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Appendix 4.

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Appendix 4.

Estimates of total detection probability (p estimate) within a 100 m radius circle, estimate of sigma for the negative-exponential detection function, and the total number of distances within a 250 m radius used to fit each detection model (n), for the winter models. We provide 95%

Bayesian credible intervals (BCI). Note that because detection model estimates vary little

between OHV only and trails only models, we only provided a single estimate of each parameter from the OHV trail model.

Species p estimate (95% BCI) Sigma estimate (m) (95% BCI) n ACWO 0.25 (0.09 , 0.44) 41.01 (20.40 , 72.70) 60 BEWR 0.15 (0.05 , 0.31) 27.82 (15.38 , 48.81) 47 CALT 0.13 (0.03 , 0.28) 24.43 (11.25 , 43.94) 34 CATH 0.19 (0.07 , 0.37) 32.97 (17.84 , 57.97) 26 CORA 0.37 (0.15 , 0.60) 62.28 (27.57 , 117.20) 26 DEJU 0.12 (0.04 , 0.27) 23.87 (13.28 , 42.57) 47 GCSP 0.08 (0.02 , 0.20) 18.51 (9.04 , 33.79) 23 HETH 0.09 (0.02 , 0.22) 20.00 (9.48 , 36.65) 34 NOFL 0.33 (0.14 , 0.55) 54.12 (26.31 , 101.85) 52 OATI 0.15 (0.07 , 0.30) 28.05 (17.38 , 46.57) 67 RCKI 0.08 (0.02 , 0.19) 18.80 (9.69 , 32.70) 54 SPTO 0.14 (0.05 , 0.30) 26.56 (14.99 , 46.49) 78 STJA 0.22 (0.09 , 0.41) 36.68 (20.62 , 64.80) 53 WBNU 0.23 (0.06 , 0.43) 38.87 (15.91 , 70.47) 23 WEBL 0.21 (0.08 , 0.38) 35.40 (18.20 , 60.86) 46 CASJ 0.24 (0.11 , 0.41) 39.98 (23.14 , 64.98) 158 WREN 0.32 (0.13 , 0.56) 54.07 (25.50 , 104.50) 127 YRWA 0.11 (0.03 , 0.24) 22.41 (11.74 , 38.49) 26

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