• Aucun résultat trouvé

Error bounds for small jumps of Lévy processes

N/A
N/A
Protected

Academic year: 2021

Partager "Error bounds for small jumps of Lévy processes"

Copied!
22
0
0

Texte intégral

(1)

HAL Id: hal-00520217

https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00520217v5

Submitted on 4 Oct 2012

HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access archive for the deposit and dissemination of sci- entific research documents, whether they are pub- lished or not. The documents may come from teaching and research institutions in France or abroad, or from public or private research centers.

L’archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, émanant des établissements d’enseignement et de recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires publics ou privés.

Error bounds for small jumps of Lévy processes

El Hadj Aly Dia

To cite this version:

El Hadj Aly Dia. Error bounds for small jumps of Lévy processes. Advances in Applied Probability,

Applied Probability Trust, 2013, 45 (1), pp.86-105. �hal-00520217v5�

(2)

EL HADJ ALY DIA

Abstract. The pricing of options in exponential L´evy models amounts to the computation of expectations of functionals of L´evy processes. In many situations, Monte-Carlo methods are used.

However, the simulation of a L´evy process with infinite L´evy measure generally requires either to truncate small jumps or to replace them by a Brownian motion with the same variance. We will derive bounds for the errors generated by these two types of approximation.

Key words. Approximation of small jumps, L´evy processes, Skorokhod embedding, Spitzer identity

AMS subject classifications. 60G51, 65N15

JEL classification. C02, C15

1. Introduction. In the recent years, the use of general L´evy processes in fi- nancial models has grown extensively (see [2, 5, 11]). A variety of numerical methods have been subsequently developed, in particular methods based on Fourier analysis (see [4, 12, 13, 15]). Nonetheless, in many situations, Monte-Carlo methods have to be used. The simulation of a L´evy process with infinite L´evy measure is not straight- forward, except in some special cases like the Gamma or Inverse Gaussian models. In practice, the small jumps of the L´evy process are either just truncated or replaced by a Brownian motion with the same variance (see [1, 7, 8, 16, 18]). The latter approach was introduced by Asmussen and Rosinski [1], who showed that, under suitable condi- tions, the normalized cumulated small jumps asymptotically behave like a Brownian motion.

The purpose of this article is to derive bounds for the errors generated by these two methods of approximation in the computation of functions of L´evy processes at a fixed time or functionals of the whole path of L´evy processes. We also derive bounds for the cumulative distribution functions. These bounds can be used to determine which type of approximations to use, since replacing small jumps by Brownian is more time-consuming (if we use Monte Carlo methods). Our bounds can be applied to derive approximation errors for lookback, barrier, American or Asian options. But this latter point will not be developed, and is left to another paper.

The characteristic function of a real L´evy process X with generating triplet (γ, b

2

, ν) is given by

E e

iuXt

= exp

t

iγub

2

u

2

2 +

Z

+∞

−∞

e

iux

− 1 − iux 1

|x|≤1

ν (dx)

, where γ ∈ R , b ≥ 0, and ν is a L´evy measure. The process X is the independent sum of a drift term γt, a Brownian component bB

t

, and a compensated jump part with L´evy measure ν. The process X has finite (resp. infinite) activity if ν ( R ) < ∞ (resp.

ν( R ) = + ∞ ).

For 0 < ǫ ≤ 1, the process X

ǫ

is defined by X

tǫ

= γt + bB

t

+ X

0≤st

∆X

s

1

{|∆Xs|}

t Z

ǫ<|x|≤1

xν(dx).

Universit´e Paris-Est, Laboratoire d’Analyse et de Math´ematiques Appliqu´ees, UMR CNRS 8050, 5 bd. Descartes, Champs-sur-Marne,77454Marne-la-Vall´ee, France ([email protected]).

1

(3)

The process X

ǫ

is obtained (from X ) by subtracting the compensated sum of jumps not exceeding ǫ in absolute value. Let

R

ǫ

= XX

ǫ

. (1.1)

The process R

ǫ

is a L´evy process with characteristic function

E e

iuRǫt

= exp (

t Z

|x|≤ǫ

e

iux

− 1 − iux ν (dx)

) .

It holds E (R

ǫt

) = 0 and Var (R

ǫt

) = σ(ǫ)

2

t, where σ(ǫ) =

s Z

|x|≤ǫ

x

2

ν(dx).

Note that lim

ǫ→0

σ(ǫ) = 0. The behavior of σ(ǫ) when ǫ goes to 0 is known for classical models (VG, NIG, CGMY...). As noted in Example 2.3 of [1], if ν(dx) =

| x |

1α

L(x)dx, where α ∈ (0, 2) and L is slowly varying at 0 , then it holds σ(ǫ) ∼ ((L( − ǫ) + L(ǫ)) /(2α))

1/2

ǫ

1α/2

; consequently, lim

ǫ→0

σ(ǫ)/ǫ = + ∞ .

We also define the process X ˆ

ǫ

by

X ˆ

tǫ

= X

tǫ

+ σ(ǫ) ˆ W

t

, t ≥ 0,

where W ˆ is a standard Brownian motion independent of X . We aim to study the behavior of the errors made by replacing X by X

ǫ

or X ˆ

ǫ

, with respect to the level ǫ. These errors are studied for the process X at a fixed date and for its running supremum. Set, for any t ≥ 0,

M

t

= sup

0≤st

X

s

, M

tǫ

= sup

0≤st

X

sǫ

, M ˆ

tǫ

= sup

0≤st

X ˆ

sǫ

.

Unless stated otherwise, X is a L´evy process with generating triplet (γ, b

2

, ν).

The paper is organized as follows. In the next section, we will study the errors resulting from the truncation of the compensated sum of small jumps. The results of that section are based on estimates for the moments of R

ǫ

. We also derive an estimate for the expectation E (M

t

M

tǫ

), by using Spitzer’s identity. In Section 3 we study the errors resulting from Brownian approximation. The process X will be approximated by the process X ˆ

ǫ

. A major result of Section 3 is Theorem 2, which states an error bound for the expectation of a function of the supremum. This result is the consequence of Theorem 3.7, which relies on the Skorohod embedding theorem.

2. Truncation of the compensated sum of small jumps. In this section, we will study the errors resulting from the approximation of X by X

ǫ

. These errors are related to the moments of R

ǫ

. Define

σ

0

(ǫ) = max (σ(ǫ), ǫ) . (2.1)

The next result will be useful for many proofs in this paper.

Proposition 2.1. Let X be a L´evy process and R

ǫ

defined in (1.1). Then E | R

ǫt

|

4

= t

Z

|x|≤ǫ

x

4

ν(dx) + 3 tσ(ǫ)

2

2

,

(4)

and for any real q > 0

E | R

ǫt

|

q

K

q,t

σ

0

(ǫ)

q

,

where K

q,t

is a positive constant which depends only on q and t.

Proof. Let c

k

(R

ǫt

) denote the kth cumulant of R

ǫt

. Then c

1

(R

ǫt

) = E (R

ǫt

) = 0, and, for any k ≥ 2, c

k

(R

ǫt

) = t R

|x|≤ǫ

x

k

ν(dx) (note that c

2

(R

ǫt

) = Var (R

ǫt

) = σ

2

(ǫ)t).

See Proposition 1.2 of [20]. Substituting into the general formula µ

4

= c

4

+ 4c

3

c

1

+ 3c

22

+ 6c

2

c

21

+ c

41

(cf. (2.3) below), where, here and below, µ

k

and c

k

denote the kth moment and kth cumulant of a distribution, respectively, gives the first part of the proposition. We now prove the second part. Let n = ⌈ q/2 ⌉ . Since 0 < q/(2n) ≤ 1,

E | R

ǫt

|

q

E | R

ǫt

|

2n

2nq

(by Jensen’s inequality for concave functions). It thus suffices to prove the result for the case q = 2n, n ∈ N ; in fact, for any n ∈ N , it holds

| E (R

ǫt

)

n

| ≤ K

n,t

σ

0

(ǫ)

n

. (2.2) The last inequality can be proved by induction as follows. It is trivial for n = 0, 1, 2.

Suppose that (2.2) holds for all n < m. Then, by the well-known result (see e.g.

Theorem 2 of [14])

µ

m

=

m−1

X

n=0

m − 1 n

!

µ

n

c

mn

, m ≥ 1, (2.3) for all m ≥ 2 we have (recall that c

1

(R

tǫ

) = 0)

| E (R

ǫt

)

m

| ≤

m−2

X

n=0

m − 1 n

!

| E (R

ǫt

)

n

| | c

mn

(R

ǫt

) | .

Hence, in view of the induction hypothesis, it suffices to show that | c

mn

(R

ǫt

) | ≤

0

(ǫ)

mn

. Since mn ≥ 2, we have c

mn

(R

ǫt

) = t R

|x|≤ǫ

x

mn

ν (dx), and hence

| c

mn

(R

ǫt

) | ≤ t Z

|x|≤ǫ

| x |

mn

ν(dx)

mn2

Z

|x|≤ǫ

| x |

2

ν(dx)

0

(ǫ)

mn

. The proposition is thus established.

2.1. Estimates for smooth functions. Let X be a L´evy process and f a C-Lipschitz function where C > 0. Then,

E | f (X

t

) − f (X

tǫ

) | ≤ C E | R

ǫt

|

C q

E | R

ǫt

|

2

C

tσ(ǫ).

(5)

Note that we do not ask that f (X

t

) be integrable. If f is more regular, sharper estimates can be derived, as shown in the following proposition.

Proposition 2.2. Let X be an infinite activity L´evy process.

1. If fC

1

( R ) and satisfies E

f

(X

tǫ

)

<, and if there exists β > 1 such that

sup

ǫ(0,1]

E

f

(X

tǫ

+ θR

tǫ

) − f

(X

tǫ

)

β

β1

is finite and integrable with respect to θ on [0, 1], then

E (f (X

t

) − f (X

tǫ

)) = o

0

(ǫ)) . 2. If fC

2

( R ) and satisfies E

f

(X

tǫ

) + E

f

′′

(X

tǫ

)

<, and if there ex- ists β > 1 such that

sup

ǫ∈(0,1]

E

f

′′

(X

tǫ

+ θR

ǫt

) − f

′′

(X

tǫ

)

β

β1

is finite and integrable with respect to θ on [0, 1], then

E (f (X

t

) − f (X

tǫ

)) = σ(ǫ)

2

t

2 E f

′′

(X

tǫ

) + o σ

0

(ǫ)

2

.

Note that, if f has bounded derivatives or f is the exponential function and e

βXt

is integrable, where β > 1, the conditions in the above proposition are satisfied. Recall that the truncation of small jumps is used when ν( R ) = ∞ . In typical applications, we have lim inf σ(ǫ)/ǫ > 0, so that o σ

0

(ǫ)

2

is in fact o σ(ǫ)

2

. Proof. To prove part 1, we first write f (X

t

) − f (X

tǫ

) as

f (X

t

) − f (X

tǫ

) = Z

1

0

f

(X

tǫ

+ θR

ǫt

) − f

(X

tǫ

)

R

ǫt

+ f

(X

tǫ

) R

ǫt

(2.4) (by Theorem 27.4 of [17], R

ǫt

6 = 0 a.s.). Since R

ǫt

and X

tǫ

are independent, E h

f

(X

tǫ

) R

ǫt

i

= 0. For any 1 < α < β, by H¨older’s inequality,

E

f

(X

tǫ

+ θR

ǫt

) − f

(X

tǫ

) R

tǫ

E

f

(X

tǫ

+ θR

ǫt

) − f

(X

tǫ

)

α

α1

E | R

ǫt

|

α−1α

α−1α

. By Lyapunov’s inequality,

E

f

(X

tǫ

+ θR

ǫt

) − f

(X

tǫ

)

α

1α

E

f

(X

tǫ

+ θR

tǫ

) − f

(X

tǫ

)

β

β1

.

Further, the assumption sup

ǫ(0,1]

E

f

(X

tǫ

+ θR

tǫ

) − f

(X

tǫ

)

β

< ∞ implies that the collection n

f

(X

tǫ

+ θR

tǫ

) − f

(X

tǫ

)

α

o

ǫ∈(0,1]

is uniformly integrable; hence, since

f

(X

tǫ

+ θR

tǫ

) − f

(X

tǫ

)

α

→ 0 a.s. as ǫ → 0, E

f

(X

tǫ

+ θR

ǫt

) − f

(X

tǫ

)

α

→ 0 (pointwise for θ ∈ [0, 1]). Therefore, by dominated convergence,

ǫ

lim

→0

Z

1 0

E

f

(X

tǫ

+ θR

ǫt

) − f

(X

tǫ

)

α

α1

= 0.

Combined with Proposition 2.1, it thus follows that Z

1

0

E h

f

(X

tǫ

+ θR

ǫt

) − f

(X

tǫ

) R

tǫ

i

= o

0

(ǫ)) .

(6)

Part 1 of the proposition then follows from (2.4) (using Fubini’s theorem). We now prove the second part of the proposition. Using Taylor’s formula we get

E (f (X

t

) − f (X

tǫ

)) = E

"

f

(X

tǫ

) (X

t

X

tǫ

) + Z

Xt

Xǫt

f

′′

(x) (X

t

x)dx

#

= E

f

(X

tǫ

) R

ǫt

+ Z

1

0

f

′′

(X

tǫ

+ θR

ǫt

) (1 − θ) (R

tǫ

)

2

= E Z

1

0

f

′′

(X

tǫ

+ θR

ǫt

) (1 − θ) (R

ǫt

)

2

= E Z

1

0

f

′′

(X

tǫ

) (1 − θ) (R

tǫ

)

2

+ E Z

1

0

f

′′

(X

tǫ

+ θR

tǫ

) − f

′′

(X

tǫ

)

(1 − θ) (R

ǫt

)

2

.

The first expectation after the last equality sign is equal to

σ(ǫ)22t

E f

′′

(X

tǫ

) while the second one can be shown to be o σ

0

(ǫ)

2

by following the proof of part 1. The proposition is proved.

Remark 2.3. Assume that X is an integrable infinite activity L´evy process and that fC

1

( R ) with f

being C-Lipschitz. Then

| E (f (X

t

) − f (X

tǫ

)) | ≤ Cσ(ǫ)

2

t

2 .

Indeed, E h

f

(X

tǫ

) R

tǫ

i

= 0 (by the assumptions on X and f , E

f

(X

tǫ

)

< ∞ ), and so the result follows directly from (2.4) using

| E (f (X

t

) − f (X

tǫ

)) | ≤ E Z

1

0

f

(X

tǫ

+ θR

tǫ

) − f

(X

tǫ

) | R

tǫ

|

. We will consider now the case of the supremum process.

Proposition 2.4. Let X be a L´evy process and f a K-Lipschitz function. Then E | f (M

t

) − f (M

tǫ

) | ≤ 2K √

tσ(ǫ).

Proof. We have E

f

sup

0≤st

X

s

f

sup

0≤st

X

sǫ

K E

sup

0≤st

X

s

− sup

0≤st

X

sǫ

K E sup

0≤st

| R

ǫs

|

K s

E

sup

0≤st

| R

ǫs

|

2

. Note that R

ǫ

is a c`adl`ag martingale. So, using Doob’s inequality, we get

E f

sup

0≤st

X

s

f

sup

0≤st

X

sǫ

≤ 2K

q E | R

tǫ

|

2

= 2K √

tσ(ǫ).

(7)

Remark 2.5. Suppose that X is an integrable L´evy process and f a function from R

+

× R to R , K-Lipschitz with respect to its second variable. Then

sup

τ∈T[0,t]

E f (τ, X

τ

) − sup

τ∈T[0,t]

E f (τ, X

τǫ

)

≤ 2K √ tσ(ǫ),

where T

[0,t]

denotes the set of stopping times with values in [0, t]. For a proof, the reader is referred to [9], pp. 67 − 68.

The bound in Proposition 2.4 might not be optimal. This is what suggests the following result.

Theorem 2.6. Let X be an integrable infinite activity L´evy process. Then 0 ≤ E (M

t

M

tǫ

) = o (σ(ǫ)) .

Proof. Using Spitzer’s identity (see Proposition 1 in Section 3 of [10] for details), we have

E (M

t

M

tǫ

) = Z

t

0

E X

s+

s ds

Z

t 0

E (X

sǫ

)

+

s ds

= Z

t

0

E

X

s+

− (X

sǫ

)

+

ds s . It holds

X

s+

− (X

sǫ

)

+

= (X

sǫ

+ R

sǫ

)

+

− (X

sǫ

)

+

= (X

sǫ

+ R

sǫ

) 1

Xsǫ+Rǫs>0

X

sǫ

1

Xsǫ>0

= (X

sǫ

+ R

sǫ

) 1

Xsǫ>0

+ 1

Xsǫ+Rǫs>0,Xsǫ≤0

− 1

Xsǫ+Rǫs≤0,Xsǫ>0

X

sǫ

1

Xsǫ>0

= (X

sǫ

+ R

sǫ

) 1

Xsǫ+Rǫs>0,Xsǫ≤0

− 1

Xsǫ+Rǫs≤0,Xsǫ>0

+ R

ǫs

1

Xsǫ>0

= ( | R

ǫs

| − | X

sǫ

| )

+

1

Xsǫ+Rǫs>0,Xsǫ≤0

+ 1

Xsǫ+Rǫs≤0,Xsǫ>0

+ R

ǫs

1

Xsǫ>0

. Set I

sǫ

= E

X

s+

− (X

sǫ

)

+

. Thus, since E R

ǫs

1

Xsǫ>0

= 0 (by independence), 0 ≤ I

sǫ

≤ E ( | R

ǫs

| − | X

sǫ

| )

+

.

By the left inequality, E (M

t

M

tǫ

) ≥ 0. We now prove that E (M

t

M

tǫ

) = o (σ(ǫ)).

Since ( | R

ǫs

| − | X

sǫ

| )

+

≤ | R

ǫs

| 1

|Xsǫ|<|Rǫs|

, we get I

sǫ

≤ E | R

ǫs

| 1

|Xsǫ|<|Rǫs|

. Hence, by Cauchy-Scwarz inequality,

I

sǫ

E | R

ǫs

|

2

12

E 1

|Xsǫ|<|Rǫs|

2

12

= σ(ǫ)

s P [ | X

sǫ

| < | R

ǫs

| ]

12

. Thus,

0 ≤ E (M

t

M

tǫ

) ≤ σ(ǫ) Z

t

0

P [ | X

sǫ

| < | R

ǫs

| ]

12

ds

s .

(8)

Since ν ( R ) = ∞ , R

ǫs

→ 0 a.s. and X

sǫ

X

s

a.s. with X

s

6 = 0. Hence P [ | X

sǫ

| < | R

ǫs

| ]

12

→ 0 as ǫ → 0. Therefore, by dominated convergence,

ǫ

lim

→0

Z

t 0

P [ | X

sǫ

| < | R

ǫs

| ]

12

ds

s = 0,

and so E (M

t

M

tǫ

) = o (σ(ǫ)).

In financial applications, the function f in Proposition 2.4 is not always Lipschitz, as for call lookback option where the function is exponential. Hence the following proposition.

Proposition 2.7. Let X be a L´evy process and p > 1. If E e

pMt

<, then

E

e

Mt

e

Mtǫ

C

p,t

σ

0

(ǫ), where C

p,t

is a positive constant independent of ǫ.

Lemma 2.8. Let p > 0. If E e

pMt

<, then sup

0<δ1

E e

pMtδ

<. Remark 2.9. For any p > 0, E e

pMt

<if and only if R

x>1

e

px

ν(dx) <. The “only if” part follows from Theorem 25.3 of [17], noting that e

pXt

e

pMt

. For the “if” part, decompose X as the independent sum X = Y + Z + Z

of L´evy processes, where Y has L´evy measure [ν ]

{|x|≤1}

, and Z and Z

are pure jump with L´evy measures [ν ]

{x>1}

and [ν]

{x<−1}

, respectively. Here [ν]

E

denotes the restriction of ν to E. Note that M

t

≤ sup

0st

Y

s

+Z

t

; thus E

e

pMt

≤ E

e

psup0≤s≤tYs

E e

pZt

. It can be deduced from Theorems 25.3 and 25.18 of [17] that E

e

psup0≤s≤tYs

is finite;

so is E e

pZt

by the former theorem, under the assumption that R

x>1

e

px

ν (dx) < ∞ . Hence E

e

pMt

< ∞ .

Proof. [Proof of Lemma 2.8] For δ ∈ (0, 1], define R ¯

δ

= X

δ

X

1

. The process R ¯

δ

is the compensated sum of jumps belonging to (δ, 1] in absolute value. So

E e

pMtδ

≤ E e

psup0≤s≤tXs1+psup0≤s≤tR¯δs

≤ E e

psup0≤s≤tXs1

E e

psup0≤s≤t

|

R¯δs

| .

By hypothesis and Remark 2.9, noting that Remark 2.9 holds also for M

t1

, E e

psup0≤s≤tX1s

<

∞ . We need to bound E e

psup0≤s≤t

|

R¯δs

| independently of δ. We have

E e

psup0≤s≤t

|

R¯δs

| = E

+∞

X

n=0

p sup

0st

R ¯

δs

n

n!

= 1 + p E sup

0≤st

R ¯

δs

+

+∞

X

n=2

p

n

n! E

sup

0≤st

R ¯

sδ

n

.

(9)

By Doob’s inequality ( R ¯

δ

is a c` adl`ag martingale) E e

psup0≤s≤t

|

R¯δs

| ≤ 1 + p

s E

sup

0≤st

R ¯

sδ

2

+

+∞

X

n=2

p

n

n!

n n − 1

n

E R ¯

tδ

n

≤ 1 + 2p q

E R ¯

tδ

2

+

+∞

X

n=2

p

n

n! 2

n

E

R ¯

δt

n

≤ 2p q

Var R ¯

δt

+ E

+∞

X

n=0

p

n

n! 2

n

R ¯

δt

n

≤ 2p s

t Z

δ<|x|≤1

x

2

ν(dx) + E e

2p

|

R¯δt

|

≤ 2p p

tσ(1)

2

+ E e

2pR¯δt

+ E e

2pR¯δt

.

It thus suffices to show that sup

0<δ1

E e

βR¯δt

< ∞ for any β ∈ R . Indeed, we have E e

βR¯δt

= exp

( t

Z

δ<|x|≤1

e

βx

− 1 − βx ν(dx)

)

(a moment-generating function of a compensated compound Poisson process). By Taylor’s theorem, e

βx

− 1 − βx = β

2

x

2

e

βξ

/2 for any | x | ≤ 1, where ξ is some number between 0 and x. This completes the proof, as it implies that

E e

βR¯δt

≤ exp ( β

2

t

2 e

|β|

Z

|x|≤1

x

2

ν(dx) )

.

Proof. [Proof of Proposition 2.7] By the mean value theorem, we have e

Mt

e

Mtǫ

= (M

t

M

tǫ

) e

M¯tǫ

,

where M ¯

tǫ

is between M

t

and M

tǫ

. Let q be defined such that

1p

+

1q

= 1.

E

e

Mt

e

Mtǫ

≤ E | M

t

M

tǫ

| e

M¯tǫ

≤ E sup

0≤st

| R

ǫs

| e

M¯tǫ

E

sup

0≤st

| R

ǫs

|

q

1q

E e

pM¯tǫ

p1

. Hence, using Doob’s inequality and then Proposition 2.1, we get

E

e

Mt

e

Mtǫ

q

q − 1 ( E | R

ǫt

|

q

)

1q

E e

pM¯tǫ

p1

C

p,t

σ

0

(ǫ) E

e

pMt

+ e

pMtǫ

1p

,

where C

p,t

denotes a constant depending on p and t. We conclude the proof by

Lemma 2.8.

(10)

2.2. Estimates for cumulative distribution functions. For cumulative dis- tribution functions, bounds are expected to be bigger. However, in some cases we can get similar results as in Lipschitz case. In the first result below, we assume local boundedness of the probability density function of the L´evy process X and its supre- mum process M at a fixed time t. The regularity of the probability density function of a L´evy process is studied in [17, 3]. For the supremum process see [6, 9].

Proposition 2.10. Let X be a L´evy process.

1. If b > 0, then sup

x∈R

| P [X

t

x] − P [X

tǫ

x] | ≤ 1

√ 2πb σ(ǫ).

2. If X

t

has a locally bounded probability density function and x ∈ R , then for any q ∈ (0, 1),

| P [X

t

x] − P [X

tǫ

x] | ≤ C

x,t,q

σ

0

(ǫ)

1q

,

where, here and below, C

x,t,q

denotes a positive constant depending on x, t and q.

3. If M

t

has a locally bounded probability density function on (0, + ∞ ) and x > 0, then for any q ∈ (0, 1/2),

| P [M

t

x] − P [M

tǫ

x] | ≤ C

x,t,q

σ

0

(ǫ)

1q

.

Lemma 2.11. Let X and Y be two r.v.’s. We assume that X has a bounded density in a neighbourhood of x ∈ R , and there exists p > 0 such that E | XY |

p

is finite. Then there exists a constant K

x

> 0, such that for any δ > 0

| P [X ≥ x] − P [Y ≥ x] | ≤ K

x

δ + E | XY |

p

δ

p

. Proof. We have

| P [X ≥ x] − P [Y ≥ x] | = | P [X ≥ x, Y < x] − P [X < x, Y ≥ x] | . We will study the above terms on the right of the equality.

P [X ≥ x, Y < x] = P [x ≤ X < x + (X − Y )]

= P [x ≤ X < x + (X − Y ) , | XY | ≤ δ]

+ P [x ≤ X < x + (X − Y ) , | XY | > δ]

≤ P [x ≤ X < x + δ] + P [ | XY | > δ] .

Suppose that X has a bounded density f in the interval [x − δ

0

, x + δ

0

], δ

0

> 0 fixed, and let

K

x

= max

sup

xδ0tx+δ0

f (t), 1 δ

0

.

By considering the cases δ < δ

0

and δδ

0

separately, it is readily checked that

P [x ≤ X < x + δ]K

x

δ,

(11)

for any δ > 0. Thus, using Markov’s inequality, we get P [X ≥ x, Y < x]K

x

δ + E | XY |

p

δ

p

. Similarly, using P [x − δX < x]K

x

δ, it holds that

P [X < x, Y ≥ x]K

x

δ + E | XY |

p

δ

p

. Lemma 2.11 is thus established.

Proof. [Proof of Proposition 2.10] We have

| P [X

t

x] − P [X

tǫ

x] | = | P [X

t

x, X

tǫ

< x] − P [X

t

< x, X

tǫ

x] | . (2.5) It holds that

P [X

t

x, X

tǫ

< x] = P [x − (X

t

X

tǫ

) ≤ X

tǫ

< x]

= P [x − R

ǫt

bB

t

+ (X

tǫ

bB

t

) < x] . Note that bB

t

is independent of X

tǫ

bB

t

and R

ǫt

, and

1

2πtb

is an upper bound of the probability density function of bB

t

. Then, by conditioning on the pair (R

ǫt

, X

tǫ

bB

t

), it can be concluded that

P [x − R

tǫ

bB

t

+ (X

tǫ

bB

t

) < x] ≤ 1

√ 2πtb E | R

tǫ

| . Therefore, using that E | R

ǫt

| ≤ σ(ǫ)

t,

P [X

t

x, X

tǫ

< x] ≤ 1

√ 2πb σ(ǫ).

Similarly

P [X

t

< x, X

tǫ

x] = P [x ≤ X

tǫ

< x − (X

t

X

tǫ

)]

= P [x ≤ σB

t

+ (X

tǫ

σB

t

) < xR

ǫt

]

≤ 1

√ 2πσ σ(ǫ).

Hence part 1 of the proposition follows from (2.5).

We now prove part 2 of the proposition. Let p > 0. By Lemma 2.11 followed by Proposition 2.1, there exist positive constants K

x,t

and K

p,t

such that

| P [X

t

x] − P [X

tǫ

x] | ≤ K

x,t

δ + E | X

t

X

tǫ

|

p

δ

p

= K

x,t

δ + E | R

tǫ

|

p

δ

p

K

x,t

δ + K

p,t

σ

0

(ǫ)

p

δ

p

for any δ > 0. Choosing δ = σ

0

(ǫ)

p+1p

yields

| P [X

t

x] − P [X

tǫ

x] | ≤ 2 max (K

x,t

, K

p,t

) σ

0

(ǫ)

p+1p

,

(12)

and so the result follows since p/(p + 1) can be chosen arbitrarily in (0, 1).

We now prove part 3 of the proposition. Let p > 1. By Lemma 2.11, there exists a constant K

x,t

> 0 such that

| P [M

t

x] − P [M

tǫ

x] | ≤ K

x,t

δ + E | M

t

M

tǫ

|

p

δ

p

for any δ > 0. On the other hand

E | M

t

M

tǫ

|

p

≤ E

sup

0≤st

| X

s

X

sǫ

|

p

= E

sup

0≤st

| R

ǫs

|

p

.

So by Doob’s inequality, we have, using the constant K

p,t

from part 2, E | M

t

M

tǫ

|

p

p p − 1

p

E | R

ǫt

|

p

K

p,t

p p − 1

p

σ

0

(ǫ)

p

. Part 3 of the proposition then follows by choosing δ = σ

0

(ǫ)

p+1p

.

3. Approximation of the compensated sum of small jumps by a Brow- nian motion. In this section we will replace R

ǫ

by a Brownian motion. This method gives better results, subject to a convergence assumption. In fact, Asmussen and Rosinski proved ([1], Theorem 2.1) that, if X is a L´evy process, then the process σ(ǫ)

1

R

ǫ

converges in distribution to a standard Brownian motion, when ǫ → 0, if and only if for any k > 0

ǫ

lim

→0

σ (kσ(ǫ) ∧ ǫ)

σ (ǫ) = 1. (3.1)

Condition (3.1) is implied by the condition

ǫ

lim

→0

σ(ǫ)

ǫ = + ∞ . (3.2)

The conditions (3.1) and (3.2) are equivalent if ν does not have atoms in some neigh- bourhood of zero ([1], Proposition 2.1).

3.1. Estimates for smooth functions. The errors resulting from Brownian approximation have not been much studied in the literature, at least theoretically.

There are some results which we can find in [7, 8].

Proposition 3.1. Let X be an infinite activity L´evy process and t > 0.

1. If fC

1

( R ) and satisfies E | f

(X

tǫ

) | <, and if there exists β > 1 such that

sup

ǫ(0,1]

E f

X

tǫ

+ θσ(ǫ) ˆ W

t

f

(X

tǫ

)

β

β1

and

sup

ǫ(0,1]

E

f

(X

tǫ

+ θR

ǫt

) − f

(X

tǫ

)

β

β1

are finite and integrable with re- spect to θ on [0, 1], then

E

f (X

t

) − f X ˆ

tǫ

= o

0

(ǫ)) .

(13)

2. If fC

2

( R ) and satisfies E | f

(X

tǫ

) | + E | f

′′

(X

tǫ

) | <, and if there exists β > 1 such that

sup

ǫ(0,1]

E f

′′

X

tǫ

+ θσ(ǫ) ˆ W

t

f

′′

(X

tǫ

)

β

β1

and sup

ǫ(0,1]

E | f

′′

(X

tǫ

+ θR

ǫt

) − f

′′

(X

tǫ

) |

β

1β

are finite and integrable with re- spect to θ on [0, 1], then

E

f (X

t

) − f X ˆ

tǫ

= o σ

0

(ǫ)

2

.

Examples of functions satisfying the above conditions are noted after Proposi- tion 2.2.

Proof. We consider only part 2. The proof for part 1 is similar. By Proposition 2.2, we have

E (f (X

t

) − f (X

tǫ

)) = σ(ǫ)

2

t

2 E f

′′

(X

tǫ

) + o σ

0

(ǫ)

2

.

On the other hand, using the same reasoning as in the proof of Proposition 2.2 (we will replace R

ǫ

by σ(ǫ) ˆ W ) we get

E

f (X

tǫ

+ σ(ǫ) ˆ W

t

) − f (X

tǫ

)

= σ(ǫ)

2

t

2 E f

′′

(X

tǫ

) + o σ

0

(ǫ)

2

. Hence

E

f (X

t

) − f ( ˆ X

tǫ

)

= o σ

0

(ǫ)

2

.

The combination of Proposition 6.2 of [7] and the Spitzer’s identity for L´evy processes (Proposition 1 of [10]) leads to the following result.

Proposition 3.2. Let X be an integrable infinite activity L´evy process. Then

E M

t

− E M ˆ

tǫ

≤ 33σ(ǫ)ρ(ǫ)

1 + log √

t 2ρ(ǫ)

, where ρ(ǫ) = σ(ǫ)

3

R

|x|≤ǫ

| x |

3

ν(dx).

Remark 3.3. Under condition (3.2), we have lim

ǫ→0

ρ(ǫ) = 0 and, in turn, σ(ǫ)ρ(ǫ)

1 + log

t 2ρ(ǫ)

= o (σ(ǫ)) .

Proof. Let δ ∈ (0, t). Using Spitzer’s identity for L´evy processes, we have

E M

t

− E M ˆ

tǫ

=

Z

t 0

E X

s+

s ds

Z

t 0

E ( ˆ X

sǫ

)

+

s ds

≤ Z

δ

0

E X

s+

− E ( ˆ X

sǫ

)

+

ds s +

Z

t δ

E X

s+

− E ( ˆ X

sǫ

)

+

ds s . On the one hand,

E X

s+

− E ( ˆ X

sǫ

)

+

≤ E

(X

sǫ

+ R

ǫs

)

+

− (X

sǫ

+ σ(ǫ) ˆ W

s

)

+

≤ E

R

sǫ

σ(ǫ) ˆ W

s

≤ 1 + r 2

π

! √

sσ(ǫ).

(14)

On the other hand, it follows from Proposition 6.2 of [7] that

E X

s+

− E ( ˆ X

sǫ

)

+

Aσ(ǫ)ρ(ǫ), with A < 16.5 (consider the function f (x) = x

+

). Therefore,

E M

t

− E M ˆ

tǫ

≤ 2 1 + r 2

π

! σ(ǫ)

δ + Aσ(ǫ)ρ(ǫ) log t

δ

≤ 16.5σ(ǫ) √

δ + ρ(ǫ) log t

δ

.

The last expression is minimal for δ = 4ρ(ǫ)

2

, and so the desired result follows by substitution.

3.2. Estimates by Skorokhod embedding. We will use a powerful tool to prove the results of this section. This is the Skorokhod embedding theorem. We will begin by defining some useful notations.

Definition 3.4. We define β(ǫ) =

R

|x|≤ǫ

x

4

ν (dx)

0

(ǫ))

4

, β

p,θt

(ǫ) = β(ǫ)

p+4θ

"

log t

β(ǫ)

p+4θ

+ 3

!!

p

+ 1

# ,

β

t1

(ǫ) = β(ǫ)

16

s

log t

β(ǫ)

13

+ 3

+ 1

!

, β

2t

(ǫ) = β(ǫ)

14

log t

β(ǫ)

14

+ 3

+ 1

.

Remark 3.5. Note that under condition (3.2), we have lim

ǫ→0

β (ǫ) = 0.

The proof of Proposition 3.2 cannot be extended to the Lipschitz functions, be- cause the reformulation of the Spitzer identity for L´evy processes cannot be applied in that case. We have to use another method. Define

V

j,n

= R

ǫjt

n

R

ǫ(j1)t n

, j = 1, . . . , n, so that R

ǫkt/n

= P

k

j=1

V

j,n

, k = 1, . . . , n. The V

j,n

are i.i.d. with the same distribution as R

ǫt/n

, hence E (V

j,n

) = 0 and Var (V

j,n

) = σ(ǫ)

2

t/n. Thus, by Skorokhod’s embedding theorem (Theorem 1 of [19], see p. 163), there exist positive i.i.d. r.v.’s τ

j

, j = 1, . . . , n, and a standard Brownian motion, B, such ˆ that the (partial sums) R

ǫkt/n

and the B ˆ

τ1+···+τk

, k = 1, . . . , n, have the same joint distributions; moreover, E (τ

1

) = Var (V

1,n

) and

E τ

12

≤ 4 E V

1,n4

. (3.3)

Further, note that the σ(ǫ) ˆ W

kt/n

and B ˆ

σ(ǫ)2kt/n

, k = 1, . . . , n, have the same joint distributions. Set

T

k

= τ

1

+ · · · + τ

k

, T

kǫ

= σ(ǫ)

2

kt n . This setting will be used in all of the subsequent results.

Theorem 3.6. Let X be an integrable infinite activity L´evy process, and f a Lipschitz function. Then

E f (M

t

) − E f M ˆ

tǫ

C

t

σ

0

(ǫ)β

1t

(ǫ),

Références

Documents relatifs

This last result is actually a particular case of [9], where it is proved that for any non creeping Lévy process, the law of the first passage time over x &gt; 0 is always

The main results of this article establish the exact formula for the radius of local error bounds (Theorem 2.2) and estimates of global error bounds (Theorem 3.2) for families

Now, another example is the wind speed (Jacq et al., 2005) associated with the mistral gust: one may construct a D-valued ARMA model and note that, under mild conditions, the model

We then recall some basic facts of Malliavin calculus in Section 3 and obtain the upper bounds as well as a diagonal lower bound in Gaussian regime in Section 4.In Section 5, we

result is actually a particular case of [9], where it is proved that for any non creeping L´evy process, the law of the first passage time over x &gt; 0 is always

Unité de recherche INRIA Rennes : IRISA, Campus universitaire de Beaulieu - 35042 Rennes Cedex (France) Unité de recherche INRIA Rhône-Alpes : 655, avenue de l’Europe - 38334

Theory Related Fields 135 (2006) 547–575) and obtain asymptotic behavior of the Green function and the Lévy density for a large class of subordinate Brownian motions, where the

In particular, we obtain that a Lévy process admits a successful coupling, if it is a strong Feller process or if the Lévy (jump) measure has an absolutely continuous