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Impact of Decentralized Electrification Projects on Sustainable Development: A Meta-Analysis

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HAL Id: hal-01922517

https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01922517

Preprint submitted on 14 Nov 2018

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Impact of Decentralized Electrification Projects on

Sustainable Development: A Meta-Analysis

Jean-Claude Berthélemy, Arnaud Millien

To cite this version:

Jean-Claude Berthélemy, Arnaud Millien. Impact of Decentralized Electrification Projects on Sus-tainable Development: A Meta-Analysis. 2018. �hal-01922517�

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fondation pour les études et recherches sur le développement international

LA FERDI EST UNE FOND

A TION REC ONNUE D ’UTILITÉ PUBLIQUE . ELLE ME T EN ŒUVRE A VEC L ’IDDRI L ’INITIA TIVE POUR LE DÉ VEL OPPEMENT E

T LA GOUVERNANCE MONDIALE (IDGM).

ELLE C

OORDONNE LE LABEX IDGM+ QUI L

’ASSOCIE A U CERDI E T À L ’IDDRI. CE T TE PUBLIC A TION A BÉNÉFICIÉ D ’UNE AIDE DE L ’É TA T FR ANÇ AIS GÉRÉE P AR L ’ANR A U TITRE DU PROGR A MME «INVESTISSEMENT S D ’A VENIR» POR

TANT LA RÉFÉRENCE «ANR-10-LABX

-14-01».

Impact of Decentralized

Electrification Projects on

Sustainable Development:

A Meta-Analysis*

Jean-Claude Berthelemy | Arnaud Millien

Jean-Claude Berthelemy, Professor at Paris 1 University Pantheon-Sorbonne, Centre d’Economie de la Sorbonne (CES), Programme Director at FERDI - France.

Email: jean-claude.berthelemy@univ-paris1.fr

Arnaud Millien, PhD candidate at Paris 1 University Panthéon-Sorbonne, Centre d’Economie de la Sorbonne (CES), consultant at FERDI - France.

Email: arnaud.millien@univ-paris1.fr

Abstract

This paper is the first product of a project aiming at building a collaborative smart

mapping of mini-grid action (CoSMMA), whose principal objective is to identify best

practices in decentralized electrification projects.

With evaluations of 421 projects, coming from published research papers, we have

built a pilot of CoSMMA, which proves its feasibility. Its relevance is demonstrated

by a meta-analysis, which reveals the principal characteristics of decentralized

electrification projects that trigger positive impacts on sustainable development.

Four main characteristics were considered: technology (source or energy), system

size (power), level of decision (from local to country level)

… /…

JEL Classification: L94, O13, O18, O22

Keywords: Decentralized electrification, sustainable development, impact assessment, meta-analysis.

* The authors thank Thomas André, Christophe Angely, Rémi Bazillier, Jean-Bernard Châtelain and Josselin Thuilliez for useful comments and discussions on this project; Fatou Cisse for her key support for data collection and data quality control; Olivier Santoni for his expertise dealing with geographical data. Both authors gratefully acknowledge support from the French National Research Agency under program ANR-10-LABX-14-01.

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“Sur quoi la fondera-t-il l’économie du monde qu’il veut gouverner?

Sera-ce sur le caprice de chaque particulier? Quelle confusion! Sera-ce

sur la justice? Il l’ignore.”

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P(outcomeip = k) = constant + c.EvalCondip + s.ProjectSpecp + error-termip

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“Sur quoi la fondera-t-il l’économie du monde qu’il veut gouverner?

Sera-ce sur le caprice de chaque particulier? Quelle confusion! Sera-ce

sur la justice? Il l’ignore.”

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“Sur quoi la fondera-t-il l’économie du monde qu’il veut

gouverner? Sera-ce sur le caprice de chaque particulier?

Quelle confusion! Sera-ce sur la justice? Il l’ignore.”

Pascal

Created in 2003 , the Fondation pour les études et recherches

sur le développement international aims to promote a fuller

understanding of international economic development and the

factors that influence it.

Contact

www.ferdi.fr

contact@ferdi.fr

+33 (0)4 73 17 75 30

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