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A simulation model to predict the potential spread of the pine wood nematode, Bursaphelenchus xylophylus over a range of scales

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HAL Id: hal-02809033

https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-02809033

Submitted on 6 Jun 2020

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A simulation model to predict the potential spread of the pine wood nematode, Bursaphelenchus xylophylus

over a range of scales

Christelle Robinet, Jianghua Sun, Richard Baker, Hugh Evans, Alain Roques

To cite this version:

Christelle Robinet, Jianghua Sun, Richard Baker, Hugh Evans, Alain Roques. A simulation model to

predict the potential spread of the pine wood nematode, Bursaphelenchus xylophylus over a range of

scales. 25. International Congress of Entomology, New Era in entomology, Jun 2012, Daegu, South

Korea. 1 p. �hal-02809033�

(2)

Keywords:Pine wood nematode, Bursaphelenchus xylophylus, Biological invasion, Monochamus, Spread model, Potential range expansion

S1006M07

Integrated Pest Management

S1006

A simulation model to predict the potential spread of the pine wood nematode, Bursaphelenchus xylophilus over a range of scales

Christelle Robinet1, Jianghua Sun2, Richard Baker3, Hugh Evans4, Alain Roques5

1INRA, France, 2Chinese Academy of Sciences, China, 3Food and Environment Research Agency, United Kingdom, 4Forestry Commission Research Agency, United Kingdom, 5INRA, France

The pine wood nematode, Bursaphelenchus xylophylus, is the causal agent of the pine wilt disease.

The species is native to North America where it is only a minor pest, mainly on non-native tree species. It has been introduced to several Asian countries (Japan, China, Taiwan, Korea) and to Europe (Portugal with some records in Spain). In most cases, the nematode has spread very rapidly despite control measures, and caused extensive damage to forests. If tree species are susceptible and climate is suitable, then the pine wood nematode can cause pine wilt and trees can die within a few weeks. Within forests and woodlands, the nematode is carried from one tree to another by adult beetles of the genus Monochamus whereas it can spread over long distances as a result of accidental transportation of infested materials. It is therefore important to understand the dispersal mechanism of the nematode and to determine the areas at risk. Here we present a spread model which combines short distance spread (to describe the dispersal of the vector) and long distance spread (to describe human transportation). This model was successfully used to predict the potential range expansion of the pine wood nematode and pine wilt disease in China. It also provides indications of which European ports are the most at risk for nematode introduction arising from international trade. The potential spread in Europe from the present invaded area in Portugal will be determined more accurately in the frame of the EU project REPHRAME (2011-2014).

All abstracts are subject to approval once submitted with the attendance certification issued by ICE2012

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