• Aucun résultat trouvé

Outline of the dissertation

Chapter 1. Introduction

1.3 Outline of the dissertation

As explained above, the present dissertation is divided into two parts, each of them comprising two different chapters. In the first part, chapter two deals with the changing relations between new and old parties and different segments of voters, considered under an occupational/class perspective. It

tackles the diverse competition for the working class vote making dichotomy analyses that compare voting patterns among workers when choosing between social democrats and the far-left, social democrats and the far-right, and most significantly, abstention. Chapter three focuses on the three-way relationship between dualism, Welfare State, and the Populist Radical Right (PRR), and pins down the voting preferences of insiders and outsiders towards PRR parties, depending on their labour market conditions and the structural, regulatory context. Both chapters together offer a nuanced, complex view on where working class voters are heading, and why.

The second part takes on the diverging preferences for different labour market policies among workers, and how these translate into actual reforming patterns. Chapter four explores the question of who wants flexicurity, using Eurobarometer data to define insider, outsider, high- and low-skilled workers’ preferences on labour market change. Finally, chapter five puts the results into a real-world reform process, conducting a qualitative comparative case study between Spain and Italy to discover under what conditions social democracy finds a way out of dualisation. Employment protection reforms in Spain and Italy during the EMU crisis are carefully considered to offer a possible answer.

Behind the Italy-Spain comparison lies the simple yet powerful notion that social democracy does not have a fixed path. Instead, in line with Rueda (2007), it should be emphasised that mainstream parties can actually choose their path. Which, in turn, should put into perspective the insights obtained from all other chapters. Since (as self-contained research projects) these are rather lousily related to each other, I devote chapter six to defining common threats, inserting some more general concluding remarks that aim to align the partial conclusions of each chapter while also defining possible avenues for further research that mostly (but not solely) relate to the idea of dynamic supply-sided actors.

References

Afonso, Alexandre, and Linne Rennwald (2018) 'Social Class and the Changing Welfare State Agenda of Radical Right Parties in Europe', in Philip Manow, Bruno Palier and Hannah Schwander (eds.) Welfare Democracies and Party Politics: Explaining Electoral Dynamics in Times of Changing Welfare Capitalism (171), Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Alesina, Alberto, Stefano Ardagna, and Vicenzo Galasso (2008). 'The euro and structural reforms', National Bureau of Economic Research working papers, No. 14479.

Arzheimer, Kai, and Elisabeth Carter (2006). 'Political opportunity structures and right-wing extremist party success', European Journal of Political Research, 45:3, 419-443.

Bonoli, Giuliano (2005). 'The politics of the new social policies: providing coverage against new social risks in mature welfare states', Policy & politics, 33:3, 431-449.

Bourdieu, Pierre (1986). 'The forms of capital.' In Cultural theory: An anthology: 81-93.

Calmfors, Lars (2001). 'Unemployment, labor market reform, and monetary union', Journal of labor Economics, 19:2, 265-289.

Carlin, Wendy and David Soskice (2008). 'German economic performance: disentangling the role of supply-side reforms, macroeconomic policy and coordinated economy institutions', Socio-Economic Review, 7:1, 67-99.

Crouch, Colin and Wolfgang Streeck (eds.) (1997). Political economy of modern capitalism: Mapping convergence and diversity. New York: Sage.

Croucher, Sheila (2018). Globalization and belonging: The politics of identity in a changing world.

Lanham: Rowman & Littlefield.

Downs, Anthony (1957). 'An economic theory of political action in a democracy'. Journal of political economy, 65:2, 135-150.

Duval, Romain and Jörgen Elmeskov (2006). 'The effects of EMU on structural reforms in labour and product markets', ECB Working Paper, No. 596

Ebbinghaus, Bernhard (2005). 'Can path dependence explain institutional change? Two approaches applied to welfare state reform', MPIfG Discussion Paper, No. 05/2.

Emmenegger, Patrick (2009). 'Barriers to entry: Insider/outsider politics and the political determinants of job security regulations'. Journal of European Social Policy, 19:2, 131-146.

Emmenegger, Patrick, Silja Häusermann, Bruno Palier, and Martin Seeleib-Kaiser (eds.) (2012). The age of dualization: the changing face of inequality in deindustrializing societies. New York:

Oxford University Press USA.

Gingrich, Jane, and Silja Häusermann (2015). 'The decline of the working-class vote, the reconfiguration of the welfare support coalition and consequences for the welfare state'. Journal of European Social Policy, 25:1, 50-75.

Goldthorpe, John H., Catriona Lewellyn, and Clive Payne (1980). 'Social mobility and class structure in modern Britain', The British Journal of Sociology, 32:1, 137-139

Häusermann, Silja, & Hannah Schwander (2012). 'Varieties of dualization? Labor market segmentation and insider-outsider divides across regimes'. In Emmenegger, Patrick, Silja Häusermann, Bruno Palier, and Martin Seeleib-Kaiser (eds.) (2012) The age of dualization: the changing face of inequality in deindustrializing societies (27-51), New York: Oxford University Press USA.

Inglehart, Ronald F. (1971). 'The silent revolution in Europe: Intergenerational change in post-industrial societies', American political science review, 65:4, 991-1017.

Inglehart, Ronald F. (2008). 'Changing values among western publics from 1970 to 2006', West european politics, 31:1-2, 130-146.

King, Dave, and David Rueda (2008). 'Cheap labor: the new politics of “bread and roses” in industrial democracies', Perspectives on Politics, 6:2, 279-297.

Kitschelt, Herbert (1995). ‘Formation of Party Cleavages in Post-Communist Democracies: Theoretical Propositions’, Party Politics, 1:4, 447-472.

Kitschelt, Herbert (2007). ‘Growth and Persistence of the Radical Right in Postindustrial Democracies:

Advances and Challenges in Comparative Research’, West European Politics, 30:5, 1176-1206.

Kriesi, Hanspeter, Edgar Grande, Romain Lachat, Martin Dolezal, Simon Bornschier, Timotheos Frey (2006). ‘Globalization and the transformation of the national political space: Six European countries compared’, European Journal of Political Research, 45:6, 921-956.

Kriesi, Hanspeter (ed.) (2008). West European politics in the age of globalization. Cambridge:

Cambridge University Press.

Kriesi, Hanspeter (ed.) (2012). Political conflict in Western Europe. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press.

Kriesi, Hanspeter (2014). ‘The Populist Challenge’, West European Politics, 37:2, 361-378.

Kriesi, Hanspeter and Simon Bornschier (2012). 'The populist right, the working class, and the changing face of class politics', in Jens Rydgren (ed.), Class politics and the radical right (28-48), New York: Routledge.

Lavelle, Ashley (2016). The death of social democracy: Political consequences in the 21st century, New York: Routledge.

Lodovici, Manuela S. (2000). 'The dynamics of labour market reform in European countries', in Gøsta Esping-Andersen and Marino Regini, Why deregulate labour markets (30-65), Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Lucassen, Geertje, and Marcel Lubbers (2012). ‘Who fears what? Explaining far-right-wing preference in Europe by distinguishing perceived cultural and economic ethnic threats’, Comparative Political Studies, 45:5, 547-574.

Marx, Paul and George Picot (2013). 'The party preferences of atypical workers in Germany', Journal of European Social Policy, 23:2, 164-178.

McBride, Stephen and Russell A. Williams (2001). 'Globalization, the restructuring of labour markets and policy convergence: The OECD ‘jobs strategy’'. Global Social Policy, 1:3, 281-309.

Meardi, Guglielmo (2012). 'Employment relations under external pressure: Italian and Spanish reforms in 2010-12', International Labour Process Conference, Stockholm, 27-29.

Mewes, Jan and Steffen Mau (2012). 'Unraveling working-class welfare chauvinism', in Stefan Svallfors (ed.), Contested welfare states: Welfare attitudes in Europe and beyond (119-57), Stanford: Stanford University Press.

Mingione, Enzio (1995). 'Labour market segmentation and informal work in Southern Europe', European Urban and Regional Studies, 2:2, 121-143.

Oesch, Daniel (2003). 'Labour market trends and the Goldthorpe class schema: a conceptual reassessment', Revue suisse de sociologie, 2:2, 241-262.

Oesch, Daniel (2008). 'Explaining workers' support for right-wing populist parties in Western Europe:

Evidence from Austria, Belgium, France, Norway, and Switzerland'. International Political Science Review, 29:3, 349-373.

van Oorschot, Wim (2004). 'Balancing work and welfare: activation and flexicurity policies in The Netherlands, 1980-2000'. International Journal of Social Welfare, 13:1, 15-27.

"Pablo Iglesias acusa al PSOE de preferir que siga Rajoy en La Moncloa a gobernar con Podemos [Pablo Iglesias Accuses PSOE of Preferring Rajoy as a Prime Minister over Ruling with Podemos]" (2018, February 5). Europa Press. Retrieved from http://www.europapress.es/nacional/noticia-pablo-iglesias-acusa-psoe-preferir-siga-rajoy-moncloa-gobernar-podemos-20180205001500.html (Accessed 27 June 2018).

Palier, Bruno (ed.). (2010). A long goodbye to Bismarck?: the politics of welfare reforms in continental Europe. Amsterdam: Amsterdam University Press.

Patton, David F. (2006). 'Germany's Left Party. PDS and the ‘Vacuum Thesis’: From regional milieu party to left alternative?', Journal of Communist Studies and Transition Politics, 22:2, 206-227.

Pierson, Paul (1996). 'The new politics of the welfare state', World politics, 48:2, 143-179.

Pontusson, Jonas (1995). 'Explaining the decline of European social democracy: The role of structural economic change?', World Politics, 47:4, 495-533.

Prosser, Tomas (2016). 'Dualization or liberalization? Investigating precarious work in eight European countries', Work, employment and society, 30:6, 949-965.

Rueda, David (2005). 'Insider-outsider politics in industrialized democracies: the challenge to social democratic parties', American Political Science Review, 99:1, 61-74.

Rydgren, Jens (2007). 'The sociology of the radical right', Annual Review of Sociolology, 33, 241-262.

Schumacher, Gijs and Kees van Kersbergen (2016). 'Do mainstream parties adapt to the welfare chauvinism of populist parties?', Party Politics, 22:3, 300-312.

Stokes, Donald E. (1963). 'Spatial models of party competition', American political science review, 57:2, 368-377.

Thelen, Kathleen (2009). 'Institutional change in advanced political economies', British Journal of Industrial Relations, 47:3, 471-498.

Thelen, Kathleen (2014). Varieties of liberalization and the new politics of social solidarity. Cambridge:

Cambridge University Press.

"Un grand bourgeois qui ne connaît rien à la vie [A Bourgeoise who Knows Nothing about Life]”.

(2017, January 4). Marianne Magazine, retrieved from

https://www.marianne.net/politique/melenchon-sur-macron-un-grand-bourgeois-qui-ne-connait-rien-la-vie

Viebrock, Elke and Jochen Clasen (2009). 'Flexicurity and welfare reform: a review'. Socio-Economic Review, 7:2, 305-331.

Visser, Mark, Marcel Lubbers, Gerbert Kraaykamp, and Eva Jaspers (2014). 'Support for radical left ideologies in Europe', European journal of political research, 53:3, 541-558.