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Impact of the use of bovine somatotropin (BST) on
dairy cattle selection
J.J. Colleau
To cite this version:
Original
article
Impact
of
the
useof bovine
somatotropin
(BST)
ondairy
cattle selection
J.J.
Colleau
Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique, Station de Génétique quantitative et
appliquée, 78,i50 Jouy-en-Josas, France.
(received
27 October 1988; accepted 15 June1989)
Summary - A very simple
breeding
scheme for milk yield wasgenerated
by a Monte-Carlo method in order to evaluate the potential impact of bovine somatotropin(BST)
ongenetic gains and on the discrepancies between true and estimated breeding values. The
parameters were treatment rate
(10%,
30%,50%),
reporting(complete
orrandom),
BSTallocation system
(random,
best or worstcows),
data correction system(none,
conventionalBLUP or bivariate
BLUP)
and some dispersion parameters of the additional yield providedby BST.
Given that there were no herd effects and no embryo transfer, the range of the decrease for genetic gains was
1-10%,
not fully explained by the decrease in selection accuracy, andwas relatively well balanced between the male and female gene transmission paths. The
perception of this situation is difficult especially when BST is allocated to the best cows because very large biases in the evaluation may occur
(up
to 30% of the true selectiondifferentials).
These biases occur even when reporting is complete and when a conventional BLUP is implemented. This problem disappears when a multi-trait BLUP is applied aftercompletely
discarding
the treated parts of lactation. In this case, losses of genetic gainsare relatively moderate as well.
Possible herd effects were ignored in the simulation process to give the opportunity of
correct calculations for selection accuracies. This artificial prerequisite should be removed
in further studies.
cattle selection - milk yield - bovine somatotropin - genetic gain
Résumé - Impact de l’utilisation de la somatotropine bovine (BST) sur les
pro-grammes bovins de sélection laitière. On a simulé de manière aléatoire le
fonction-nement d’un programme très simple de sélection laitière pour évaluer l’impact de la BST sur le progrès génétique et sur les écarts entre valeurs
génétiques
vraies et estimées. Lesparamètres étaient le taux de traitement
(10%,
30%,50%),
le taux de déclaration(total
oualéatoire),
le système de choix des vaches traitées(au
hasard, bonnes ou mauvaisesvaches),
le type de correction des données(aucune,
BLUP classique ou BLUPbivariate)
et certains paramètres de dispersion concernant le gain de production permis par la BST.
Sachant qu’il n’y avait ni effet troupeau ni
transfert
embryonnaire, le taux de diminu-tion du progrès génétique se situe dans la zone1-10%,
ne s’explique pas totalement par la réduction de précision de la sélection et se répartit assez bien entre les voies mâles etL’utilisation d’un BLUP multàcaractère sur des lactations entières ou amputées de leur
partie obtenue sous traitement permet de
faire
disparaître cette nuisance. Par ailleurs, dans cette situation, les réductions de progrès génétique sont relativement modiques.Les éventuels effets troupeau ont été ignorés dans le processus de simulation, de manière à faciliter le calcul exact de la précision des indices de sélection. Cette condition artificielle devrait être levée dans les études ultérieures.
bovins - sélection - production laitière - somatotropine bovine - progrès génétique
I. INTRODUCTION
Growth hormone obtained from
genetic engineering
induceslarge changes
of milkyield
in cattle(see
the reviewby
Chilliard, 1988a,
b).
Itmight
therefore beintegrated
into the modernproduction techniques
used fordairy
cattle. Thenew
questions
asked to breeders would be the consequences of arelatively large
uncertainty
about the statistical andbiological
parametersconcerning
the response to the hormone. Additionalchallenges
would begenerated
in the case ofpossible
ignorance
of the real status of the cows, treated or not treated(poor
reporting
or,at worst,
cheating).
Two main
questions,
which are distinctalthough partially overlapping,
arise froman
operational
viewpoint:
1)
What is the reduction in the annualgenetic gains
incomparison
with thecorresponding
value in an identical BST-freebreeding
scheme?2)
What are thediscrepancies
between the real selection differentials and theapparent ones, as seen from the
breeding
value estimates of elite animals?Deterministic
modelling
of thesequestions
is not an easytask,
especially
in thesituation where BST is not
randomly
allocated. This is the reasonwhy
the firstknown numerical studies have resorted to Monte-Carlo methods
(Burnside
andMeyer, 1988;
Frangione
andCady,
1988;
Simianer andWollny,
1989).
Conversely,
this hasstrongly
limited the scope to verysimplified
breeding
schemes,
in attempts to mimic the main aspects of the usualcomplex
schemes,
on
relatively
small numbers of animals to savecomputation
time.In the present paper, this type of
approach
isapplied
toembryo
transfer-freeschemes,
as in thepreceding
studies. Theobjective
is togive
clear answers to the abovequestions.
Inaddition,
the source of thepotential
losses will be examined inreference to standard selection
theory.
Thepotential
of moreadequate
evaluationprocedures
such as multi-trait BLUP will be tested too.II. MATERIEL AND METHODS A.
Breeding
schemeUnrelated sires
(100)
were progeny tested with 50daughters
each,
relatedonly
through
their sires. The top 25 and 3 sires were considered as cow sires and bull siresrespectively.
The best 5% of thedaughters
were considered aspotential
bulldams,
B. Constants
The additional
yield
provided
by
BST amounts to 1 000kg
on average, with aphenotypic
standard deviation of 200kg.
Thisroughly
corresponds
to the order ofmagnitude
of the results obtained on cows treated for 8 months after a 2-monthBST-free
period,
in order not to alterdramatically
the cow’senergetic balance,
asrecommended
by
nutritionists.The
genetic
andphenotypic
parametersconcerning
the 2-month part lactation and the whole lactation were drawn from the detailed resultsgiven by
Danell(1982).
This lead to h2 values of 0.18 and 0.28
respectively,
withgenetic
andphenotypic
correlations of 0.85 and 0.77. Wilmink(1987)
gave very similar results. It should bekept
in mind that the average effect of BST isequivalent
to 2genetic
standarddeviations for the full lactation.
C. Parameters
1)
Genetic situationS
1
:
additionalyield
due to BST is not heritable andindependent
ofpreceding
yield;
S
2
:
additionalyield
is heritable(h
2
=0.30)
andnegatively
correlated to thepreceding
yield
(r
G
= rE =-0.5);
S
3
:
additionalyield
is heritable(h
2
=0.30)
andindependent
ofpreceding yield;
S
4
:
additionalyield
is heritable(h
2
=0.30)
andpositively
correlated to thepreceding yield
(r
G
= rE =0.5).
These situations were chosen because
nothing
is known about thegenetic
parameters of additional
yield. Contradictory
information from smallsamples
isgiven
onphenotypic
parameters. The lack of free access to data from BST studies hasprecluded
thorough
analysis.
On the other
hand,
the observation that BSTbrings
an extrayield
for every treated cow excludes from the parameter space, situations wheregenetic
andphenotypic
correlations between the 2 totalyields
(with
and withoutBST)
aretoo low.
Considering
for instance that rp = r! =0.8,
as in aprevious
personal
study, implies
that in some cases extrayield
can benegative
(never
observedwhen
comparing daily
pre- andpost-injection
yields).
All the correlations rG orr
E
resulting
from our 4 situations are above 0.96.2)
Treatment rates:10%, 30%, 50%
.3)
Reporting
rates:50%, 100%.
Whenreporting
ispartial, cheating
is notsupposed
to occur, i.e. treated cows arereported
at random.4)
Treatment adlocation: atrandom,
on the best or worst cows, based on theirphenotypic
2 monthpartial yield.
5)
Methodsof analysis:
In the firstanalysis
(correction
1),
the model used includedbe seen, this
simple
model is not robust to a non-random allocation of BSTand,
assuggested by
Ducrocq
andFoulley
(personal communication),
a multi-trait BLUP evaluation system could be usedby
taking
into account the BST-free lactationparts, which would allow a better evaluation of fixed effects. A second
analysis
(correction 2),
i.e. a bivariateBLUP,
is envisioned as extremeimplementation
of this idea where treatment effect isignored
but where treated parts of lactation aredeliberately
excluded. In this way, the unknowndispersion
parametersconcerning
the effect of BST would be certain not to interfere with the evaluation
(at
least when BSTreporting
iscomplete).
D.
Obtaining
BLUP evaluationsTo save
computation
time,
advantage
was taken of the block structure of the data.By
algebraically manipulating
(aI
+!3J) -
type matrices and theirinverses,
it wastherefore
possible
to solvedirectly
the linear system and to derive the random variance-covariance errors for theestimates, given
that the model is true. Thegeneral
linear system can be found in Henderson(1975),
Foulley
et al.(1982),
Schaeffer(1984)
for instance. The detailed list of the derivations used for our case israther
lengthy
(especially
for bivariateBLUP)
and not essential to anunderstanding
of the results. These are the reasons
why
it will not begiven
here.Obtaining
the accuracies of the estimates without anyapproximation
was felt to beimportant
in order toanalyse
thephenomena
asdeeply
aspossible.
An animal model was solved for the females to get estimates for bull dams and from these
results,
the solutions of a sire model were obtained(to
get estimates for cow and bullsires),
because it can be shown that with our initialassumptions,
theestimate si for a sire i is
equal
towhere
i
i
ij
is the estimate for thej
th
daughter.
In this sequence of
operations,
a direct inversion is needed for the incidencematrix of fixed effects after
absorption
of the animal effects. Herd effects wereexcluded to save
computation
time, since 300-500 herds would have been needed. The consequences of this decision will be discussed.E.
Comparisons
to reference scheme(see IIIA)
Generally speaking,
all the results areexpressed
as a percent of the reference scheme.Approximate
standard errors for this ratio can be obtained firstby
linearizing
theIII. RESULTS A. Reference scheme
The results obtained from 300
replicates
are shown in Table I.They give
for eachof the 3
significant
gene transmissionpaths,
the true selectiondifferentials,
theapparent selection differentials
(from
BLUPevaluation),
the true accuracies(r Ga)
and the calculated accuracies. There is a verygood
agreement between observed and calculated parameters. It can also be verified that these parameters do notcorrespond
to those obtained in an infinitepopulation
of unrelated animals.B. Cumulative selection differentials
The
asymptotic
yearly genetic gains
areproportional
to the sum of the 3 selectiondifferentials on the
cow-sire,
bull-sire and bull-dampaths
when the cow-dampath
is
neglected
(Rendel
andRobertson,
1950).
The decrease of that sum,expressed
as a percent of thecorresponding
value in the referencescheme,
is shown in Table I1. Most values are in the range 1-10%. For accuratecomparisons,
it should bekept
in mind that there is some fuzziness due to random errors(standard
error of about1.2%).
When no data correction is
applied,
the total range for losses is 0-8%. WhenBST allocated
randomly.
With non-random allocation foBST,
its effect ispoorly
estimated and this leads to an additional error forevaluating breeding
values. Forinstance,
in the Slsituation,
BST used on the 30% best cows with totalreporting,
the estimate of the hormone effect is not 1000
kg
but 1200kg.
When correction 2is
applied,
the results are better than in the no-correctionsituation,
except whenthe best cows are treated with a
high
treatment rate. The source of these losses isobvious,
since for many animals the old variable isreplaced by
a less heritable oneand
imperfectly
correlated with it.Comparison
between the situationsS
l
andS
3
shows that the value of h2 foradditional
yield
has no detectable effect on thelosses,
aprobable
consequence ofthe fact that the
genetic
standard deviation for thisyield
cannot be veryhigh
incomparison
with the parameters for full lactations. In contrast,comparison
between situationsS
2
,
S
3
andS
4
shows that the value of the correlations between additionalyield
and &dquo;BST-free&dquo;yield
has aperceptible
influence. The smallest losses areobtained when the correlation is null. Greater losses are incurred with
positive
correlations but the worst situation is obtained when the worst cows
respond
thebest to hormone and vice versa.
Therefore,
good
information on the values for theThe most detrimental situation of BST allocation is the system when BST is
provided
to the best cows, except forhigh
treatment rates(50%)
where it is thecontrary.
C.
Discrepancies
between real andapparent
sum of selection differentialsA
general
survey of Table III shows that overestimation or underestimation of thecumulated selection differentials
(i.e.
of thepotential genetic
gain)
can exist. Thetotal range goes from -30 to +30%.
With no data
modification,
a noticeable overestimation of the selectiondifferen-tials occurs, except when poor cows are
treated,
which leads to an underestimation.This would
bring
someperturbation
into thebreeding
scheme. Forinstance,
in the situationS
l
(30%
treated atrandom),
it is found in Table II thatgenetic gain
is decreasedby
5%. Whentaking
into account thecorresponding
figure
in TableIII,
an Al
organization
would have every reason to believe thatgenetic gain
is increasedby
4%. This type ofcomparison
is even more dramatic when BST is not allocated at random. With nocorrection, S
l
(30%
on bestcows),
genetic
gain
is decreasedAs
expected, partial
reporting
andcorrecting
does nothelp
the situation. Whenreporting
isexhaustive,
it can be observed that correction 1 leads to strong underestimations except when BST israndomly
allocated: ifgood
cows aretreated,
they
are overcorrected and if poor cows aretreated,
they
areundercorrected,
both casesleading
to an apparentshrinkage
of thegenetic
variation range. Correction2 leads to an almost
perfect adequacy
of the estimategenetic gains.
This is notsurprising
and can be considered a check of the soundness of the calculations. The mostimportant point
is that this unbiased type of estimation isrelatively
unexpensive
in terms of realgenetic gains,
as seen from Table II. Thereforemulti-trait
BLUP,
with adrop
of the treated parts oflactation,
isby
far the best solution among thepossibilities
investigated
here. Better solutions cancertainly
be obtainedif
they
are of themulti-trait-type,
after a REML step forcalculating
the unknown variances and covariances on treated parts.Table IV shows for the
S
i
example
that biases of selection differentials areonly
veryweakly
related to biases of accuracies. Onceagain,
there is a verygood
agreement between true and
predicted
accuracies for the type 2 correction withD. Examination of the
origin
of the losses for situationS
l
Inspection
of all situations is notgiven:
this would lead to alarge
amount offigures.
SituationS
l
is chosen andexemplifies
very well thegeneral
pattern of results obtained. From thecomparison
between TableII,
Table V(accuracies
ofselection)
and Table VI(selection differentials),
it is obvious that the reduction ofgenetic
gains
cannot betotally explained by
a reduction of accuracy. This is theconsequence of
mixing
different distributions ofpredicted breeding
values for total milkyield
(different
population expectations
and withinpopulation
variances).
This situation is encountered even for the 100%recording
correction 2 situation. It should remembered that the conventional way ofpredicting
selection differential(selection
intensity
x selection accuracy xgenetic
standarddeviation)
isonly
correct if there is 1population
and iflinearity
ofregression
andhomoskedasticity
of error varianceshold. None of these 3 conditions is met in a BST situation. The
impact
of BST isnot a mere reduction of
heritability.
As
might
beanticipated,
the bull-dampath
is the most affected in terms of accuracy and in terms of selection differential. The sirepaths
are much less affectedthe reduction of
genetic
gain
comes from the malepaths,
as shownby
a detailedexamination of the
figures.
Theimpact
of BST onbreeding
schemes cannot either beoversimplified
as a process that weakens theefficiency
of the bull-dampath.
E. Treatment rates within the elitepopulations
Results are shown
only
for situationS
l
butthey give
agood
idea of the othersituations
(Table VII).
From the random BST treatment, it appears that theprobability
for a treated cow to be considered as a bull dam isconsiderably
increased(by
2 or3).
For correction 2 and totalreporting,
theprobability
isdecreased,
asmight
beanticipated
since the standard deviation of thebreeding
values estimates is smaller for the treated cows. As to the allocation to best cows, all bull damsare treated and then a doubt comes into mind: are these cows considered as
good
because
they
were treated or is it the contrary: werethey
treated becausethey
arereally
good?
From themultiple
traitresults,
we known that in this situation alarge
fraction of the treated animals
(41/87, 71/98, 87/100)
would have great chances tobe chosen as bull dams
anyhow.
However,
we are in the artificial situation where weHence the
psychological
interest ofexcluding
treated parts of lactation for dataprocessing.
IV. DISCUSSION A. Biases of this
study
Here, experimental
conditions are rather mild ones to evaluate theimpact
of BST.- Due
to
operational considerations,
the between-herdvariability
wasdropped,
although
it is well known that a between-herdvariability
exists. Thisvariability
would be very
likely
increasedby
use ofBST,
since thespecialists generally
agree insaying
that additionalyield
is all the more substantial as thefeeding
level isgood
(probably
BST x herdinteraction).
Furthermore,
there is no clear reasonwhy
everyfarmer would
apply strictly
the same system forchoosing
the cows to be treated.Finally,
ifnon-reporting
andcheating
cannot beeliminated,
thisimplies,
for human-
Embryo
transfer situations were notstudied, despite
theirgrowing
influence inpractical
dairy breeding
schemes. Given that female gene transmissionpaths
havemore
importance,
then it can beanticipated
that the losses would be greater. B.Comparison
withprevious
studiesSimianer and
Wollny
(1989)
studied in their alternative IV a situation similar toour situation
S
1
:
the additionalyield
(ic
= 1 000kg,
sp = 250
kg)
was not heritableand did not
depend
onanything. They
neverthelesssupposed
an additive herd effect.They
found also that a type 1 correction decreases the accuracy of selectionexcept when BST is allocated at random or almost. In the most favourable case
(total
reporting,
BST allocated atrandom),
they
found a decrease of 10% for thegenetic
gain
when 20% of the animals are treated. This is much more than the valueobtained here for this case
(around
2%).
Burnside and
Meyer
(1988)
concentratedonly
on sire evaluationproblems,
as-suming
amultiplicative
effect of BST and a between-herdvariability,
and stretchedthe range of
genetic
situations to as far as 0.6 for thephenotypic
orgenetic
cor-relation between
yields
with and without BST. In thesecircumstances,
accuracy isbadly
decreased. For a morelikely
situation(r
G
=1,
rp =
0.8),
the accuracy is notgreatly changed
but noticeable biases are induced: incomparison
with thereference
situation,
the mean absolute difference between the truebreeding
value and its estimate increasesby
25% when the best2/3
cows in2/3
of the herds aretreated. This
implies
that the mean value of elite sire estimates would be biased aswell.
CONCLUSION
The present
study
cannot be considered as exhaustive on thetopic.
However,
it is clear that thepossible
problems
indairy breeding
schemesbrought
aboutby
BST administration should not be underestimated.Unfortunately,
simple
ideas that couldjustify
comfortablesolutions,
are not at allsupported
by
the presentresults,
as confirmedby
thepreceding
studies when ameaningful
comparison
waspossible.
Losses of
genetic gains
are notproportional
to losses of accuracy, whichimplies,
forinstance,
thatonly increasing
the number ofdaughters
per bull would not be sufficient to eliminate these losses. The losses are almostequally
balanced between female and malepaths,
whichimplies
that attention should begiven
toeach
path: contracting herds,
forinstance,
for bullsampling
would therefore be apartial
solution.Finally,
evenconsidering
only genetic gains
is not sufficient since in some situationgenetic gains
can bekept
almost intact whereas the sire and dam evaluations aresignificantly
biased,
a factlikely
to introduce mistrust from the farmers towards the breeders.The solution
proposed here,
i.e. to exclude the treated parts of lactation forbreeding
purposes and to use a multi-traitBLUP,
isonly satisfactory
ifreporting
is correct.Furthermore,
it wouldcomplicate
the calculations. Imodified towards contracted and artificial systems. This
might
result in an increasedcost of Al.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Both referees chosen
by
thisjournal
are thanked for their comments andsuggestions.
Helpful
discussions with Dr H. Simianer(Hohenheim
University,
FRG)
and informal review of themanuscript
by
Dr R.L.Quaas
(Cornell
University,
USA)
weregreatly
appreciated.
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K.(1988)
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ondairy
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ondairy
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