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Appendix 9 – Trend Comparison 1 Appendix 9. Trend comparison

Spatio-temporal population change of arctic-breeding waterbirds

Table A9.1. Breeding population trends estimated for 20 waterbird species in our study compared to examples of other studies in both the Arctic Coastal Plain, Alaska (ACP) or

elsewhere in Alaska, the Arctic, or North America. We provide trend direction as increasing (+), decreasing (–) or stable (Ο) with references as footnotes that include the date range examined bolded in parentheses. This list is not meant to be exhaustive, but rather showcase agreement or disagreement in population trends for each species.

Species Our Study ACP Elsewhere

Lesser Snow Goose (Anser caerulescens

caerulescens) + +4,19 +1,9,13,18

Greater White-fronted Goose (A. alibfrons) + +19 +17,18

Black Brant (Branta bernicla nigricans) + +19 +17

Cackling Goose (B. hutchinsii)a + +19 Ο13,17,18

Tundra Swan (Cygnus columbianus) + +19 +11,17,18

Northern Pintail (A. acuta) Ο +1916,18

Scaup (Lesser and Greater combined) (Aythya sp.) + +1918 to Ο16

Steller’s Eider (Polysticta stelleri) Ο Ο19

Spectacled Eider (Somateria fischeri) Ο Ο19 +16

King Eider (S. spectabilis) + +2,1915

White-winged Scoter (Melanitta perspicillata) + +19

Long-tailed Duck (Clangula hyemalis) Ο Ο193 to Ο16

Red-breasted Merganser (Mergus serrator) + +19 Ο3 to +14,16 Jaeger (Pomarine, Parasitic and Long-tailed

combined) (Stercorarius sp.) Ο Ο1916

Sabine's Gull (Xema sabini) + +19 +16

Glaucous Gull (Larus hyperboreus) + +197,12 to Ο6,16

Arctic Tern (Sterna paradisaea) + +197,10

Red-throated Loon (Gavia stellata) – Ο198 to Ο16

Pacific Loon (G. pacifica) Ο Ο5,19 Ο8,16

Yellow-billed Loon (G. adamsii) + Ο5 to +19

a Trend results for Taverner’s goose (B. h. taverneri) where applicable.

1. Alisauskas, R. T., R. F. Rockwell, K. W. Dufour, E. G. Cooch, G. Zimmerman, K. L.

Drake, J. O. Leafloor, T. J. Moser, and E. T. Reed. 2011. Harvest, survival, and

abundance of Midcontinent Lesser Snow Geese relative to population reduction efforts.

Wildlife Monographs 179:1–42. (1971 – 2006)

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Appendix 9 – Trend Comparison 2 2. Bentzen, R. L., and A. N. Powell. 2012. Population dynamics of King Eiders breeding in

northern Alaska. Journal of Wildlife Management 76:1011-1020 (2001-2010)

3. Bowman, T. D., E. D. Silverman, S. G. Gilliland, and J. B. Leirness. 2015. Status and trends of North American sea ducks: reinforcing the need for better monitoring. Pages 1- 28 in J-P. L. Savard, D. V. Derksen, D. Esler, and J. M. Eadie, editors. Ecology and conservation of North American sea ducks. Studies in Avian Biology 46. (1975 – 2012 for LTDU, recent 10-20 years, RBME)

4. Burgess, R. M., R. J. Ritchie, B. T. Person, R. S. Suydam, J. E. Shook, A. K. Prichard, and T. Obritschkewitsch. 2017. Rapid growth of a nesting colony of Lesser Snow Geese (Chen caerulescens caerulescens) on the Ikpikpuk River Delta, North Slope, Alaska, USA. Waterbirds 40:11-23. (1995 – 2015)

5. Earnst, S. L. 2004. Status assessment and conservation plan for the Yellow-billed Loon (Gavia adamsii). U. S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report 2004-5258, Department of the Interior, Washington D. C., USA. (1986 – 2003)

6. Gaston, A. J., M. L. Mallory, and H. G. Gilchrist. 2012. Populations and trends of Canadian Arctic seabirds. Polar Biology 35:1221-1232. (various time periods) 7. Gilchrist, H. G., and G. J. Robertson. 1999. Population trends of gulls and arctic terns

nesting in the Belcher Islands, Nunavut. Arctic 52:325-331. (1980s – 1997)

8. Groves, D. J., B. Conant, R. J. King, J. I. Hodges, J. G. King, 1996. Status and trends of loon populations summering in Alaska, 1971-1993. The Condor 98:189-195. (1971 – 1993)

9. Jefferies, R. L., A. P. Jano, and K. F. Abraham. 2006. A biotic agent promotes large-scale catastrophic change in the coastal marshes of Hudson Bay. Journal of Ecology 94:234–

242. (1963 – 1997)

10. Maftei, M., S. E. Davis, and M. L. Mallory. 2015. Assessing regional populations of ground-nesting marine birds in the Canadian High Arctic. Polar Research 34:

doi:10.3402/polar.v34.25055. (2002 – 2013)

11. Pacific Flyway Council. 2001. Pacific Flyway management plan for the western

population of Tundra Swans. Pacific Flyway Study Committee, Subcommittee on Tundra Swans. U. S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Unpublished Report, Migratory Birds, Portland, Oregon, USA. (1964 – 2001)

https://ecos.fws.gov/ServCat/DownloadFile/36959?Reference=36942 (19FEB19) 12. Petersen, A., D. B. Irons, H. G. Gilchrist, G. J. Robertson, D. Boertmann, H. Strøm, M.

Gavrilo, Y. Artukhin, D. S. Clausen, K. J. Kuletz, and M. L. Mallory. 2015. The status of Glaucous Gulls Larus hyperboreus in the circumpolar Arctic. Arctic 68:107-120.

(Various time periods)

13. Reiter, M. E., D. E. Andersen, A. H. Raedeke, and D. D. Humburg. 2013. Species associations and habitat influence the range-wide distribution of breeding Canada geese (Branta canadensis interior) on Western Hudson Bay. Waterbirds 36:20-33. (1987 – 2008)

14. Sauer, J. R., D. K. Niven, J. E. Hines, D. J. Ziolkowski, Jr., K. L. Pardieck, J. E. Fallon, and W. A. Link 2017. The North American breeding bird survey, results and analysis 1966-2015. Version 2.07.2017. U. S. Geological Survey, Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, Laurel, Maryland, USA. (1966 – 2015)

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Appendix 9 – Trend Comparison 3 15. Suydam, R. S., D. L. Dickson, J. B. Fadely, and L. T. Quakenbush. 2000. Population

declines of King and Common Eiders of the Beaufort Sea. The Condor 102:219-222.

(between 1960 and 1994)

16. Swaim, M. A. 2017. Abundance and trend of waterbird populations on the Yukon- Kuskokwim Delta, Alaska, 1988–2016. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Region 7, Migratory Birds, Anchorage, Alaska, USA. (1988 – 2016 for NOPI, SCAU, SPEI, LTDU, RBME; 1992 – 2016 for JAEG, SAGU, GLGU; 1989 – 2016 for RTLO, PALO) https://www.fws.gov/alaska/mbsp/mbm/waterfowl/surveys/pdf/2015- 2016_YKD_Coastal_Waterbird_Survey.pdf (19FEB19)

17. Swaim, M. A., and H. M. Wilson. 2018. 2018 Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta Coastal Zone Survey of Geese, Swans, and Sandhill Cranes. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Region 7, Migratory Birds, Anchorage, Alaska, USA. (1985 – 2018)

https://www.fws.gov/alaska/mbsp/mbm/waterfowl/surveys/pdf/2018_YKD_Goose_Swan _Crane_Survey.pdf (19FEB19)

18. U. S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS). 2018. Waterfowl population status, 2018.

Department of the Interior, Washington, D. C., USA. (1970 – 2018 for GWFG, 2009 – 2018 for CAGO, 1985 – 2018 for TUSC; 1955 – 2018 for NOPI, SCAU)

https://www.fws.gov/migratorybirds/pdf/surveys-and-data/Population- status/Waterfowl/WaterfowlPopulationStatusReport18.pdf (19FEB19)

19. Wilson, H. M., W. W. Larned, and M. A. Swaim. 2018. Aerial survey indices of waterbird populations on the Arctic Coastal Plain, 1986–2017. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Region 7, Migratory Birds, Anchorage, Alaska, USA. (1986 – 2017)

https://www.fws.gov/alaska/mbsp/mbm/waterfowl/surveys/pdf/2014- 2017_ACP_Breeding_Pair.pdf (19FEB19)

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