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Sterile insect technology for control of Anopheles mosquito: a mathematical feasibility study

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Academic year: 2021

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Sterile Insect Technology for Control of

Anopheles Mosquito:

A Mathematical Feasibility Study

Roumen Anguelov

1

, Yves Dumont

2

and Jean Lubuma

1

1

University of Pretoria, South Africa

{roumen.anguelov,jean.lubuma}@up.ac.za

2

CIRAD, Umr AMAP, Montpellier, France

yves.dumont@cirad.fr

Keywords: sterile insect technology, compartmental modeling, mosquito con-trol

Anopheles mosquito is a vector responsible for the transmission of diseases like Malaria which affect many people. Hence its control is a major prevention strategy. Sterile Insect Technology (SIT) is a nonpolluting method of insect control that relies on the release of sterile males. Mating of the released sterile males with wild females leads to non hatching eggs. Thus, if sterile males are released in sufficient numbers or over a sufficient period of time, it can leads to the local reduction or elimination of the wild population. We study the effectiveness of the application of SIT for control of Anopheles mosquito via mathematical modeling. Our main result is that there exists a threshold release rate ˆλ depending only on the basic offspring number R and the wild mosquito equilibrium for males such that a release rate higher than ˆλ results in elimination of the mosquito population irrespective of its initial size. A release rate λ which is lower than ˆλ eliminates the mosquito populations only if it is sufficiently small. If the population is at the wild equilibrium it is reduced by a percentage depending on λ and R only.

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