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Evaluating the value of Bias Correction of High-Resolution Satellite Rainfall Product (CHIRP) to simulate Stream flow into Lake Ziway, Ethiopia

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HAL Id: hal-01788052

https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01788052

Submitted on 8 May 2018

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Evaluating the value of Bias Correction of

High-Resolution Satellite Rainfall Product (CHIRP) to

simulate Stream flow into Lake Ziway, Ethiopia

Demelash Goshime, Rafik Absi, Béatrice Ledésert, Alemseged Haile

To cite this version:

Demelash Goshime, Rafik Absi, Béatrice Ledésert, Alemseged Haile. Evaluating the value of Bias

Correction of High-Resolution Satellite Rainfall Product (CHIRP) to simulate Stream flow into Lake

Ziway, Ethiopia. RSHS18-123-1 Remote Sensing and Hydrology Symposium (ICRS-IAHS), May 2018,

Cordoba, Spain. �hal-01788052�

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RSHS18-123-1

Remote Sensing and Hydrology Symposium (ICRS-IAHS) © Author(s) 2018. CC Attribution 4.0 license.

Evaluating the value of Bias Correction of High-Resolution Satellite

Rainfall Product (CHIRP) to simulate Stream flow into Lake Ziway,

Ethiopia

Demelash Goshime (1), Rafik Absi (2), Béatrice Ledesert (4), and Alemseged Haile (3)

(1) University of Cergy Pontoise, Doctoral Studies, Civil Engineering, Cergy, France (d.goshime@hubebi.com), (2) Ecole de Biologie Industreille, 49 Avenue Genottes, 95895 CERGY CEDEX France, (4) Université de Cergy-Pontoise Laboratoire Géosciences et Environnement Cergy,1, rue Descartes 95000 NEUVILLE SUR OISE France, (3) International Water Management Institute, Nile Basin and East Africa Sub-Regional Office, P.O. Box 5689 Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

Significant lowering has been observed in the Lake Ziway volume, which hinders the lake services for a wide va-riety of ecosystems. However, the contribution of water withdrawal, land cover change and climate change has not been quantified yet due to scarce data for rainfall-runoff modeling. Hydrological modeling for runoff simulation requires long-term accurate and consistence rainfall data both in space and time. Satellite hydro-meteorological es-timate may serve as important inputs for modeling in an area of data scarce and poorly gauged region. In this study, we evaluated the runoff simulation from near-real time, Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation (CHIRP) satellite rainfall product at daily temporal and 0.05◦X 0.05◦spatial resolution for a period from 1984 to 2016. The study area is Lake Ziway watershed situated in Ethiopian Central Rift Valley lakes basin (CRV), Eastern Africa, the highest in a chain of four lakes. As evidenced from other studies, the bias of satellite rainfall estimate must be re-moved before estimates receive hydrological and water resources applications. We applied a non-linear power bias correction method to obtain bias corrected precipitation using in-situ rainfall data as references. The bias-corrected CHIRP data were used to calibrate and simulate rainfall-runoff using Hydrologiska Byråns Vattenbalansavdelning (HBV) model at Katar and Meki catchments, two major river inflows into the lake.

The HBV model revealed very good performance when evaluated using Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency (NSE) and relative volume error (RVE) objective functions for the calibration and validation periods. For calibration period run 1986 to 1991, the value of NSE was 0.78 and 0.65, and the RVE was -2.49 and -4.45 for Katar and Meki catchments respectively. The verification of model performance revealed NSE values of 0.73 and 0.61, and RVE values of 1.93 and 5.56 for both catchments during a period from 1996 to 2000. Simulation result indicates that, Katar and Meki rivers contribute a runoff volume of 614.6MCM (61% for the Katar and 39% for the Meki) to Lake Ziway for the period from 1986 to 2016. On average a change of up to 9% annual Lake runoff volume reduction obtained during simulation over time. Our study shows that bias corrected CHIRP satellite rainfall estimates play a major role in estimating catchment runoff and lake inflows. Further study should incorporate lake level simulation and climate change impact assessment to assess the likely current and future behavior of lake.

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