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Arrival Time Statistics in Global Disease Spread

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Academic year: 2021

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FIG. 1: Two cities model. Arrival time t 1 distribution com- com-puted by numerical simulation and compared with the result of Eq
Figure 3 shows that the average arrival time in a city is indeed determined by χ to a very good extent (while the arrival time at a given topological distance from the seed can vary a lot)
FIG. 5: Fraction of couples of nodes correctly ranked as a function of their ∆χ (circles), in each realization of the spread, and cumulative distribution (squares) of the values of ∆χ (i.e., fraction of couples of cities (i, j) with ∆χ(i, j) > ∆χ).

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