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HAL Id: jpa-00247117

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Submitted on 1 Jan 1995

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Senescence from Reproduction

John Thoms, Peter Donahue, Naeem Jan

To cite this version:

John Thoms, Peter Donahue, Naeem Jan. Senescence from Reproduction. Journal de Physique I,

EDP Sciences, 1995, 5 (8), pp.935-940. �10.1051/jp1:1995173�. �jpa-00247117�

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Classification Physics Abstracts

02.50-r 05.20-y 87.10+e

Short Communication

Senescence ftom Reproduction

John

Thoms,

Peter Donahue and Naeem Jan

Physics Department, St. Francis Xavier University, Antigonish, Box 5000, Nova Scotia, B2G 2W5, Canada

(Received

2 June 1995, accepted 7 June

1995)

Abstract. We present results from Monte Carlo simulations of a modified

"bit-string"

model of Penna which show that ageing or senescence may be the result of reproduction over an

extended period, as expected from mutation accumulation. This mduces an effective form of

antagonistic pleiotropy. We also obtain a double maxima in the distribution of the age at which death occurs. These results may be relevant to current theories of ageing.

The

understanding

of the

mechanism(s)

of

ageing

or senescence is one which is not without interest to

biologists

and others.

Ageing

is the term

commonly

used to describe the

dedining

functional

capacities

of the mature

organism.

This

problem, although

mentioned in the

Bible,

was

recognised

in the scientific literature as

early

as 1870

by

Russel

Wallace,

and his theme

was

developed

later

by Weismann, Haldane, Hamilton,

Medawar and others

Ill.

This

theory

asserts that

ageing

is the result of late

acting

deleterious mutations which are

weakly

selected

by

natural selection at

reproduction.

The presence of these "bad" mutations in the individual are

expressed

late in life and decrease the

ability

of the organism to carry out its normal

functions;

this makes the

organism

more

susceptible

to

injury,

disease and then death. Another

theory

assumes that genes which are beneficial to the

juvenile

may turn out to be detrimental iii the

adult. This

theory

is referred to iii the literature as

autagonistic pleiotropy

aud was considered

in various forms

by

Darwin,

Medawar, Williams,

Charlesworth and others

Ill.

We propose to

study

the consequences of a model of mutation accumulation. The

"bit-string"

model of Penna [2] is a suitable

starting point.

In this model we have 64 genes,

representing

an

individual,

which may be either "on" or "off"

(0

or

1).

At the start we generate a random sequence of states,

representing optimal

fitness for the environment, which we refer to as the

optimal

sequence. Dur initial

population

consists of 20000 individuals half of whom bave the

optimal

sequence. This was necessary to ensure that there was

a

surviving

group alter the first 10 years. In this version of the model we do trot allow for survival over trie age of 64, but with trie parameters considered very few live over trie age of 35 anyway. Each

organism,

at

birth,

is

given

the

genetic string

of its parent, but we

allow,

with

equal probability

for either

0,

1 or

© Les Editions de Physique 1995

(3)

936 JOURNAL DE PHYSIQUE I N°8

2

hereditary point

mutations at birth. This is done

by simply switching

a

randomly

selected gene of the parent from its present state to the

opposite

state.

Given a

population

we increment the age, 1, of each individual in the

population by

one

la year)

and this is

represented by

the

expression

of the i~h gene. The

newly expressed

gene is

compared

to its counterpart in the

optimal

sequence. If

they

agree, then this represents a

"good"

gene

but if

they disagree,

then this is considered a deleterious

hereditary

mutation. All the earlier

expressed

genes are also active and the total deleterious

hereditary

mutations is the

Hamming

distance between the active segment of the

genetic string

and the

corresponding

segment of the

optimal

sequence. Also at each year we allow each member to

acquire

a deleterious somatic mutation. A deleterious somatic mutation is one which is detrimental to the

organism

but is not transmitted to its

off-spring.

This mutation occurs with

probability

0.01 in each year and trie

sum of these mutations is retained. After each member of trie

population

bas

aged

we measure

the average number of deleterious mutations per individual. This average is determined from the total deleterious mutations which has occurred to ail the

organisms

so far in their life

(hereditary plus somatic).

We next check the members of trie

population

for survival. There are several hurdles: We compute a death

probability,

pd

~~

exp(r(b a))

+ 1 ~~~

where b is trie average number of mutations per individual and a is the number of mutations of trie individual concerned and r, which is set

equal

to 10 in this

work, plays

trie role of an inverse

temperature for our Fermi function [3]. This value of r

gives

a low

probability

of survival for those individuals below the average fitness and

corrspondingly

a

high probability

of survival for those whose fitness is greater than b. If a random number is less than pd then trie

organism

is removed from the

population.

Environmental limitations

placed

on

food,

space, and

nesting

sites are taken into account

by

an age

independent

Verhulst term which

gives

each invididual

a

probability

of

il N(t)/k)

of

staying

alive. k is the carrying

capacity

of the environment which is set to

100,000

at the onset, and

N(t)

is the

population

at the year t. k is about 10 times

langer

than trie

steady

state

population

which is

approximately

8500. Trie

surviving

members are those who are able to avoid these two hurdles.

After the

grim

reaper we consider birth. Each member of the

population

in the age group ii to 25 is

given

a 50 percent

probability

to

give

birth to an

off-spring.

The

off-spring

is

given

more

or less the same

genetic

sequence as the parent. The maximum number of point mutations allowed in the

baby

is 2 and as we have

described,

this

simply

means that a maximum of 2 genes

are switched from their present state. No further

hereditary point

mutations are allowed for this individual

during

its life time, thus all other deleterious mutations that occur are somatic.

We now discuss the results from

simulating

this model. We have monitored the

population

to establish that we have reached the

steady

state.

Figure

i shows the

steady

state age distribution after 2000 years. Similar curves are obtained alter 1000 years. Note the

exponential decay

and also that very few members survive after the age of 25.

Figure

2 shows the average number of

deletenous mutations in the

steady

state

population

with age. We

clearly

see that the average number of mutations in the

juvenile (less

thon

10)

is very

small,

whereas the average number of deleterious mutations increases

rapidly

after the age of là- We measure the average number of deleterious

hereditary

mutations per individual between the ages of I and 12 and report 0.157,

whereas,

between the ages of13 and 25 we find 1.712.

Figure

3 shows the

frequency

at which death occurs with age. We collected these data over 1000 years in the

steady

state. There are two

peaks

one near the age of 5 and the other near

(4)

AGE DISTRIBUTION

900

800 °

700

> 6°° °

O °

~z

500 °

Q o

~

~ 400 °

o o

300 °

o o

200 o

°

o o

100 o

~ °

o o

~ o

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

AGE

Fig. i. The age distribution of the population at 2000 years.

the age of 21. As far as we are aware, this is the first report of such a curve from theoretical considerations of a model of

ageing.

As

expected, (Fig. I),

very few individuals survive after the age of 25. In order to understand the nature of the first

peak

we show in

Figure

4 the

number of mutations in each age group. We have not normalised

by

the number of members

in each age group. We see that the

interplay

between the

population

distribution with age and the

probability

of

expressing

a deleterious mutation, which increases with age, is

responsible

for the first

peak.

The second

peak

reflects the upper limit of selection at the onset of

infertility.

Here we sec clear demonstration of the mutation accumulation without selection pressure trie individuals become unfit. This is reinforced in

Figure

5 where we show trie survival

ratio,

N(t)/(N(t I)).

Here we see a more or less constant survival ratio up to trie age of 15 and this decreases to

approximately

o-S at age 25. This is trie random limit where trie

probability

of a deleterious mutation is o-S in the

steady

state

population.

We have shown that the Penna

"bit-string"

model is well suited for

simulating

the consequences of the mutation accumulation

theory

of

ageing.

We have included a fitness function which

is

responsive

to trie overall fitness of trie

population.

This is a natural method to include trie Red

Queen

[4] effect as the

population

evolves to

higher

fitness. We are also able to

impose environmental tolerance to an individual's deviation from the average fitness. This is

accomplished by simply tuning

the r parameter in our Fermi function. We observed the total number of deleterious mutations per individual under trie age of12 and between trie ages of 13 and 25 and find that it differs

by

a factor of 10. We may

interpret

this as

reflecting

a type of

antagonistic pleiotropy.

Trie

juvenile

is

simple

fitter on average thon the adult. This seems to be a natural consequence of mutation accumulation. We intend to indude in a future

study

trie effects of a

slowly evolving

environment. We will allow the

"optimal"

sequence to

slowly

mutate with time. This will introduce aspects of the

Bak-Sneppen

[Si model where co-evolution

of a

self-organised

critical system leads to extinction on all scales. Another

topic

of interest is what

happens

when a

parental

care factor is introduced into the model.

Any youth

with a

(5)

938 JOURNAL DE PHYSIQUE I N°8

Ave~ge Mu~tion w& Age

D.Q

° o

0.8

~ ~ o

o

à Ù-fi o

fl S o

f

0.5

ce °

fi

g o

< °.~

o 0.3

o

0.2 Q

o

°

0.1

~ ~ o ° ° ~

~ o o o o °

~ o ° °

0

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

AGE

Fig. 2. The average number of mutations per individual for each age group with the fertility range being from Ii to 25. Note trie rapta increase at 15 years.

AGE ATDEATH

o

o ~

6000 ° °

o

o ~

5000 °

o o

~

~ o

o o ° °

° ° o o ~

4000 z

" o

à

j~ 3000 °

o

2000

o

1000 o

o

o

° o o

~

o 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

AGE

Fig. 3. The frequeucy of death with age for the case where the fertility range is from Ii to 25. The first peak is sensitive to number of hereditary point mutations allowed at birth.

(6)

Tata Mutations withAge 35

o o

o o

30 °

o

~ o

25 °

o o

°

o ~

fl 20 ° °

o

O °

P °

~ o ~

1

15

° o

o io

o

5 o

o o

o °

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

AGE

Fig. 4. The sum of the mutations for the individuals in each age group, independent of the size of each group.

Sumkal Ratio wth Age

o o

o o-fi

S ~ o o

4 o ~ o

% É

z o o

0.4

~ o

0.2

0

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

AGE

Fig. 5. The survival ratio as a function of age for the case where the fertility range is from ii to 25.

(7)

940 JOURNAL DE PHYSIQUE I N°8

living

parent would have a greater chance of

surviving.

Acknowledgments

We welcome the opportuuity to thank Professor Stauffer

(who

is

performiug self-experimeuts

ou

ageing)

and his collaborators

Penna,

Moss de Oliveria and Bemardes for

keepiug

us informed of their work aud also for encouragement. This research is

supported

in part

by

NSERC of

Canada and a UCR grant from St. Francis Xavier

University.

References

Ill

Rose M.R., Evolution Biology of Aging

(Oxford

University Press, Oxford, 1991), and see refer-

ences therein for earlier literature; Charlesworth B., Evolution

in Age-Structured Populations, 2nd edition

(Cambridge

University Press, Cambridge,

1994).

[2] Penna T.J.P., J. Star. Phys. 78

(1995)

1629; Bernardes A.T. and Staulfer D., submitted

(1995);

Penna T.J. and Staulfer D., Înt. J. Med. Phys. C6

(1995)

233; Moss de Oliveria S., Penna T.J.P.

and Staulfer D., Physica A215

(1995)

298. Earlier simulations are reviewed by Staulfer D., Braz.

J. Phys. 26

(1994)

900.

[3] Amitrano Ç., Peliti L. and Saber M., Molecular Evolution on Rugged Landscapes: Proteins, ANA

and the Immune System, A.S. Perelson and S-A- Kaulfman, Eds.

(Addison-Wesley

Publishing Co.,

Redwood City,

1991).

[4] Ridley M., Trie Red Queen

(Macmillan

Publishing Co., New York,

1993).

[5] Bak P. and Sneppen K., Phys. Reu. Lent. 71

(1993)

4083; Ray T.S, and Jan N., Phys. Reu. Lent.

72

(1994)

4045.

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