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Methods of within bale variability study for cotton produced in Africa

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(1)

Methods of within bale variability

Methods of within bale variability

study for cotton produced in Africa

LUKONGE Everina ABOÉ Modeste

GOZÉ Eric GOZÉ Eric

GOURLOT Jean-Paul

(2)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Introduction Common Fund for Commodities

• Cotton fibre characterization is important during

(3)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Introduction Common Fund for Commodities

• Cotton fibre characterization is important during

spinning, weaving, etc. p g g

• Fiber classing and testing have gradually impacted cotton trade worldwide

(4)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Introduction Common Fund for Commodities

• Cotton fibre characterization is important during

spinning, weaving, etc. p g g

• Fiber classing and testing have gradually impacted cotton trade worldwide

cotton trade worldwide

• Trend to move from manual and visual classing to instrument classing “Standardized Instruments for

(5)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Introduction Common Fund for Commodities

• Cotton fibre characterization is important during

spinning, weaving, etc. p g g

• Fiber classing and testing have gradually impacted cotton trade worldwide

cotton trade worldwide

• Trend to move from manual and visual classing to instrument classing “Standardized Instruments for

Testing Cotton” (SITC)g ( )

• 50% of the cotton traded in the world classed with SITC measuring Micronaire length uniformity

SITC measuring Micronaire, length, uniformity, Strength, Reflectance and Yellowness

(6)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Introduction Common Fund for Commodities

• Cotton fibre characterization is important during

spinning, weaving, etc. p g g

• Fiber classing and testing have gradually impacted cotton trade worldwide

cotton trade worldwide

• Trend to move from manual and visual classing to instrument classing “Standardized Instruments for

Testing Cotton” (SITC)g ( )

• 50% of the cotton traded in the world classed with SITC measuring Micronaire length uniformity

SITC measuring Micronaire, length, uniformity, Strength, Reflectance and Yellowness

(7)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Introduction Common Fund for Commodities

• Accuracy and precision of these measurements

(8)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Introduction Common Fund for Commodities

• Accuracy and precision of these measurements

depends on the within-bale variabilityp y

• Within bale variability depends on

the cotton plant – the cotton plant

– cropping system used

– supply area of the ginning mill

– seed-cotton management practices g p – ginning equipment and practices

(9)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Introduction Common Fund for Commodities

• Accuracy and precision of these measurements

depends on the within-bale variabilityp y

• Within bale variability depends on

the cotton plant – the cotton plant

– cropping system used

– supply area of the ginning mill

– seed-cotton management practices g p – ginning equipment and practices

• Sampling and testing procedures take the within • Sampling and testing procedures take the within

bale variability into account to determine the

i i d t f fib h t i ti

(10)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Introduction Common Fund for Commodities

• Larger within bale variability => lower precision of

(11)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Introduction Common Fund for Commodities

• Larger within bale variability => lower precision of

the measurements => higher litigation riskg g

• African production conditions differ from the USA

cotton farms are smaller on average 0 6 ha – cotton farms are smaller, on average 0.6 ha – cropping system is largely manual.

=> Each bale includes fiber produced on a larger number of farms under different field conditions than in USA

(12)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Introduction Common Fund for Commodities

• Larger within bale variability => lower precision of

the measurements => higher litigation riskg g

• African production conditions differ from the USA

cotton farms are smaller on average 0 6 ha – cotton farms are smaller, on average 0.6 ha – cropping system is largely manual.

=> Each bale includes fiber produced on a larger number of farms under different field conditions than in USA

=> Need to study within bale variability of

technological characteristics of cotton fibers in technological characteristics of cotton fibers in African conditions to set sampling and testing operating conditions

(13)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Objectives of the study Common Fund for Commodities

This study focused:

• The supply area of the ginning millsThe supply area of the ginning mills • The ginning equipment

Goal: to quantify the level of within bale variability as Goal: to quantify the level of within bale variability as measured by SITC to deduce the most appropriate sampling and testing procedures for African countries sampling and testing procedures for African countries • Bales from 14 African countries

(14)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities 14 countries involved in the study Common Fund for Commodities

MALI SENEGAL SUDAN BURKINA FASO IVORY COAST SUDAN UGANDA BENIN TOGO TANZANIA UGANDA MOZAMBIQUE CAMEROUN CHAD ZIMBABWE ZAMBIA TANZANIA CAMEROUN ZIMBABWE

(15)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Materials and methods Common Fund for Commodities

• Two seasons: 2008-2009 season 1 and 2009-2010 season 2

• Sixty three situations were studied for:

their seed cotton supply areas – their seed-cotton supply areas,

– ginning equipment (roller vs saw) and presence or b f li t l

absence of lint cleaners

– Season 1, 28 situations were sampled – Season 2, 35 situations were sampled

– Some situations remained the same in both seasons – Others were added in the 2nd season to extend the

situations situations

(16)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Sampling cotton fiber for the Common Fund for Commodities

characterization

• Assumption:

– Cotton transported in different trucks came from various p villages ( this may induce different levels of variability)

(17)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Sampling cotton fiber for the Common Fund for Commodities

characterization

• Assumption:

– Cotton transported in different trucks came from various p villages ( this may induce different levels of variability)

– One truck holds around 18 bales of 225 kg of fibres eachOne truck holds around 18 bales of 225 kg of fibres each

• 1 bale sampled out of every 20 bales in each situation

situation

• 10 bales were sampled in season 1 and 5 bales p

season 2

• 8 samples were collected per bale • 8 samples were collected per bale

(18)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Sampling cotton fiber for the Common Fund for Commodities

characterization

• Assumption:

– Cotton transported in different trucks came from various p villages ( this may induce different levels of variability)

– One truck holds around 18 bales of 225 kg of fibres eachOne truck holds around 18 bales of 225 kg of fibres each

• 1 bale sampled out of every 20 bales in each situation

situation

• 10 bales were sampled in season 1 and 5 bales p

season 2

• 8 samples were collected per bale • 8 samples were collected per bale

(19)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Samples taken from a bale Common Fund for Commodities

8 samples per bale 3 gins/country

(20)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Samples taken for the study Common Fund for Commodities

Bale n

Bale n + 20 Bale n + 20

No sample taken

(21)

Folie 20

M11 JPG I need your help to explan in English this part.

(22)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities 6 measured characteristics Common Fund for Commodities

Micronaire (Mic, Micronaire unit)

Upper Half Mean Length (UHML, mm) Upper Half Mean Length (UHML, mm) Length Uniformity Index (UI, %)

Strength (Str, g/tex) Reflectance (Rd %) Reflectance (Rd, %)

Yellowness (+b, Yellowness unit)

• Uster Technologies model HVI 1000 were used

according to CSITC Task Force recommendations. g

(23)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Material and methods Common Fund for Commodities

Facts:

• One bale is the result of stacking successive layersOne bale is the result of stacking successive layers • One sample from each of the eight layers was

l di t ib t d i h b l d d t i

(24)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Model for data analysis Common Fund for Commodities

Th d l f l i th i d lt th

The model for analysing the acquired results was the following:

Measured result Y = m bale fixed effect

+ A layer random effect , with std deviation A layer random effect , with std deviation

+ B block effect

+ E experimental error with std deviation + E experimental error, with std deviation

(25)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Model for data analysis Common Fund for Commodities

the measured result Y is :

mii mean of the bale i

+ Ai random effect of the layer j in the bale i

+ Ei j k measurement error of the replicate k

+ Ei, j, k measurement error of the replicate k

of the layer j of the bale i ith i i 1 I b l

with i in 1…I bales

j in 1…J layers in each bale

(26)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Planned mode of exploration of the Common Fund for Commodities

data

The two retained random effects retained as

variability sources (A and E) as:y ( )

i th i f th d l ff t

is the variance of the random layer effect, is the variance of the residual effect

to measure the “overall sampling variance” due to the p g

operational sampling and testing conditions using a SITC

(27)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Parameters for choosing sampling Common Fund for Commodities

and testing conditions

Not exceed a 10% litigation risk on individual bales Respect commercial usual tolerances

Characteristic Commercial tolerances

UHML +/- 0.508 mm UI +/- 1 % St th +/ 1 5 /t Strength +/- 1.5 g/tex Micronaire +/- 0.1 unit Rd +/- 1 %

(28)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Iso-variance curves Common Fund for Commodities

Combination for a given situation

Iso-variance

D i f i i l f

envelope curve

Design of iso-variance envelope curves for determining:

- the number and type (single or combined) of samples per bale

samples per bale

(29)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Iso-variances curves Common Fund for Commodities

SigmaA vs SigmaE for Gin X SigmaA vs SigmaE for Gin X

1 sample, 1 replicatep

(30)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Iso-variance curves for Micronaire Common Fund for Commodities

Many situations are included y in the J’=1 and K’=1 circle

Other situations are included inside the dotted circles with

J’ layers sampled and K’=1

(31)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Formulas underlying the graphs Common Fund for Commodities

From the estimation of standard deviations, we can deduce the variance of the error of estimation of the bale mean :

 For any sample made of J’ layers, each tested K’ times (cluster)

 For any combined sample from J’ layers, and tested N’ y p y , times (composite)

 Upon hypothesis for J’, K’ and N’, study of the improvement of sigma M as a function of sample and test numbers

(32)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Possibilities in sampling and testing Common Fund for Commodities

Sampling in the bale

Sample taken in the layer at the top of the balep

C bi d Various layers in the bale Combined sample ba e S l k i h l

Sample taken in the layer at the bottom of the bale

(33)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Possibilities in sampling and testing Common Fund for Commodities

Sample analysis with one replicate of

Sampling in the bale

Sample testing

one measurement per sample

Composite testing Cluster testing Sample taken in the layer

at the top of the bale

1 measurement (meas.) 1 meas. 1 meas. p C bi d Various layers in the bale

Sample analysis with one replicate of two measurements per sample

Combined sample

ba e two measurements per sample

Composite testing Cluster testing

S l k i h l 2 meas.

OR

Sample taken in the layer at the bottom of the bale

1 meas. 1 meas. 1 meas 1 meas. 1 meas.

(34)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Operating methods to be decided Common Fund for Commodities

by situation - prospects

• Contribution of ‘layer’ and ‘replicate’ differed

depending on the technological characteristic and p g g

(35)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Operating methods to be decided Common Fund for Commodities

by situation - prospects

• Contribution of ‘layer’ and ‘replicate’ differed

depending on the technological characteristic and p g g

the studied situations

• For economical optimizations we may develop • For economical optimizations, we may develop

specific testing procedures like composite or

l t t ti

(36)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Operating methods to be decided Common Fund for Commodities

by situation - prospects

• Contribution of ‘layer’ and ‘replicate’ differed

depending on the technological characteristic and p g g

the studied situations

• For economical optimizations we may develop • For economical optimizations, we may develop

specific testing procedures like composite or

l t t ti

cluster testing

• The source of additional variations could be from

• The effect of the crop season

• The presence or absence of lint cleaner • The presence or absence of lint cleaner • The ginning equipments

(37)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Operating methods to be decided Common Fund for Commodities

by situation - prospects

• Contribution of ‘layer’ and ‘replicate’ differed

depending on the technological characteristic and p g g

the studied situations

• For economical optimizations we may develop • For economical optimizations, we may develop

specific testing procedures like composite or

l t t ti

cluster testing

• The source of additional variations could be from

• The effect of the crop season

• The presence or absence of lint cleaner • The presence or absence of lint cleaner • The ginning equipments

(38)

seed-This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Limitations of the study Common Fund for Commodities

• Reproducibility conditions - differences from one

(39)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Limitations of the study Common Fund for Commodities

• Reproducibility conditions - differences from one

classing laboratory to the other – not studiedg y

• Attention: General Rules of Cotton Associations have additional litigation risks as lot litigation risk have additional litigation risks, as lot litigation risk, than on the individual bales.

(40)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Limitations of the study Common Fund for Commodities

• Reproducibility conditions - differences from one

classing laboratory to the other – not studiedg y

• Attention: General Rules of Cotton Associations have additional litigation risks as lot litigation risk have additional litigation risks, as lot litigation risk, than on the individual bales.

Positive extension of the study: Periodical monitoring Positive extension of the study: Periodical monitoring of the within-bale variability for each situation for

adjusting / confirming sampling and testing settings adjusting / confirming sampling and testing settings while respecting the agreed commercial tolerances

d th liti ti i k l l

(41)

This project is co-funded by the European Union and the

Common Fund for Commodities Acknowledgements to Common Fund for Commodities

The Financial contributors who made this study

possible CFC/UN/ EU, "All ACP Agricultural

p g

Commodities Programme” under the sponsorship of the International Cotton Advisory Committee (ICAC) the International Cotton Advisory Committee (ICAC) and the leadership of FIBRE

The personnel of Regional Technical Centers ofp g

Tanzania and Mali

(42)

Thank

you

y

for

your

y

attention

Methods of within bale variability for

y

cotton

produced

in

Africa

LUKONGE E., ABOÉ M., GOZÉ E., GOURLOT J.-P.

h h

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