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45PCost-effectiveness analysis of VEGF-A testing to predict response to bevacizumab (BEV) as a component of neo-adjuvant therapy of early HER-2 negative breast cancer

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biomarkers in breast cancer

( prognostic, predictive and

pharmacodynamic)

45P Cost-effectiveness analysis of VEGF-A testing to predict response to bevacizumab (BEV) as a component of neo-adjuvant therapy of early HER-2 negative breast cancer P.R. Blank1, S. Loibl2, B.K. Linderholm3, S. Caramuta3, V. Nekljudova2,

T.D. Szucs1, J. Van Stiphout1, Z. Ademi1, G. von Minckwitz2, M. Schwenkglenks1

1

European Center of Pharmaceutical Medicine (ECPM), University of Basel Institute of Pharmaceutical Medicine, Basel, Switzerland

2

Medicine and Research, German Breast Group, GBG Forschungs GmbH, Neu-Isenburg, Germany

3

Department of Oncology/Pathology, Karolinska University Hospital and Karolinska Institute-Huddinge, Stockholm, Sweden

Background:The effect of BEV to neo-adjuvant chemotherapy is modest in unselected HER2-negative (HER2-) breast cancer (BC) patients. VEGF-A has been suggested as a predictor for response to neoadjuvant BEV. We estimated the cost-effectiveness of using VEGF-A testing and corresponding treatment strategies in the neoadjuvant treatment of hormone receptor (estrogen or progesterone) positive (HR+), HER2- BC. Methods:Using a life-long Markov state transition model, we determined the health economic impact and incremental cost-effectiveness ration (ICER) of VEGF-A guided use of BEV therapy. Six alternative strategies were compared (four different VEGF-A cut-off values; two implying the use of BEV in no or all patients. Overall and metastasis-free survival information was derived from GeparQuinto (n = 830) trial

(EudraCT No: 2006-005834-19). Effectiveness was assessed as quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Costs (in EUR, year 2013) were assessed from a German third-party payer perspective.

Results:Lifetime costs per patient ranged from EUR 37’042 (reference strategy; no BEV) to EUR 78’367 (BEV to all). No BEV therapy yielded 14.031 QALYs per patient. The VEGF-A guided strategies achieved between 14.220 (cut-off 450 pg/mL) and 14.235 (cut-off 339 pg/mL) QALYs. In comparison with no BEV therapy, the most preferable strategy (cut-off 450 pg/mL) yielded additional costs of 11’191 EUR and 0.189 QALYs per patient (ICER 59’161 EUR/QALY) (Tab 1, only undominated strategies shown). Results remained robust in deterministic sensitivity analyses. Conclusion:Our study suggests that VEGF-A testing could be sensibly used to guide the neo-adjuvant administration of BEV in HR+ HER2- BC. Compared to not using BEV, the use of a cut-off value of 450 pg/mL might be cost-effective in Germany. Tab 1 Table: 45P Cost (EUR) Incremental Cost (EUR) QALY Incremental effect (QALY) ICER (EUR/QALY) No test, no BEV 37’042 14,031 VEGF-A 450 48’233 11’191 14,220 0,189 59’161 (vs. reference) VEGF-A 400 50380 1’338 14,230 0,199 227’344 (vs. VEGF-A 450) VEGF-A 339 54’061 17’019 14,235 0,204 673’769 (vs. VEGF-A 400)

Disclosure:All authors received funding from the European Commission 7th Framework Programme, Call FP7-HEALTH-2011-two-stage, under grant agreement No 278659 (RESPONSIFY).

© The Author 2015. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society for Medical Oncology. All rights reserved. For permissions, please email: [email protected].

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Annals of Oncology 26 (Supplement 3): iii15–iii24, 2015 doi:10.1093/annonc/mdv117.7

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