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2009 2010

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.

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2001

2001 2001

1913 1990

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(8)

2001

(9)

2001

(10)

1992

2001

(11)

1 2 2001

3

(12)

2001

2001

(13)
(14)
(15)

1

waltz keneth

1979 1996

elman waltz

1996

(16)

elman

Theory

faits

. 1

.

2004 2005

14

2

2003

3

1986 36

(17)

2 1

²

Pol Sipirit

12.11 1

1998 2

8

(18)

Sharles Hermann

Rosenau James

"

1998 1

157

11 2

328 3

8 4

9

(19)

historical experiences strategic

circumstances

449 1

(20)

form of behavior

14 1

15 157 2

15 3

4

(21)

basic

motivation 1990

1) Volker Rittberger.

Approaches to the study of Foreign Policy derived from

international relations theories, In site internet:

http://www.isanet.org/noarchive/rittberger.html.

(22)

Morgenthau

Carr, Morgenthau

1945

Kenneth Waltz

2005 1

30 20 2

3

2004 84

(23)

Kenneth Waltz

" top-

down approaches "

Unit- Level –

Influences K.Waltz

Morgenthau

Carr

Niebuhr ) James D.fearon, Domestic Politics. Foreign Policy and Theories of 1

International Relations, In site internet:

http://www.people.fas.harvard.edu/ Johnston / gov2880/fearon.pdf. p 12.

2) Volker Rittberger. Approaches to the study of Foreign Policy derived from international relations theories,op cit. Volker Rittberger

(24)

1 2 2 3

4

5 6

7 8 9

10

11

1

http://www.geocities.com/adelzeggagh/IR

20 2

22

3

2007 146

(25)

Billiard-ball

12

Morgenthau Rational

30 1

81 2

31 3

32

(26)

H.Kissinger

40 1

100 2

3

2004 245

4 ) James D . fearon, Op.cit, p 297.

) James N.Rosenau, International politics and foreign policy, (New-York 5

the free

press,1969),p 261.

55 6

)- frédéric charillon , 7

politique Etrangére nouveaux regards,( Paris Presses de la fondation

nationale des sciences politiques,2002 ) p33.

(27)

K.Waltz

K.Waltz

43 1

44

44 2

jean.Jacques roche, Théories des relations international,( Paris 3

éditions monthrestien ,E J-

A.5 ° éditions,2004) p 42.

(28)

systémique

"

"

K.Waltz

K.Waltz

110 1

11 2

12 2003

http://www.awu-dam.org/politic/11-12/fkr11-12-004.htm

327 3

44 4

(29)

H.Kissinger

the model of homo

oeconomicus goal-oriented

91 1

172 2

45 3

) James N.Rosenau,op.cit,p261. 4

27 5

Volker Rittberger, op.cit. 6

(30)

Self-preservation K.Waltz

25 1

24 2

25

3

http://elibrary.grc.to/ar/penquin/page_1_8.htm

4

1989 309

James D.Fearon, op.cit, p 294. 5

(31)

K.Waltz

Charles Kupchne

Purely systemic neorealist Theory

28 1

25 2

21 3

22 4

(32)

Neo-Classical Realism

The Defensive Theory Stephen Van Evara

Robert Jervis Joseph Grieco

Giden Rose, "Neoclassical realism and theories of foreign policy", 1

World Politics, Vol

51,1998 ,p p146-149.

2

(33)

Cooperative Realism

The Offensive Theory

John J.Mearsheimer/ Stephen Walt/ Farid Zakaria

1

2004

2

)- . 3

John-Mearsheimer:.Realism.the worlds and academia,(USA: university of Chicago, 2000), p 01

(34)

Christensen

192 1

193 2

25 3

4

2002 36

(35)

inter societal extre

societal

innenpolitik theory

James D.Fearon /Giden Rose

Colin Elman

Giden Rose, op.cit,p152. 1

145 2

146

(36)

Domestic Politics Theories

Richard Snyder Brohk

Spain

linkage politics

1 -

2 -

3

8 1

James D.Fearon, op.cit, p 290 2

(37)

posen 1984

snyder 1984

van evera

1

krasner's 1976

domestic-

intutional legs 1900

1913

christensen

freidberg

non strategic

Non Unitary Actor

James D.Fearon Suboptimal Foreign Poilicy

27 1

28

2), Giden Rose, op.cit, p156.

3) Ibid, 159.162.

(38)

Giden Rose

Stephen Peter, Rosen, Kenneth

M.Pollack

Rogoweski 1998

1 - The Bias of Foreign Policy

2 - Krasner 1976

1900 1913

3 -

4 -

Colin Elman

5 -

6 -

James D.Fearon, op.cit, p 299

1

Giden Rose, op.cit, p 169 2

32 3

(39)

7 -

8 -

9 - bottom-up approaches

10 -

1 James Rosenau)

Issue- Area

Rosenau Linkage

1

http:elibrary.grc.to/ar/penquin/page. htm

193 2

(40)

feedback loop

2

"

54 1

314 2

92 3

(41)

top-down approaches

Utilitarian Liberalism bottom-up approaches

sub- systemic level

K.Waltz

Non Unitary

Actor

the model of homo oeconomicus

Volker Rittberger, op.cit. 1

Ibid. 2

(42)

rationalist theories of politics

net gains-

seeking foreign policy goal-

oriented logic of

consequentiality

1 2 3 4 my net benefit

the

process of interest intermediation

PSA Actors

) Ibid 1

) Andrea Ribeiro Hoffmann , A synthetic approach to foreign policy, in site: 2

http://www.isanet.org/noarchive/hoffmann.html ) Ibid. 3

) Volker Rittberger, op.cit. 4

(43)

1 processes of societal interest intermediation

2 3

1

2

Ibid. 1

(44)

3

Democratic Peace Theory

) Andrea Ribeiro Hoffmann, op.cit. 1

Ibid. 2

Volker Rittberger, op.cit. 3 4

(45)

1998 Ray

Geomans 1995

3 Constructuvism

Nicholas Onuf

world of our making)

James D.Fearon, op.cit. p 303. 1

63 2

62 3

93 4

5

2005 34

(46)

global society

Intra-Societal

Extra-Societal

1

34 2

Giden Rose, op.cit, p 152. 3

145 4

146

162 5

(47)

Constructuvist Modernists

Alexandr Wendt

top-down approaches bottom-up approaches

process of socialization

) 1

Toru Oga, From Constructivism to Deconstructivism theorising the Construction and Culmination of identities, in site:

http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-htm.

2

2002 45

Volker Rittberger, op.cit. 3

(48)

Alexandre Wendt

Intersubjective

Alexandr Wendt

1

the model of homo

oeconomicus the notion of homo sociologicus

40 1

) Volker Rittberger, op.cit.2

(49)

logic of

appropriateness logic of consequentiality

1 Of what kind is the situation I am in

2 Which of my several social roles is called upon in this situation

3 To what extent does each of the behavioral options I face conform to this

role 4 Which is the most appropriate course of behavior (given my situation, my

roles, and my options

Ibid. 1

(50)

intersubjectively shared

process of socialization

1 2

Ibid. 1

) Ibid 2

163 3

164

(51)

Nicholas Onuf world of our- making

The knowledge position role position

enemy rival

friend

1 2 3

43 1

) 2

Andrea Ribeiro Hoffmann, op.cit.

Ibid. 3

(52)

A.Wendt Anarchy is what state

make it

Wendt,

1992

2 A.Wendt

interest

) Toru Oga, op.cit. 1 2) Ibid.

3

34 4

(53)

Process

"

"

45 1

23 2

3

http://elibrary.grc.to/ar/penquin/page_3_3.htm

31 4

James Rosenau, op.cit, p p 261-274. 5

(54)

1 Domestic Environment

Joseph Frankel

The Making of Foreign Policy

Environment ( or, interchangeably, Setting ) is used as a description of all environing factors. (

" Any domestic matter

may impinge on foreign policy"4

1 2

http://elibrary.grc.to/ar/penquin/page...htm

Joseph frankel,The making of foreign policy, (New York: Oxford university 3

press, ,1963) p 4.

4 ) Ibid.

(55)

Snyder

2

1 -

2 -

3 -

4 -

5 -

6 -

7 -

8 -

9 -

179 1

201 2

(56)

1

1

12 1989

87

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202 3

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1

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2005 24

2005 3

93 94

(58)

407 1

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17 18

(59)

2

19 1

187 2

3

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202 4

(60)

Almond

3

1

188 2

189 3

190 203 4

(61)

أ‌

-

1997 1

412

2

2005 39

154 3

(62)

1

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ب

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311 2

(63)

1 -

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195 1

196 2

197

197 3

198

(64)

3 -

1

200 1

157 2

241 3

203 4

(65)

.Agenda setting

parameter setting

Policy setting

4

246 1

247 248

203 2

(66)

empirically irredentism

205 1

202 2

203 3

53 4

54

61 5

62

(67)

1973

1917 1991

1

http://elibrary.grc.to/ar/penquin/page...htm

206 2

212 3

(68)

5

67 1

68 211 2

58 3

783 4

(69)

6

7

179 1

2001 2

202

205 3

185 4

208 5

209

(70)

8

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207

(71)

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De Tocqueville

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1

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1835

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(72)

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1

(73)

9

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2

203 1

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(74)

1

http://boubouche.maktoobblog.com

2

127 3

1997 80

82

(75)

1 2

453 3

134 4

5

http://ocw.kfupm.edu.sa/user%5CGS4230405/BBduc22.htm

(76)

134 1

135

135 2

136 204 3

(77)

17 2008

17

1

http://www.aljazeera.net

(78)

10,577 2

90 10

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1389 1389

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1991

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."http://ar.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D9%83%D9%88%D8%B3%D9%88%D9%81%D9%88

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1990

1992

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17

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(80)

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60 97

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2

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3

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(83)
(84)

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2

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(85)

1

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(86)
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2475 1

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(88)

1848

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. 1947

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(92)

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(95)

1992 1997

1998 34

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148.7 1992

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15 1989

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1987

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2005

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George Sokoloff

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Anatholi Tchoubai Perre

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Victor Tchernomyrdine

Gazprom

2001

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124 1

125 1999 2

1996 193

.

(101)

2002 3.4

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8

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Jacques Sapir 4

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7

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2000

20 25

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% 2001

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2

% Krasnaia Zevezda

(103)

3

Alain Mine

(104)

1992

(105)

1993

1994

(CIA)

40 70

%

15.6 1996

Vladimir Jirinovsky

1993

127 1

128

(106)

2001 34.8

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% 32

%

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% 10

%

128 1

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4

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.

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.

.

.

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1991 86.9

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.

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. .

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.

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A Berelowith

1

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(109)

Vladimir

Poutine 1999

Héléne Carrère d’Encausse

(110)

1 1999

40

%

1610 1613

(111)

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1904 1905

75

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1909

20 1991

80

(112)

1 1.2

2.7 1991

1200 Pskov

3

% 37

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Henry

Paris 1991

1996 3.4

1992

1993

Jacques

Golliet

(113)

20

%

Adjarie Djavakh

1993

238234 1

(114)

2 Ttierry de

Monbrial

1945 J.P Colin

16 2001

2001 Shanghai

(115)

George Robertson Jan Krauze

H.Kissinger

Evgueni Kostitlev

234,235 1

(116)

Alexeï Vasslaiev 1985

1971

1998

1995

2000

1995

Minsk 1991

(CEI)

(117)

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Azerbaidjan Biélonussie

2000

236 1

(118)

3

17 2

1 27.5 30

20 16

150

2005

1 13 8

49 11

38 51

2005

555

1400 2

42 1

170 2007

92

(119)

2,2

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60

2004 Yaganskneftegaz

Yullos

30 lukoil

19 2005

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4

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%

25 2030

40

31 10

3

(120)

5

1992

125

% 270

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93 1

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(121)

Pierre Biarnès

1877

12 2002

1368

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1

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2

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1 7

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3 85.3

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1

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(126)

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65

(127)

13,5

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11

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66 1

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% Eederol heserve bank

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(131)
(132)

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1

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(146)

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2 Stephen J. Blank TOWARDS A NEW RUSSIA POLICY DOUGLAS C LOVELACE, February 2008 .p1-2.

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1) Barry R.Bozen ,The struggel Against terrorism ;grand strategy , and tactics, international security , vol 26, no.3, winter 2001/2002 p 14.

, 2

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(177)

.

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(182)

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1Strobe Talbott

2008

2008

1

http://www.aleqt.com/2009/07/07/article_249025.

2 Stephen.j Blank, Prospects for U.S.-Russian. security Cooperation douglas c.

Lovelace.- March 2009 p .2 .

(189)

2009

1 3

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2

1 -http://www.arabic.xinhuanet.com/arabic/2009-07/04/content_902142.htm

(190)

1994

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3 15

11 2009

.

.

(191)

.

".

4

17 2008

1

http://www.al-ayyam.com/znews/site/template/article.aspx?did=126580&date=11/16/2009

2 Réchauffement des relations américano-russes in cit :

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2009

1

9 2009

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1500 1675

500 1000

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1 http://www.arabic.xinhuanet.com/arabic/2009-07/05/content_902627.ht

2

http://www.america.gov/st/peacesec-arabic/2009/December/20091208153857snmassabla 0.6986048. html

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Sergei Prikhodko

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1

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Illarionov .

Prikhodko:

".

1 5

2009 8

2010 2

(195)
(196)

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1995 1996

13 1998

15 1

2005 268

(197)

22 1998

45 1998

1998

24 25 1998

1998

145 100

25

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1998

(198)

1 2 1998

1991

1992 1998

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1 ) Steven l. Burg.” The security challenge in kosovo: toward a region- stabilizing solution”.(

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271 1

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