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Modelling the regional evolution of frost damage on a winter crop with warming in a temperate climate

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HAL Id: hal-01608671

https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01608671

Submitted on 18 Jun 2018

HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access archive for the deposit and dissemination of sci- entific research documents, whether they are pub- lished or not. The documents may come from teaching and research institutions in France or abroad, or from public or private research centers.

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Modelling the regional evolution of frost damage on a winter crop with warming in a temperate climate

Thierry Castel, Christophe Lecomte, Y. Richard, Annabelle Larmure

To cite this version:

Thierry Castel, Christophe Lecomte, Y. Richard, Annabelle Larmure. Modelling the regional evolution

of frost damage on a winter crop with warming in a temperate climate. 2. Agriculture and Climate

Change Conference, Mar 2017, Sitges, Spain. 2017. �hal-01608671�

(2)

Context : The modalities of climate warming over Europe and France allow to distinguish two temperature periods: before and after 1987/1988

(Brulebois et al. 2015 J. Hydrol.).

It offers the opportunity to assess climate warming on agrosystems.

Perspectives

Objectives & Methods

Winter Pea

(Pisum sativum L)

The results show that the account of the winter crop traits and the modalities of warming jointly matter to better understand how winter climate warming affects changes in the frost risk evolution. This is of primary importance to define new winter crop ideotypes.

Modelling the regional evolution of frost damage on a winter crop with warming in a temperate climate

Simulation results in Burgundy-Franche-Comté

Thierry CASTEL

1

, Christophe LECOMTE

2

, Yves RICHARD

1

& Annabelle LARMURE

2

1Centre de Recherches de Climatologie, UMR Biogéosciences 6282 CNRS-Université de Bourgogne

2UMR Agroécologie1347, AgroSup-INRA-Université de Bourgogne, 21000 Dijon – France

Four winter pea varieties

Dufayet V., Chaux-des-Prés (France) February 2017

Impact of autumn and winter surface temperature warming on frost stress for an annual legume crop

Victor Enduro Lucy Terese

-14.5 39

-14.5 45

-13.5 -8 49 42

Agriculture and Climate Change

Sitges, Spain 26-28 March, 2017

An automated mapping based on a kriging with external drift (KED) method has been used to interpolate maximum and minimum temperatures.

Regional frost stress evolution Climate data (Burgundy-Franche-

Comté - Northeast France) recorded by the Météo-France Station Network (MFSN) were daily interpolated on a 12-km grid.

Frost resistance (°C) Acclimation rate (days)

The interpolated climate data were used to feed a frost stress crop model validated for pea

(Lecomteet al. 2003 Agronomie; Castel et al. 2017 OCL).

Sowing dates:

october 1st, 10th, 20th and 30th

In average, the number and the intensity of frost stress events evolve in opposition between both periods (1961-1987 and 1988-2015): the number of events increases, while their intensity decreases, especially for variety with a weak frost resistance and a prolonged acclimation rate. The resulting evolution of frost stress (number of events x intensity) is a decrease

(Castel et al. 2017 OCL)

.

Average frost stress evolution

Sowing date: october 30th

P1.114

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