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A NNALES DE L ’I. H. P., SECTION B

Y. L E J AN

Superprocesses and projective limits of branching Markov process

Annales de l’I. H. P., section B, tome 27, n

o

1 (1991), p. 91-106

<http://www.numdam.org/item?id=AIHPB_1991__27_1_91_0>

© Gauthier-Villars, 1991, tous droits réservés.

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(2)

Superprocesses and projective limits of branching

Markov process

Y. LE JAN Laboratoire de Probabilités, Universite Paris-VI, 4, place Jussieu,

Tour n° 56, 3e etage,

75252 Paris Cedex 05, France

Vol. 27, 1, 1991, p. 91-106. Probabilités et Statistiques

ABSTRACT. - We

present

an a. s. limit theorem to construct Watanabe- Dawson

"superprocesses" starting

from a

projective system

of

branching

Markov processes.

RESUME. - Cet article

présente

un théorème de limite presque sure

permettant

d’obtenir des super-processus de Watanabe-Dawson à

partir

d’un

système projectif

de processus de branchement markoviens.

Branching

Markov processes are

generally

considered as measure valued processes.

However,

as stressed

by

Neveu

[N1],

even in the case of the

simplest

Galton-Watson processes, the

genealogy

of the

points

can be also

usefully

described and a formalization in terms of trees of

paths

can be

given

as

explained

in the

following.

We will consider a

family

of such

processes indexed

by

T

+.

The

paths

start at a

point

x with a number

of

points following

a Poisson law of mean

~T -1 ~~,

and

points

are

moving

as

independent

Markov processes of

semigroup Pt

and

branching

at

exponential

times of

expectation

T

according

to a

reproduction

Annales de Henri Poincaré - Probabilités et Statistiques - 0246-0203 Vol. 27/91/01/91/16/$ 3,60/0 Gauthier-Villars

(3)

defined

by

the

generating

function :

fl being

a

parameter

in

]0, 1].

Denote

Z/’t)

the induced

multiplet-valued

process and the

multiplet

of the ancestors of at time s t. One can

check,

as in

[N2]

that

(~t + n~ r~

and

(Zt~~ + h~, t E ~ + )

have the same distributions. .

Taking

a

projective limit,

we can define the processes

simultaneously

in

such a way that the above identities hold almost

surely,

for all T and /x>0.

By

a

martingale argument,

it appears that the

converges a. s. towards a measure t as ~ ~ 0, and that

t > o)

is a

Markov process.

If

U/(x) _ - Log (E (e - ~‘t ~f’)),

we have

We recover a class of the measure valued process defined

by

Watanabe

and

Dawson,

called superprocesses

by Dynkin

and studied

by

many authors : see

[W], [Da], [D], [F 1 ], [I], [P], [LG], [R].

When 03B2

=

1,

this construction is

closely

related to the one

given by

Le

Gall in

[LG1], using

the Brownian excursion to

generate

the

branching system cf. [NP], [LG2].

These results have been announced in

[LJ].

Remarks :

(a) Considering

a

general semi-group Pt

instead

of,

for exam-

ple, diffusions,

has some drawbacks

(measurability problems

need more

care)

but also

advantages.

It allows to

apply

the

theory

to

path-valued

processes.

(b)

The three first

paragraphs

introduce basic notions and technical

(mostly measure-theoretical) preliminaries.

(c)

Proofs of

intuitively

obvious

properties

have been

only briefly

sket-

ched.

Annales de I’Institut Henri Poincaré - Probabilités et Statistiques

(4)

1. PATHS WITH EXPONENTIAL LIFETIME

Let E be a Polish space, with ~ its Borel o-field. Let

Pt (x, dy)

be a

semi-group

of markovian kernels on E. Let F be the space of

mappings 00

from a finite interval

]S (c~), T {c~)]

into E. Denote

Xt

its coordinates Let

~ °

be the 6-field

generated by

the sets

~ T >_ ~ E ~)

and set

v {XT (A),

T and S are

3’°-measurable.

The restriction of EF to

Kolmogorov’s

theorem allows to construct a

unique system

of

probabili-

ties on

t~,

a

(Xu,

u e

] s, t])

such that :

for

su~ _

... and

AiEC.

Using

a

generating

semi

algebra (cf [N3], § 1-6)

of

~ , composed

with

sets . of the

form {S tl ~ (~ ~ tn _ T ~ U n

with

~

i

°

t ~ t2

...

t,~, Ai

and B

belonging

to

6,

and the monotone class

theorem,

it appears that :

(1)

For any A E

ff, Px, s, ~ (A n tJ) is a

measurable

function of (x,

s,

t).

For any

parameter i > o,

we can define a

probability

on

(F, ~),

carried

by {S = s ~, by setting

~’

For any 03C9 ~ F and

+oo[ (]-oo, T(03C9)[),

define to

be the restriction of co to

]S (co),

T

(co)

A

u], (S (co)

v u, T

(co)]). ~~

For let be the restriction of c~ to

]S (o),

T

(o) - h],

i. e.

kT ~~~ _ he~-

The

following measurability properties

are easy to check :

(2)

For any A E ff and u E

R, ku 1 (A)

and

8~ 1 (A) belong

to ~ .

(3)

For any B E

~ °

and

eh 1 (B) belongs

to

~ °.

If o and c~’

belong

to F and S

(c~’)

= T

(co),

the

path

coco’ is defined on

]S (co),

T

(~’)] by :

roro’ = co on

]S (co),

T

(co)],

coco’ = co’ on

]S (CD’),

T

(co’)].

(4)

For any A E

~ , ~ (~, co’),

coco’

~ ° ~ ~

measurable.

The

following properties

can be

easily

checked.

PI 1

(Markov property).

For any

A, xEE,

Vol. 27. 1-1991.

(5)

2. BRANCHING PATHS

Let U be the space of

empty

or finite sequences of

positive integers,

?’ ~. "words". There is a natural

composition

law on U as well as a

lexicographical

order induced

by

the order on

~l - ~ 0 }.

Define the

mapping x

from

U - { ~ ~

onto U

by ... j~) = j 1 ... jn -1.

Set

( jl ... jn

= n,

and 0

define the

lenght

of a word.

Following

Neveu

[Nl],

we define trees as sets of words 8

containing 0

and such that

if uj ~ 03B4, for j ~ N - { 0 }

and

u e U,

then and also ui ~ 03B4 for any

i _ j.

Define the

height 5 (

of a tree as the

length

of the

longest

word it

contains. If 5 is a tree, and u E

5,

then is a tree.

and

u (~ Q~ ~) = o.

Let

F

be the space of

branching paths

a=

~a)

defined

by

a tree a~

and a

mapping 03BE03B1

from cxo into

F,

such that T

(03BE03B1 (03C0 (u)))

= S

(03BE03B1 (u))

for

any

F is imbedded in

F

in a canonical way. If

eoeF,

we

identify

it with the element co’ of

F

such that

= ~ Q~ ~

and

~~, (0)

= M.

We set u

(a) = a ( _ ~

If u E ao,

Tu03B1

is defined

by (Tu03B1)0

=

Tu (oco) and 03BETu03B1 (v) = 03BE03B1 (uv).

Set

Ta (u)

=

T (~a (u)), X a (u)

=

XT (~a (u))

and

Sa (u) =

S

(~a (u))

for any Meao. We define

also ~ (a) =

sup

Ta (u),

ueao

Let

ff

be the smallest

6-algebra

on

F containing

the sets

for all and

for all

Annales de l’Institut Henri Poincaré - Probabilités et Statistiques

(6)

Set

0 = {{ 03B1, 03BE03B1(~) ~ A } A ~ F0 },

and define

by

induction the a-

algebra (n) generated by

subsets of F of the form :

describes the

history

until the n-th

generation).

.. ~ _ _ _ _

B"~ f

oo

Let q

be a

probability

on ~I We shall extend the

o

probabilities ~~, ~

to

F

as follows :

PROPOSITION 1. - There exist a

unique

system

of probabilities

on

(F, ~ )

such that :

Proof P03C4,qx,s

can be defined

by

induction on each

[by (c)].

The c-

additivity

of the

projective

limit follows from the existence of a

compact

class

(cf [N3], § 1-6) generated by

sets of the form

with

K, Ki

E K

(E) ;

where K

(E)

denotes the class of

compact

subsets of E.

N. B. -

Set,

for any

nE N, M = n ~ :

zn is a Galton Watson process of

reproduction

law q.

Hence,

if

03A3kq{k)~ 1,

03B10 is almost

surely

finite for any

(x, s, T).

VoL 27. I-1991.

(7)

Similary set

Under

]

is a

continuous time Galton Watson process with

reproduction law q

and time

constant T.

We

extend kt

as follows :

S« (u) t ~

and =

"’-

To extend

0,,

set

If u ~

Zi (a),

define

8t,u (a)

as follows :

and,

if we define and

03BE03BE (v) = 03BE03B1 (uv )

for

any v ~ Tu03B10 - 0.

Measurabifity properties (7)

For

any E

E

ff, kt-1 (8) is ~

measurable.

Indeed :

kt 1 Au, A

=

(u) t ~ [since

u E 1t if

T~ (u) t]

Set

t = {k-1t u,

u .

(8) For

any u E U and a E

,

u E

Zt (oc)

and

8t, u (a)

E

0396 } belongs

to

~ .

(Indeed

for

example {

u E ~

03B8-1t,u {1,", B) = {

u E it if v ~

~,

and

{

u E

t }

~

03B8-1t,u 0393~,B = {

u E

t }

~

I-’u,

et

1 (B).)

For u E

Zt,

set X

(t, u)

= X

{~ (u))

if t = S

(u)

and X

(t, u)

=

Xt (~ (u))

if

t > ,S

{u). Then,

we have

PROPOSITION 2. - For any s t, ul, u2 ... un and

~l,

... ,

~n

E

~ ,

Sketch

of proof

First one shows that for any A E ff and " E

~ ,

by using

the Markov property P I .

Then,

one proves the

Proposition by

induction on the

"degree"

+ u2 +

... + ,

using

the

branching property

c in

proposition

1

to reduce the

degree

after

choosing

test set, in

1Ft

t of the form

1 (A),

with for some n.

N. B. A

stronger

version of this

proposition

has been

proved

in

[C],

when

Pt

is the heat

semigroup.

Annales de l’Institut Henri Poincaré - Probabilités et Statistiques

(8)

3. GENERATING FUNCTIONAL

For any

positive

bounded measure ~, on E

Q f (x) __ 1

for

every x, set :

Define

Zt (a) _ ( ~

u E zt («>

The law of

Zt

is determined

by

the

generating

functional

Applying proposition

1

(c),

we have

q being

the

generating

function of q.

(9)

can be written in the

equivalent

form

Indeed, assuming (9), (10)

is

equivalent

to the

identity

Replacing ~s ( f ) by

its

expression

in

(9)

in the second

member,

we

get

the first one

by performing

an

integration.

The

semigroup property

follows from the

branching

markov

property (proposition 2).

For

any f, 0 f 1, equation (10)

has a

unique

solution

verifying

Vol. 27, n° 1-1991.

(9)

and

The

semigroup property

follows also from the

uniqueness.

(Set ~rs} _ ~t

for

t _ s

and for

t ~ s,

and check

~~5~

verifies

the same

integral equation

as

Note also that for any bounded

g E ~ +,

and t ~ s,

Differentiating (10)

and

solving

the

resulting

linear

integral equation yields

Note also that

(~x, q {~ t)

=

~t _ S (0 + ).

In the

following

we shall be

particulary

interested in the laws of repro- duction

q03B2, 03B2 ~ ]0, 1 ]defined by

the

generating

functions

Then

equation (10)

can be solved

for , f ’= u (const.)

to

yield

In

particular

4. ERASURE

eh extends

to ~ ~ - a > h ~

as follows :

Annales de l’Institut Henri Poirtcare - Probabilités et Statistiques

(10)

Indeed

where

PROPOSITION 3. - For

any 0396 ~ ,

with

and

The

proof given by

Neveu in

[N2],

p.

106-107,

can be

easily generalized

to this context,

using

the caracterization of

(~x, o given

in

proposition

1

and

property

P2 to prove the

identity for ~ E ~ ~,~~, by

induction on n.

To start the recurrence, we need to compute

I~x, q (eh 1 ~ ~ Q~) E A ~)

for

We show that for

k > 0,

Then, if Jl

denotes the law of under

[P"., q ,

It follows that

and

Then one proves the recurrence on events of the form

and

Vol. 27, n° 1-1991.

(11)

In

particular, if q

=

qf3’

Set for t ~ s. Then

Hence for

any t 1

t2 ...

tn, f i ,

By

the

branching

Markov

property,

it follows that for to t 1

with

R{ (g) (g) - Os (0 +) + ~ (0 + ).

Hence,

it is easy to check

that,

for h > 0

This formula says that the conditional law of

Zt given Zt, s

= J.1 is identical

to the conditional law of

given

and that each

point of

survives until t - s. In

particular

5. REDUCTION

We define a reduction

operation

R on trees,

by

induction on the

height.

It amounts to

extending

the lifetime of

particles

whose

offspring

is

only

one

particle.

R

(0)

will be defined

together

with a

mapping N~

from R

(5)

Annales de l’Institut Henri Poincaré - Probabilités et Statistiques

(12)

into

~,

as follows :

-

RC~~~)-(~~~)~ N~~~(~)-~~

i

- and

( 1 )

and

if and

only

if N

(v)

oo and

i _

u

(T i

Ns (v)

~) ~

In the

following,

we assume q

( 1 )

~ 1 so that N

(v)

oo a. s. when

v E R

(oco).

Set

0~,

is stable

under kt,

etc. and has full measure under all Hence all the results we have obtained are still valid on

Fo.

From now

on, we shall work on

F 0 only.

R can be extended to

Fo

as follows : if

r1 E F 0’

and

N (v)

03BER03B1 (v)

= II

03BE03B1 (v

1

i)

for any v E

Rao (where

the

product

refers to the conca-

t=o

tenation of

paths).

PROPOSITION 4. - R

~x~ S=

With

Sketch

of proof.

Note first that for any

A e ff,

Then prove that

P03C4,qx,s(R-1(0396))=PTR,qRx,s(0396)

for 0396 in

(n) by

induction

on n.

COROLLARY. - For

[An

easy

computation

shows =

(1) 1 m means 1 written m times.

Vol. 27, 1-1991.

(13)

6. SUPERPROCESSES

Let p be a

probability

on

(E,6), x#

and s be

positive parameters.

Set

P)"

p

(dx) P§g (fl

will be fixed in the

following).

Let be a Poisson

point

process in

0,

with

intensity 03C8~-1/03B2 P).

For any F G

dk + ,

~~

describes the evolution of a

population starting

at time 0 with a Poisson distribution of

intensity

and with

reproduction

law

q~.

Each

particle

has an

exponential

lifetime of average s and moves

independently

of the others

according

to the law determined

by

the

semigroup Pt.

From the

corollary

to

proposition 4,

it follows that and have the same distribution.

Taking

a sequence and

applying

the Ionescu-Tulcea

theorem,

it

appears one can define the processes

~~ simultaneously,

so that

Set

Zt° ~‘ = (For

fixed E, it describes the

position

of the

population living

at time

t.)

Similary,

set

~, t,s

=

Zt,

S

(a) 03C0~ (doc). (It

describes the

population

at times

s whose

offspring

shall be alive at time

t.) By (16),

we have for any

t > h > o,

Hence,

from

identity (14),

for any bounded function

f,

and

0 ~ ~,

can be

computed

and is

equal

to

If

is a measure and

f

a

function,

,

f>

=

f

d

.)

one

uses the fact that for any 03C3-field

R,

and bounded measurable function

F,

E

F d03C0~|

s

(03C0~ {0396), 0396 ~ R) ) =

03C0~ (E~

(F | R)).]

Moreover

( I - 03A6~~-~ {0

+

)) = (~ ~)1/03B2. Hence,

we

have,

for

f positive,

Annales de l’Institut Henri Poucare - Probabiliies et Statistiques

(14)

( 18)

For any sequence

~n ~, 0, (~ _ ~n ~~ ~ -1

c

PEn f>

is a

positive martingale

which has to converge a. s.

for

all

f

towards a limit

Y t (f), clearly independent oJ

the sequence E~.

Using

a dense countable ~-vector

subspace

V of C

(E),

we define a random

measure ~t such that

Since

I

~

(~,t ( f )) ( (

the a. s.

equality

extends to any bounded

measurable function

f.

THEOREM. - is a Markov process whose law is determined

by

the

semigroup Qt verifying :

for

any

positive

bounded measurable

function f,

where

Ut ( f)

is

uniquely

determined

by

the

equation

Proof.

For any bounded

f in 6 + ,

set

By (15),

we

have, U~t( , f) = - 1 ~’ E~ (e-~’ zt-~P~f-1),

where

~’=~1/03B203C8-1.

Hence

U~t ( , f) ~ ~f~~

for

all t,

s and more

generally

Also,

if we set

Ut ( f ) (x)

=

U~ (Ex, f ),

we have

and

By (18)

since is convex, decreases with 6.

By

dominated

convergence its limit has to be

U~ (p., f ).

Vol. 27, n° 1-1991.

(15)

From

(19)

and

(10) applied

to

~t _ E

and

q=qp,

Set

Ut ~~l ut BEx?J l - Since,

for any Eo and E Eo,

we obtain

Ur ( f ) = Pr f - ‘Y by

dominated conver-

gence.

Uniqueness

can be shown in the same way as for

equation (10).

We also have the

semigroup property

We still have to show

that J.1t

is a Markov process, which is

equivalent

to prove that

for

0 c t 1 ...

and bounded

f E ~ + .

The first member

equals

with

and

Annales de l’Institut Henri Poincaré - Probabilités et Statistiques

(16)

(note

that We can

replace V~ . by Indeed,

Moreover, | ~t ( f ) - IJt (g) ( _ j I. f’- g ( ( Hence,

Finally

since

Q.E.D.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

The author wishes to express

special

thanks to the anonymous referee and to M. Cranston for many

improvements

and corrections of the manu-

script.

REFERENCES

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(to appear).

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Vol. 27, n° 1-1991.

(17)

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[P2] E. A. PERKINS, The Hausdroff Measure of the Closed Support of Super Brownian Motion, Ann. Inst. H. Poincaré (Probabilités et Statistiques), Vol. 25, pp. 205-224.

[R] S. ROELLY-COPPOLETTA, A Criterion of Convergence of Measure Valued Process :

Application to Measure Branching Processes, Stochastics, Vol. 17, pp. 43-65.

[W] S. WATANABE, A Limit Theorem of Branching Processes and Continuous State

Branching Processes, J. Math. Kyoto Univ., Vol. 8, pp. 141-167.

[Z] V. M. ZOLATAREV, More Exact Statements of Several Theorems in the Theory of Branching Processes, Theor. Prob. Appl., Vol. 2, pp. 256-266.

(Manuscript received March 6, 1990 corrected September 7, 1990.)

Annales de l’Institut Henri Poincaré - Probabilités et Statistiques

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