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On the verification of climate reconstructions

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Academic year: 2021

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Figure

Fig. 1. Dependence of ρ 2 on R ˜ 2 and corresponding shrinkage.
Fig. 2. NHT observed (thin black line) and predicted from the se- se-ries of calendar years (blue line)
Fig. 3. The dependence of the validation scores RE and CE on the degree of temporal separation, 1 T , for the simple NHT predictor (see text)
Fig. 4. Boxplot of the distribution of RE and CE for each of the 36 flavors, based on 300 resamplings of the calibration/verification period
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