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Brief report: Beyond clinical experience: Features of data collection and interpretation that contribute to diagnostic accuracy

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BRIEF REPORT: Beyond Clinical Experience: Features of Data Collection and

Interpretation That Contribute to Diagnostic Accuracy

M a t h i e u R. N e n d a z , MD, MHPE, 1,2 A n n e M. Gut, PhD, i A r n a u d Perrier, MD, 2

Martine Louis-Simonet, MD, 2 Katherine Blondon-Choa, MD, 2 Francois R. Herrmann, M D , MPH, 3

Alain F. Junod, MD, 2 Nu V. Vu, PhD 7

1Unit of Development and Research in Medical Education, University of Geneva, Faculty of Medicine and Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva, Switzerland; 2Department of Internal Medicine, University of Geneva, Faculty of Medicine and Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva, Switzerland; 3Department of Rehabilitation and Geriatrics, University of Geneva, Faculty of Medicine and Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva, Switzerland,

B~CKOROb']~Z): Clinical experience, features of data conection proc- ess, or both, affect diagnostic accuracy, but their respective role is unclear.

OBJECTIVE, DESIGN: Prospective, observational study, to determine the respective contribution of clinical experience and data collection features to diagnostic accuracy.

METHODS: Six Internists, 6 second year internal medicine residents, and 6 senior medical students worked up the same 7 cases with a standardized patient. Each encounter was audiotaped and immediately assessed by the subjects who indicated the reasons underlying their data collection. We analyzed the encounters according to diagnostic accuracy, information collected, organ systems explored, diagnoses evaluated, and final decisions made, and we determined predictors of diagnostic accuracy by logistic regression models.

~ 8 ~ " Several features significantly predicted diagnostic accuracy after correction for clinical experience: early exploration of correct di- agnosis (odds ratio [OR] 24.35) or of relevant diagnostic hypotheses (OR 2.22) to frame ciinlcal data collection, larger number of diagnostic hypotheses evaluated (OR 1.08), and collection of relevant clinical data (OR 1,19).

CONCLUSION: Some features of data collection and interpretation are related to diagnostic accuracy beyond clinical experience and should be explicitly included in clinical training and modeled by clinical teachers. Thoroughness in data collection should not be considered a privileged way to diagnostic success.

KEY WORDS: clinical reasoning; clinical data collection; experience; expertise; medical education; internal medicine.

DOI: 10.1111/J. 1525-1497.2006.00587.x J GEN INTERN MED 2006; 21:1302-1305.

S

t u d i e s in cognitive psychology h a v e d e s c r i b e d t h e proc- e s s e s of clinical reasoning, t h e organization of memory, a n d t h e m e n t a l r e p r e s e n t a t i o n s of knowledge. 1.2 C h a r a c t e r i s - tics influencing d a t a collection or recognition have b e e n well d o c u m e n t e d in visual clinical disciplines like dermatology, or in c a s e s for w h i c h t h e p a t i e n t ' s physical a p p e a r a n c e leads to t h e diagnosis, a ~ For s i t u a t i o n s containing l e s s visible data, previ- o u s s t u d i e s including experienced p h y s i c i a n s 7 a n d s t u d e n t s 8 solving one single c a s e o u t of 4 possible s i t u a t i o n s s u g g e s t e d t h a t early h y p o t h e s i s generation provided a s t r u c t u r e to guide

This paper w a s presented in part at the annual conference qf the Swiss Society of General Internal Medicine, Basel, 2005.

Address correspondence and requests for reprints to Dr Nendaz: Department of Internal Medicine, Service of General Internal Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, 1211 Geneva 14, Switzerland (e-mail: Mathieu.Nendaz@hcuge.ch).

1302

p h y s i c i a n s ' acquisition of key clinical data. F u r t h e r s t u d i e s 9'1° also s u g g e s t e d t h a t s o m e b e h a v i o r s in d a t a collection, s u c h a s detailed inquiry a b o u t t h e c h i e f c o m p l a i n t a n d f r e q u e n t s u m - m a r i z a t i o n o f t h e collected i n f o r m a t i o n , w e r e a s s o c i a t e d w i t h b e t t e r d i a g n o s t i c o u t c o m e s . D e s p i t e t h e e x i s t i n g evidence, faulty d a t a collection a n d i n t e r p r e t a t i o n a r e still i m p o r t a n t s o u r c e s of e r r o r s 11 a n d m a n y clinician e d u c a t o r s still r e w a r d t h o r o u g h n e s s of d a t a collection r a t h e r t h a n r e l e v a n c e d i c t a t e d b y initial d i a g n o s t i c h y p o t h e s e s . T h i s s t u d y a i m s to c o n f i r m t h e s e p r i n c i p l e s w i t h a larger s e t of c a s e s from different o r g a n

systems

a n d to d e t e r m i n e t h e r e s p e c t i v e c o n t r i b u t i o n of clinical e x p e r i e n c e a n d specific f e a t u r e s of d a t a collection a n d i n t e r p r e t a t i o n to explain d i a g n o s t i c a c c u r a c y .

METHODS

Subjects and Research Design

We a s k e d t h e 10 e x p e r i e n c e d G e n e r a l I n t e r n i s t s heavily involved in t e a c h i n g in o u r service to v o l u n t e e r for o u r s t u d y . Six of t h e m a c c e p t e d , a c c o r d i n g to t h e i r time c o n s t r a i n t s . We t h e n r e c r u i t e d s e c o n d - y e a r r e s i d e n t s a n d s e n i o r m e d i c a l s t u d e n t s d u r i n g s u c c e s s i v e r e s i d e n c y a n d c l e r k s h i p r o t a t i o n s in o u r service, u n t i l we o b t a i n e d 6 p a r t i c i p a n t s in e a c h group. All s u b j e c t s w o r k e d u p t h e s a m e 7 c h i e f c o m p l a i n t s w i t h a s t a n d a r d i z e d p a t i e n t , t h u s p r o d u c i n g a total a m o u n t of 42 e n c o u n t e r s for e a c h g r o u p of clinical experience, a s a m p l e size e s t i m a t e d a d e q u a t e in t e r m s of p o w e r a n d feasibility. No specific review w a s r e q u i r e d in o u r i n s t i t u t i o n for t h i s s t u d y .

We u s e d c h a r t s of real p a t i e n t s to c r e a t e 7 c a s e s c r i p t s p o r t r a y e d by a s t a n d a r d i z e d p a t i e n t (SP). Their c h i e f c o m - p l a i n t s were: (1) h e a v y s e n s a t i o n in t h e a b d o m e n , (2) cough, (3) w e i g h t loss, (4) h e a d a c h e , (5) d i a r r h e a , (6) lower limb ed- ema, a n d (7) arthritis. The d i a g n o s e s of t h e s e c o m m o n c a s e s relied m a i n l y o n h i s t o r y a n d p h y s i c a l e x a m i n a t i o n . All s u b j e c t s e n c o u n t e r e d t h e 7 c a s e s in t h e s a m e o r d e r w i t h o u t time limitation. At t h e e n d of e a c h e n c o u n t e r t h e y provided t h e i r final w o r k i n g d i a g n o s i s . T h e e n c o u n t e r s w e r e a u d i o t a p e d a n d i m m e d i a t e l y r e p l a y e d for a t h i n k i n g - a l o u d s t i m u l a t e d recall, 1 d u r i n g w h i c h t h e s u b j e c t s i n d i c a t e d t h e p u r p o s e s u n d e r l y i n g t h e i r d a t a collection. T h e s e c o m m e n t s w e r e a u d i o t a p e d a n d r e t r a n s c r i b e d for a n a l y s e s . Two previ- o u s l y t r a i n e d i n v e s t i g a t o r s e v a l u a t e d a n d tallied t h e c h a r a c - teristics of e a c h e n c o u n t e r . Their i n t e r r a t e r c o r r e l a t i o n r a n g e d from 0.83 to 0.98.

Manuscript received December 3, 2005 Initial editorial decision January 18, 2006 Final acceptance June 19, 2006

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JGIM N e n d a z e t al., Predicting D i a g n o s t i c A c c u r a c y 1303

Table I. Characteristics of The Encounters, According to Clinical Experience*

Experts Residents Students Experience Case effect

41 encounters 42 encounters 42 encounters effect (P*) (P*) Information collected

Encounter duration, mean/case (minutes) Unique findings collected, mean N/case Relevance score* of unique findings, mean/case Key questions t, mean N/case

Summary occurrences, mean N/case Systems explored t

Body systems explored: mean N/case Lines of inquiry, history, mean N/case Diagnostic hypotheses

Diagnostic hypotheses evaluated; mean N/case Relevance of diagnostic hypotheses*, mean/case Findings collected until final diagnosis first generated, mean N/case

Final decisions

Unique decisions made, mean N/ease Relevance of distinct decisions ~, mean/case

15.2 (13.8 to 16.7) 19.0 (18.0 to 19.9) 21.4 (19.6 to 23.3) .03 .90 61 (56 to 67) 77 (72 to 83) 73 (67 to 79) .19 .62 0.60 (0.57 to 0.62) 0.41 (0.40 to 0.42) 0.43 (0.41 to 0.44) <.0001 .68 9 (8 to 10) 8 (7 to 8) 7 (6 to 8) < .0001 < .0001 1.93 (1.63 to 2.22) 1.38 (1.07 to 1.69) 1.17 (.88 to 1.46) .11 .59 7.4 (6.9 to 8.0) 7.4 (6.8 to 7.9) 6.8 (6.2 to 7.4) .12 .21 14 (12 to 16) 18 (16 to 20) 17 (15 to 20) .41 .77 14 (12 to 15) 16 (15 to 18) 16 (14 to 17} .41 .04 0.69 (0.66 to 0.72) 0.49 (0.46 to 0.52) 0.49 (0.46 to 0.52) <.001 .83 9.8 (7 to 12) 24 (16 to 32) 23 (15 to 32) .008 .03 7 (6 to 8l 8 (7 to 9) 8 (7 to 91 .36 .005 0.69 (0.64 to 0.731 0.42 (0.37 to 0.47} 0.52 (0.47 to 0.561 <.001 .21 *ANOVA with subjects nested within experience levels a n d repeated measures for cases. Numbers in brackets denote 95% confidence intervals. *Relevance of information collected, diagnostic hypotheses generated, or decisions made, is their level of concordance (from O, 0% concordance to i,

100% concordance) among experts reaching the correct diagnoses. Key questions, decisions, or diagnostic hypotheses are those elicited by all members of this reference group.

tExamples of body systems: respiratory, neurological. One line of inquiry is a sequence of consecutive questions evaluating the s a m e diagnostic hypothesis.

Outcome Variables and Data Analyses

We analyzed 125 e n c o u n t e r s , 1 e n c o u n t e r b e i n g n o t r e c o r d e d for t e c h n i c a l p r o b l e m s . For e a c h e n c o u n t e r , we d e t e r m i n e d t h e diagnostic a c c u r a c y (binary variable, b a s e d on t h e a c t u a l pa- t i e n t ' s diagnosis), t h e a m o u n t , relevance, a n d s e q u e n c e of t h e i n f o r m a t i o n collected, t h e o r g a n s y s t e m s explored, t h e diag- n o s t i c h y p o t h e s e s evaluated, a n d t h e m a n a g e m e n t d e c i s i o n s m a d e . B e c a u s e t h e r e is no gold s t a n d a r d to w o r k u p specific c a s e s , we u s e d t h e level of c o n c o r d a n c e a m o n g e x p e r t s w i t h correct final d i a g n o s e s to d e t e r m i n e t h e relevance of t h e infor- m a t i o n collected a n d t h e diagnostic h y p o t h e s e s generated. 12-15 E a c h piece of i n f o r m a t i o n a n d d i a g n o s t i c h y p o t h e s i s received a relevance weight r a n g i n g from 0 (0% c o n c o r d a n c e ) to 1 (100% concordance). Key i n f o r m a t i o n or h y p o t h e s e s were t h o s e elic- ited b y all e x p e r t s (100% c o n c o r d a n c e ) .

We b u i l t a n ANOVA m o d e l in w h i c h t h e u n i t of a n a l y s i s w a s t h e e n c o u n t e r , i.e.. t h e p r o d u c t of s u b j e c t s (18) by c a s e s (7), s u b j e c t s b e i n g n e s t e d w i t h i n 3 e x p e r i e n c e levels. We a n a - lyzed t h e effects of clinical e x p e r i e n c e o n t h e v a r i a b l e s listed in Table 1, w i t h t h e 7 c a s e s a s r e p e a t e d m e a s u r e s . We also t e s t e d i n t e r a c t i o n s b e t w e e n c a s e s a n d e x p e r i e n c e levels.

We d e t e r m i n e d t h e f e a t u r e s of t h e d a t a collection p r o c e s s p r e d i c t i n g d i a g n o s t i c a c c u r a c y b y univariate, bivariate (cor- r e c t i o n for clinical experience), a n d m u l t i p l e logistic r e g r e s s i o n m o d e l s (corrected for all collected data). S t a n d a r d e r r o r s a n d 95% c o n f i d e n c e intervals (CI) were a d j u s t e d for i n t r a g r o u p correlation, t h u s t a k i n g into a c c o u n t t h e fact t h a t t h e s a m e s u b j e c t s a s s e s s e d m a n y c a s e s . All a n a l y s e s were p e r f o r m e d u s i n g t h e S t a t a "~" statistical software (release 9.1, S t a t a Corp., College Station, TX).

RESULTS

The c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of t h e e n c o u n t e r s differed a c c o r d i n g to t h e s u b j e c t s ' levels of clinical e x p e r i e n c e (Table 1}. Overall, e x p e r t s differed m o r e from r e s i d e n t s a n d s t u d e n t s t h a n did r e s i d e n t s

from s t u d e n t s . C o m p a r e d w i t h e x p e r i e n c e d p h y s i c i a n s , y o u n g - er d o c t o r s collected l e s s r e l e v a n t data; e v a l u a t e d l e s s r e l e v a n t d i a g n o s t i c h y p o t h e s e s ; e v a l u a t e d t h e final c o r r e c t d i a g n o s i s later d u r i n g t h e e n c o u n t e r ; a n d m a d e d e c i s i o n s of lower relevance. No i n t e r a c t i o n b e t w e e n c a s e a n d level of e x p e r i e n c e w a s significant. The p r o p o r t i o n of c a s e s d i a g n o s e d correctly w a s , respectively, 81% (95% CI 66 to 90), 45% (95% CI 31 to 60), a n d 36% (95% CI 23 to 51) for t h e experts, r e s i d e n t s , a n d s t u d e n t s (P< .001).

The following v a r i a b l e s significantly p r e d i c t e d d i a g n o s t i c a c c u r a c y in t h e u n i v a r i a t e logistic r e g r e s s i o n : h i g h e r level of clinical e x p e r i e n c e (odds ratio [OR] 7.43, 95% CI 2.17 to 25.41), collection of key i n f o r m a t i o n (OR 1.23, 1.09 to 1.39}, s u m m a r i z a t i o n of available i n f o r m a t i o n (OR 1.50, 1.00 to 2.27), g e n e r a t i o n of t h e c o r r e c t d i a g n o s i s a t l e a s t o n c e d u r i n g t h e e n c o u n t e r (OR 15.45, 1.87 to 127.83), e v a l u a t i o n of t h e c o r r e c t d i a g n o s i s w i t h i n t h e first 1O q u e s t i o n s a s k e d (OR 28.29, 3.33 to 239.95), a n d evaluation of key d i a g n o s t i c hy- p o t h e s e s d u r i n g t h e e n c o u n t e r (OR 2.54, 1.54 to 4.18).

After c o r r e c t i o n for clinical e x p e r i e n c e (Table 2), f r e q u e n t s u m m a r i z a t i o n of i n f o r m a t i o n w a s n o longer significant a n d t h e total n u m b e r of d i a g n o s t i c h y p o t h e s e s e v a l u a t e d d u r i n g t h e e n c o u n t e r s b e c a m e a significant predictor. T h e n u m b e r of key d i a g n o s t i c h y p o t h e s e s r e m a i n e d t h e m o s t significant variable, even w i t h t h e conservative Bonferroni's correction for multiple c o m p a r i s o n s . 17

With multiple logistic r e g r e s s i o n a n a l y s i s , clinical experi- e n c e at t h e s t u d e n t level (OR 0.24, 0.07 to 0.83), evaluation of key d i a g n o s t i c h y p o t h e s e s d u r i n g t h e e n c o u n t e r s (OR 3.12,

1.55 to 6.25), a n d t h e late e v a l u a t i o n of t h e c o r r e c t d i a g n o s i s (OR 0.97, 0.94 to 0.99) r e m a i n e d significant i n d e p e n d e n t pre- d i c t o r s of d i a g n o s t i c a c c u r a c y (40% of t h e v a r i a n c e explained).

DISCUSSION

In t h i s s t u d y , several c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s in d a t a collection a n d i n t e r p r e t a t i o n p r e d i c t e d d i a g n o s t i c a c c u r a c y b e y o n d t h e a c c u -

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1304 N e n d a z e t al.. P r e d i c t i n g D i a g n o s t i c A c c u r a c y ]GIM

Table 2. Bivariate Logistic Regression Analysis Corrected for Experience for the Prediction of Complete and Correct Diagnosis, with 95% Confidence Intervals Adjusted for Intrasubject Correlation

Odds ratio 95% Cl P*

Mean n u m b e r of key questions asked by case* Mean n u m b e r of lines of inquiry by case t

Mean n u m b e r of diagnostic hypotheses evaluated by case Mean n u m b e r of key diagnostic h y p o t h e s e s evaluated by case

Correct diagnostic hypothesis evaluated at least once during the encounter Correct diagnostic hypothesis generated within the first 10 questions a s k e d

1.19 1.04 to 1.36 .01 1.05 1.O1 to 1.11 .03 1.08 1.01 to 1.16 .02 2.22 1.34 to 3.67 .002 15.17 1.05 to 219.6 .04 24.35 2.66 to 222.50 .005

*If Bonferroni's correction for multiple comparisons is applied, the significance threshold becomes 0.005.

t Key questions or diagnostic hypotheses are those elicited by all members of the reference group of experts reaching the correct diagnoses. t o n e line of inquiry is a sequence of consecutive questions evaluating the s a m e diagnostic hypothesis.

CI, confidence interval.

m u l a t e d y e a r s o f p r a c t i c e , a m o n g w h i c h t h e m o s t i m p o r t a n t w e r e t h e c o l l e c t i o n o f k e y i n f o r m a t i o n , t h e e v a l u a t i o n o f r e l e - v a n t d i a g n o s t i c h y p o t h e s e s a n d t h e g e n e r a t i o n o f t h e c o r r e c t d i a g n o s i s w i t h i n t h e f i r s t 10 q u e s t i o n s a s k e d d u r i n g t h e e n c o u n t e r . T h i s h i g h l i g h t s t h e c r u c i a l i m p o r t a n c e o f a n e a r l y e v a l u a t i o n o f r e l e v a n t d i a g n o s t i c h y p o t h e s e s d u r i n g t h e w o r k - u p to d i a g n o s e s u c c e s s f u l l y a c a s e , a s it d r i v e s t h e s u b s e q u e n t c o l l e c t i o n o f r e l e v a n t i n f o r m a t i o n . O u r r e s u l t s o n s e v e r a l c a s e s in v a r i o u s d o m a i n s o f i n t e r n a l m e d i c i n e e x p a n d p r e v i o u s r e s e a r c h t h a t a l r e a d y s h o w e d t h e s e r e l a t i o n s h i p s w i t h f e w c a s e s 1'7'9 f r o m s p e c i f i c s p e c i a l t i e s (e.g., n e u r o l o g y ) o r c a s e s r e l y i n g o n v i s u a l c u e s . 3-6 I n a d d i t i o n , s o m e p r e v i o u s w o r k s r e l i e d o n w r i t t e n c l i n i c a l v i g n e t t e s r a t h e r t h a n h i g h e r - f i d e l i t y s i m u l a t i o n a l l o w i n g for a n o p e n - e n d e d i n q u i r y (e.g., s t a n d a r d - i z e d p a t i e n t s ) , a c o n d i t i o n k n o w n to a l t e r c l i n i c a l r e a s o n i n g b e c a u s e t h e i n f o r m a t i o n is i m m e d i a t e l y p r o v i d e d r a t h e r t h a n p r o g r e s s i v e l y c o l l e c t e d b y t h e s u b j e c t . 16.is O u r d a t a a l s o give a n a d d i t i o n a l i n s i g h t i n t o t h e role o f c l i n i c a l e x p e r i e n c e . W h i l e a f o c u s e d d a t a c o l l e c t i o n a n d f r e q u e n t s u m m a r i z a t i o n s o f t h e c o l l e c t e d c l i n i c a l d a t a a r e m o r e a t r a i t o f a h i g h e r level o f t r a i n - i n g t h a n a n e c e s s a r y c o n d i t i o n o f d i a g n o s t i c s u c c e s s , t h e e x - p l o r a t i o n o f a l a r g e r n u m b e r o f d i a g n o s t i c h y p o t h e s e s b e c o m e s a n i m p o r t a n t c l u e for s u c c e s s f u l y o u n g e r s u b j e c t s . M o r e t h a n a c c u m u l a t e d y e a r s o f p r a c t i c e , p r e v i o u s e x p o s u r e to s i m i l a r c a s e s m a y t h u s r e p r e s e n t a n i m p o r t a n t d e t e r m i n a n t o f d i a g - n o s t i c s u c c e s s , a s a l s o s u g g e s t e d b y t h e t i n y d i f f e r e n c e s o b - s e r v e d b e t w e e n t h e c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s o f r e s i d e n t s a n d s t u d e n t s . M a n y o f t h e s e p r i n c i p l e s h a v e a l r e a d y b e e n s u g g e s t e d b y m e d i c a l e d u c a t o r s b u t t h e i r i n t e r n a l i z a t i o n b y c l i n i c i a n - e d u c a t o r s r e m a i n s d i f f i c u l t i n p r a c t i c e . B y a c t u a l i z i n g t h e m , o u r d a t a r e i n f o r c e t h e g o a l s m e d i c a l t r a i n e r s s h o u l d s t r i v e to a t t a i n w i t h t h e i r t r a i n e e s a n d give c r e d e n c e to t e a c h i n g a c t i v i t i e s f o s t e r i n g t h e e x p l o r a t i o n o f d i a g n o s t i c h y p o t h e s e s r e l a t e d to t h e p a t i e n t ' s c o m p l a i n t a n d t h e i r u s e to f r a m e f u r t h e r d a t a c o l l e c t i o n . 19 W h a t e v e r t h e t e a c h i n g s t r a t e g y , it s h o u l d f a v o r t h e s i m u l t a n e o u s a c q u i s i t i o n o f k n o w l e d g e a n d p r o c e s s to r e m a i n o p t i m a l . 2° O u r r e s u l t s a l s o s u p p o r t t e a c h i n g p r o g r a m s t h a t offer e a r l y a n d s y s t e m a t i c a p p r o a c h to a v a r i e t y o f p r a c t i c a l c a s e s a n d d o n o t m e r e l y r e l y o n a r a n d o m a n d u n e v e n e x p o s u r e . T h i s s t u d y h a s s o m e l i m i t a t i o n s r e s t r i c t i n g t h e g e n e r a l i - z a t i o n o f t h e r e s u l t s . F i r s t , it w a s c o n d u c t e d i n a s i n g l e i n s t i - t u t i o n w i t h v o l u n t e e r s . T h e s u b j e c t s w e r e , t h e r e f o r e , p o s s i b l y m o r e m o t i v a t e d t h a n t h o s e w h o d e c l i n e d p a r t i c i p a t i o n , al- t h o u g h t h i s s e l e c t i o n b i a s w o u l d h a v e r a t h e r r e d u c e d t h e d i f f e r e n c e s w e o b s e r v e d a m o n g g r o u p s o f d i f f e r e n t l e v e l s o f c l i n i c a l e x p e r i e n c e . S e c o n d , a l t h o u g h t h e s t a n d a r d i z a t i o n o f t h e s e t t i n g i n c r e a s e s r e l i a b i l i t y , it m a y h i n d e r t h e n a t u r a l r e a s o n i n g t h e s a m e p h y s i c i a n s w o u l d h a v e w h e i 1 f a c i n g a re- al p a t i e n t i n a n a t u r a l s e t t i n g . I n c o n c l u s i o n , s o m e c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s o f c l i n i c a l d a t a collec- t i o n a r e r e l a t e d to d i a g n o s t i c a c c u r a c y b e y o n d t r a i t s m o r e di- r e c t l y r e l a t e d to c l i n i c a l e x p e r i e n c e . M e d i c a l e d u c a t o r s s h o u l d c o n s i d e r t h e m a s t r a i n i n g g o a l s for l e a r n e r s i n c l i n i c a l e n v i - r o n m e n t s a n d r e i n f o r c e t h e i m p o r t a n c e o f u s i n g a n e a r l y a n d w i d e e x p l o r a t i o n o f d i a g n o s t i c h y p o t h e s e s to f r a m e c l i n i c a l d a - t a c o l l e c t i o n . T h i s i m p l i e s a m o r e e x p l i c i t role m o d e l i n g o f c l i n - ical r e a s o n i n g a n d t h e a b a n d o n m e n t o f t h e still p r e v a i l i n g s e n s e t h a t e x h a u s t i v e d a t a c o l l e c t i o n i s t h e p r i v i l e g e d w a y to d i a g n o s t i c s u c c e s s .

We thank the faculty members, residents, a n d students who so willingly participated in this study.

Funding sources: Swiss National Science Foundation, Grant no. 3200B0-102265/1 a n d Elie Safra Foundation, Geneva, Switzerland.

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2. Norman GR. Research in clinical reasoning: past history and current trends. Med Educ. 2005;39:418-27.

3. N o r m a n GR, Brooks LR, C u n n i n g t o n JPW, Shall V, Marriott M, R e g e h r G. Expert-novice differences in the use of history and visual information from patients. Acad Med. 1996;71:62-4.

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of a diagnostic hypothesis on the interpretation of clinical features. Acad Med. 2002;77:$67-$69.

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7. Barrows HS, N o r m a n GR, N e u f e l d VR, F e l g h t n e r JW. The clinical reasoning of randomly selected physicians in general medical practice. Clin Invest Med. 1982:5:49-55.

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Figure

Table  I.  Characteristics  of The  Encounters,  According  to  Clinical  Experience*
Table 2.  Bivariate  Logistic Regression Analysis Corrected  for Experience  for the Prediction  of Complete  and  Correct  Diagnosis,  with 95% Confidence  Intervals  Adjusted for Intrasubject  Correlation

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