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Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands by Point Processes

Marie Ange Ngo Bieng 1,2 C. Ginisty 1

F. Goreaud 2

1 Research Team « Écosystèmes Forestiers » (Nogent / Vernisson)

2 Laboratory of engineering for complex systems (Clermont - Ferrand), FRANCE

IUFRO SAULT, july 29- August 2, 2007:

Complex Stand Structures and Associated Dynamics: measurement indices and modeling approaches; Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario, Canada

Agricultural and Environmental Engineering Research

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Overview

I. Modelling complex stands structure:

Why?

II. Characterising our oak-pine stands spatial structure

III. Modelling: reproducing the identified stands spatial structure

IV. Conclusions and perspectives

Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands

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I. Modelling Complex stands structure

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I. Modelling complex stand structure

Why?

Complex stand

Individual Based Model (IBM) spatially explicit

Growth modelling

Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands

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5

Initial state Simulation

proceed

IBM

Description and Location of each tree

Modelling Real stand structure Real stand Virtual stand

Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands

I. Modelling complex stand structure

Why?

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Our aim: present a model of spatial structure of oak-pine mixed stands.

We are focusing on mixed stands of sessile oak (Quercus petraea) – Scots-pine (Pinus

sylvestris) of the Orleans forest (France).

Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands

I. Modelling complex stand structure

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Our aim: modelling the spatial structure

real virtual

Real characteristics Reconstruction

2

1

2

1 Typology of spatial structure (part 2) Point Processes (part 3)

Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands

I. Modelling complex stand structure

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II. Characterising our oak-pine stands spatial structure

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The stand is considered as a point pattern.

The stand S, a set of trees T n

Characterise by their locations (X n , Y n )

T

1

(x

1

, y

1

) T

2

(x

2

y

2

) .

. .

T

n

(X

n

, Y

n

)

x y

Plot 20

Horizontal distribution of trees in space

Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands

II. Characterising stands spatial structure

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The stand is considered as a spatial point pattern

A spatial Point Process is a stochastic model that governs the location of points in an area (Cressie, 1993).

An appropriate tool for examining spatial structure of trees in a forest stand

Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands

II. Characterising stands spatial structure

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Characterising the spatial point pattern by its second-order intensity, described by Ripley function (Ripley, 1977)

aggregation \random\ regularity attraction \ independence\ repulsion

random

regular aggregated

0 100

0 100

L(r) = 0 Κ( r)= π r 2

0 100

0 100

L(r) < 0

0 100

0 100

L(r) >0

Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands

II. Characterising stands spatial structure

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Characterising the spatial point pattern by L(r) (Besag in Ripley, 1977)

L(r) = (K(r)/ π) 1/2 – r

Random Regular Aggregated

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4

10 20 30 40 50

L(r)

range r

Ripley curves for the 3 types of spatial distributions

Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands

II. Characterising stands spatial structure

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13

25 1ha mapped plots

Defining sub-populations:

Others

Canopy pines

Canopy and

Understorey oak

Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands

II. Characterising stands spatial structure

Plot 20

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Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands

II. Characterising stands spatial structure

Type 3 :

- Random structure of oak - Slight aggregation of pine - Slight repulsion

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

2 6 10 14 18 22 26 30 2 6 10 14 18 22 26 30 2 6 10 14 18 22 26 30

plot 7 plot 14 plot 17 plot 20 plot 21 plot 24

L O (r) real L P (r) real L OP real

Plot 20

0 25 50 75 100

-50 -25 0 25 50

canopy oak canopy pine

Typology of spatial structure

based on Ripley and Intertype computed 25 1 ha plots

Type 1 Type 2

Type 3 Type 4

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III. Reproducing the identified stand spatial structure

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The point processes used

Poisson process: random pattern

0 20 40 60 80 100

y

-2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2

2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30

L(r) LIC- LIC+

Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands

III. Reproducing stands spatial structure

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17

The point processes used

Neyman-scott process: aggregated pattern

0 20 40 60 80 100

0 20 40 60 80 100

x

y

-2 0 2 4 6 8 10

2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 L(r) LIC- LIC+

Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands

III. Reproducing stands spatial structure

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The point processes used

Hard Core or simple inhibition process: regular or repulsive pattern

0 20 40 60 80 100

0 20 40 60 80 100

x

y

-10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2

2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30

L(r) LIC- LIC+

Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands

III. Reproducing stands spatial structure

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19

Our model of structure

rp d

5 Parameters:

- N1 Pines

1) Nb of clusters 2) Rp: radius

3) l: regularity distance

N2 oaks

4) d: intertype distance 5) Pa (probability when d

intertype is not respected)

1

III. Reproducing stands spatial structure

Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands

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Our model of structure

L o (r) simulated L P (r) simulated L op simulated

III. Reproducing stands spatial structure

L o (r) real L p (r) real L op real

-2 -1 0 1 2 3

2 6 10 14 18 22 26 30 2 6 10 14 18 22 26 30 2 6 10 14 18 22 26 30

plot 7 plot 14 plot 17 plot 20 plot 21 plot 24

Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands

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Our model of structure: fitting procedure by the least square criterion between the real and the simulated curves

What are the parameters that minimize the difference between Lreal and Lsim?

∑ = = =

− +

− +

= 30

2

2 30

2

2 2

30

2

)) ( )

( (

)) ( )

( (

)) ( )

( (

r

th m sim

m r

th m sim

m th

m sim

m r

r LOP r

LOP r

LP r

LP r

LO r

LO SCE 1

∑ = σ σ

= σ σ

= σ − σ + − + −

= 30

2

2 30

2

2 30

2

2 ( ( ) ( )) 2 ( ( ) ( )) ( ( ) ( ))

r

th sim

r

th sim

r

th

sim r LO r LP r LP r LOP r LOP r

LO SCE

SCE = SCE 1 + SCE 2

III. Reproducing stands spatial structure

Euclidean distance between the real and simulated mean curves

Euclidean distance between the real and the simulated standard deviations

Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands

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Our model of structure: fitted parameters

For Pines

Nb of clusters: 38 /ha Radius: 8m

Regularity distance: 10m

For Oak

Intertype distance: 4m Pa: 0.15

SCE min = 17.77

III. Reproducing stands spatial structure

Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands

0 25 50 75 100

0 25 50 75 100

canopy oak canopy pine

Simulated plot

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23

Our model of structure: comparison

III. Reproducing stands spatial structure

L simulated L real

-4 -2 0 2 4

2 8 14 20 26 6 12 18 24 30 4 10 16 22 28

Plot 20 Simulated plot

0 25 50 75 100

0 25 50 75 100

canopy oak canopy pine 0

25 50 75 100

-50 -25 0 25 50

canopy oak canopy pine

Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands

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IV. Conclusions and perpectives

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25

IV. Conclusions

Models of spatial structure for oak-Scots pine mixed stands of the Orleans forest For all the identified spatial types of our typology

Simple point processes to reproduce successfully the spatial pattern

Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands

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IV. Conclusions

On a simulator, CAPSIS, as initial state of a spatially explicit oak-pine growth model

Initial state spatially explicit

Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands

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Virtual stand

Spatially explicit Experimental plots

Spatial structure

analysis oak – pine

Spatial Typology

Point process

For any stand

IBM simulation

Stand level characteristics

Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands

IV. Perspectives

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Modelling the spatial structure of complex stands by Point Processes

Marie Ange Ngo Bieng 1,2 C. Ginisty 1

F. Goreaud 2

1 Research Team « Écosystèmes Forestiers » (Nogent / Vernisson)

2 Laboratory of engineering for complex systems (Clermont - Ferrand), FRANCE

Agricultural and Environmental Engineering Research

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