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Retrieving hydrological connectivity from empirical causality in karst systems

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Title: Retrieving hydrological connectivity from empirical causality in karst systems Authors: Delforge, Damien; Vanclooster, Marnik; Van Camp, Michel; Poulain, Amaël;

Watlet, Arnaud; Hallet, Vincent; Kaufmann, Olivier; Francis, Olivier Affiliation: AA(Earth and Life Institute, Université Catholique de Louvain,

Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium; Royal Observatory of Belgium, Brussels, Belgium), AB(Earth and Life Institute, Université Catholique de Louvain, Louvain-la-Neuve,

Belgium), AC(Royal Observatory of Belgium, Brussels, Belgium), AD(Université de Namur, Namur, Belgium), AE(Royal Observatory of Belgium, Brussels, Belgium; Université de Mons, Mons, Belgium),

AF(Université de Namur, Namur, Belgium), AG(Université de Mons, Mons, Belgium), AH(Université du Luxembourg, Esch-sur-Alzette, Luxembourg) Publication: 19th EGU General Assembly, EGU2017, proceedings from the conference held

23-28 April, 2017 in Vienna, Austria., p.5012 Publication Date: 04/2017 Origin: COPERNICUS Bibliographic Code: 2017EGUGA..19.5012D

Abstract

Because of their complexity, karst systems exhibit nonlinear dynamics. Moreover, if one attempts to model a karst, the hidden behavior complicates the choice of the most suitable model.

Therefore, both intense investigation methods and nonlinear data analysis are needed to reveal the underlying hydrological connectivity as a prior for a consistent physically based modelling approach. Convergent Cross Mapping (CCM), a recent method, promises to identify causal relationships between time series belonging to the same dynamical systems. The method is based on phase space reconstruction and is suitable for nonlinear dynamics. As an empirical causation detection method, it could be used to highlight the hidden complexity of a karst system by revealing its inner hydrological and dynamical connectivity. Hence, if one can link causal

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