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I N T E R N AT I O N A L AT O M I C E N E R G Y A G E N C Y

Energy, Electricity

and Nuclear Power Estimates

for the Period up to 2050

R E f E R E N C E d ATA S E R I E S No.

1 2010 Edition

@

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REFERENCE DATA SERIES No. 1

energy, electricity and nuclear power estimates

for the period up to 2050

2010 Edition

INTERNATIONAL ATOMIC ENERGY AGENCY VIENNA, 2010

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ENERGY, ELECTRICITY AND NuCLEAR pOwER ESTIMATES FOR ThE pERIOD up TO 2050

IAEA-RDS-1/30 ISBN 978–92–0–108010–3

ISSN 1011–2642

printed by the IAEA in Austria August 2010

contents

Introduction . . . 5 Grouping of countries and areas . . . 9 Table 1. Nuclear power reactors in the world

(end of 2009) . . . 12 Figure 1. Nuclear share of total electricity

generation in 2008 . . . 14 Table 2. Number of countries with nuclear

power reactors in operation or

under construction (end of 2009) . . . 15 Table 3. Estimates of total and nuclear

electrical generating capacity . . . 17 Figure 2. Total and nuclear electrical generating

capacity . . . 18 Table 4. Estimates of total electricity generation

and contribution by nuclear power . . . 21 Figure 3. percentage of electricity supplied

by nuclear power . . . 22 Table 5. Estimates of total energy requirement

(EJ), percentage used for electricity generation, and percentage supplied

by nuclear energy . . . 25 Figure 4. Estimates of total energy requirement . . . 26 Table 6. Total energy requirement (EJ) by type

of fuel in 2009 . . . 29 Figure 5. Total energy requirement by fuel type

in 2009 . . . 30 Figure 6. Breakdown of world total energy

requirement during the period

1970–2009 . . . 32 Table 7. Fuel shares (%) of total energy

requirement in 2009 . . . 35 Table 8. Fuel use (EJ) for electricity

generation by type of fuel in 2009 . . . 36 Table 9. percentage contribution of each

fuel type to electricity generation

in 2009 . . . 37 Table 10. Estimates of population growth by region . . 39 Figure 7. population estimates . . . 40 Table 11. Estimates of total energy and electricity

requirement per capita . . . 43

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ENERGY, ELECTRICITY AND NuCLEAR pOwER ESTIMATES FOR ThE pERIOD up TO 2050

IAEA-RDS-1/30 ISBN 978–92–0–108010–3

ISSN 1011–2642

printed by the IAEA in Austria August 2010

contents

Introduction . . . 5 Grouping of countries and areas . . . 9 Table 1. Nuclear power reactors in the world

(end of 2009) . . . 12 Figure 1. Nuclear share of total electricity

generation in 2009 . . . 14 Table 2. Number of countries with nuclear

power reactors in operation or

under construction (end of 2009) . . . 15 Table 3. Estimates of total and nuclear

electrical generating capacity . . . 17 Figure 2. Total and nuclear electrical generating

capacity . . . 18 Table 4. Estimates of total electricity generation

and contribution by nuclear power . . . 21 Figure 3. percentage of electricity supplied

by nuclear power . . . 22 Table 5. Estimates of total energy requirement

(EJ), percentage used for electricity generation, and percentage supplied

by nuclear energy . . . 25 Figure 4. Estimates of total energy requirement . . . 26 Table 6. Total energy requirement (EJ) by type

of fuel in 2009 . . . 29 Figure 5. Total energy requirement by fuel type

in 2009 . . . 30 Figure 6. Breakdown of world total energy

requirement during the period

1970–2009 . . . 32 Table 7. Fuel shares (%) of total energy

requirement in 2009 . . . 35 Table 8. Fuel use (EJ) for electricity

generation by type of fuel in 2009 . . . 36 Table 9. percentage contribution of each

fuel type to electricity generation

in 2009 . . . 37 Table 10. Estimates of population growth by region . . 39 Figure 7. population estimates . . . 40 Table 11. Estimates of total energy and electricity

requirement per capita . . . 43

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Figure 8. Total energy requirement per capita . . . 44 Figure 9. Total electricity requirement per capita . . . 46 Table 12. Average annual growth rates during the

period 1999–2009 (%) . . . 49 Figure 10. Average annual growth rates during the

period 1999–2009 . . . 50 Table 13. Estimates of average annual

growth rates during the period

2009–2030 (%) . . . 53

introduction

Reference Data Series No. 1 (RDS-1) is an annual publication — currently in its thirtieth edition — containing estimates of energy, electricity and nuclear power trends up to the year 2050.

RDS-1 starts with a summary of the situation of nuclear power in IAEA Member States as of the end of 2009. The data on nuclear power presented in Tables 1 and 2 are based on actual statistical data collected by the IAEA’s power Reactor Information System (pRIS). Energy and electricity data for 2009, however, are estimated, since the latest available information from the united Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs is for 2007.

population data originate from the world population prospects (2008 revision), published by the population Division of the united Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, and the 2009 values again are estimates.

As in the past, projections of future needs of energy, electricity and nuclear power are presented as low and high estimates encompassing the inherent uncertainties involved in projecting trends. The RDS-1 estimates should be viewed as very general growth trends whose validity must be constantly subjected to critical review.

Beginning with the 30th edition of this publication, however, the end-point of the estimates is extended up to the year 2050 (instead of 2030). Looking beyond 2030 is prompted by the interest expressed by numerous Member States currently without nuclear power in adding nuclear energy to their future national energy supply mixes. Given the lead times in planning and implementing nuclear power programmes, a fair share of these are likely to result in actual plant commissioning and grid connection after 2030.

Many international, national and private organizations routinely engage in energy demand and supply projections, including nuclear power. These projections are based on a multitude of different assumptions and aggregating procedures, which make a straightforward comparison and synthesis very difficult. The basic differences refer to such fundamental input assumptions as:

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Figure 8. Total energy requirement per capita . . . 44 Figure 9. Total electricity requirement per capita . . . 46 Table 12. Average annual growth rates during the

period 1999–2009 (%) . . . 49 Figure 10. Average annual growth rates during the

period 1999–2009 . . . 50 Table 13. Estimates of average annual

growth rates during the period

2009–2030 (%) . . . 53

introduction

Reference Data Series No. 1 (RDS-1) is an annual publication — currently in its thirtieth edition — containing estimates of energy, electricity and nuclear power trends up to the year 2050.

RDS-1 starts with a summary of the situation of nuclear power in IAEA Member States as of the end of 2009. The data on nuclear power presented in Tables 1 and 2 are based on actual statistical data collected by the IAEA’s power Reactor Information System (pRIS). Energy and electricity data for 2009, however, are estimated, since the latest available information from the united Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs is for 2007.

population data originate from the world population prospects (2008 revision), published by the population Division of the united Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, and the 2009 values again are estimates.

As in the past, projections of future needs of energy, electricity and nuclear power are presented as low and high estimates encompassing the inherent uncertainties involved in projecting trends. The RDS-1 estimates should be viewed as very general growth trends whose validity must be constantly subjected to critical review.

Beginning with the 30th edition of this publication, however, the end-point of the estimates is extended up to the year 2050 (instead of 2030). Looking beyond 2030 is prompted by the interest expressed by numerous Member States currently without nuclear power in adding nuclear energy to their future national energy supply mixes. Given the lead times in planning and implementing nuclear power programmes, a fair share of these are likely to result in actual plant commissioning and grid connection after 2030.

Many international, national and private organizations routinely engage in energy demand and supply projections, including nuclear power. These projections are based on a multitude of different assumptions and aggregating procedures, which make a straightforward comparison and synthesis very difficult. The basic differences refer to such fundamental input assumptions as:

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• Economic growth;

• Correlation of economic growth and energy use;

• Technology performance and costs;

• Energy resource availability and future fuel prices;

• Energy policy and physical, environmental and economic constraints.

The projections presented in this booklet are based on a compromise among:

• National projections supplied by each country for a recent OECD/NEA study;

• Indicators of development published by the world Bank in its world Development Indicators;

• Global and regional energy, electricity and nuclear power projections made by other international organizations.

More specifically, the estimates of nuclear generating capacity presented in Table 3 are derived from a country by country ‘bottom up’ approach. They are established by a group of experts participating each year in the IAEA’s consultancy on Nuclear Capacity projections and based upon a review of nuclear power projects and programmes in Member States.

The low and high estimates reflect contrasting but not extreme underlying assumptions on the different driving factors that have an impact on nuclear power deployment.

These factors, and the ways they might evolve, vary from country to country. The estimates presented provide a plausible range of nuclear capacity growth by region and worldwide. They are not intended to be predictive nor to reflect the whole range of possible futures from the lowest to the highest feasible.

The low case represents expectations about the future if current trends continued and there were few changes in policies affecting nuclear power other than those already in the pipeline.

This case was explicitly designed to produce a

‘conservative but plausible’ set of projections. Additionally, the low case did not automatically assume that targets for nuclear power growth in a particular country would necessarily be achieved. These assumptions are relaxed in the high case.

The high case projections are much more optimistic, but still plausible and technically feasible. The high case assumes that the current financial and economic crises will be overcome in the not so distant future and past rates of economic growth and electricity demand, especially in the Far East, would essentially resume. In addition, the high case assumes the implementation of stringent policies globally targeted at mitigating climate change.

In the presence of the current financial and economic crises, developing the 2009 and 2010 nuclear power projections posed a considerable challenge. The 2010 projections are based on the rationale that the long lead times associated with the implementation of nuclear power plants may temporarily delay some projects but the underlying fundamentals of population growth, development, demand for electricity, climate change concerns, security of energy supply and the quest for stable electricity generating costs point to continued strong growth in the longer term. worsening and prolonged economic and/or financial difficulties could, however, dramatically affect the projections developed, particularly in the high case.

The data on electricity produced by nuclear power plants is converted to joules based on the average efficiency of a nuclear power plant, i.e. 33%; data on electricity generated by geothermal heat is converted to joules based on the average efficiency of a geothermal power plant, i.e. 10%.

The conversion to joules of electricity generated by hydropower or by the other non-thermal sources such as wind, tide and solar is based on the energy content of the electricity generated (the equivalent of assuming a 100%

efficiency).

The total energy requirement has been calculated by summing the primary energy production, the net energy trade minus changes in international bunkers and domestic stocks.

The values shown in Table 9 refer to primary energy used for the generation of electricity. Owing to differences in conversion efficiencies, the percentage values are different from the shares of electricity generation presented in Tables 1 and 5.

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• Economic growth;

• Correlation of economic growth and energy use;

• Technology performance and costs;

• Energy resource availability and future fuel prices;

• Energy policy and physical, environmental and economic constraints.

The projections presented in this booklet are based on a compromise among:

• National projections supplied by each country for a recent OECD/NEA study;

• Indicators of development published by the world Bank in its world Development Indicators;

• Global and regional energy, electricity and nuclear power projections made by other international organizations.

More specifically, the estimates of nuclear generating capacity presented in Table 3 are derived from a country by country ‘bottom up’ approach. They are established by a group of experts participating each year in the IAEA’s consultancy on Nuclear Capacity projections and based upon a review of nuclear power projects and programmes in Member States.

The low and high estimates reflect contrasting but not extreme underlying assumptions on the different driving factors that have an impact on nuclear power deployment.

These factors, and the ways they might evolve, vary from country to country. The estimates presented provide a plausible range of nuclear capacity growth by region and worldwide. They are not intended to be predictive nor to reflect the whole range of possible futures from the lowest to the highest feasible.

The low case represents expectations about the future if current trends continued and there were few changes in policies affecting nuclear power other than those already in the pipeline.

This case was explicitly designed to produce a

‘conservative but plausible’ set of projections. Additionally, the low case did not automatically assume that targets for nuclear power growth in a particular country would necessarily be achieved. These assumptions are relaxed in the high case.

The high case projections are much more optimistic, but still plausible and technically feasible. The high case assumes that the current financial and economic crises will be overcome in the not so distant future and past rates of economic growth and electricity demand, especially in the Far East, would essentially resume. In addition, the high case assumes the implementation of stringent policies globally targeted at mitigating climate change.

In the presence of the current financial and economic crises, developing the 2009 and 2010 nuclear power projections posed a considerable challenge. The 2010 projections are based on the rationale that the long lead times associated with the implementation of nuclear power plants may temporarily delay some projects but the underlying fundamentals of population growth, development, demand for electricity, climate change concerns, security of energy supply and the quest for stable electricity generating costs point to continued strong growth in the longer term. worsening and prolonged economic and/or financial difficulties could, however, dramatically affect the projections developed, particularly in the high case.

The data on electricity produced by nuclear power plants is converted to joules based on the average efficiency of a nuclear power plant, i.e. 33%; data on electricity generated by geothermal heat is converted to joules based on the average efficiency of a geothermal power plant, i.e. 10%.

The conversion to joules of electricity generated by hydropower or by the other non-thermal sources such as wind, tide and solar is based on the energy content of the electricity generated (the equivalent of assuming a 100%

efficiency).

The total energy requirement has been calculated by summing the primary energy production, the net energy trade minus changes in international bunkers and domestic stocks.

The values shown in Table 9 refer to primary energy used for the generation of electricity. Owing to differences in conversion efficiencies, the percentage values are different from the shares of electricity generation presented in Tables 1 and 5.

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energy units

1 Mw(e) = 106 watts (electrical)

1 Gw(e) = 1000 Mw(e) = 109 watts (electrical) 1 GJ = 1 gigajoule = 109 joules

1 EJ = 1 exajoule = 1018 joules

1 EJ = 23.9 megatonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe) 1 Tw·h = 1 terawatt-hour = 109 kw·h = 3.6 × 10–3 EJ

N o r t h A m e r i c a

C a n a d a * U n i t e d S t a t e s o f A m e r i c a * L a t i n A m e r i c a

A n g u i l l a H a i t i *

A n t i g u a a n d B a r b u d a H o n d u r a s *

A r g e n t i n a * J a m a i c a *

A r u b a M a r t i n i q u e

B a h a m a s M e x i c o *

B a r b a d o s M o n t s e r r a t

B e l i z e N e t h e r l a n d s A n t i l l e s

B e r m u d a N i c a r a g u a *

B o l i v i a * P a n a m a *

B r a z i l * P a r a g u a y *

C a y m a n I s l a n d s P e r u *

C h i l e * P u e r t o R i c o

C o l o m b i a * S . G e o r g i a & S . S a n d w i c h I s l a n d s C o s t a R i c a * S a i n t K i t t s a n d N e v i s

C u b a * S a i n t L u c i a

D o m i n i c a S a i n t P i e r r e a n d M i q u e l o n D o m i n i c a n R e p u b l i c * S a i n t V i n c e n t & t h e G r e n a d i n e s

E c u a d o r * S u r i n a m e

E l S a l v a d o r * T r i n i d a d a n d T o b a g o G r e n a d a T u r k s a n d C a i c o s I s l a n d s

G u a d e l o u p e U r u g u a y *

G u a t e m a l a * V e n e z u e l a *

G u y a n a

W e s t e r n E u r o p e

A n d o r r a L i e c h t e n s t e i n *

A u s t r i a * L u x e m b o u r g *

B e l g i u m * M a l t a *

C y p r u s * M o n a c o *

D e n m a r k * N e t h e r l a n d s *

F i n l a n d * N o r w a y *

F r a n c e * P o r t u g a l *

G e r m a n y * S a n M a r i n o

G i b r a l t a r S p a i n *

G r e e c e * S v a l b a r d a n d J a n M a y e n I s l a n d s

G r e e n l a n d S w e d e n *

H o l y S e e * S w i t z e r l a n d *

I c e l a n d * T u r k e y *

I r e l a n d * U n i t e d K i n g d o m * I t a l y *

G R O U P I N G O F C O U N T R I E S A N D A R E A S T h e c o u n t r i e s a n d g e o g r a p h i c a l a r e a s i n c l u d e d i n e a c h g r o u p i n g a r e l i s t e d b e l o w ( I A E A M e m b e r S t a t e s a r e d e n o t e d b y a n a s t e r i s k )

*

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energy units

1 Mw(e) = 106 watts (electrical)

1 Gw(e) = 1000 Mw(e) = 109 watts (electrical) 1 GJ = 1 gigajoule = 109 joules

1 EJ = 1 exajoule = 1018 joules

1 EJ = 23.9 megatonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe) 1 Tw·h = 1 terawatt-hour = 109 kw·h = 3.6 × 10–3 EJ

N o r t h A m e r i c a

C a n a d a * U n i t e d S t a t e s o f A m e r i c a * L a t i n A m e r i c a

A n g u i l l a H a i t i *

A n t i g u a a n d B a r b u d a H o n d u r a s *

A r g e n t i n a * J a m a i c a *

A r u b a M a r t i n i q u e

B a h a m a s M e x i c o *

B a r b a d o s M o n t s e r r a t

B e l i z e N e t h e r l a n d s A n t i l l e s

B e r m u d a N i c a r a g u a *

B o l i v i a * P a n a m a *

B r a z i l * P a r a g u a y *

C a y m a n I s l a n d s P e r u *

C h i l e * P u e r t o R i c o

C o l o m b i a * S . G e o r g i a & S . S a n d w i c h I s l a n d s C o s t a R i c a * S a i n t K i t t s a n d N e v i s

C u b a * S a i n t L u c i a

D o m i n i c a S a i n t P i e r r e a n d M i q u e l o n D o m i n i c a n R e p u b l i c * S a i n t V i n c e n t & t h e G r e n a d i n e s

E c u a d o r * S u r i n a m e

E l S a l v a d o r * T r i n i d a d a n d T o b a g o G r e n a d a T u r k s a n d C a i c o s I s l a n d s

G u a d e l o u p e U r u g u a y *

G u a t e m a l a * V e n e z u e l a *

G u y a n a

W e s t e r n E u r o p e

A n d o r r a L i e c h t e n s t e i n *

A u s t r i a * L u x e m b o u r g *

B e l g i u m * M a l t a *

C y p r u s * M o n a c o *

D e n m a r k * N e t h e r l a n d s *

F i n l a n d * N o r w a y *

F r a n c e * P o r t u g a l *

G e r m a n y * S a n M a r i n o

G i b r a l t a r S p a i n *

G r e e c e * S v a l b a r d a n d J a n M a y e n I s l a n d s

G r e e n l a n d S w e d e n *

H o l y S e e * S w i t z e r l a n d *

I c e l a n d * T u r k e y *

I r e l a n d * U n i t e d K i n g d o m * I t a l y *

G R O U P I N G O F C O U N T R I E S A N D A R E A S T h e c o u n t r i e s a n d g e o g r a p h i c a l a r e a s i n c l u d e d i n e a c h g r o u p i n g a r e l i s t e d b e l o w ( I A E A M e m b e r S t a t e s a r e d e n o t e d b y a n a s t e r i s k )

*

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Africa

Algeria* Malawi*

Angola* Mali*

Benin* Mauritania*

Botswana* Mauritius*

Burkina Faso* Mayotte

Burundii* Morocco*

Cameroo o n * Mozambique*

Cape Verdee* Namibia*

Central Africaa n Republic* Niger*

Chad Nigeria*

Comoros Reunion

Congoo* Rwanda*

Côte d'II voire* Saint Helena

Democratic Rep. of the Congo* Sao Tome and Principe

Djibouti Senegal*

Egypt* Seychelles*

Equatorial Guinea Sierra Leone*

Eritrea* Somalia

Ethiopia* South Africa*

Gabon* Sudan*

Gambia Swaziland

Ghana* Togo

Guinea Tunisia*

Guinea-Bissau Uganda*

Kenya* United Republic of Tanzania*

Lesotho* Western Sahara

Liberia* Zambia*

Libyan Arab Jamahiriya* Zimbabwe*

Madagascar*

Eastern Europe

Albania* Lithuania*

Armenia* Montenegro*

Poland*

Azerbaijan*

Republic of Moldova*

Belarus*

Romania*

Bosnia and Herzegovina*

Russian Federation*

Bulgaria*

Serbia*

Croatia*

Slovakia*

Czech Republic*

Slovenia*

Estonia*

Tajikistan*

Georgia*

The Frmr.Yug.Rep. of Macedonia*

Hungary*

Turkmenistan Kazakhstan*

Ukraine*

Kyrgyzstan*

Uzbekistan*

Latvia*

*

*

M i d d l e E a s t a n d S o u t h A s i a

A f g h a n i s t a n * K u w a i t *

B a h r a i n* L e b a n o n *

B a n g l a d e s h * N e p a l*

B h u t a n O m a n*

B r i t i s h I n d i a n O c e a n T e r r i t o r y P a k i s t a n * C o c o s ( K e e l i n g ) I s l a n d s Q a t a r * F r e n c h S o u t h e r n T e r r i t o r i e s S a u d i A r a b i a * H e a r d I s l a n d & M c D o n a l d I s l a n d s S r i L a n k a *

I n d i a * S y r i a n A r a b R e p u b l i c *

I r a n , I s l a m i c R e p u b l i c o f * T . T . U . T . J o f T . P a l e s t i n i a n A .

I r a q * U n i t e d A r a b E m i r a t e s *

I s r a e l * Y e m e n *

J o r d a n *

S o u t h E a s t A s i a a n d t h e P a c i f i c

A u s t r a l i a * N o r t h e r n M a r i a n a I s l a n d s

B r u n e i D a r u s s a l a m P a l a u*

C o o k I s l a n d s P a p u a N e w G u i n e a*

F i j i P i t c a i r n I s l a n d s

I n d o n e s i a * S a m o a

K i r i b a t i S i n g a p o r e *

M a l a y s i a * S o l o m o n I s l a n d s

M a l d i v e s T h a i l a n d *

M a r s h a l l I s l a n d s * T i m o r L e s t e

M i c r o n e s i a ( F e d . S t a t e s o f ) T o k e l a u

M y a n m a r * T u v a l u

N e w Z e a l a n d * U S M i n o r O u t l y i n g I s l a n d s

N i u e V a n u a t u

N o r f o l k I s l a n d s W a l l i s a n d F u t u n a I s l a n d s F a r E a s t

C a m b o d i a* M a c a u , C h i n a

C h i n a * M o n g o l i a *

D e m . P . R . o f K o r e a P h i l i p p i n e s *

J a p a n * T a i w a n , C h i n a

K o r e a , R e p u b l i c o f * V i e t n a m * L a o P . D . R .

(12)

Africa

Algeria* Malawi*

Angola* Mali*

Benin* Mauritania*

Botswana* Mauritius*

Burkina Faso* Mayotte

Burundii* Morocco*

Cameroo o n * Mozambique*

Cape Verdee* Namibia*

Central Africaa n Republic* Niger*

Chad Nigeria*

Comoros Reunion

Congoo* Rwanda*

Côte d'II voire* Saint Helena

Democratic Rep. of the Congo* Sao Tome and Principe

Djibouti Senegal*

Egypt* Seychelles*

Equatorial Guinea Sierra Leone*

Eritrea* Somalia

Ethiopia* South Africa*

Gabon* Sudan*

Gambia Swaziland

Ghana* Togo

Guinea Tunisia*

Guinea-Bissau Uganda*

Kenya* United Republic of Tanzania*

Lesotho* Western Sahara

Liberia* Zambia*

Libyan Arab Jamahiriya* Zimbabwe*

Madagascar*

Eastern Europe

Albania* Lithuania*

Armenia* Montenegro*

Poland*

Azerbaijan*

Republic of Moldova*

Belarus*

Romania*

Bosnia and Herzegovina*

Russian Federation*

Bulgaria*

Serbia*

Croatia*

Slovakia*

Czech Republic*

Slovenia*

Estonia*

Tajikistan*

Georgia*

The Frmr.Yug.Rep. of Macedonia*

Hungary*

Turkmenistan Kazakhstan*

Ukraine*

Kyrgyzstan*

Uzbekistan*

Latvia*

*

*

M i d d l e E a s t a n d S o u t h A s i a

A f g h a n i s t a n * K u w a i t *

B a h r a i n* L e b a n o n *

B a n g l a d e s h * N e p a l*

B h u t a n O m a n*

B r i t i s h I n d i a n O c e a n T e r r i t o r y P a k i s t a n * C o c o s ( K e e l i n g ) I s l a n d s Q a t a r * F r e n c h S o u t h e r n T e r r i t o r i e s S a u d i A r a b i a * H e a r d I s l a n d & M c D o n a l d I s l a n d s S r i L a n k a *

I n d i a * S y r i a n A r a b R e p u b l i c *

I r a n , I s l a m i c R e p u b l i c o f * T . T . U . T . J o f T . P a l e s t i n i a n A .

I r a q * U n i t e d A r a b E m i r a t e s *

I s r a e l * Y e m e n *

J o r d a n *

S o u t h E a s t A s i a a n d t h e P a c i f i c

A u s t r a l i a * N o r t h e r n M a r i a n a I s l a n d s

B r u n e i D a r u s s a l a m P a l a u*

C o o k I s l a n d s P a p u a N e w G u i n e a*

F i j i P i t c a i r n I s l a n d s

I n d o n e s i a * S a m o a

K i r i b a t i S i n g a p o r e *

M a l a y s i a * S o l o m o n I s l a n d s

M a l d i v e s T h a i l a n d *

M a r s h a l l I s l a n d s * T i m o r L e s t e

M i c r o n e s i a ( F e d . S t a t e s o f ) T o k e l a u

M y a n m a r * T u v a l u

N e w Z e a l a n d * U S M i n o r O u t l y i n g I s l a n d s

N i u e V a n u a t u

N o r f o l k I s l a n d s W a l l i s a n d F u t u n a I s l a n d s F a r E a s t

C a m b o d i a* M a c a u , C h i n a

C h i n a * M o n g o l i a *

D e m . P . R . o f K o r e a P h i l i p p i n e s *

J a p a n * T a i w a n , C h i n a

K o r e a , R e p u b l i c o f * V i e t n a m * L a o P . D . R .

(13)

TABLE 1. NUCLEAR POWER REACTORS IN THE WORLD (end of 2009) Group and CountryIn OperationUnder Construction Number of UnitsTotal MW(e)Number of UnitsTotal MW(e)Number of UnitsTotal MW(e)TW·hPer cent of Total Electricity North America Canada18 12569 4 2726 85.1 14.8 United States of America104 100747 1 1165 796.9 20.2 Latin America Argentina2 935 1 692 7.6 6.9 Brazil2 1884 12.2 2.9 Mexico2 1300 10.1 4.8 Western Europe Belgium7 5902 45.0 51.7 Finland4 2696 1 1600 22.6 32.9 France59 63260 1 1600 391.8 75.2 Germany17 20480 127.7 26.1 Netherlands1 487 4.0 3.7 Spain8 7450 50.6 17.5 Sweden10 9036 50.0 37.4 Switzerland5 3238 26.3 39.5 United Kingdom19 10137 62.9 17.9 Eastern Europe Armenia1 375 2.3 44.9 Bulgaria2 1906 2 1906 14.2 35.9 Czech Republic6 3678 25.7 33.8 Hungary4 1889 14.3 43.0

Long-term Shut DElectricity Supplied by Nuclear own ReactorsPower Reactors in 2009 TABLE 1. NUCLEAR POWER REACTORS IN THE WORLD (end of 2009) In OperationUnder Construction Group and Country Per cent of Number of UnitsTotal MW(e)Number of UnitsTotal MW(e)Number of UnitsTotal MW(e)TW·h Total Electricity Lithuania (a)1 1185 10.0 76.2 Romania2 1300 10.8 20.6 Russian Federation31 21743 9 6996 152.8 17.8 Slovakia4 1762 2 782 13.1 53.5 Slovenia1 666 5.5 37.8 Ukraine15 13107 2 1900 78.0 48.6 Africa South Africa2 1800 11.6 4.8 Middle East and South Asia India18 3987 5 2708 14.8 2.2 Iran, Islamic Republic of 1 915 Pakistan2 425 1 300 2.6 2.7 Far East China11 8438 20 19920 65.7 1.9 Japan54 46823 1 246 1 1325 263.1 28.9 Korea, Republic of20 17705 6 6520 141.1 34.8 World Total (b)438 371890 5 2972 55 50929 2558.1 13.8 Notes: (a) Last unit was shut down on 31 December 2009; (b) Including the following data on Taiwan, China: — 6 units on operation with total capacity of 4949 MW(e); 2 units under construction with total capacity of 2600 MW(e);

Long-term Shut DElectricity Supplied by Nuclear own ReactorsPower Reactors in 2008 39.9 TW·h of nuclear electricity generation, representing 20.65% of the total electricity generated.

(14)

TABLE 1. NUCLEAR POWER REACTORS IN THE WORLD (end of 2009) Group and CountryIn OperationUnder Construction Number of UnitsTotal MW(e)Number of UnitsTotal MW(e)Number of UnitsTotal MW(e)TW·hPer cent of Total Electricity North America Canada18 12569 4 2726 85.1 14.8 United States of America104 100747 1 1165 796.9 20.2 Latin America Argentina2 935 1 692 7.6 6.9 Brazil2 1884 12.2 2.9 Mexico2 1300 10.1 4.8 Western Europe Belgium7 5902 45.0 51.7 Finland4 2696 1 1600 22.6 32.9 France59 63260 1 1600 391.8 75.2 Germany17 20480 127.7 26.1 Netherlands1 487 4.0 3.7 Spain8 7450 50.6 17.5 Sweden10 9036 50.0 37.4 Switzerland5 3238 26.3 39.5 United Kingdom19 10137 62.9 17.9 Eastern Europe Armenia1 375 2.3 44.9 Bulgaria2 1906 2 1906 14.2 35.9 Czech Republic6 3678 25.7 33.8 Hungary4 1889 14.3 43.0

Long-term Shut DElectricity Supplied by Nuclear own ReactorsPower Reactors in 2008 TABLE 1. NUCLEAR POWER REACTORS IN THE WORLD (end of 2009) In OperationUnder Construction Group and Country Per cent of Number of UnitsTotal MW(e)Number of UnitsTotal MW(e)Number of UnitsTotal MW(e)TW·h Total Electricity Lithuania (a)1 1185 10.0 76.2 Romania2 1300 10.8 20.6 Russian Federation31 21743 9 6996 152.8 17.8 Slovakia4 1762 2 782 13.1 53.5 Slovenia1 666 5.5 37.8 Ukraine15 13107 2 1900 78.0 48.6 Africa South Africa2 1800 11.6 4.8 Middle East and South Asia India18 3987 5 2708 14.8 2.2 Iran, Islamic Republic of 1 915 Pakistan2 425 1 300 2.6 2.7 Far East China11 8438 20 19920 65.7 1.9 Japan54 46823 1 246 1 1325 263.1 28.9 Korea, Republic of20 17705 6 6520 141.1 34.8 World Total (b)438 371890 5 2972 55 50929 2558.1 13.8 Notes: (a) Last unit was shut down on 31 December 2009; (b) Including the following data on Taiwan, China: — 6 units on operation with total capacity of 4949 MW(e); 2 units under construction with total capacity of 2600 MW(e);

Long-term Shut DElectricity Supplied by Nuclear own ReactorsPower Reactors in 2009 39.9 TW·h of nuclear electricity generation, representing 20.65% of the total electricity generated.

(15)

TABLE 2. NUMBER OF COUNTRIES WITH NUCLEAR POWER REACTORS IN OPERATION OR UNDER CONSTRUCTION (end of 2009) Country GroupNumber of Countries in GroupCountries with Nuclear Power Reactors In OperationLong term ShutdownUnder Construction (1)Total (2) North America2 2 1 1 2 Latin America45 3 1 3 Western Europe29 9 2 9 Eastern Europe27 10 3 10 Africa57 1 1 Middle East and South Asia25 2 3 3 South East Asia and the Pacific27 Far East11 3 1 3 3 World Total223 30 2 13 31 Notes: (1) May includ

e countries having reactors already in operation. (2) Total number of countries in each group that have nuclear power reactors in operation, or under construction.

Note: the nuclear share of electricity generation in Taiwan, China was 20.7%.

FIGURE 1. NUCLEAR SHARE OF TOTAL ELECTRICITY GENERATION IN 200

LITHUANIA FRANCE SLOVAKIA BELGIUM UKRAINE ARMENIA HUNGARY SWITZERLAND SLOVENIA SWEDEN BULGARIA KOREA, REPUBLIC OF CZECH REPUBLIC FINLAND JAPAN GERMANY ROMANIA USA UNITED KINGDOM RUSSIAN FEDERATION SPAIN CANADA ARGENTINA SOUTH AFRICA MEXICO NETHERLANDS BRAZIL PAKISTAN INDIA CHINA

0 20 40 60 80 100

76.2 75.2 53.5

51.7 48.6 45.0 43.0 39.5 37.8 37.4 35.9 34.8 33.8 32.9 28.9 26.1 20.6 20.2 17.9 17.8 17.5 14.8 7.0 4.8 4.8 3.7 2.9 2.7 2.2 1.9

Nuclear Share (%) 9

(16)

TABLE 2. NUMBER OF COUNTRIES WITH NUCLEAR POWER REACTORS IN OPERATION OR UNDER CONSTRUCTION (end of 2009) Country GroupNumber of Countries in GroupCountries with Nuclear Power Reactors In OperationLong term ShutdownUnder Construction (1)Total (2) North America2 2 1 1 2 Latin America45 3 1 3 Western Europe29 9 2 9 Eastern Europe27 10 3 10 Africa57 1 1 Middle East and South Asia25 2 3 3 South East Asia and the Pacific27 Far East11 3 1 3 3 World Total223 30 2 13 31 Notes: (1) May includ

e countries having reactors already in operation. (2) Total number of countries in each group that have nuclear power reactors in operation, or under construction.

Note: the nuclear share of electricity generation in Taiwan, China was 20.7%.

FIGURE 1. NUCLEAR SHARE OF TOTAL ELECTRICITY GENERATION IN 2008

LITHUANIA FRANCE SLOVAKIA BELGIUM UKRAINE ARMENIA HUNGARY SWITZERLAND SLOVENIA SWEDEN BULGARIA KOREA, REPUBLIC OF CZECH REPUBLIC FINLAND JAPAN GERMANY ROMANIA USA UNITED KINGDOM RUSSIAN FEDERATION SPAIN CANADA ARGENTINA SOUTH AFRICA MEXICO NETHERLANDS BRAZIL PAKISTAN INDIA CHINA

0 20 40 60 80 100

76.2 75.2 53.5

51.7 48.6 45.0 43.0 39.5 37.8 37.4 35.9 34.8 33.8 32.9 28.9 26.1 20.6 20.2 17.9 17.8 17.5 14.8 7.0 4.8 4.8 3.7 2.9 2.7 2.2 1.9

Nuclear Share (%)

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