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A model for ageing with hereditary mutations
Stefan Vollmar, Subinay Dasgupta
To cite this version:
Stefan Vollmar, Subinay Dasgupta. A model for ageing with hereditary mutations. Journal de
Physique I, EDP Sciences, 1994, 4 (6), pp.817-822. �10.1051/jp1:1994228�. �jpa-00246948�
Classification Physics Abstracts
05.40 87.10
Short Communication
A mortel for ageing with hereditary mutations
Stefan Vollmar and
Subinay Dasgupta (~,*)
Institute of Theoretical Physics, Cologne University, 50937 KüIn, Germany
(Received
13 April 1994, accepted 19 Apnl1994)
Abstract. We show that a simple model that incorporates a balance of helpful and delete-
nous mutations inherited by future generations, leads to an 'explanation' of biological ageing.
We aise investigate trie stability hmit beyond which the populations decay to zero.
For ages,
biologists
andecologists
have been trying toexplain why living beings
age andwhy
the
populations
of some species showinteresting temporal
behaviourje-g-,
remainconstant)
[1].Recently,
it has been found that in this connection it is aise veryhelpful
to take recourse to thetechniques
ofcomputational physics, mainly
those suited for systems made of ahuge
number of
interacting
elements. In one of suchworks,
Staulfer and Jan [2] have shown thata
simple
'discrete' modelincorporating
somatic mutations canreproduce
someageing
elfects.Ray
[3] continued thisapproach by investigating
thedynamics.
The present communication aims at certain
investigations
related to this work. We presentsome results which can be the
subject
of future research. In anutshell,
the workby
Staulfer and Jan [2] can be summanzed as follows:following
the twc-age model ofPartridge
and Barton [1]they
deal with apopulation consisting
of individua of ages 0l'babies'),
1l'juveniles'),
2
l'adults').
At each time stepl'generation')
the adultsjust
die off and babies(juveniles)
mature to
juvemles (adults)
with survivalprobability
J(A)
and give birth tobabies,
thenumber of babies
being
distributedexponentially
with one averagebaby
per parent.(This
means that there is no birth in half of the cases, one birth with
probability 1/2,
two birthswith
probability 1/4, etc.).
At everygeneration
each individuum aise receives mutations somatic mutations which alter the J value of each individuum toJexp(-ne)
wereconsidered,
with n distributedexponentially
with averageequal
to u. Ababy
survives to ajuvenile
withprobability Jexp(-ne)
but smce the mutations are somatic (1.e.non-heritable)
itgives
birthto babies
having
survivalprobability
J and net Jexp(-ne).
Theprobability
A with which thisjuvenile
grows to an adult is determined first fromPartridge-Barton
assumption J + A~= 1
with the unmutated value of J and then it is altered
by
mutations toAexp(-pe)
where p(*) Permanent address: Department of Physics, University of Calcutta, 92 APC Road, Calcutta 700009, India
818 JOURNAL DE PHYSIQUE I N°6
is
distributed, again exponentially,
but now with average UV. Aftergrowing
up to anadult,
it
again gives
birth to ababy having
survivalprobability
J. The final result isthat, starting
from some 10~ babies(with
J distributed between 0 and 1 withequal probability),
after several hundred ofgenerations,
one has an almost time-invariant ratio ofbabies, juveniles
and adults.Also such behaviour is observed for a range of values for u, u and e, which are the
only
three parameters of the model. It does not matter much whether or notinitially
ail J and A arethe same,
This,
Staulfer and Janclaim, explains
the basic feature ofpopulation
andageing
ofliving
orgamsmssubject
to mutations.Dur first comment on this work is that
although
itproduces interesting
results from asurprisingly simple model,
it incorporatesonly
very weakhereditary
mutations and in order to bemeaningful,
it must includehereditary
mutations.Therefore,
we first includedhereditary
mutations in their model and found that the
previous
results arequalitatively reproduced.
The
hereditary
mutations were added over the somatic mutationsby replacing permanently (at
everygeneration)
J valuesby
Jn =Jexp(-eh). Thus,
the new J value is nowchanged,
asbefore,
to Jnexp(-ne) by
somatic mutations and the babies survive tojuveniles
withprobabil- ity
Jnexp(-ne)
and thengive
birth to new babieshaving
ajuvenile
survivalprobability equal
to Jn. The adult survival
probabilities
aregiven
as beforeby
Anexp(-pe)
where An is related to J via thePartridge-Barton equation.
We have worked with two versions. In version a wetake the
Partridge-Barton equation
as J +AS
= 1 and in version b we take it as Jn +AS
= 1.Thus in version b the
hereditary
mutation affects the adult survivalprobability
in the samegeneration,
while in version a one moregeneration
is needed for this elfect asAn
sees the elfect ofhereditary
mutations that haschanged
J in theprevious generation.
The parameter eh wastaken to be
positive l'good' mutations)
andnegative l'bad'mutations)
withequal probability.
When it is
positive (negative)
itsprecise
value was chosenrandomly
as any number between 0 and eui-fi
Thus our model now has rive parameters: u, u, e, eu, fi, and we have studiedseveral
values, keeping
e= 0.01. We have
always
started with J values that were distributedhomogeneously
between 0 and 1. Results are as follows:il)
If one varies fi andkeeps
ail other parameters constant, then for low values of fi thepopulation
becomesstationary
alter several hundredgenerations,
but forhigh
values of fi itdecays
to zero. Theboundary
between these two types of behaviour is shown infigure
1 which looks like a'phase diagram'. (Versions
a and b dilferonly quantitatively.)
(2)
The adult survivalprobabilities (Fig. 2b) depend only
on theproduct
UV and not on the individual factors u and u for fixed ~aluesoff,
eu, fi, but this is not the case for thejuvenile
survivalprobabilities (Fig. 2a).
Thephase diagram (Fig. l)
alsodepends
on the mdividual factors u and u.(3)
A set of pararneter values that results inhigher juvenile
survivalprobabilities
than those of another set has at the same time adult survivalprobabilities
that are lower.(4)
Asregards figure
2, the versions a and bgive qualitatively
similarresults, only
there is thequantitative
dilference that J for version a islarger
than that for version b(with
ailparameters
unchanged)
and for A the trend is reverse.(5)
For eh= 0 the
population
dies out(see Lynch
and Gabriel [4]).Thus, we find that
introducing hereditary
mutations in the work of Staulfer and Jan(with
reasonable values of
parameters)
one getsmeanigful
results. In view of this weattempted
next to construct asimple
model whichreproduces
ail the essential features of the Staulfer and Janmodel, incorporates hereditary
mutations and does away with the parameter u which so far has been chosen ratherarbitrarily (see Lynch
and Gabriel [4] forbiological estimates).
Thus,
wg nowignore
somatic mutations and fluctuations in birth(precisely
one birth pergeneration)
and assume that each individuum carnes one J and one A value. The JIA)
value is relevant
only
when it grows from ababy (juvenile)
to ajuvenile (an adult).
When itD.oB
* + typea
o.07
'YP~b
0.06
or
O.oS
0.04
+
0.
0 5 1
u
820 JOURNAL DE PHYSIQUE I N°6
o
O.g
~
~
X x
) +
+
+ x
fi
+
x
Î
0.8
(
~ m. .
+
~ ~~
i
~'~ÎÎ=002
1
. E~r003
(
à à à. E =0 05 + E~=0.10 0. 6
x EÎr015
.
Jihco<
0.5
0 20 40 60 80 100
uv
a)
O.B . . E~=0.01
à E~r002
~
. E~r0.03
. " E~=0.05
à + £~=010
~ m , x E~=0.15
1
~ ~
~
Aihoe, E
. .
É 8 +
Î
x')
+~)
~x .
1 0.4 m
+
#
~~
0 20 40 60 80 100
1<v
b)
Fig. 2. Juvenile and adult survival probabilities J and A asa function of UV for u
= 10, e = 0.01, ej
=
0.1. We staff with 10~ babies and carry over to 300 generations. This plot is for type a, but type b
dilfers only qualitatively. For
u = 2 figure 2b would be similar but figure 2a will change
(see text).
Jtl~~~r and Atheor are the fines predicted by the formulae J
= 0.935
Iii
+ Ve) and A= 0.505
/(1+
vuederived by Staulfer and Jan [2] on the basis of some simple arguments.
o.08
u=10.Ù
0.06
S 0.02 1
.
* . decaying
0.00 E
&)
o
o 0.9
o
~ .7
oJ .
1
°.~ .
*
O.I
O.1 0.2
~i<
b)
Fig.
ith
be (4
10~,10~,2000). Some data points were checked with (no, nt, T) = (4 x 0~,10~,3000). The
number nt is the which ixes
the attern of'food restriction' (see text).
822 JOURNAL DE PHYSIQUE I N°6
decays
withgenerations
and for the other values thepopulation
increasesmonotomcally (with-
out food
restriction),
or attains astationary
value(with
foodrestriction).
Thestationary
value for survivalprobabilities
are in tumindependent
of theinput
pararneters.This,
webelieve, might
be an indication in support of some agemg theories based on mutation accumulation [GI.Acknowledgements.
We are indebted to Dietrich Staulfer for
introducing
us to thesubject
ofageing
and for his active interest in our work and to Naeem Jan forsuggesting
the search for fixed points.S-V- thanks the
Rechenzentrum, Cologne University,
for a generous grant of computer time andgeneral
support. S-D- thanks SFB 341 for support and HLRZ St.Augustin
for comutertime.
References
[1] Partridge L. and Barton N-H-, Nature 362
(1993)
305.[2] Staulfer D. and Jan N., preprint
(1993);
see also Jan N., prepnnt
(1994).
[3] Ray T.S., J, Stat. Phys. 74
(1994)
929.[4] Lynch M. and Gabriel W., Evolution 44
(1990)
1725.[Si Murray J. D., Mathematical Biology
(Spnnger-Verlag,
Berlin, Heidelberg, 1989) p. 2.[6] Rose M.R. and Charlesworth B., Nature 287