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Performance of the ARPA-SMR limited-area ensemble prediction system: two flood cases

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Figure

Fig. 1. Left–column panels: mean–sea–level pressure (solid contours) and 700 hPa geopotential height
Table 1. Cluster population for the two experiments: Vaison (rows 3–5, cluster time: 12:00 UTC on 23 September 1992) and Genova (rows 6–8, cluster time: 12:00 UTC on 28 September 1992)
Fig. 2. Vaison flood. 4–day predictions: 51–member and 5–member TEPS probability maps for rainfall
Fig. 3. Vaison flood. 3–day predictions: TEPS (top row) and LEPS (bottom row) rainfall probability maps
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