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3D Modelling of the Black Sea northwestern Shelf Ecosystem

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(1)

3D MODELLING OF THE BLACK SEA

NORTH WESTERN SHELF ECOSYSTEM

Capet Arthur, Grégoire M, Beckers, JM.,Joassin P., Naithani J., Borges A.V., Soetaert

WP 4 - 6

39th CIESM

(2)

Monthly RIVERS

fluxes and nutrients flows

(from SESAME

31

double-sigma layer

(dx~5km)

Inorganic nutrients (5)

SiO,NO3,NH4,PO4,”Reducers”

Oxygen and Dissolved Inorganic

Carbon (2)

3 Phytoplankton (6) (free

C/N) Diatoms,Flagellates, Small Flagellates

Zooplancton (2)

Micro, Meso.

Gelatinous zooplankton(2)

Omnivorous , Carnivorous

Detrital matter (8)

Particulate, Semi-labile and Labile forms

6h-atmospheric

forcings from ECMWF

Physics (5)

Currents, T°, Salinity, Surface elevation, Turbulence

(3)

Model's Specificity

No data assimilation :

Necessity to construct specific

Bosphorus representation to ensure conservation of volume and total salt

content.

Anoxic waters :

The biological model

explicitely includes anoxic chemistry trough

the use of a variable 'Oxygen demanding Units',

as a proxy for reducers acting in the anoxic zone.

Sediments coupling :

Due to the importance of sediments

dynamics for the shelf area we had to include a parametrisation of

sediments taking into accounts deposit history, and bottom

(4)

Validation : Biology-climatic run

Spatio-temporal repartition of point-2-point statistics

Atmospheric and river forcings are averaged on decadal periods in order to construct a “climatological”

seasonal cycles.

Those climatic runs are run under

repetition of those seasonal forcings, in order to study equilibrium states in response to some typical environmental conditions.

This allow us to better

Validation of those runs is done by gathering in-situ data from those decades, and comparing each data by its model spatio-temporal equivalent.

(5)

Oxygene

Horizontal + repartition

(6)

Validation biology : profiles (SHELF)

Oxygene

(7)

Outputs :

“inter-climatology” evolution of ecosytem conditions

Climatic 60-70 Climatic 80-90 Climatic 90-00 1960-1970 1980-1990 1990-2000

(8)

Oxygen Dynamics

The model allows to analyse different parts of an element's dynamic. Annual mean of oxygen fluxes, vertically integrated. Units : mmolO/m² S O U R C E S I N K

(9)

Interannual Run

Dissolved Oxygen Comparison for the Shelf Area mmolO/m³

(10)
(11)

Conclusions

Once validated (!), 3D models allows to get an

usefull insight in detailled dynamics of the

ecosytems.

As 3D complex models generates a big amount

of data, climatologic run help to identify relevant

indices to analyse interannual run.

(12)
(13)

Validation BIO SED 6

Oxygene

(14)
(15)

Validation BIO

Oxygene

(16)

Validation : Physics

Comparison of SST climatologies from model and satellite

interranual run

85 to 90

(17)

Validation : Physics (interranual run 85 to 90)

Comparison of SST modes of interannual variability with satelitte

(18)
(19)

Reduction in anoxic water

( OxygenDemanding Unit = 0.5H2S + 2Mn2+ + 4Fe2+ ).

oxidant An xO ODU O xH PO H yNH xCO xODU oxidant An PO H NH O CH xSO xO xS O xH PO H yNH xCO xS xSO PO H NH O CH xH O xFe xO xFe O xH O xH PO H yNH xCO xFe xH O xFe PO H NH O CH xH xMnO xO xMn O xH O xH PO H yNH xCO xMn xH xMnO PO H NH O CH y x y x y x y x → + + + + + → + → + + + + + → + + → + + + + + + → + + + → + + + + + + → + + − − − − + + + + + + + + 2 2 4 3 3 2 4 3 3 2 2 4 2 2 2 4 3 3 2 2 2 4 4 3 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 4 3 3 2 2 3 2 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 3 3 2 2 2 4 3 3 2 ) ( ) ( ) ( 5 . 0 5 . 0 5 . 0 5 . 0 ) ( ) ( ) ( 8 2 4 4 5 4 8 2 ) ( ) ( ) ( 4 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 ) ( ) ( ) (

(20)

Validation : Biology-climatic run

Spatio-temporal repartition of point-2-point statistics

Atmospheric and river forcings are averaged on decadal periods in order to construct a “climatological”

seasonal cycles.

Those climatic runs are run under

repetition of those seasonal forcings, in order to study equilibrium states in response to some typical environmental conditions.

This allow us to better

Validation of those runs is done by gathering in-situ data from those decades, and comparing each data by its model spatio-temporal equivalent.

(21)

Validation BIO

Oxygene

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