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Power and parameter estimation of complex segregation
analysis under a finite locus model
P Uimari, Bw Kennedy, Jcm Dekkers
To cite this version:
Original
article
Power and
parameter
estimation
of
complex
segregation analysis
under
a
finite locus
model
P
Uimari,
BW
Kennedy
JCM Dekkers
Department
of
Animal andPoultry Science,
Centrefor
GeneticImprovement
of Livestock, University of Guelph, Guelph,
ON N1G2W8,
Canada(Received
20 October 1995;accepted
7May
1996)
Summary - Power and parameter estimation of
segregation analysis
wasinvestigated
forindependent
nucleusfamily
data on aquantitative
traitgenerated
under a finite locus model and under a mixed model. For the finite locusmodel,
gene effects at ten loci weregenerated
from ageometric
series.Additionally, linkage
between amajor
locus and other loci was considered. Two different methods ofsegregation
analysis
werecompared:
a mixed model and a finitepolygenic
mixed model. Both statistical methods gave similar power to detect amajor
gene and estimates of parameters. Anexception
was a situation where twomajor
loci had anequal
effect onphenotype:
the mixed model had ahigher
power than thefinite
polygenic
mixedmodel,
but estimates of the parameters from the mixed model were more biased than estimates from the finitepolygenic
mixed model.Segregation
analysis
was more
powerful
indetecting
amajor
gene when data weregenerated
under the finite locus model than under the mixed model. When amajor
gene was linked to another gene, amajor
gene was more difficult to detect than without suchlinkage. Segregation
of twomajor
genes created biased estimates. Bias increased withlinkage
when parents were not a randomsample
from apopulation
inlinkage equilibrium.
parameter estimation
/
power/
major gene/
segregation analysisRésumé - Puissance et estimation des paramètres dans l’analyse de ségrégation
com-plexe avec un modèle à nombre fini de locus. La puissance de
l’analyse
deségrégation
etl’estimation des
paramètres
ont été étudiées sur desfamilles
nucléairesindépendantes
pour un caractèrequantitatif
déterminé soit par un nombrefini
de locus soit selon un modèle d’héréditémixte,
impliquant
ungène majeur
et un résidupolygénique infinitésimal.
Dansle modèle à nombre
fini
delocus,
le nombre de locussupposé
était de dix et leurseffets
sui-vaient une loi de distributiongéométrique.
En outre, lapossibilité
de liaisongénétique
entre un locus majeur et d’autres locus étaitenvisagée.
Deux méthodesd’analyse
deségrégation
ont étécomparées,
utilisant soit un modèle d’hérédité mixte, soit un modèle d’hérédité avec un nombrefini
de locus. Les deux méthodesstatistiques présentaient
despuissances
simi-laires pour détecter ungène majeur
et estimer lesparamètres correspondants.
À
l’exception
toutefois
d’une situation avec deux locus majeurs ayant le mêmeeffet
sur lephénotype.
nom-bre
fini
delocus,
mais les estimées desparamètres
à partir du modèle mixte étaientplus
biaisées que celles du modèle à nombrefini
de locus.L’analyse
deségrégation
étaitplus
puissante
pour détecter ungène
majeur dans le cas d’un caractère déterminé par un nom-brefini
de locus que dans une situation d’hérédité mixte. Ungène majeur
lié à un autregène
étaitplus difficile
à détecterqu’en
l’absence de liaisongénétique.
Laségrégation
de deuxgènes
majeurs créait des biais d’estimation. Les biais étaient encore accrus en cas de liaisongénétique quand
les parents n’étaient pas tirés d’unepopulation
enéquilibre
gamétique
pour les deux locus majeurs.estimation de paramètre
/
puissance / gène majeur/
analyse de ségrégationINTRODUCTION
Statistical methods used to determine the mode of inheritance of a
quantitative
trait in detection ofmajor
genesrely
onphenotypic
information. Inaddition,
methods can utilize information ongenetic markers,
which are now numerous. In both cases, the most common statistical methods to detect amajor
gene are basedon maximum likelihood
theory.
Maximum-likelihood-basedcomplex
segregation
analysis
was introducedby
Elston and Stewart(1971)
and Morton and MacLean(1974).
Complex
segregation
analysis
combines three factors into a mixed model foranalysis
ofphenotypes
for aquantitative
trait: a gene whichexplains
a detectablepart
ofgenetic
variance(major gene);
residualpolygenic
variance,
for which individual gene effects are not of direct interest ordetectable;
and environment.Recently
a finitepolygenic
mixedmodel,
whichexplains
thepolygenic
part
of inheritanceby
a finite number ofloci,
wasproposed by
Fernando et al(1994)
as an alternative formulation for the mixed model. To make the finitepolygenic
mixed modelcomputationally
feasible it is assumed that loci whichexplain
thepolygenic
part
of inheritance areunlinked, biallelic, codominant,
and haveequal
gene effects andequal frequencies
of favourable alleles(0.5)
across loci(Fernando
etal,
1994).
Power of
segregation
analysis
ofindependent
nucleusfamily
data(full-sib
fami-lies)
with the mixed model wasinvestigated by
MacLean et al(1975)
and Boreckiet al
(1994)
and for half-sib databy
LeRoy
et al(1989)
and Knott et al(1991).
In all cases, data were simulatedaccording
to the mixed model of inheritance. Thegeneral
conclusion from these studies was that the best chance to detect amajor
gene is if it is dominant with moderate to low
frequency
in thepopulation. By
increasing
data size(number
of families and size of thefamilies),
major
genes withsmaller effects can be detected.
Many
aspects
thatmight
affect robustness ofsegregation analysis
with the mixed model have been studied also(MacLean
etal, 1975;
Go et al1978;
Demenaiset
al,
1986).
The main concern has been false detection of amajor
gene withskewed data. To overcome this
problem,
power transformation of the data wasproposed
(MacLean
etal,
1976).
Theoptimal
solution for skewed data is to make the transformationsimultaneously
with estimation of otherparameters
(MacLean
et
al,
1984).
Removing
skewness may,however,
lead to reduced power to detect aOther common
assumptions
insegregation
analysis
includehomogeneous
vari-ance withinmajor
genotypes,
independence
between themajor
gene andpolygenic
effects,
nogenotype
by
environmentalcorrelation,
and no correlation between en-vironment ofparent
andoffspring
(MacLean
etal,
1975).
One basic
assumption
ofsegregation
analysis,
which has received lessattention,
isnormality
of the residual distribution(polygenic
+environmental)
within amajor
genotype.
Thisassumption
is met if thepolygenic
part
is controlledby
infinite number of genes that each haveonly
a small effect onphenotype,
ie,
the infinitesimal model(Bulmer,
1980),
and if the environmental factor isnormally
distributed.However,
the infinitesimal modelmight
not be the best model for the distributionof gene effects. A model where few genes with a
large
effect and several geneswith small effects control a
quantitative
trait may be closer to the real nature of the distribution of gene effects. Evidence fromDrosophila
melanogaster
supports
this
hypothesis
(Shrimpton
andRobertson, 1988;
Mackay
etal,
1992).
Such a distribution of gene effects can beapproximated by
ageometric
series(Lande
andThompson,
1990).
If gene effects follow a
geometric series,
the distribution withinmajor
genotype
may not be
normal,
as with the infinitesimal model. This violates theassumption
of anormally
distributedpolygenic
part
of the mixed modelcommonly
used insegregation
analysis.
Two or more loci withlarge
effects can also lie in a cluster ona
chromosome,
which would link themajor
gene to other genes and thus violate theassumption
ofindependent
segregation
of amajor
gene andpolygenes.
The
objective
of this paper was tostudy
the effect of violation of the twoassumptions
of theunderlying
model insegregation
analysis, namely
a skewedpolygenic
distribution andlinkage
between amajor
gene andpolygenes,
on thepower of
detecting
amajor
gene and onparameter
estimation. Behavior of themixed model of
segregation
analysis
(Morton
andMacLean,
1974)
wascompared
to the finite
polygenic
mixed model(Fernando
etal,
1994).
The methods werecompared
under anindependent
nucleusfamily
data structure.MATERIALS AND METHODS
Balanced data on a
quantitative
trait were simulated for 25independent
full-sibfamilies,
with asire, dam,
and tenoffspring.
Allparents
were assumed tobe unrelated and were
generated
from apopulation
underHardy-Weinberg
andlinkage equilibria.
Genotypes
ofparents
weregenerated
under a ten-locus model(finite
locusmodel)
or under a mixed model(from
now on this will be called themixed
generating
model,
whenever necessary, todistinguish
between models usedfor
generating
and foranalyzing
thedata).
Under the finite locus
model,
the gene withlargest
effect had a substitution effect of 1.0(the
difference between twohomozygotes
is twice the substitutioneffect)
and the gene with the secondlargest
effect had a substitution effect of0.25,
0.5 or 1.0. Gene effects of theeight
other loci followed thegeometric
series0.25, 0.125, 0.0625,
where one locus had an effect of0.25,
three loci an effect of 0.125 and four loci aneffect of 0.0625. Gene
frequencies
were 0.5 for all lociexcept
for themajor locus,
forwhich
frequency
of the dominant allele was either0.1, 0.5,
or 0.9. Two alleles perand other loci were additive.
Genotypes
of progeny weregenerated using
eitherindependent segregation
of loci or the two loci with thelargest
effect were linked with a recombination rate of 0.1. In the caseof linkage, linkage
phase
of theparents
was either random or allparents
were doubleheterozygotes
for the two linked loci(favourable
alleles on samechromosome).
For every finite locus
scenario,
corresponding
genotypes
were alsogenerated
with a mixed model. Under themixed-generating
model,
amajor
gene with a substitution effect of 1.0 wassimulated, along
with apolygenic
part,
which was simulated from a normal distribution with 0 mean andgenetic
varianceequal
tothe total
genetic
variance(additive
+dominance)
of the other nine loci in thecorresponding
finite locus model. Thepolygenic
effect of progeny wasgenerated
from a normal distribution with mean
equal
to the average ofpolygenic
effects of theparents
and varianceequal
to half of thepolygenic
variance.Phenotypes
weregenerated
for both the finite locus and themixed-generating
modelby adding
an environmental effect to thegenotypic
effects. Environmental effects were simulated from a normal distribution with mean 0 and variancecorresponding
to one minus the broad senseheritability
(H
2
,
totalgenetic
variance overphenotypic
variance),
which wasequal
to 0.4. A summary of thegenetic
Simulated data sets were
analyzed
by
twocomputer
packages.
ThePedigree
Analysis Package
(PAP
Rev4.02, Hasstedt, 1982,
1994)
was used tocompute
the likelihood of the mixed model and SALP(segregation
andlinkage
analysis
forpedi-grees, Stricker et
al,
1994)
tocompute
the likelihood of the finitepolygenic
mixed model.Only
onemajor
locus was fitted in SALP. Mendelian transmissionproba-bilities,
equal
variances withingenotypes
and no power transformation were usedin PAP. Downhill
simplex
method is used for maximization in SALP and Gemini(Lalouel, 1979)
in PAP. Because Gemini does not allow maximization at boundariesof the
parameter
space(gene
frequency
andheritability
have boundaries at 0 and1)
the programoccasionally stopped.
In those cases, theparameter
that reached theboundary
was fixed close to theboundary
(0.0001
or 0.9999 for genefrequency
and 0.0001 for
heritability)
and otherparameters
were maximized conditional on that. Because themajor
gene was simulated withcomplete dominance,
pAA wasfixed to be
equal
to pAa in all maximum likelihoodanalyses.
Input
values for sim-ulation were used asstarting
values for the maximization process. Likelihood ratiotest statistic was calculated
by comparing
ageneral
model to a model withequal
means
(fJ
AA
=
fJAa =/-
t
aa)-Because SALP and PAP use different
parameterization
ofeffects,
parameters
were converted to twogenotypic
means(
PAA
andAaa
),
genefrequency
of the dominant allele(p),
andpolygenic
(ufl)
and environmental(ud)
variances. Instead ofpolygenic
and environmentalvariances,
PAP estimatesheritability
(h
2
)
and thephenotypic
standard deviation conditional onmajor
genotype;
for the finitepolygenic
mixed model SALP estimates ascaling
factor(=
(Qu!(q(1 -
q)k)],
where
q is
the allelefrequency
atpolygenic
loci,
which was fixed at0.5,
and k is twice the number ofpolygenic
loci,
which was fixed atten),
andphenotypic
variance.Each simulated
major
gene scenario(table I)
wasreplicated
50 times.Empirical
power of the mixed model ofanalysis
was measured as theproportion
of cases inwhich the likelihood ratio test statistic exceeded the
X
Z
distribution with 2df
at5%
significance
level.Because the likelihood test statistic is
only
asymptotically
distributedaccording
to the
X
2
distribution(Wilks,
1938),
200replicates
of six data sets without amajor
gene were
generated
based on the infinitesimal model and theproportion
of teststatistics which
supported
themajor
genehypothesis
was calculated for both the mixed model and the finitepolygenic
mixed model.Polygenic
and environmental variances of theexamples
corresponded
to sets 2 and 3(table I)
without amajor
gene. Theproportion
of false detection isexpected
to be5%
when a5% type
I errorlevel is used.
Empirical
power of the mixed model was measured as theproportion
of cases inwhich the
major
genehypothesis
wasaccepted.
Under themixed-generating
model,
the power
corresponds
to theprobability
ofdetecting
the simulatedmajor
gene. This is not the case when data are simulated under the finite locusmodel;
instead ofdetecting
the first locus as amajor
gene, the power indicates theprobability
ofRESULTS
Power of the likelihood ratio test
The
proportions
of false detection ofmajor
gene when nomajor
gene effect wasgenerated,
but the likelihood ratio between the mixed model and thepolygenic
model wascompared
to theX
2
table value with twodegrees
of freedom at5%
significance
level,
were4,
3 and6%
for set 2 distribution of gene effects(table I)
and
4,
3 and5%
for set 3 distribution of gene effects with genefrequencies
of0.1,
0.5,
and0.9,
respectively.
Using
the finitepolygenic
mixed model and its sub-modelthe
corresponding
values were4, 3,
4 and4, 4,
3%,
for set 2 and set3,
respectively.
Thus the true power of
detecting
amajor
gene for the data structure used here can be somewhathigher
for both methods thanreported
in table II.When data were
generated
under the mixedmodel,
thehighest
power was achieved whenfrequency
of the dominant allele was low and the lowest power with a rare recessive allele(table
II).
Thispattern
was consistent across differentproportions
ofgenetic
varianceexplained by polygenes
(sets
1,
2 and3).
Under the finite locusmodel,
thepattern
changed
when twomajor
loci had anequal
effect on the trait(table
II,
set3);
thehighest
power for the mixed model was achieved when one of the genes was almost fixed in thepopulation,
however,
the differencebetween cases of gene
frequency
of 0.5 and 0.9 for the finitepolygenic
mixed model was small(without linkage).
The effect of the
proportion
of totalgenetic
variance that amajor
geneex-plained
on the power was very clear under themixed-generating
model;
the power washigher
if themajor
geneexplained
alarge proportion
of totalgenetic
power reduced when the effect of the second
largest
locus increased(table
II,
sets1,
2 and3).
Anexception
was,again,
a case when twomajor
loci had anequal
effect on the trait andfrequencies
of favourable alleles at themajor
loci were 0.5 and 0.9(table
II,
set3,
p =0.9).
In most cases, thehigher
power ofdetecting
amajor
gene was achieved when data weregenerated
under the finite locus model than under the mixed model.Violation of the
assumption
ofindependent
segregation
of themajor
gene andother genes had a
negative
effect on the power of the mixed model as well as on the power of the finitepolygenic
mixed model(table II).
Evenlarger
reductionsin the power were observed when all
parents
were doubleheterozygotes
for thetwo linked loci with
largest
effects(table
II).
In this case, notonly
theassumption
of
independent
segregation
of amajor
gene andpolygenes
was violated but also theassumption
ofHardy-Weinberg
equilibrium
in theparental population;
trueprobabilities
forparents
to behomozygotes
were zero, notp
2
and(1 -
p)
2
,
as was assumed in theanalysis.
The reduction in the power due to violation ofHardy-Weinberg
equilibrium
was confirmedby
a simulation where allparents
wereheterozygous
for themajor
locus(a
finite locus model similar to set 2 with p =0.5,
no
linkage).
In this case, the power of the mixed model was28%
compared
to58%
when the
parent
population
was inHardy-Weinberg
equilibrium
(table
II,
set2,
p = 0.5).
Parameter estimation
Mean estimates of
parameters,
with theirempirical
standard deviations based on 50replicates,
and true values aregiven
in tables III and IV. Theexpected
variancecomponents
forpolygenes
given
in table III(results
for the finite locusmodel)
donot include dominance variance of the second and the third
largest
loci(smaller
loci wereadditive),
because the statistical methods studied here did not takepolygenic
dominance variance into account. As aresult,
dominance variance may bepartly
confounded with estimates of additivegenetic
variance andpartly
with estimates of residual variance.For the first distribution of gene effects
(set 1)
and the finite locusmodel,
both methods gave similar estimates(table III).
In most cases, estimatesagreed
well with truevalues, although
somediscrepancies
were found for variancecomponents.
The standard deviation of the estimate of the
genotypic
meandepended
on theestimated gene
frequency
and waslarger
for lowfrequencies.
Going
from the set 1 distribution of gene effects to set2,
with alarger
secondlocus
effect,
variation of estimates increased(table
III).
More bias was also observed. Forexample,
when genefrequency
was0.9,
the difference betweengenotypes
was underestimated
(by
about0.25)
by
both methods and genefrequency
wasunderestimated at 0.8.
When two
major
genes withequal
effect weresimulated,
parameter
estimates were biased(table
III,
set3).
The difference betweenhomozygotes
was inflatedby
as much as25%
in the case ofequal
genefrequencies
(0.5).
Genefrequency
estimates were also
biased;
with a simulated genefrequency
of0.1,
the average0.9 and the finite
polygenic
mixed model between 0.5 and 0.9. Overestimation of differences betweengenotypes
led to underestimation ofpolygenic
variance,
because alarger
proportion
of totalgenetic
variance was attributed to variance betweengenotypes.
With
linkage
between the two loci withlargest
effect,
asignificant
inflation wasobserved in all estimates when the linked genes were of
equal
size(table
III,
set3).
When all base
population
parents
were doubleheterozygotes
for the two linked lociof
large effect,
parameter
estimates werehighly
biased(table III).
Estimates of the difference between the twogenotypes
was 0.8 unitshigher
than the true differencebetween the
genotypes
in one locus when the two loci with thelargest
effect onphenotype
hadequal
effects. Also in this case, genefrequency
washigher
than theexpected
0.5 and the estimate of additivegenetic
variance was almost zero. Biasin estimates of the
parameters
waslarger
for the mixed model than for the finitepolygenic
mixed model.More consistent estimates over the different
genetic
scenarios were achieved when data weregenerated
under the mixed model than under the finite locus model(table IV).
Noimportant
differences were found between the mixed model and the finitepolygenic
mixed model. The variance of estimates of allparameters
increased when theproportion
ofgenetic
varianceexplained by
themajor
gene decreased(going
from set 1 to set3),
but average values of estimates were still close toexpected
values.DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS
The purpose of this paper was to
study
thesensitivity
ofcomplex
segregation
analysis
to violation of some of theassumptions
of theunderlying
model,
inparticular
a normal distribution ofpolygenic
effects and nolinkage
between amajor
gene andpolygenes. Similarity
in the power of both methods ofsegregation
analysis
(the
mixed model and the finitepolygenic
mixedmodel)
wasobserved,
except
when data weregenerated
based on the finite locus model with twomajor
genes. Similar results for both methods can be
expected
because thecomputer
package
(SALP),
which maximized the finitepolygenic
mixed model usedequal
allelefrequencies
(0.5)
and additive gene action for all genesexcept
themajor
gene, which created anapproximate
normalgenetic
distribution withinmajor
genotypes.
The finitepolygenic
mixed model with onemajor
locus is a closerapproximation
of a mixed model(Fernando
etal,
1994)
than anoligogenic model,
whichexplains
inheritanceby
a fewindependent
loci and estimates the effect of the each locusseparately
(Elston
andStewart,
1971).
Performance of theoligogenic
model or afinite
polygenic
mixed model with severalmajor
loci was notstudied,
butmight
have been better than the methods studied here when data are
generated
from a finite number of loci.The nature of
polygenic
variance(ie,
the finite locus model versus themixed-generating
model)
had asignificant
impact
on power ofmajor
gene detection. In the mixedmodel,
thepolygenic
component
inheritedby
progeny has anexpected
valueequal
to the average of thepolygenic
values of theparents
(or
midparent
breeding
value),
which is not valid if any of the genescontributing
to thepolygenic
component
are dominant. The
discrepancy
of progeny from theexpected
midparent polygenic
value increases with an increase in the relativemagnitude
of dominant loci over allpolygenic
loci. Inaddition,
withdominance,
thegenetic
variance ofoffspring
conditional onparental
polygenotype
is notequal
to half of the additivegenetic
variance but also contains dominancevariance,
which isrelatively
large compared
with additive variance when a
large
recessive gene with lowfrequency
segregates
in thepopulation.
Thesediscrepancies
fromassumptions
of the mixed model should have anegative impact
on its power in cases where data were simulated under a finite locus modelcompared
with a mixedgenerating
model.However,
nonegative
effect on the power was observed.
Instead,
in most cases the power washigher
under the finite locus model than under the
mixed-generating
model(table II).
In the case of two loci withmajor
effect(table
II,
set3)
and to a lesser extent withsets 1 and
2,
the methods had a chance to detect either of themajor
genes, which mayexplain
thehigher
power under the finite locus model. In contrast, when the same situation wasgenerated
using
the mixedmodel,
amajor
geneexplained
only
a smallproportion
of the totalgenetic variance,
the detection of themajor
gene was difficult. Which of the genes was detected as amajor
gene under the finite locus model was notinvestigated,
but based on intermediate estimates for genefrequency,
it seems that in some families the gene from the first locus was detected as amajor
gene, and in other families the gene from the second locus(or
otherloci)
was detected.Linkage
between amajor
gene andpolygenes
reduced power but did not have alarge
impact
onparameter
estimates if the linked genes were not ofequal
size and if theparents
were a randomsample
from apopulation
inlinkage
equilib-rium.Furthermore,
based on one simulationexample,
violation of theassumption
of
Hardy-Weinberg
equilibrium
in theparental
generation
reduced powersubstan-tially.
Therefore,
it is recommended to test a model that assumesHardy-Weinberg
equilibrium against
a model with freegenotypic
frequencies
for theparental
gener-ation.The results
given
here are restricted to data fromindependent
nucleus families. Based on resultsby
Fernando et al(1994),
the finitepolygenic
mixed modelis a closer
approximation
of the mixed model under anexample
data set with threegenerations
than PAP if data aregenerated
with a mixed model. How thesemethods
perform
under the finite locus model when information from more thantwo
generations
are available or when nucleus families are notindependent
was notstudied.
Thus,
the natural area for future studies is theperformance
of methods undermultigenerational
data when data aregenerated
under the finite locus model. Inconclusion,
bothsegregation
analysis
methods studied here gave similar powerpolygenic
mixed model(or
SALP)
inrejecting
thepolygenic model,
but the finitepolygenic
mixed model gave estimates with less bias than the mixed model. The finite locus model did not have anegative
effect on the powercompared
with the mixedgenerating
model.Instead,
the power of the methods was oftenhigher
under the finite locus model than when data weregenerated
under the mixed model.Segregation
of twomajor
genes in apopulation
caused biased estimates.Linkage
had anegative
effect on the power, butparameter
estimates remained unbiased if theparents
were a randomsample
from alarge
population
inlinkage equilibrium
and if themajor
gene had asubstantially larger
effect on the trait than the other genes.ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
This research was funded
by
the Natural Sciences andEngineering
Research Council of Canada and theAcademy
of Finland which aregreatly acknowledged.
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