groups of two people, with two researchers that screened first half of the articles and the second group evaluating the other part. A first screening was executed on title and abstract and a second screening on full-text. When screening was finished, a meeting was organized to discuss the results whereat any disagreements were resolved by oral discussion and consensus.

Methodological quality assessment of individual studies

To evaluate the risk of bias in selected studies, the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale for observational studies was used (Table 1) 36. All articles – both cohort and cross-sectional studies – were scored with the subscale for cohorts. This 8-item checklistis subdivided into three domains: selection, comparability and outcome. Two researchers (S.H., K.V.W.) independently completed the checklist and subsequently discussed their results. Next, a level of evidence was assigned to each study following the EBRO (Evidence-Based Guideline Development) method 37. Each study was graded a level of evidence ranging from D up to A1, depending on EBM domain, study design and individual methodological quality. Consequently, the strength of conclusion (level 1-4) was assigned to the different outcome levels, taking into account the composition of the respective levels of evidence and consistency of their results 37.

Data items and extraction

Two researchers (S.H., K.V.W.) individually read the included articles and extracted data using a pre-determined data extraction form. Differences in data forms were resolved by consensus and all relevant information from the included studies was gathered and consistently summarized in the evidence table. The following data were extracted: (1) year of publication, (2) study design and - if present - follow-up period, (3) population characteristics, (4) parameters of GV, (5) outcome measures of cardiovascular autonomic function and (6) results for each outcome.

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RESULTS

Study selection

The overview with the number of hits for each database search is shown in Supplementary Table S2. The combination of the three search strategies yielded 2574 hits and the hand-searching resulted in 2 additional studies. This was reduced to 2054 articles after removing duplicates. After the first screening, only 27 articles remained. The second screening resulted in a final number of 6 articles to be included. (Figure 1. Flowchart study selection)

Study characteristics

This review contains six eligible studies, of which four cross-sectional38-41 and two prospective cohort studies with a follow-up of 3 and 10 years42,43. The sample size of the cross-sectional studies varied between 20-80 patients and the cohort studies included respectively 41 and 1375 patients 42,43. All six studies included adults, with a mean age range between 27-47 years. Mean HbA1c values were similar between different study populations, within a range of 64-75 mmol/mol (8-9%) and mean time since diagnosis varied from 2.6 to 17.5 years. Considering the methods for determination of GV, five studies used CGM 38-42 for a duration between 1-6 days, while one study used 7-point capillary blood glucose profiles at 3 months intervals 43. SD and MAGE of glucose values were the most studied parameters of GV, determined in five studies 38,40-43. Hypoglycaemic indices (LBGI, AUC hypo and %- time in hypo) were reported in three studies 39,40,42. COV glucose and M-value (two studies); CONGA, MODD and MAG (one study) were used less frequently. All studies used CARTS or HRV to assess cardiac autonomic function, except one that examined blood pressure dipping 42. Three studies also determined whether or not CAN was present, all of them basing CAN diagnosis on the results of CARTs 40,41,43.

Risk of bias within studies

Since it is impossible for T1DM patients not to demonstrate GV as it is omnipresent in this population, the ‘non- exposed cohort’-criteria were not assessed, i.e. it was not applicable to score questions 2 and 5 of the NOS scale (‘Selection of non-exposed cohort’ and ‘Comparability of cohorts’, respectively). Question 3 (Ascertainment of exposure) was scored positive for all studies that used CGM since a complete glucose data profile is obtained which objectively reflects GV. The most common positive scored question was ‘Ascertainment of exposure’ (five studies) and ‘Assessment of outcome’ (all studies). One included publication obtained level of evidence A2 43, one study level B 42 because of lacking the required A2 criteria 37 and a level C was granted to all four cross-sectional studies since these were non-comparative 38-41. Results of risk of bias assessment are shown in Table 1.

Consequently, a level of conclusion 3 was assigned to the two outcomes, HRV and CARTs (Synthesis of results).

Summary of individual study results

An overview of all individual studies is shown in Table 2 and their key findings are presented in Table 3.

Synthesis of results: Relationship between GV and cardiovascular autonomic function in T1DM

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Association between GV and HRV parameters. Two studies examined the relationship between short-term GV (both based on CGM) and HRV and both found significant negative associations38,39. Significant negative associations between higher hypoglycaemic indices and LF power as a frequency-domain measure of HRV (LBGI- LF power: R2= 0.351; AUC hypo-LF power: R2= 0.316), were reported in a population without evidence of diabetic complications39. Other research found significant negative correlations between COV-RR (time-domain HRV) and intraday GV parameters (r= from -0.38 to -0.65), which was especially pronounced during night-time 38. Thus, high short-term GV might negatively affect HRV (level of conclusion 3).

Association between GV and CART parameters. Four studies evaluated CART parameters, as determinants of cardiovascular autonomic function or to assess whether or not CAN was present39-41,43, but showed ambiguous results (level of conclusion 3). One study did not find significant associations between hypoglycaemic indices and CART-ratios39, and the prospective cohort study based on data from the DCCT found no significant association between within-day GV (from 7-point capillary blood glucose) and the risk for CAN after adjusting for MBG43. Two more recently published studies (2018) both reported significant associations between GV and CAN, however, they did not completely confirm each other as they used different covariates in statistical analysis. The study of Njiraty et al. found a tendency of higher GV in the CAN group (n=10/20), as well as significant positive correlations between two GV parameters (SD, MAG) and CAN-scores (based on CARTs; r= from 0.47 to 0.62), but only one remained significant (SD glucose – SBP fall; r= 0.49) after adjusting for HbA1c, age and disease duration41. On the other hand, the study of Jun et al. in 80 patients found that several parameters of GV (SD, COV, MAGE, LBGI, HBGI, %-time in hypoglycaemia and AUC hypo) were independently associated with CAN, all of this after adjusting for MBG and clinical risk factors. Level 2 hypoglycaemia (<54 mg/dl) showed the highest relative contribution to this association in this study (standardized weight= 0.4135; p= 0.001)40.

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DISCUSSION

Statement of principal findings: summary of evidence

This systematic review examined the association between GV – a concept increasingly gaining attention – and CAN, a clinical expression of cardiovascular autonomic dysfunction and an underestimated problem in T1DM. The scarcity of data (only 6 studies), together with the null finding from prospective studies, makes it hard to draw solid conclusions and points to an urgent need for more research into this relationship. Concerning the impact of GV on HRV, as a measure of CAN, high short-term GV might negatively affect parameters of HRV as shown by two cross-sectional studies (level of conclusion 3)38,39. Regarding the association between GV and the results of CARTs as determinants of cardiovascular autonomic function, ambiguous results were reported by included studies40-43. While two studies did not find significant associations between GV indices and CART-parameters after adjusting for mean blood glucose (MBG)39,43, two more recent studies however, did found significance40,41. Hence, uncertainty remains about the impact of GV on cardiovascular autonomic reflex function (level of conclusion 3).

Methodological considerations of GV and CAN assessment – Strengths and weaknesses of included studies

Heterogeneity in methodological approach – both for GV and CAN assessment – makes it difficult to fully compare the different study results and therefore hard to draw solid conclusions about their relationship.

Cardiovascular autonomic function. Regarding HRV, assessment should take place under well-standardised conditions as recommended by the Task Force on HRV44. Spectral analysis of RR-intervals (for determination of frequency-domain HRV) is most valid and reliable if monitored under resting conditions (concept of stationarity), preferably after ten minutes of supine rest in a darkened room and abstained from nicotine, caffeine or pharmacologic agents that interfere with HR or blood pressure44. Once again, this is often not reported in studies.

HRV assessment should comprise both time- and frequency-domain measures. This was not the case in two studies, with the evaluation of only time- or frequency-domain HRV, respectively38,39. From the existing multiplicity of time-domain measures, the Task Force recommends four of them (SDNN, SDANN, HRV triangular index and RMSSD) 44. Furthermore, it is not useful to compare time-domain measures obtained from recordings of different durations. Duration should be standardized and a short-term five-minute resting evaluation or an entire 24h-recording are both useful44,45. Also for CARTs, studies should strictly follow recommendations on how to perform and interpret these tests since several confounding factors have been identified46,47.

CAN diagnosis: clear cut case or tricky business? Next to the heterogeneity in HRV analysis and CART evaluation, the diagnosis of CAN is not unambiguous as well47. Moreover, this differed between included studies as other criteria were used for CAN diagnosis. All studies based CAN diagnosis on the results of CARTs, however with different interpretations of these tests40,41,43. Although different criteria for CAN are found in literature, studies should adhere to one clear algorithm47. CARTs, if executed correctly, are considered the gold-standard in CAN diagnosis since they are safe, non-invasive and can be well-standardized23,24. The traditional classification in

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early, confirmed and severe CAN remains useful 47-49 but an ‘autonomic neuropathy score’ – obtained by scoring the results of CARTs – is advised because of its dual advantage of evaluating the progression of CAN and providing an overall quantitative result46. Secondly, HRV monitoring is a valuable tool for assessing cardiovascular autonomic function, with some researchers even claiming that it is the most sensitive and specific method50,51. HRV could detect early changes in myocardial autonomic innervation and thus CAN in sub-clinical stages23,52,53, even in young patients54. In our opinion, both HRV analysis and CARTs should be performed in order to have extensive insight into patients’ cardiovascular autonomic function and potential CAN diagnosis23,24,47. Moreover, by evaluating both HRV and CARTs, the cardiovascular branches of the ANS are examined at rest as well as under stress conditions, as resting HRV reflects the sympathetic and parasympathetic HR modulation while the CARTs mainly evaluate the capacity of the cardiovascular reflexes to react on stimuli. Moreover, assessment of cardiovascular autonomic function can also comprise other aspects, such as evaluation of baroreflex function measured by baroreflex sensitivity (BRS). As BRS was found to be reduced in T1DM55-57 and able to differentiate patients with CAN from those without58, it could be a valuable adjunct in reflecting cardiovascular autonomic function58,59. BRS can be estimated non-invasively through analysis of spontaneous beat-to-beat fluctuations of BP and R-R interval lengths on ECG59.

Non-dipping blood pressure: phenomenon needing attention. The clinical importance of this aberrant BP pattern is well-known since non-dippers showed a higher incidence of cardiovascular events and target organ damage60,61. There is still uncertainty about the exact pathogenesis of this loss of normal nocturnal BP decrease.

Hypertension, renal function impairment and altered nocturnal sympathovagal balance are often linked to the aetiology of non-dipping61,62 and non-dipping is sometimes considered as a surrogate measure of CAN63-66. Concerning the role of GV, higher postprandial BG excursions were found to be related to non-dipping in T2DM, with both endothelial and autonomic nervous dysfunction (sympathetic overdrive) proposed as potential mechanistic linkages64. In this review, only one study examined the association between non-dipping and GV but did not found significance, not at baseline nor after follow-up42. However, this was only for three years, which might have been too short to detect any significant association. Still, the authors stated that GV can act as a potential risk factor driving non-dipping, which may lead to silent CVD42. In the future, mechanisms of non- dipping, as well as the associations between abnormal diurnal variation in BP and blood glucose, need further research.

Assessment of glycaemic variability. Only CGM provides a full picture of short-term glucose fluctuations and consequently captures the full degree of GV, as CGM-outputs comprise 5-min interval glucose values from which all existing parameters can be calculated67,68. The 7-point capillary BG profile on the other hand, used in the study of Lachin et al. with data from the DCCT43, is insufficient to characterize GV correctly, as the validity of this method is strongly dependent on the timing and number of finger prick measurements throughout the day and often many data points are missing69-71. However, multiple imputation methods were used in the study of Lachin

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et al., making their results somewhat more reliable43. Regarding the use of CGM in research, the system should be used for at least seven days68, which conflicts with two studies that only implemented CGM for two and three days, respectively38,40. Besides this, to get a reliable picture of the everyday GV of a patient, standardised instructions are needed. Patients should retain their normal activities of daily living including usual eating habits and physical activity level, which is often not specified in the methodology section of included studies.

The plethora of existing GV parameters: bless or burden? Many different parameters were used in the included studies to reflect GV, but one should be cautious when interpreting or comparing results of studies since not all indices are equivalent as they can represent different concepts72. Some of these parameters are highly correlated and actually comprise the same information, while others do not73. A combination of the most relevant indices is necessary to effectively describe GV. For example, COV is more valid than SD in reflecting overall GV74 and more sensitive in predicting hypoglycaemia9,74, while the MAGE index mainly reflects mealtime-related GV7. The importance of avoiding excessive post-meal glucose excursions is evidently acknowledged since this substantially contributes to hyperglycaemic exposure and thus MBG75. Therefore, the advantage of MAGE is that it only assesses major glucose swings and excludes minor ones, being considered as a measure of unstable diabetes76. Also between-day GV – assessed by the MODD – needs further investigation. In this review, however, only one study reported this parameter38. In conclusion, future studies should focus on standardizing the methods for GV assessment and its two most important components: amplitude and timing68,77. A uniform set of GV parameters is needed and studies should separately report the results per parameter. Fabris et al. showed that more than 25 parameters could be reduced to a set of 10, comprising all necessary information on GV78. More studies are needed to examine which of these GV parameters offer advantage in predicting diabetic complications72. Importantly however, most of aforementioned parameters (SD, MAGE, MODD) are still dependent on mean glycaemia. Simply adjusting for MBG might not be enough to exclude the possibility that the observed association actually comes from the difference in MBG. COV and MAG at the contrary are not dependent on MBG and have been recommended by DeVries et al. to reflect true glucose variability79. Taking this into consideration and looking closer at included studies, we evaluated the impact of excluding the mean- dependent CGM-parameters. Iwasaki et al.38 assessed only mean-dependent parameters (SD, MAGE, M-value, MODD), which makes this small cross-sectional study somewhat less robust. Also for the study of Njiraty et al.41, uncertainty increased if we exclude SD glucose as parameter for GV, as this was the only remaining significant correlation in the multiple regression model. On the other hand, interpretation of the study results of Jun et al.40 (assessing SD, MAGE and COV) did not change, as COV was significantly associated with CAN risk in all regression models.

Hypoglycaemia as underlying disturbing factor. Lowering patient’s MBG is only possible if GV is constrained, otherwise BG fluctuations would inevitably enter the range of hypoglycaemia80. Increased hypoglycaemia due to excess GV has been demonstrated in several studies, showing GV to be a predictor of hypoglycaemic events78,81,82.

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Therefore, it is interesting to explore whether the increased hypoglycaemia is more important than GV itself and whether it is independently associated with the outcomes of interest. Hypoglycaemia was found to be associated with lengthening of the QTc interval on ECG83,84 and reduction of cardiac vagal outflow with diminished HRV85-87. Hence, the impact of hypoglycaemia on cardiac autonomic regulation should not be neglected88. In this review, two studies evaluated parameters describing hypoglycaemia and both found significant results39,40. However, several parameters can characterise hypoglycaemia: area under the curve (AUC hypo), %-time spent in hypoglycaemia, number of hypoglycaemic events or the LBGI (risk index). The study of Jun et al. found significant results for all of these hypoglycaemic parameters40. Once again, these indices are not equivalent as they reflect different aspects. The AUC hypo gives complete insight into the severity of hypoglycaemia since there is a contribution from both time of exposure and level of hypoglycaemia; while time spent in hypoglycaemia (%) only reflects total duration but not severity. Separate monitoring of time in level 2 hypoglycaemia (<54 mg/dl) showed the highest contribution to the reported associations and can provide a solution for this issue40. Hence, future studies should further elucidate the importance of (level 2) hypoglycaemia, next to parameters of GV.

Covariates in the relationship between GV and CAN . Lastly, as with many studies, study populations were rather heterogeneous: from adolescents89 to complication-free patients39,40,42 and patients with established complication status38,41. The question remains if results can be generalised for the entire patient spectrum since the effects of GV could vary throughout the broad range of disease duration and complication status. These aspects should be as much as possibly adjusted for in statistical analysis but varied widely between included studies. While Jun et al. used age, HbA1c and disease duration as covariates40, the study of Njiraty et al. adjusted for smoking, BMI and SBP41 and Virk et al. also adjusted for body height and socio-economic status89. Future studies should uniformly adjust only for the known risk factors of CAN (as pointed out previously in the introduction of this review) as covariates in their analyses and thereby decrease the risk for overfitting.

Role of GV in diabetic complications: time to shed clarity on this unanswered question?

Regarding the underlying pathophysiology, the frequent occurrence of both excessive glucose decrements and increments increases the amount of oxidative stress and inflammatory markers, which was reported to be the key mediator in the detrimental effect on vascular and nerve function8,18,90-94. While some in vitro studies found that acute glycaemic swings can induce endothelial cell damage via excessive formation of free oxygen radicals95, in vivo research did not confirm this association between high GV and increased oxidative stress (by urinary excretion rates of 8-iso-PGF2α) in T1DM patients96. The term Pyramid of the Risk was introduced after the finding that GV – next to the classic glucose triad of mean, fasting and postprandial BG – may also have deleterious effects on the development of diabetic complications97. Previous reviews concluded that GV has if any, only minimal impact on the development of diabetic complications, however, most of the studies in these reviews re- analysed data from the DCCT in which GV was determined using 7-point capillary BG profiles and not CGM15,16. A recent review from The Lancet concluded that it has not yet been definitively confirmed whether GV is an

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independent risk factor for diabetes complications6. Concerning the relationship of GV with CAN in T1DM in particular, only a few studies focused on this association, all of them included in this review.

Causality and importance of the relationship between GV and cardiovascular autonomic dysfunction. The cross-sectional nature of many studies prevents inferring a causal relationship. Furthermore, one can also question the direction of this possible association, i.e. ‘what is cause and consequence and vice versa?’. While GV may negatively impact sympathovagal balance by increasing oxidative stress as mentioned before22,98, autonomic dysfunction on the other hand may reciprocally affect GV due to disturbed glucose counter-regulation and decreased hypoglycaemic awareness88,99. These latter two are often present in long-standing T1DM and may result in even more pronounced fluctuations and hypoglycaemic events100,101. In summary, the direction of the association remains to be elucidated, but is perhaps bidirectional as it is not clear whether autonomic dysfunction drives GV or the other way around.

Strengths and limitations of this review

This systematic review comprises a comprehensive literature search up to 2019 with extensive search strategies on three major databases. The methodological quality of included studies was carefully and critically assessed with levels of evidence based on the risk of bias. Finally, we present a thorough discussion of important methodological considerations as well as implications for further research. Potential limitations of this review could include the limited amount of studies – with four cross-sectional and two prospective studies – and inclusion of only articles written in English, French or Dutch.

CONCLUSION

This systematic review found some preliminary evidence supporting the hypothesis of an association between GV and cardiovascular autonomic dysfunction in T1DM. The scarcity of data (only 6 studies), together with the null finding from prospective studies, makes it hard to draw solid conclusions and points to an urgent need for more research into this relationship. At this moment, uncertainty remains whether high GV can independently contribute to the onset or progression of CAN. The heterogeneity in methodological approach makes it difficult to compare different studies. Future studies should therefore use uniformly evaluated CGM-derived parameters of GV, while standardised assessment of HRV, CARTs and other potential cardiac autonomic function parameters is needed for an unambiguous definition of CAN.

Acknowledgments. We would like to thank M. Meeus (PhD; Ghent University; Antwerp University; University of Brussels (VUB), Belgium) who helped with the selection and scoring of the appropriate checklist for the methodological quality assessment, as well as with the structure of this review by using her book ‘Health literacy: from reference to review’.

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Funding. The primary author (S. Helleputte) is supported by a PhD grant of the Special Research Fund of Ghent University (BOF grant) at the Department of Rehabilitation Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, Ghent University, Belgium.

There was no external financial support for this review, neither specific grants from any funding agency in the public, commercial or non-profit sectors.

Conflict of Interest. None of the authors had any personal or financial conflict of interest associated with this manuscript.

Author Contributions. The following people collaborated on this systematic review, with their respective contributions:

S.H. (original idea for the review, search strategies, screening, methodological quality assessment, data review and interpretation, writing), P.C. (screening, data interpretation, methodological quality assessment, writing and revision of manuscript), K.V.W. (protocol, screening, methodological quality assessment, revision of manuscript), B. Celie (writing and revision of manuscript), B.V.E. (protocol, screening, methodological quality assessment), T.D.B. (data interpretation, writing and revision of manuscript), B.L. (writing and revision of manuscript) and S.S. (revision of manuscript). All authors provided input throughout the entire review protocol, read and approved the final manuscript and identify the primary author (S.H.) as the person having full responsibility of this systematic review.

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STUDY (DESIGN)

CRITERIA

INDIVIDUAL STUDY QUALITY: LEVEL

OF EVIDENCE

1 3 4 6 7 8

Jaiswal et al. (2014)

(cross-sectional) - + / + / / C

Iwasaki et al. (2015)

(cross-sectional) + + / + / / C

Lachin et al. (2017)

(prospective cohort) + - + + + + A2

Nyiraty et al. (2018)

(cross-sectional) + + / + / / C

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Jaiswal et al. (2018)

(prospective cohort) - + ? + ? + B

Jun et al. (2018)

(cross-sectional) + + / + / / C

Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale (NOS) for cohort studies

Selection of cohort(s): 1: Representativeness of the exposed cohort; 3: Ascertainment of exposure; 4: Demonstration that outcome was not present at start of the study;

Outcome assessment: 6: Assessment of outcome; 7: Follow-up long enough for outcomes to occur; 8: Adequacy of follow-up of cohorts

“+”: yes; “-“: no; “?”: unknown, not mentioned or uncertain; “/”: not applicable to score

NOTE: Since it is impossible not to demonstrate glycaemic variability, there was no ‘non-exposed cohort’ present in the included studies, making it not applicable to score questions 2 and 5 of the NOS scale (‘selection of the non-exposed cohort’

and ‘comparability of the cohorts’, respectively).

TABLE 1. Risk of bias assessment in individual studies.

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First author (year of publication)

Study design

(Follow-up) Population characteristics Glycaemic variability:

method of assessment

& parameters

Cardiovascular autonomic

function: outcomes Results

Jaiswal et al.39 (2014)

Cross-sectional analysis baseline

(/)

n= 44 (17 M, 27 F)

Age: 34 ±13 yrs (range:18-65) DD: 13 ± 6 yrs (all >5 yrs) BMI: 26 ± 4

HbA1c: 64 mmol/ mol (8.0 ± 1.2%)

TDI: 0.7 ± 0.2 U/kg/day

CGM for 5 days Indices of hypoglycemic stress

LBGI

AUC for

hypoglycaemia (<70 mg/dl)

HRV (rest and during CART) LF power

HF power CARTs

Deep breathing: E:I-ratio Valsalva ratio

Standing: 30:15 ratio

Correlations between hypoglycaemic indices and HRV

→ LBGI: Significant correlations with LF power (r=-0.47; p=0.002**) and HF power (r=-0.37, p=0.018*)

→ AUC: Significant correlations with LF power (r=-0.43; p=0.005**) and HF power (r=-0.38; p=0.015*)

Linear regression:

Unadjusted model: all associations significant

→ LBGI – LF power: R2=0.220; LBGI – HF power: R2=0.135

→ AUC hypo – LF power: R2=0.185; AUC hypo – HF power: R2=0.143 Adjusted models:

→ All associations with LF power persisted after adjusting for HbA1, age, DD, BMI (LBGI: R2=0.351; AUC hypo: R2=0.316)

→ Associations with HF power remained significant in adjusting model for HbA1c (LBGI: R2=0.199; AUC hypo: R2=0.207), but disappeared after adjusting for other covariates (NS)

→ No significant associations between LBGI/AUC and CART ratios Iwasaki et

al.38 (2015)

Cross-sectional

(/) n= 31 (13 M, 18 F) Hospitalized Age: 47.2 ± 16.4 yrs DD: 18.6 ± 12.8 yrs BMI: 22.4 ± 3.7

HbA1c: 64 mmol/mol (8.0 ± 1.5%)

MDI: n=20, CSII: n=11

CGM for >24 h (56.5 ± 15.3h)

Intraday GV

SD glucose

MAGE Hybrid: MBG & GV

M-value Inter-day GV (2days)

MODD

HRV

COV of RR-interval Correlations between COV-RR and GV measures

→ Significant correlations with whole day SD (r=-0.50; p=0.007**), MAGE (r=-0.47; p=0.011*), M-value (r=-0.38; p=0.048*) and MODD (r=-0.59; p=0.001***)

→ Significant correlations with nighttime SD (r=-0.59, p=0.001***), MAGE (r=-0.47; p=0.011*), M-value (r=-0.53; p=0.004**) and MODD (r=-0.65; p=0.0003***)

→ Significant correlations with daytime SD (r=-0.44; p=0.019*) and MAGE (r=-0.50; p=0.006**); No significant correlation with daytime M-value and MODD (NS)

Lachin et al.43

(2017) Prospective

cohort n= 1375 (M/F: almost equal)

Age: 27 ± 7 yrs 7-point capillary blood

glucose measurement, CAN - based on: CARTs

Deep breathing: ∆RR-int. Longitudinal logistic regression model for repeated measures, using Generalized Estimating Equations for CAN over 2, 4, 6 and 8 yrs follow-up

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1983 - 1993

(10 yrs) DD: 1-15 yrs (all) Primary prevention group: 2.6 ± 1.4 yrs Secondary prevention group: 8.7 ± 3.8 yrs HbA1c: 74 mmol/ mol (8.9%) TDI: 0.62-0.71 ± 0.23 U/kg/day respectively No CAN at baseline

Every 3 months Within-day GV

SD glucose

MAGE

M-value

Valsalva ratio Standing: DBP drop CAN if <predefined cut-offs on at least one CART CAN assessment: at baseline and after 2,4,6,8 years of follow-up

→ Unadjusted model: CAN significantly associated with MAGE (p=0.017*) and M-value (p=0.046*)

→ After adjusting for MBG: None of the measures of

within-day GV (SD glucose, MAGE, M-value) remained significantly associated with CAN (p=0.20; p=0.06; p=0.10)

Nyiraty et al.41 (2018)

Cross-sectional (/)

n= 20 (6 M, 14 F) Age: 39.5 ± 3.4 yrs DD: 17.5 ± 2.5 yrs BMI: 22.3 ± 0.8

HbA1c: 65 mmol/mol (8.1 ± 0.7%)

TDI: 42.8 ± 2.9 U All treated w/ MDI

CGM for 6 days

SD glucose

MAGE

CONGA

MAG

CAN & CAN-score (/10) - based on: CARTs CARTs

Deep breathing: ∆HR Valsalva ratio Standing: 30:15 ratio Standing: SBP drop Handgrip: DBP rise CAN if score ≥2/10

Between-groups-analysis: CAN vs no CAN-group

→ No significant difference in GV parameters between 2 groups;

although tendency of higher GV in CAN group (n=10) Correlations between GV measures and CARTs/CAN

→ SD glucose: significant correlations with CAN-score (r=0.47; p<0.05*) and SBP drop (r=0.51; p<0.05*)

→ MAG: significant correlations with CAN-score (r=0.62; p<0.01**), 30:15 ratio (r=-0.50; p<0.05*) and SBP-drop (r=0.59; p<0.01**) → MAGE & CONGA: no sign. correlations with CAN-score or CARTs Multivariate linear regression

→ After adjusting for HbA1c, age and DD → one correlation remained significant: SD glucose – SBP drop (r=0.49; p<0.05*)

Jaiswal et al.42 (2018)

Prospective cohort (3 yrs)

n= 41 (16 M, 25 F) Age: 34 ±13 yrs (range:18-65) DD: 13 ± 6 (All DD >5 yrs) BMI: 26 ± 4

HbA1c: 64 mmol/ml (8.0 ± 1.2%)

TDI: 0.7 ± 0.2 U/kg/day

CGM for 5 days Every 3 months

COV glucose

MAGE

LBGI & HBGI

AUC for hypoglycaemia

AUC for hyperglycaemia

Blood pressure dipping (%) ABPM assessment: every year

Between-groups-analysis at baseline: Non-dipping group (n=4) vs Dipping group (n=37):

→ No significant differences in GV measures Correlations at baseline

→ No significant correlations at baseline between BP dipping-% and GV measures

Between-groups-analysis after 3 yrs: Progressors group (n=24) vs Non- progressors group (n=17):

→ No significant differences in GV measures Jun et al.40

(2018)

Cross-sectional (/)

n= 80 (35 M, 45 F) Age: 39.9 ± 14 yrs

CGM for 3 days, of which middle 48h used

CAN - based on: CARTs Deep breathing: EI-ratio

Between-groups-analysis: CAN-group (n=36) vs No CAN-group (n=44):

→ Higher SD (p<0.001***), COV (p=0.007**) and MAGE (p=0.003**)

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